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Forecasting for monetary policy

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  • Coroneo, Laura

Abstract

This paper discusses three key themes in forecasting for monetary policy highlighted in the Bernanke (2024) review: the challenges in economic forecasting, the conditional nature of central bank forecasts, and the importance of forecast evaluation. In addition, a formal evaluation of the Bank of England’s inflation forecasts indicates that, despite the large forecast errors in recent years, they were still accurate relative to common benchmarks.

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  • Coroneo, Laura, 2026. "Forecasting for monetary policy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 22-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:42:y:2026:i:1:p:22-33
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.05.003
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