IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v56y2012i11p3587-3598.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Specification tests for the error distribution in GARCH models

Author

Listed:
  • Klar, B.
  • Lindner, F.
  • Meintanis, S.G.

Abstract

Goodness-of-fit and symmetry tests are proposed for the innovation distribution in generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic models. The tests utilize an integrated distance involving the empirical characteristic function (or the empirical Laplace transform) computed from properly standardized observations. A bootstrap version of the tests serves the purpose of studying the small sample behaviour of the proclaimed procedures in comparison with more classical approaches. Finally, all tests are applied to some financial data sets.

Suggested Citation

  • Klar, B. & Lindner, F. & Meintanis, S.G., 2012. "Specification tests for the error distribution in GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3587-3598.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:56:y:2012:i:11:p:3587-3598
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2010.05.029
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947310002409
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.csda.2010.05.029?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005. "A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
    2. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    3. Whitney K. Newey & Douglas G. Steigerwald, 1997. "Asymptotic Bias for Quasi-Maximum-Likelihood Estimators in Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(3), pages 587-600, May.
    4. C. W. J. Granger & Zhuanxin Ding, 1995. "Some Properties of Absolute Return: An Alternative Measure of Risk," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 40, pages 67-91.
    5. Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter M. & Surgailis, Donatas, 2000. "A model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 299, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Meintanis, Simos & Swanepoel, Jan, 2007. "Bootstrap goodness-of-fit tests with estimated parameters based on empirical transforms," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(10), pages 1004-1013, June.
    7. Bougerol, Philippe & Picard, Nico, 1992. "Stationarity of Garch processes and of some nonnegative time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 115-127.
    8. Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria & Drost, Feike C., 1999. "Efficiency comparisons of maximum-likelihood-based estimators in GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 93-111, November.
    9. Paul Doukhan & Patrice Bertail & Philippe Soulier, 2006. "Dependence in Probability and Statistics," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00268232, HAL.
    10. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    11. Huang, Da & Wang, Hansheng & Yao, Qiwei, 2008. "Estimating GARCH models: when to use what?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 5398, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Da Huang & Hansheng Wang & Qiwei Yao, 2008. "Estimating GARCH models: when to use what?," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(1), pages 27-38, March.
    13. Horváth, Lajos & Zitikis, Ričardas, 2006. "Testing Goodness Of Fit Based On Densities Of Garch Innovations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 457-482, June.
    14. repec:adr:anecst:y:1995:i:40:p:04 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Bollerslev, Tim, 1987. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(3), pages 542-547, August.
    16. Engle, Robert F & Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria, 1991. "Semiparametric ARCH Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 9(4), pages 345-359, October.
    17. José Curto & José Pinto & Gonçalo Tavares, 2009. "Modeling stock markets’ volatility using GARCH models with Normal, Student’s t and stable Paretian distributions," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 311-321, March.
    18. Angelidis, Timotheos & Benos, Alexandros & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2004. "The Use of GARCH Models in VaR Estimation," MPRA Paper 96332, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Henze, Norbert & Wagner, Thorsten, 1997. "A New Approach to the BHEP Tests for Multivariate Normality," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 1-23, July.
    20. Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter & Surgailis, Donatas, 2000. "A model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2103, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    21. Henze, N. & Klar, B. & Meintanis, S. G., 2003. "Invariant tests for symmetry about an unspecified point based on the empirical characteristic function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 275-297, November.
    22. Paul Doukhan & Patrice Bertail & Philippe Soulier, 2006. "Dependence in Probability and Statistics," Post-Print hal-00268232, HAL.
    23. Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S., 2003. "Prediction of Financial Downside-Risk with Heavy-Tailed Conditional Distributions," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/04, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    24. T.W. Epps, 2005. "Tests for location-scale families based on the empirical characteristic function," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 99-114, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A. P. Martins & J. R. Sebastião, 2019. "Methods for estimating the upcrossings index: improvements and comparison," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1317-1347, August.
    2. M. Jiménez Gamero, 2014. "On the empirical characteristic function process of the residuals in GARCH models and applications," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 409-432, June.
    3. Halkos, George E. & Tsirivis, Apostolos S., 2019. "Effective energy commodity risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 234-250.
    4. J. Hambuckers & C. Heuchenne, 2017. "A robust statistical approach to select adequate error distributions for financial returns," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 137-161, January.
    5. James S. Allison & Charl Pretorius, 2017. "A Monte Carlo evaluation of the performance of two new tests for symmetry," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 1323-1338, December.
    6. Zhu, Ke, 2015. "Hausman tests for the error distribution in conditionally heteroskedastic models," MPRA Paper 66991, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Halkos, George & Tzirivis, Apostolos, 2018. "Effective energy commodities’ risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," MPRA Paper 90781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Donghang Luo & Ke Zhu & Huan Gong & Dong Li, 2020. "Testing error distribution by kernelized Stein discrepancy in multivariate time series models," Papers 2008.00747, arXiv.org.
    9. Norbert Henze & María Dolores Jiménez-Gamero, 2019. "A new class of tests for multinormality with i.i.d. and garch data based on the empirical moment generating function," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(2), pages 499-521, June.
    10. Ivanović, Blagoje & Milošević, Bojana & Obradović, Marko, 2020. "Comparison of symmetry tests against some skew-symmetric alternatives in i.i.d. and non-i.i.d. setting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Simos Meintanis, 2013. "Comments on: An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 432-436, September.
    12. Julia S. Mehlitz & Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Time‐varying dynamics of expected shortfall in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 895-925, June.
    13. Marc S. Paolella, 2016. "Stable-GARCH Models for Financial Returns: Fast Estimation and Tests for Stability," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-28, May.
    14. Meintanis, Simos G. & Ushakov, Nikolai G., 2016. "Nonparametric probability weighted empirical characteristic function and applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 52-61.
    15. Ghoudi, Kilani & Rémillard, Bruno, 2014. "Comparison of specification tests for GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 291-300.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jianqing Fan & Lei Qi & Dacheng Xiu, 2014. "Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH Models With Heavy-Tailed Likelihoods," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 178-191, April.
    2. M. Jiménez Gamero, 2014. "On the empirical characteristic function process of the residuals in GARCH models and applications," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 409-432, June.
    3. Christian FRANCQ & Jean-Michel ZAKOIAN, 2009. "Properties of the QMLE and the Weighted LSE for LARCH(q) Models," Working Papers 2009-19, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    4. Zhu, Ke & Li, Wai Keung, 2013. "A new Pearson-type QMLE for conditionally heteroskedastic models," MPRA Paper 52344, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Vacca, Gianmarco & Zoia, Maria Grazia & Bagnato, Luca, 2022. "Forecasting in GARCH models with polynomially modified innovations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 117-141.
    6. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2010. "Inconsistency of the MLE and inference based on weighted LS for LARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 151-165, November.
    7. repec:hal:journl:peer-00732536 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2019. "Risk Measurement," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02119256, HAL.
    9. Sung Ik Kim, 2022. "ARMA–GARCH model with fractional generalized hyperbolic innovations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, December.
    10. Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S. & Rachev, Svetlozar T., 2002. "Stationarity of stable power-GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 97-107, January.
    11. Degiannakis, Stavros & Xekalaki, Evdokia, 2004. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) Models: A Review," MPRA Paper 80487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian & LAURENT, Sébastien, 2011. "Volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
      • Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C. & Laurent, S., 2012. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2012028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
      • Bauwens, L. & Hafner C. & Laurent, S., 2011. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011044, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    13. Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
    14. Curto, José Dias & Serrasqueiro, Pedro, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on S&P500 sector indices and FATANG stocks volatility: An expanded APARCH model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    15. Chorro, Christophe & Guégan, Dominique & Ielpo, Florian & Lalaharison, Hanjarivo, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 290-306.
    16. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    17. García-Ferrer, Antonio & González-Prieto, Ester & Peña, Daniel, 2012. "A conditionally heteroskedastic independent factor model with an application to financial stock returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 70-93.
    18. Luger, Richard, 2012. "Finite-sample bootstrap inference in GARCH models with heavy-tailed innovations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3198-3211.
    19. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
    20. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2019. "The accuracy of asymmetric GARCH model estimation," Post-Print hal-01943883, HAL.
    21. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-01943883 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT, 2022. "Testing the weak form efficiency of the French ETF market with the LSTAR-ANLSTGARCH approach using a semiparametric estimation," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 13, pages 228-253, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:56:y:2012:i:11:p:3587-3598. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.