IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cor/louvco/2014012.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimation and empirical performance of non-scalar dynamic conditional correlation models

Author

Listed:
  • BAUWENS, Luc

    (Université catholique de Louvain, CORE, Belgium)

  • GRIGORYEVA, Lyudmila

    (Laboratoire de Mathematiques de Besançon, Université de Franche-Comté, France)

  • ORTEGA, Juan-Pablo

    (Laboratoire de Mathematiques de Besançon, Université de Franche-Comté, France)

Abstract

This paper presents a method capable of estimating richly parametrized versions of the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model that go beyond the standard scalar case. The algorithm is based on the maximization of a Gaussian quasi-likelihood using a Bregman-proximal trust-region method to handle the various non-linear stationarity and positivity constraints that arise in this context. We consider the general matrix Hadamard DCC model with full rank, rank equal to two and, additionally, two different rank one matrix specifications. In the last mentioned case, the elements of the vectors that determine the rank one parameter matrices are either arbitrary or parsimoniously defined using the Almon lag function. We use actual stock returns data in dimensions up to thirty in order to carry out performance comparisons according to several in- and out-of-sample criteria. Our empirical results show that the use of richly parametrized models adds value with respect to the conventional scalar case.

Suggested Citation

  • BAUWENS, Luc & GRIGORYEVA, Lyudmila & ORTEGA, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Estimation and empirical performance of non-scalar dynamic conditional correlation models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014012, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:2014012
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sites.uclouvain.be/core/publications/coredp/coredp2014.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Noureldin, Diaa & Shephard, Neil & Sheppard, Kevin, 2014. "Multivariate rotated ARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 16-30.
    2. Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Do We Really Need Both Bekk And Dcc? A Tale Of Two Multivariate Garch Models," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 736-751, September.
    3. Fujita,Masahisa & Thisse,Jacques-François, 2013. "Economics of Agglomeration," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107001411.
    4. Lorenzo Cappiello & Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2006. "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 537-572.
    5. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    6. Christian Hafner & Philip Hans Franses, 2009. "A Generalized Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model: Simulation and Application to Many Assets," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 612-631.
    7. Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2011. "The Model Confidence Set," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 453-497, March.
    8. VARDAR, N. Baris, 2013. "Imperfect resource substitution and optimal transition to clean technologies," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013072, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2004. "CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 367-381, October.
    10. DUJARDIN, Claire & lorant, VINCENT & THOMAS, Isabelle, 2013. "Self-assessed health of elderly people in Brussels: does the built environment matter?," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013048, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    11. Engle, Robert & Colacito, Riccardo, 2006. "Testing and Valuing Dynamic Correlations for Asset Allocation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 238-253, April.
    12. PAPAVASILIOU, Anthony & HE, Yi & SVOBODA, Alva, 2013. "Self-commitment of combined cycle units under electricity price uncertainty," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013051, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    13. Cremer, Helmuth & Gahvari, Firouz & Pestieau, Pierre, 2017. "Uncertain altruism and the provision of long term care," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 12-24.
    14. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    15. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2003. "Choosing the Best Volatility Models: The Model Confidence Set Approach," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 839-861, December.
    16. Hindriks, Jean & Myles, Gareth D., 2013. "Intermediate Public Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262018691, December.
    17. Gian Piero Aielli, 2013. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: On Properties and Estimation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 282-299, July.
    18. Nigar Hashimzade & Jean Hindriks & Gareth D. Myles, 2006. "Solutions Manual to Accompany Intermediate Public Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262582694, December.
    19. Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
    20. Noureldin, Diaa & Shephard, Neil & Sheppard, Kevin, 2014. "Multivariate rotated ARCH models," Scholarly Articles 34650305, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    21. Chrétien, Stéphane & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Multivariate GARCH estimation via a Bregman-proximal trust-region method," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 210-236.
    22. LAMAS, ALEJANDRO & CHEVALIER, Philippe, 2013. "Jumping the hurdles for collaboration: fairness in operations pooling in the absence of transfer payments," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013073, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grigoryeva, Lyudmila & Ortega, Juan-Pablo & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2018. "Volatility forecasting using global stochastic financial trends extracted from non-synchronous data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 67-82.
    2. Gu, Huaying & Liu, Zhixue & Weng, Yingliang, 2017. "Time-varying correlations in global real estate markets: A multivariate GARCH with spatial effects approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 460-472.
    3. Bauwens, Luc & Braione, Manuela & Storti, Giuseppe, 2017. "A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 40-61.
    4. Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2020. "Nonlinearities and regimes in conditional correlations with different dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 496-522.
    5. Geert Dhaene & Piet Sercu & Jianbin Wu, 2022. "Volatility spillovers: A sparse multivariate GARCH approach with an application to commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 868-887, May.
    6. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    7. Gian Piero Aielli & Davide Pirino, 2023. "Funding Liquidity and Stocks’ Market Liquidity: Structural Estimation From High-Frequency Data," CEIS Research Paper 568, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 28 Nov 2023.
    8. Shang, Han Lin & Kearney, Fearghal, 2022. "Dynamic functional time-series forecasts of foreign exchange implied volatility surfaces," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1025-1049.
    9. Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2020. "Multivariate leverage effects and realized semicovariance GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 411-430.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018. "MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
    2. L. Bauwens & E. Otranto, 2020. "Modelling Realized Covariance Matrices: a Class of Hadamard Exponential Models," Working Paper CRENoS 202007, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    3. Cremer Helmuth & Pestieau Pierre, 2018. "Means-Tested Long-Term Care and Family Transfers," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 351-364, August.
    4. Hafner, Christian M. & Preminger, Arie, 2015. "A note on the Tobit model in the presence of a duration variable," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 47-50.
    5. João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
    6. Caporin, Massimiliano & McAleer, Michael, 2014. "Robust ranking of multivariate GARCH models by problem dimension," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 172-185.
    7. Aielli, Gian Piero & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2014. "Variance clustering improved dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 556-576.
    8. GRIGIS DE STEFANO, Federico, 2014. "Strategic stability of equilibria: the missing paragraph," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014015, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    9. François Maniquet & Massimo Morelli, 2015. "Approval quorums dominate participation quorums," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 45(1), pages 1-27, June.
    10. Paul Belleflamme & Paul Bloch, 2013. "Dynamic Protection of Innovations through Patents and Trade Secrets," CESifo Working Paper Series 4486, CESifo.
    11. R. Khalfaoui & M. Boutahar, 2012. "Portfolio Risk Evaluation: An Approach Based on Dynamic Conditional Correlations Models and Wavelet Multi-Resolution Analysis," Working Papers halshs-00793068, HAL.
    12. Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin, 2019. "Improving forecasts with the co-range dynamic conditional correlation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    13. DASH, Sanjeeb & GÜNLÜK, Oktay & WOLSEY, Laurence A., 2014. "The continuous knapsack set," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014007, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    14. Gian Piero Aielli & Massimiliano Caporin, 2015. "Dynamic Principal Components: a New Class of Multivariate GARCH Models," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0193, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    15. YATSENKO, Yuri & HRITONENKO, Natali & BRECHET, Thierry, 2014. "Modeling of environmental adaptation versus pollution mitigation," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014006, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    16. TELHA, Claudio & VAN VYVE, Matthieu, 2014. "Efficient approximation algorithms for the economic lot-sizing in continuous time," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014016, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    17. MADANI, Mehdi & VAN VYVE, Mathieu, 2013. "A new formulation of the European day-ahead electricity market problem and its algorithmic consequences," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2013074, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    18. Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2022. "Use of high‐frequency data to evaluate the performance of dynamic hedging strategies," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 104-124, January.
    19. Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Ranking Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," CARF F-Series CARF-F-219, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    20. Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Ten Things You Should Know About DCC," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    multivariate volatility modeling; dynamic conditional correlations (DCC); non-scalar DCC models; constrained optimization; Bregman divergences; Bregman-proximal trust-region method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:2014012. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alain GILLIS (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/coreebe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.