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Asymptotics of asynchronicity

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  • Bibinger, Markus

Abstract

In this article we focus on estimating the quadratic covariation of continuous semimartingales from discrete observations that take place at asynchronous observation times. The Hayashi-Yoshida estimator serves as synchronized realized covolatility for that we give our own distinct illustration based on an iterative synchronization algorithm. We consider high-frequency asymptotics and prove a feasible stable central limit theorem. The characteristics of non-synchronous observation schemes affecting the asymptotic variance are captured by a notion of asymptotic covariations of times. These are precisely illuminated and explicitly deduced for the important case of independent time-homogeneous Poisson sampling.

Suggested Citation

  • Bibinger, Markus, 2011. "Asymptotics of asynchronicity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-033, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2011-033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Markus Bibinger, 2011. "Efficient Covariance Estimation for Asynchronous Noisy High‐Frequency Data," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 38(1), pages 23-45, March.
    2. Hayashi, Takaki & Yoshida, Nakahiro, 2011. "Nonsynchronous covariation process and limit theorems," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(10), pages 2416-2454, October.
    3. Takaki Hayashi & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2008. "Asymptotic normality of a covariance estimator for nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 60(2), pages 367-406, June.
    4. Fukasawa, Masaaki, 2010. "Realized volatility with stochastic sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(6), pages 829-852, June.
    5. Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2010. "Understanding limit theorems for semimartingales: a short survey," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 64(3), pages 329-351, August.
    6. Per A. Mykland & Lan Zhang, 2009. "Inference for Continuous Semimartingales Observed at High Frequency," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(5), pages 1403-1445, September.
    7. Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2010. "Understanding limit theorems for semimartingales: a short survey," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 64(s1), pages 329-351.
    8. Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger & Shephard, Neil, 2011. "Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 149-169, June.
    9. van Zanten, Harry, 2000. "A multivariate central limit theorem for continuous local martingales," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 229-235, November.
    10. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
    11. Feigin, Paul D., 1985. "Stable convergence of semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 125-134, February.
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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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