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Research classified by
Journal of
Economic Literature (JEL) codes Top JEL D: MicroeconomicsD8: Information, Knowledge, and UncertaintyD84: Expectations; Speculations
This topic is covered by the following reading lists: SOEP based publications
Technology Assessment
2009 Why blu-ray vs. HD-DVD ist not VHS vs. Betamax: the co-evolution of standard-setting consortia by Christ, Julian P. & Slowak, André P. [Downloadable!] 2009 Measuring Subjective Expectations in Developing Countries: A Critical Review and New Evidence by Delavande, Adeline & Gine, Xavier & McKenzie, David [Downloadable!] 2009 Attitudes to Ambiguity in One-Shot Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study by Asen Ivanov [Downloadable!] 2009 Portfolio Analysis and Zero-Beta CAPM with Heterogeneous Beliefs by Xue-Zhong He & Lei Shi [Downloadable!] 2009 Sale Price Expectations and Mortgage Commitment: Inaccuracy versus Price Setting Behaviour by Martijn I. Dröes & Wolter H.J. Hassink [Downloadable!] 2009 What is your level of overconfidence? A strictly incentive compatible measurement of absolute and relative overconfidence by Diemo Urbig & Utz Weitzel & Julia Stauf [Downloadable!] 2009 How to Manage Food Price Instability in Developing Countries ? by Galtier, F. [Downloadable!] 2009 Comment gérer l'instabilité des prix alimentaires dans les pays en développement ? by Galtier, F. [Downloadable!] 2009 Trading Volume in Dealer Markets by Katya Malinova & Andreas Park [Downloadable!] 2009 Does Volatility matter? Expectations of price return and variability in an asset pricing experiment by Giulio Bottazzi & Giovanna Devetag & Francesca Pancotto [Downloadable!] 2009 Household Economic Decisions under the Shadow of Terrorism by Dimitrios Christelis & Dimitris Georgarakos [Downloadable!] 2009 Paikkatietojen yhteiskäyttö ja jakeluperiaatteet - Hinnoitteluperiaatteiden analyysi ja kansantaloudellisten vaikutusten simulointi by Outi Hermans & Raine Hermans [Downloadable!] 2009 Disposition in the Carbon Market and Institutional Constraints by Leon Vinokur [Downloadable!] 2009 Expectational stability under non-zero trend inflation by Kobayashi, Teruyoshi & Muto, Ichiro [Downloadable!] 2009 Basic Principles of Hedge Accounting by Bunea-Bontas, Cristina Aurora [Downloadable!] 2009 Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts by Kim , Insu & Kim, Minsoo [Downloadable!] 2009 A remark on the supposed equivalence between complete markets and perfect foresight hypothesis by Fratini, Saverio M. & Levrero, Enrico Sergio [Downloadable!] 2009 Are oil-price-forecasters finally right? -- Regressive expectations towards more fundamental values of the oil price by Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan & Stadtmann, Georg [Downloadable!] 2009 The Effects of Japanese Interventions on FX-Forecast Heterogeneity by Reitz, Stefan & Stadtmann, Georg & Taylor, Mark P. [Downloadable!] 2009 Credit Constraints in the Demand for Education: Evidence from Survey Data by Sorokina, Olga V. [Downloadable!] 2009 Optimal Structure of Monetary Policy Committees by Keiichi Morimoto [Downloadable!] 2009 Why Blu-ray vs. HD-DVD is not VHS vs. Betamax: The Co-evolution of Standard-setting Consortia by Julian P. Christ & André P. Slowak [Downloadable!] 2009 Decentralized Trading with Private Information by Mikhail Golosov & Guido Lorenzoni & Aleh Tsyvinski [Downloadable!] 2009 Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets by Roland Bénabou [Downloadable!] 2009 Satisficing Contracts by Patrick Bolton & Antoine Faure-Grimaud [Downloadable!] 2009 Aggregation of Information and Beliefs: Asset Pricing Lessons from Prediction Markets by Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen [Downloadable!] 2009 On the Accuracy of the Probability Method for Quantifying Beliefs about Inflation by Thomas Maag [Downloadable!] 2009 Mass Psychology in Action: Identification of Social Interaction Effects in the German Stock Market by Thomas Lux [Downloadable!] 2009 On Determinacy and Learnability in a New Keynesian Model with Unemployment by Mewael F. Tesfaselassie & Eric Schaling [Downloadable!] 2009 Information, heterogeneity and market incompleteness by Liam Graham & Stephen Wright [Downloadable!] 2009 On the Independence of Observations between Experiments by Astrid Matthey & Tobias Regner [Downloadable!] 2009 Inconsistent Incomplete Information: A Betting Experiment by Werner Güth & Loreto Llorente Erviti & Anthony Ziegelmeyer [Downloadable!] 2009 Perceptions of Efficacy, Control, and Risk: A Theory of Mixed Control by Erik Monsen & Diemo Urbig [Downloadable!] 2009 Optimistic, but not in Control: Life-Orientation and the Theory of mixed Control by Diemo Urbig & Erik Monsen [Downloadable!] 2009 Better Means More: Property Rights and High-Growth Aspiration Entrepreneurship by Estrin, Saul & Korosteleva, Julia & Mickiewicz, Tomasz [Downloadable!] 2009 Boon or Bane? Others' Unemployment, Well-being and Job Insecurity by Clark, Andrew E. & Knabe, Andreas & Rätzel, Steffen [Downloadable!] 2009 Choosing the Field of Study in Post-Secondary Education: Do Expected Earnings Matter? by Beffy, Magali & Fougère, Denis & Maurel, Arnaud [Downloadable!] 2009 Have You Heard the News? How Real-Life Expectations React to Publicity by van der Wiel, Karen [Downloadable!] 2009 Reference Points and Effort Provision by Abeler, Johannes & Falk, Armin & Goette, Lorenz & Huffman, David [Downloadable!] 2009 Bubble or no Bubble - The Impact of Market Model on the Formation of Price Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets by Michael Kirchler & Jürgen Huber & Thomas Stöckl [Downloadable!] 2009 Rational Overconfidence and Social Security by Carsten Krabbe Nielsen [Downloadable!] 2009 Financial professionals' overconfidence: Is it experience, job, or attitude? by Gloede, Oliver & Menkhoff, Lukas [Downloadable!] 2009 Do You Reward and Punish In The Way You Think Others Expect You To? by Omar Al-Ubaydli & Min Sok Lee [Downloadable!] 2009 Heterogeneous adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena by Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori [Downloadable!] 2009 Did Speculation Affect World Rice Prices? by C. Peter Timmer [Downloadable!] 2009 The impact of stock spams on volatility by Taoufik Bouraoui [Downloadable!] 2009 Modelling oil price expectations: evidence from survey data by Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum [Downloadable!] 2009 The dynamics of U.S. equity risk premia: lessons from professionals'view by Alain Abou & Georges Prat [Downloadable!] 2009 Invisible Barriers in International Labour Migration: The Case of the Netherlands by Dalen, H.P. van & Henkens, K. [Downloadable!] 2009 El Farol Revisited: A Note on Emergence, Game Theory and Society by Martin Shubik [Downloadable!] 2009 Reference Points and Effort Provision by Abeler, Johannes & Falk, Armin & Götte, Lorenz & Huffman, David [Downloadable!] 2009 Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets by Bénabou, Roland [Downloadable!] 2009 Pension Plans and the Retirement Replacement Rates in the Netherlands by M. van Duijn & M. Lindeboom & P. Lundborg & M. Mastrogiacomo [Downloadable!] 2009 Return migration of foreign students andthe choice of non-resident tuition fees by Thomas Lange [Downloadable!] 2009 Don't Raise the Retirement Age! An Experiment on Opposition to Pension Reforms and East-West Differences in Germany by Beatrice Scheubel & Daniel Schunk & Joachim Winter [Downloadable!] 2009 Smoking Today and Stopping Tomorrow: A Limited Foresight Perspective by Philippe Jehiel & Andrew Lilico [Downloadable!] 2009 Reference Points and Effort Provision by Johannes Abeler & Armin Falk & Lorenz Götte & David Huffman [Downloadable!] 2009 Allowance Price Drivers in the First Phase of the EU ETS by Beat Hintermann [Downloadable!] 2009 Reference Points and Effort Provision by Johannes Abeler & Armin Falk & Lorenz Goette & David Huffman [Downloadable!] 2009 The Effect of Active Labor Market Programs on Not-Yet Treated Unemployed Individuals by Gerard J. van den Berg & Annette H. Bergemann & Marco Caliendo [Downloadable!] 2009 Economic Satisfaction and Income Rank in Small Neighbourhoods by Andrew E. Clark & Nicolai Kristensen & Niels Westergård-Nielsen [Downloadable!] 2009 Smart Agents And Sentiment In The Heterogeneous Agent Model by Lukas Vacha & Jozef Barunik & Miloslav Vosvrda [Downloadable!] 2009 Housing Price Bubble Analysis - Case Of The Czech Republic by Jan Čadil [Downloadable!] 2009 An assessment of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s survey of expectations by Ece ORAL & Hülya SAYGILI & Mesut SAYGILI & S. Özge TUNCEL 2009 Business Cycle Dynamics by Sebastian Wende [Downloadable!] 2009 Reverse Charging Purchases to Intra-Transportation Means in the Context of New Tax Regulations by Ecobici Nicolae & Busan Gabriela [Downloadable!] 2009 Price Volatility, Expectations and Monetary Policy in Nigeria by Ajimuda Olumide [Downloadable!] 2009 Private Information of Nonpaternalistic Altruism: Exaggeration and Reciprocation of Generosity by Yuk-Fai Fong [Downloadable!] 2008 Artificial Long Memory Effects in Two Agend-Based Asset Pricing Models by Franke, Reiner [Downloadable!] 2008 On the Interpretation of Price Adjustments and Demand in Asset Pricing Models with Mean-Variance Optimization by Franke, Reiner [Downloadable!] 2008 Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? : identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey by Lux, Thomas [Downloadable!] 2008 Nonlinear oil price dynamics: a tale of heterogeneous speculators? by Reitz, Stefan & Slopek, Ulf Dieter [Downloadable!] 2008 Nonlinear dynamics of a duopoly game with adjusting, heterogeneous players, facing increasing marginal costs by Tomasz Dubiel-Teleszynski [Downloadable!] 2008 Asset return and wealth dynamics with reference dependent preferences and heterogeneous beliefs by Sergiy Gerasymchuk [Downloadable!] 2008 Strategic Play and Risk Aversion in One-Shot Normal-Form Games: An Experimental Study by Asen Ivanov 2008 Heterogeneity, Bounded Rationality and Market Dysfunctionality by Xue-Zhong He & Lei Shi [Downloadable!] 2008 Predicting the Presidential Election Cycle in US Stock Prices: Guinea Pigs versus the Pros by Manfred Gärtner [Downloadable!] 2008 A 'bull and bear' model of interacting financial markets. Part II: dynamics in three dimensions by Fabio Tramontana & Laura Gardini & Roberto Dieci & Frank Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2008 A 'bull and bear' model of interacting financial markets. Part I: dynamics in one and two dimensions by Fabio Tramontana & Laura Gardini & Roberto Dieci & Frank Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2008 Does Volatility matter? Expectations of price return and variability in an asset pricing experiment by Giulio Bottazzi & Giovanna Devetag & Francesca Pancotto [Downloadable!] 2008 How to Determine whether Regional Markets are Integrated? Theory and Evidence from European Electricity Markets by Georg Gebhardt & Felix Höffler [Downloadable!] 2008 Bid-Ask Spreads and Volume:The Role of Trade Timing by Andreas Park [Downloadable!] 2008 Belief Formation: An Experiment With Outside Observers by Kyle Hyndman & Wolf Ehrblatt & Erkut Ozbay & Andrew Schotter [Downloadable!] 2008 Debt and Risk Preference: A Household Level Analysis by Sarah Brown & Gaia Garino & Peter Simmons & Karl Taylor [Downloadable!] 2008 Conformism, Public News and Market Effciency by Gabriel Desgranges & Celine Rochon [Downloadable!] 2008 Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research by George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2008 As if or What? – Expectations and Optimization in a Simple Macroeconomic Environment by Michael W.M. Roos & Wolfgang J. Luhan [Downloadable!] 2008 Are Expectations Formed by the Anchoring-and-adjustment Heuristic? – An Experimental Investigation by Michael W.M. Roos & Wolfgang J. Luhan [Downloadable!] 2008 Eliciting Subjective Expectations in Internet Surveys by Adeline Delavande & Susann Rohwedder [Downloadable!] 2008 Cambio fundamental o especulación financiera en los mercados de commodities? Un modelo con ajuste no lineal al equilibrio by Bastourre, Diego [Downloadable!] 2008 Short-term evolution of forward curves and volatility in illiquid power markets by Vázquez, Miguel & Sánchez-Úbeda, Eugenio F. & Berzosa, Ana & Barquín, Julián [Downloadable!] 2008 A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations by Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani [Downloadable!] 2008 The Role of Partnership Status and Expectations on the Emancipation Behaviour of Spanish Graduates by Mendez, Ildefonso [Downloadable!] 2008 Conditional Preference for Flexibility: Eliciting Beliefs from Behavior by Sadowski, Philipp [Downloadable!] 2008 The Price of Flexibility: Towards a Theory of Thinking Aversion by Ortoleva, Pietro [Downloadable!] 2008 O Subsídio de Desemprego e a Relação Negativa entre Salário e Risco de Falência: Uma Teoria em Equilíbrio Parcial by Pedro Cosme da Costa Vieira [Downloadable!] 2008 Agreeing to disagree in a countable space of equiprobable states by João Correia-da-Silva [Downloadable!] 2008 Aluminium market and the macroeconomy by Melisso Boschi & Luca Pieroni [Downloadable!] 2008 Learning and Macroeconomics by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2008 What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities? by Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko [Downloadable!] 2008 Expectations, Learning and Business Cycle Fluctuations by Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston [Downloadable!] 2008 Private Sunspots and Idiosyncratic Investor Sentiment by George-Marios Angeletos [Downloadable!] 2008 No-arbitrage, overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria in the presence of risk and ambiguity by Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van [Downloadable!] 2008 The rationality of expectations formation and excess volatility by Julio Dávila [Downloadable!] 2008 Seasonal Mackey-Glass-GARCH process and short-term dynamics by Catherine Kyrtsou & Michel Terraza [Downloadable!] 2008 Inflation Expectation Formation of German Consumers: Rational or Adaptive? by Henry Sabrowski [Downloadable!] 2008 Individual Expectations and Aggregate Behavior in Learning to Forecast Experiments by Cars Hommes & Thomas Lux [Downloadable!] 2008 Stochastic Behavioral Asset Pricing Models and the Stylized Facts by Thomas Lux [Downloadable!] 2008 Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey by Thomas Lux [Downloadable!] 2008 Determinants of In-group Bias: Group Affiliation or Guilt-aversion? by Werner Güth & Matteo Ploner & Tobias Regner [Downloadable!] 2008 Yesterday's expectation of tomorrow determines what you do today: The role of reference-dependent utility from expectations by Astrid Matthey [Downloadable!] 2008 The Effect of Active Labor Market Programs on Not-Yet Treated Unemployed Individuals by van den Berg, Gerard J. & Bergemann, Annette & Caliendo, Marco [Downloadable!] 2008 Economic Satisfaction and Income Rank in Small Neighbourhoods by Clark, Andrew E. & Kristensen, Nicolai & Westergård-Nielsen, Niels [Downloadable!] 2008 Psychological and Biological Foundations of Time Preference: Evidence from a Day Reconstruction Study with Biological Tracking by Daly, Michael & Delaney, Liam & Harmon, Colm P. [Downloadable!] 2008 Information and Beliefs in a Repeated Normal-Form Game by Fehr, Dietmar & Kübler, Dorothea & Danz, David N. [Downloadable!] 2008 Preparing for Policy Changes: Social Security Expectations and Pension Scheme Participation by van der Wiel, Karen M. [Downloadable!] 2008 Adaptive Learning and Complex Dynamics by Orlando Gomes [Downloadable!] 2008 Subjective Health Expectations by Juergen Jung [Downloadable!] 2008 Monetary Policy and Learning from the Central Bank's Forecast by Ichiro Muto [Downloadable!] 2008 Information and Beliefs in a Repeated Normal-form Game by Dietmar Fehr & Dorothea Kübler & David Danz [Downloadable!] 2008 Don’t aim too high: the potential costs of high aspirations by Astrid Matthey & Nadja Dwenger [Downloadable!] 2008 Economic Satisfaction and Income Rank in Small Neighbourhoods by Clark, Andrew E. & Kristensen, Nicolai & Westergaard-Nielsen, Niels [Downloadable!] 2008 A Nonlinear Cobweb Model of Agricultural Commodity Price Fluctuations by Sophie Mitra & Jean-Marc Boussard [Downloadable!] 2008 Stabilizing through Poor Information by Gabriel DESGRANGES and Stéphane GAUTHIER [Downloadable!] 2008 Les spams boursiers : Etude empirique sur le marché des penny stocks by Taoufik Bouraoui [Downloadable!] 2008 The dynamics of ex-ante risk premia in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from the yen/usd exchange rate Using survey data by Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum [Downloadable!] 2008 No arbitrage condition and existence of equilibrium in infinite or finite dimension with expected risk averse utilities by Thai Ha Huy & Cuong Le Van & Manh Hung Nguyen [Downloadable!] 2008 Can subjective survival expectations explain retirement behaviour? by Owen O'Donnell & Federica Teppa & Eddy van Doorslaer [Downloadable!] 2008 Boon or Bane?: Others' Unemployment, Well-Being and Job Insecurity by Andrew Clark & Andreas Knabe & Steffen Rätzel [Downloadable!] 2008 Complex Evolutionary Systems in Behavioral Finance by Cars Hommes & Florian Wagener [Downloadable!] 2008 Intertemporal Consumption with Directly Measured Welfare Functions and Subjective Expectations by Kapteyn, A. & Kleinjans, K. & Soest, A.H.O. van [Downloadable!] 2008 Emigration Intentions: Mere Words or True Plans? Explaining International Migration Intentions and Behavior by Dalen, H.P. van & Henkens, K. [Downloadable!] 2008 Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2008 Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Rersearch by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2008 The Role Of Partnership Status And Expectations On The Emancipation Behaviour Of Spanish Graduates by Ildefonso Méndez & Francisco Maeso [Downloadable!] 2008 Predicting House Prices with Spatial Dependence: Impacts of Alternative Submarket Definitions by Steven C. Bourassa & Eva Cantoni & Martin Hoesli [Downloadable!] 2008 Boon or Bane? Others' Unemployment, Well-being and Job Insecurity by Andrew Clark & Andreas Knabe & Steffen Rätzel [Downloadable!] 2008 Overconfidence in a Career-Concerns Setting by Leonidas Enrique De La Rosa [Downloadable!] 2008 Are the Unskilled Really That Unaware? Understanding Seemingly Biased Self-Assessments by Marian Krajc [Downloadable!] 2008 Stock Market Volatility and Learning by Albert Marcet & Klaus Adam & Juan Pablo Nicolini [Downloadable!] 2008 The Organizational Design of Intelligence Failures by Michael McKee [Downloadable!] 2008 News And Expectations In Financial Markets: An Experimental Study by Gordon Menzies & Daniel Zizzo [Downloadable!] 2008 Expectations, Learning And Business Cycle Fluctuations by Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston [Downloadable!] 2008 Do Gender Differences in Preferences for Competition Matter for Occupational Expectations? by Kristin Kleinjans [Downloadable!] 2008 Money Pumps in the Market by Ariel Rubinstein & Ran Spiegler [Downloadable!] 2008 Consumer optimism and price discrimination by Eliaz, Kfir & Spiegler, Ran [Downloadable!] 2008 Mortgages and Financial Expectations: A Household-Level Analysis by Sarah Brown & Gaia Garino & Karl Taylor 2008 Asset Pricing with Adaptive Learning by Eva Carceles-Poveda & Chryssi Giannitsarou [Downloadable!] 2008 Assessing the Rationality of Survey Expectations: The Probability Approach by Jörg Breitung [Downloadable!] 2008 On the Role of Memory in an Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Beliefs by Miroslav Verbic [Downloadable!] 2008 A Microfounded Herding Model and Its Estimation On German Survey Expectations by Reiner Franke [Downloadable!] 2008 İletişim Politikası ve Bekleyişlerin Yönetimi: Önemi ve TCMB Örneği by Zeynep Özge YETKİN 2008 The Role of Inflation Expectations in the New EU Member States: Consumer Survey Based Results by Konstantīns Benkovskis [Downloadable!] 2008 Causes and Consequences of Rising Food Prices by Georg Erber & Martin Petrick & Vanessa von Schlippenbach [Downloadable!] 2008 Ursachen und Konsequenzen der steigenden Nahrungsmittelpreise by Georg Erber & Martin Petrick & Vanessa von Schlippenbach [Downloadable!] 2008 Marktwert gegen Zufall - wer wird Fußball-Europameister? by Jürgen Gerhards & Gert G. Wagner [Downloadable!] 2008 The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations by Joerg Doepke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek [Downloadable!] 2008 Entry into a Network Industry: Consumers' Expectations and Firms' Pricing Policies by Angelo Baglioni [Downloadable!] 2007 Inflation Expectations of Experts and ECB Communication by Ullrich, Katrin [Downloadable!] 2007 The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey by Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin R. [Downloadable!] 2007 Heterogeneous expectations, learning and European inflation dynamics by Weber, Anke [Downloadable!] 2007 Testing rationality of price expectations on the basis of contingency tables by Emilia Tomczyk [Downloadable!] 2007 Market Selection and Payout Policy Under Majority Rule by Beker, Pablo F [Downloadable!] 2007 Retained Earnings Dynamic, Internal Promotions and Walrasian Equilibrium by Beker, Pablo F [Downloadable!] 2007 Asset price dynamics with small world interactions under hetereogeneous beliefs by Valentyn Panchenko & Sergiy Gerasymchuk & Oleg V. Pavlov [Downloadable!] 2007 Belief Formation and Evolution in Public Good Games by Jaromir Kovarik [Downloadable!] 2007 Information processing with recursive utility: some intriguing results by Frode Brevik & Stefano d'Addona [Downloadable!] 2007 Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules by George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2007 Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning by George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra [Downloadable!] 2007 Stability and Cycles in a Cobweb Model with Heterogeneous Expectations by Laurence Lasselle & Serge Svizzero & Clem Tisdell [Downloadable!] 2007 Information, heterogeneity and market incompleteness in the stochastic growth model by Liam Graham & Stephen Wright [Downloadable!] 2007 Information, heterogeneity and market incompleteness in the stochastic growth model by Liam Graham & Stephen Wright [Downloadable!] 2007 Skyscrapers and the Skyline: Manhattan, 1895-2004 by Jason Barr [Downloadable!] 2007 Intertemporal Consumption with Directly Measured Welfare Functions and Subjective Expectations by Arie Kapteyn & Kristin J. Kleinjans & Arthur Van Soest [Downloadable!] 2007 Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared by Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas [Downloadable!] 2007 Thinking categorically about others: A conjectural equilibrium approach by Azrieli, Yaron [Downloadable!] 2007 Common Knowledge and Disparate Priors: When it is O.K. to Agree to Disagree by Hellman, Ziv [Downloadable!] 2007 Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income a ffect consumption by Giamboni, Luigi & Millemaci, Emanuele & Waldmann, Robert [Downloadable!] 2007 Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra [Downloadable!] 2007 Representations and Sunspot Stability by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2007 Estimating Linear Birth Cohort Effects. Revisiting the Age-Happiness Profile by Cristina Santos 2007 Equilibrium Portfolio Strategies in the Presence of Sentiment Risk and Excess Volatility by Bernard Dumas & Alexander Kurshev & Raman Uppal [Downloadable!] 2007 Central Bank Communication and Expectations Stabilization by Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston [Downloadable!] 2007 Overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria for risk measures by Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van [Downloadable!] 2007 Dynamic Effects of Increasing Heterogeneity in Financial Markets by Ahmad Naimzada & Giorgio Ricchiuti [Downloadable!] 2007 Preferences, Intentions, and Expectations: a Large-Scale Experiment with a Representative Subject Pool by Charles Bellemare & Sabine Kroger & Arthur van Soest [Downloadable!] 2007 Inflation Expectations in Latvia: Consumer Survey Based Results by Konstantins Benkovskis & Daina Paula [Downloadable!] 2007 Interim Efficient Allocations under Uncertainty by Atsushi Kajii & Takashi Ui [Downloadable!] 2007 Aggregation of Information and Beliefs in Prediction Markets by Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen [Downloadable!] 2007 Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve and Monetary Policy by Fabien Curto Millet [Downloadable!] 2007 Time to Defect: Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma Experiments with Uncertain Horizon by Lisa Bruttel & Werner Güth & Ulrich Kamecke [Downloadable!] 2007 Don't aim too high: the potential costs of high aspirations by Astrid Matthey & Nadja Dwenger [Downloadable!] 2007 Job Satisfaction and Co-worker Wages: Status or Signal? by Andrew E. Clark & Nicolai Kristensen & Niels Westergård-Nielsen [Downloadable!] 2007 Preferences, Intentions, and Expectations: A Large-Scale Experiment with a Representative Subject Pool by Charles Bellemare & Sabine Kröger & Arthur van Soest [Downloadable!] 2007 Discretionary Latitude and Relational Contracting by Steven Y. Wu & Brian E. Roe [Downloadable!] 2007 Cognitive Dissonance, Pessimism, and Behavioral Spillover Effects by David L. Dickinson & Robert J. Oxoby [Downloadable!] 2007 A Land of Milk and Honey with Streets Paved with Gold: Do Emigrants Have Over-Optimistic Expectations about Incomes Abroad? by David McKenzie & John Gibson & Steven Stillman [Downloadable!] 2007 An Economic Analysis of Exclusion Restrictions for Instrumental Variable Estimation by Gerard J. van den Berg [Downloadable!] 2007 Nature, Nurture And Market Conditions: Ability And Education In The Policy Evaluation Approach by Bernarda Zamora & Eduard Gracia [Downloadable!] 2007 Learning and Time-Varying Macroeconomic Volatility by Fabio Milani [Downloadable!] 2007 Setting the Anchor: Price Competition, Level-n Theory and Communication by Wengström, Erik [Downloadable!] 2007 Aggregate information, common knowledge, and agreeing not to bet by Tsakas, Elias [Downloadable!] 2007 Expectations, learning and monetary policy: an overview of recent research by Evans , George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2007 Robust learning stability with operational monetary policy rules by Evans , George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2007 Relative Wealth Concerns and Entrepreneurship by Manoj Atolia & Kislaya Prasad [Downloadable!] 2007 The Effect of Consumers' Expectations in a Booming Housing Market by Jan Rouwendal & Simonetta Longhi [Downloadable!] 2007 Preferences, Intentions, and Expectations: A Large-Scale Experiment With a Representative Subject Pool by Bellemare, C. & Kroger, S. & Soest, A.H.O. van [Downloadable!] 2007 PrŽfŽrences par rapport au risque et marchŽs ˆ terme : le cas dÕune quantitŽ incertaine by Beno”t SEVI [Downloadable!] 2007 A land of milk and honey with streets paved with gold: Do emigrants have over-optimistic expectations about incomes abroad? by David McKenzie & John Gibson & Steven Stillman [Downloadable!] 2007 Stock Market Volatility and Learning by Adam, Klaus & Marcet, Albert & Nicolini, Juan Pablo [Downloadable!] 2007 Equilibrium Portfolio Strategies in the Presence of Sentiment Risk and Excess Volatility by Dumas, Bernard J & Kurshev, Alexander & Uppal, Raman [Downloadable!] 2007 Asset Pricing with Adaptive Learning by Carceles-Poveda, Eva & Giannitsarou, Chryssi [Downloadable!] 2007 Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik [Downloadable!] 2007 An Economic Analysis of Exclusion Restrictions for Instrumental Variable Estimation by van den Berg, Gerard J [Downloadable!] 2007 An experimental study of trading volume and divergence of expectations in relation to earnings announcement by Thanh Huong Dinh & Jean-François Gajewski [Downloadable!] 2007 The Trader, the Market Maker, his Guru and her Information by Nicolas Melissas [Downloadable!] 2007 Are the Unskilled Really That Unaware? An alternative explanation by Marian Krajc & Andreas Ortmann [Downloadable!] 2007 Equity Premium: Interaction of Belief Heterogeneity and Distribution of Wealth? by Filippo Taddei [Downloadable!] 2007 Understanding Credit Risk: A Classroom Experiment by Maroš Servátka & George Theocharides [Downloadable!] 2007 Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning by Evans, G.W. & Honkapohja ,S. & Mitra, K. [Downloadable!] 2007 The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion by Fritzi Koehler-Geib [Downloadable!] 2007 The Credibility of CIS Exchange Rate Policies-a technical trader's view by Christian Bauer & Bernhard Herz [Downloadable!] 2007 Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility by William Branch & George W. Evans [Downloadable!] 2007 Imperfect Knowledge, Adaptive Learning, and the Bias Against Activist Monetary Policies by Alberto Locarno [Downloadable!] 2007 Manipulation in Money Markets by Christian Ewerhart & Nuno Cassola & Steen Ejerskov & Natacha Valla [Downloadable!] 2007 Heterogeneous Agents Model with the Worst Out Algorithm by Miloslav Vošvrda & Lukáš Vácha [Downloadable!] 2007 Nanotechnologie in der Bevölkerung noch wenig bekannt by Bernhard von Rosenbladt & Jürgen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner [Downloadable!] 2007 Sunspot Rational Beliefs Structures, Equilibria and Excess Volatility by Carsten K. Nielsen [Downloadable!] 2007 Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy by George W. Evans & Seppo M.S. Honkapohja & Ramon Marimon [Downloadable!] 2007 Effekte der verstärkten Bekämpfung des Angebots harter Drogen by Norman Braun & Roger Berger 2006 What Happiness Research Can Tell Us About Self-Control Problems And Utility Misprediction by Alois Stutzer & Bruno S. Frey [Downloadable!] 2006 Do actions speak louder than words? Household expectations of inflation based on micro consumption data by Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz & Kiraz, Fatma Burcu [Downloadable!] 2006 Rationality of expectations: comparison of neoclassical and evolutionary approaches by Emilia Tomczyk [Downloadable!] 2006 Investment in a Monopoly with Bayesian Learning by Christos Koulovatianos & Leonard J. Mirman & Marc Santugini [Downloadable!] 2006 Aggregation of Heterogeneous Beliefs and Asset Pricing Theory: A Mean-Variance Analysis by Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He [Downloadable!] 2006 Expectational Stability in Multivariate Models by Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno [Downloadable!] 2006 Expectational Stability in Multivariate Models by Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno [Downloadable!] 2006 Which Firms Have a Soft Loan ? Managers' Believes in a Cross-Country Survey in Transition Economies by Bignebat, C. & Gouret, F. [Downloadable!] 2006 Modeling the Term Structure of Exchange Rate Expectations by Christian Bauer & Sebastian Horlemann [Downloadable!] 2006 Monetary and Exchange Rate Stability in South East Asia by Christian Bauer & Bernhard Herz [Downloadable!] 2006 Products of convex measures: A Fubini theorem by Christian Bauer [Downloadable!] 2006 Herd Behavior in Efficient Financial Markets by Andreas Park & Hamid Sabourian [Downloadable!] 2006 Financial Expectations, Consumption and Saving: A Microeconomic Analysis by Sarah Brown & Karl Taylor & Robert McNabb [Downloadable!] 2006 Learning From the Expectations of Others by Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong 2006 Optimal Monetary Policy when Agents are Learning by Krisztina Molnar & Sergio Santoro [Downloadable!] 2006 Opinion Formation in Business Surveys: Empirical Evidence from German Micro Data by Klaus Wohlrabe 2006 Asset pricing with adaptive learning by Eva Carceles Poveda & Chryssi Giannitsarou [Downloadable!] 2006 The Evolution of Labor Earnings Risk in the US Economy by Flavio Cunha & James Heckman 2006 Risk Premia, diverse belief and beauty contests by Kurz, Mordecai & Motolese, Maurizio [Downloadable!] 2006 Beauty contests under private information and diverse beliefs: how different? by Kurz, Mordecai [Downloadable!] 2006 Multiplicity and Sunspots in General Financial Equilibrium with Portfolio Constraints by Suleyman Basak & David Cass & Juan Manuel Licari & Anna Pavlova [Downloadable!] 2006 Can Perpetual Learning Explain the Forward Premium Puzzle? by George W. Evans & Avik Chakraborty [Downloadable!] 2006 Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy by Wiliam Branch & John Carlson & George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2006 Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2006 Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2006 Time Preference, Time Discounting, and Smoking Decisions by Ahmed Khwaja & Dan Silverman & Frank Sloan [Downloadable!] 2006 A Theory of Demand Shocks by Guido Lorenzoni [Downloadable!] 2006 E-Stability vis-a-vis Determinacy Results for a Broad Class of Linear Rational Expectations Models by Bennett T. McCallum [Downloadable!] 2006 Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets by Andrew Leigh & Justin Wolfers [Downloadable!] 2006 Ex Interim Voting in Public Good Provision by Sven Fischer & Andreas Nicklisch [Downloadable!] 2006 Perceiving strategic environments: An experimental study of learning under minimal information by Andreas Nicklisch [Downloadable!] 2006 Heterogeneous Fundamentalists and Imitative Processes by Ahmad Naimzada & Giorgio Ricchiuti [Downloadable!] 2006 A Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Risk Premium Estimation for Latvia's Money Market by Viktors Ajevskis & Kristine Vitola [Downloadable!] 2006 Noise, Information, and the Favorite-Longshot Bias by Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen [Downloadable!] 2006 Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets by Andrew Leigh & Justin Wolfers [Downloadable!] 2006 What Happiness Research Can Tell Us About Self-Control Problems and Utility by Alois Stutzer & Bruno S. Frey [Downloadable!] 2006 Subjective Income Expectations and Income Risk by Xavier Ramos & Christian Schluter [Downloadable!] 2006 Consumers Sentiment and Cognitive Macroeconometrics Paradoxes and Explanations by Maurizio Bovi [Downloadable!] 2006 Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence by Jonas Dovern & Joerg Doepke & Ulrich Fritsche & Jirka Slacalek [Downloadable!] 2006 The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations by Jonas Dovern & Joerg Doepke & Ulrich Fritsche & Jirka Slacalek [Downloadable!] 2006 Optimal Monetary Policy When Agents Are Learning by Krisztina Molnár & Sergio Santoro [Downloadable!] 2006 Asset price dynamics when behavioural heterogeneity varies by Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori [Downloadable!] 2006 Wavelet Applications to Heterogeneous Agents Model by Lukáš Vácha & Miloslav Vošvrda [Downloadable!] 2006 Anticipations, prime de risque et structure par terme des taux d'intérêt : une analyse des comportements d'experts by Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum [Downloadable!] 2006 Dutch households' perceptions of economic growth and inflation by Céline Christensen & Peter van Els & Maarten van Rooij [Downloadable!] 2006 Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence by Jörg Döpke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek [Downloadable!] 2006 The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations by Jörg Döpke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek [Downloadable!] 2006 More Hedging Instruments may destablize Markets by William Brock & Cars Hommes & Florian Wagener [Downloadable!] 2006 Interacting Agents in Finance by Cars Hommes [Downloadable!] 2006 Entry into a network industry: consumers’ expectations and firms’ pricing policies by Angelo Baglioni [Downloadable!] 2006 Stock-bond correlation and the bond quality ratio: Removing the discount factor to generate a “deflated” stock index by Andrea Terzi & Giovanni Verga [Downloadable!] 2006 Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? 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Deck 2006 Main characteristics of non-residents’ trading on the foreign exchange and government bond markets by Csaba Csávás & Lóránt Varga [Downloadable!] 2006 A Bayesian DSGE Model with Infinite-Horizon Learning: Do "Mechanical" Sources of Persistence Become Superfluous? by Fabio Milani [Downloadable!] 2006 Financial expectations, consumption and saving: a microeconomic analysis by Sarah Brown & Karl Taylor 2006 Nonlinear Expectation Formation, Endogenous Business Cycles and Stylized Facts by Frank H. Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2006 Risk Management and the Role of Spot Price Predictions in the Australian Retail Electricity Market by Maxwell J. 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Ussher 2005 Financial markets with heterogeneous agents as nonlinear news filters by Cees Diks 2005 Expectation Formation and Endogenous Fluctuations in Aggregate Demand by Maciej K. Dudek [Downloadable!] 2005 Learning in a Misspecified VAR Model by Eran A. Guse 2005 Heterogeneity, Profitability and Autocorrelations by Youwei Li & Xue-Zhong (Tony) He 2005 Price expectations in the laboratory in positive and negative feedback systems by Joep Sonnemans & Peter Heemeijer & Cars Hommes [Downloadable!] 2005 Escape Dynamics : A Continuous Time Approximation by Dmitri Kolyuzhnov & Anna Bogomolova [Downloadable!] 2005 Why Are All New Entrepreneurs Better Than Average? Evidence from Subjective Failure Rate Expectations by Ari Hyytinen & Mika Pajarinen [Downloadable!] 2005 Cultural Biases in Economic Exchange by Luigi Guiso & Paola Sapienza [Downloadable!] 2005 Valuing Limited Information in Decision Making Under Uncertainty by Allan W. Gray & Joshua D. Detre & Brian C. 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Heckman & Salvador Navarro [Downloadable!] 2005 Actions and Beliefs: Estimating Distribution-Based Preferences Using a Large Scale Experiment with Probability Questions on Expectations by Charles Bellemare & Sabine Kroger & Arthur van Soest [Downloadable!] 2005 Repegging of the Lats to the Euro: Implications for the Financial Sector by Viktors Ajevskis & Armands Pogulis [Downloadable!] 2005 Mortgages and Financial Expectations: A Household Level Analysis by Sarah Brown & Gaia Garino & Karl Taylor [Downloadable!] 2005 Non-Linearities, Large Forecasters And Evidential Reasoning Under Rational Expectations by Ali al-Nowaihi & Sanjit Dhami [Downloadable!] 2005 Individual Irrationality and Aggregate Outcomes by Ernst Fehr & Jean-Robert Tyran [Downloadable!] 2005 Actions and Beliefs: Estimating Distribution-Based Preferences Using a Large Scale Experiment with Probability Questions on Expectations by Charles Bellemare & Sabine Kröger & Arthur van Soest [Downloadable!] 2005 A Bayesian DSGE Model with Infinite-Horizon Learning: Do "Mechanical" Sources of Persistence Become Superfluous? by Fabio Milani [Downloadable!] 2005 Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence by Fabio Milani [Downloadable!] 2005 Adaptive Learning and Inflation Persistence by Fabio Milani [Downloadable!] 2005 Estimation of dynamic linear models in short panels with ordinal observation by Stephen Pudney [Downloadable!] 2005 Anomalous Price Behavior Following Earnings Surprises: Does Representativeness Cause Overreaction? by Kaestner, Michael [Downloadable!] 2005 Investors’ Misreaction to Unexpected Earnings: Evidence of Simultaneous Overreaction and Underreaction by Kaestner, Michael [Downloadable!] 2005 Ways of learning in a simple economic setting: a comparison by Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori [Downloadable!] 2005 Heterogeneous Agents Model with the Worst Out Algorithm by Lukáš Vácha & Miloslav Vošvrda [Downloadable!] 2005 Learning in Games with Unstable Equilibria by Ed Hopkins & Josef Hofbauer & Michel Benaim [Downloadable!] 2005 A Dynamic Analysis of Moving Average Rules by Carl Chiarella & Tony He & Cars H. 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Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Ramon Marimon [Downloadable!] 2004 Measuring Strategic Uncertainty in Coordination Games by Frank Heinemann & Rosemarie Nagel & Peter Ockenfels [Downloadable!] 2004 Measuring Strategic Uncertainty in Coordination Games by Frank Heinemann & Rosemarie Nagel & Peter Ockenfels [Downloadable!] 2004 Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Evolutionary World by Eran Guse [Downloadable!] 2004 Strongly rational expectations equilibria with endogenous acquisition of information by Gabriel Desgranges & Maik Heinemann 2004 From Heterogeneous expectations to exchange rate dynamic: by Philippe Protin & Luc Neuberg & Christine Louargant [Downloadable!] 2004 Generalised Fading Memory Learning in a Cobweb Model: some evidence by Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori [Downloadable!] 2004 Asset price and wealth dynamics in a financial market with heterogeneous agents by Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci 2004 On Learning Equilibria by Florian Wagener & Jan Tuinstra [Downloadable!] 2004 An evolutionary approach to the El Farol game by J. Tuinstra & P. Dindo & C.H. Hommes 2004 Escape Dynamics: A Continuous Time Approximation by Dmitri Kolyuzhnov & Anna Bogomolova [Downloadable!] 2004 A behavioral cobweb model with heterogeneous speculators by Cristian Wieland & Frank Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2004 The effectiveness of Keynes-Tobin transaction taxes when heterogeneous agents can trade in different markets: A behavioral finance approach by Frank Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2004 Target Zone Interventions and Coordination of Expectations by Stefan Reitz & Frank Westerhoff [Downloadable!] 2004 Can Intelligence Help Improve Market Performance? by Chia-Hsuan Yeh 2004 Perception Rents in the Market for Advice by Yaw Nyarko & Andrew Schotter 2004 Near-Rational Exuberance by James Bullard & George Evans 2004 Disclosure to a Credulous Audience: The Role of Limited Attention by Hirshleifer, David & Lim, Sonya S. & Teoh, Siew Hong [Downloadable!] 2004 Inferential Expectations by Gordon Menzies & Daniel John Zizzo [Downloadable!] 2004 Monetary Policy and Stable Indeterminacy with Inertia by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2004 Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off by Wiliam Branch & John Carlson & George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2004 Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets by Charles F. Manski [Downloadable!] 2004 Is There a Retirement-Consumption Puzzle? Evidence Using Subjective Retirement Expectations by Steven Haider & Melvin Stephens Jr. [Downloadable!] 2004 Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts by Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong [Downloadable!] 2004 L'influence de la durée d'engagement et du vécu dans les décisions d'assurance : deux études expérimentales by Thomas Papon [Downloadable!] 2004 The effect of precommitment and past-experience on insurance choices : an experimental study by Thomas Papon [Downloadable!] 2004 Evaluating currency crises: the case of the European Monetary System by Kostas Mouratidis & Nicola Spagnolo [Downloadable!] 2004 Business survey forecasts and measurement of output trends in five European economies by Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields [Downloadable!] 2004 Ascesa e declino della nozione di saggio proprio di interesse in Sraffa by Franco DONZELLI [Downloadable!] 2004 Foreign Exchange and Money Markets in the Context of the Exchange Rate Target Zone by Viktors Ajevskis & Armands Pogulis & Gunars Berzins [Downloadable!] 2004 Trade with Heterogeneous Multiple Priors by Atsushi Kajii & Takashi Ui [Downloadable!] 2004 The Timing of Bets and the Favorite-Longshot Bias by Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sørensen [Downloadable!] 2004 Separating Uncertainty from Heterogeneity in Life Cycle Earnings by Cunha, Flavio & Heckman, James & Navarro, Salvador [Downloadable!] 2004 Retained Earnings Dynamic, Internal Promotions And Walrasian Equilibrium by Pablo F. Beker [Downloadable!] 2004 Analysis Of FHA Single-Family Default And Loss Rates by HUD - PD&R [Downloadable!] 2004 Performance of Monetary Policy with Internal Central Bank Forecasting by Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2004 Monetary Policy with Internal Central Bank Forecasting: A Case of Heterogenous Information by Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2004 Are Non-Fundamental Equilibria Learnable in Models of Monetary Policy? by Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2004 Unrealistic Optimism about Exogenous Events: An Experimental Test by Muren, Astri [Downloadable!] 2004 Separating uncertainty from heterogeneity in life cycle earnings by Cunha, Flavio & Heckman, James & Navarro, Salvador [Downloadable!] 2004 Labour market reform and the sustainability of exchange rate pegs by Castrén, Olli & Takalo , Tuomas & Wood , Geoffrey [Downloadable!] 2004 Expectational business cycles by Guse, Eran [Downloadable!] 2004 Modelling an artificial stock market: When cognitive institutions influence market dynamics by Stéphanie LAVIGNE (ESC Toulouse and GRES-LEREPS) [Downloadable!] 2004 Stability and Cycles in a Cobweb Model with Heterogeneous Expectations by Laurence LASSELLE & Serge SVIZZERO & Clem TISDELL [Downloadable!] 2004 Perceiving strategic environments -An experimental study of strategy formation and transfer- by Andreas Nicklisch [Downloadable!] 2004 Speculating against an overconfident market by Jordi Caballe & Jozsef Sakovics [Downloadable!] 2004 Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle? by Eric van Wincoop & Philippe Bacchetta [Downloadable!] 2004 Adaptive Learning and Inflation Dynamics in a Flexible Price Model by Sergio Santoro 2004 Persistence in Monetary Policy Models: Indexation, Habits and Learning with Long-Horizon Expectations by Fabio Milani 2004 The Relation Between Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Expected Performance Of the Economy by Jean Sepulveda-Umanzor [Downloadable!] 2004 Escape Dynamics: A Continuous Time Approximation by Dmitri Kolyuzhnov & Anna Bogomolova [Downloadable!] 2004 Prognoses for a Non-Predictable Discounted Commodity Price Process by Wright, Brian D. & Bobenrieth & Eugenio S. A. 2004 Expectation Formation and Endogenous Fluctuations in Aggregate Demand by Maciej K. Dudek [Downloadable!] 2004 The No Trade Principle in General Environments by Ngai-Ching Wong & Man-Chung Ng [Downloadable!] 2004 Contracting with Risk Aversion and Subjective Beliefs Under Costly State Verification by Carsten Krabbe Nielsen & Mordecai Kurz [Downloadable!] 2004 Escape Dynamics: A Continuous Time Approximation by Dmitri Kolyuzhnov & Anna Bogomolova [Downloadable!] 2004 Overcoming Measurement Error Problems in the use of Survey Data on Expectations by Kalvinder Shields & Kevin Lee 2004 Labour market reform and the sustainability of exchange rate pegs by Olli Castrén & Tuomas Takalo & Geoffrey Wood [Downloadable!] 2004 Sporadic manipulation in money markets with central bank standing facilities by Christian Ewerhart & Nuno Cassola & Steen Ejerskov & Natacha Valla [Downloadable!] 2004 The Information Limit to Honest Managerial Behavior by Besancenot, Damien & Vranceanu, Radu [Downloadable!] 2004 On Expectations, Realizations and Partial Retirement by Mauro Mastrogiacomo [Downloadable!] 2004 Gold, Fiat and Credit. 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Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2004 Measuring Strategic Uncertainty in Coordination Games by Frank Heinemann & Rosemarie Nagel & Peter Ockenfels [Downloadable!] 2004 Loss avoidance as selection principle: evidence from simple stag-hunt games by Ondrej Rydval & Andreas Ortmann [Downloadable!] 2004 The False Consensus Effect: Deconstruction and Reconstruction of an Anomaly by Dirk Engelmann & Martin Strobel [Downloadable!] 2004 In the mirror of the market: the disciplinary effects of company/fund manager meetings by John Roberts & Paul Sanderson & John Hendry & Richard Barker [Downloadable!] 2004 Are speculative attacks triggered by sunspots? A new test by Nikola A. Tarashev [Downloadable!] 2004 Schumpeterian Dynamics and Financial Market Anomalies by Thomas Grebel & Horst Hanusch & Esther Merey [Downloadable!] 2004 Comportamento Diário Do Mercado Brasileiro De Reservas Bancárias - Nível E Volatilidade - Implicações Na Política Monetária by Mardilson Fernandes Queiroz [Downloadable!] 2004 Precios de productos almacenables: implicaciones del modelo de inventarios by Eugenio S.A.Bodenrieth H. [Downloadable!] 2004 Modigliani's Expectations by James E. Hartley [Downloadable!] 2004 Multiple Equilibria in Heterogeneous Expectations Models by William Branch & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2003 Genetic learning as an explanation of stylized facts of foreign exchange markets by Lux, Thomas & Schornstein, Sascha [Downloadable!] 2003 Management Controls, Expectations, Common Knowledge and Culture by Shyam Sunder [Downloadable!] 2003 What If? 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Utku Unver [Downloadable!] 2003 Fading Memory Learning in the Cobweb Model with Risk Averse Heterogeneous Producers by Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Peiyuan Zhu [Downloadable!] 2003 Explaining speculative expansions by Xiao, Wei [Downloadable!] 2003 Subjective Income Expectations, Canonical Models and Income Risk by Xavier Ramos & Christian Schluter [Downloadable!] 2003 Multi-Asset Market Dynamics by Frank Westerhoff 2003 Fading Memory Learning in the Cobweb Model with Risk Averse Heterogeneous Producers by Peiyuan Zhu & Carl Chiarella & Tony He 2003 Instability of Sunspot Equilibria in RBC Models Under Adaptive Learning by Wei Xiao & John Duffy 2003 Mean Reversion, Bubbles and Heterogeneous Beliefs in Stock Prices by S. Manzan & P. Boswijk & C.H. Hommes [Downloadable!] 2003 Learning Dynamics, Nonlinear Misspecification, and Trading by John C. Wallace & Christophre Georges 2003 Tick Size and Market Performance by Chia-Hsuan Yeh 2003 Asset Price Anomalies Under Bounded Rationality by Emilio Barucci & Roberto Monte & Roberto Reno [Downloadable!] 2003 Self-regulation and the Certification of the European Information Economy The Case of e-Healthcare Information Provision by Marcus Alexander & Matthew C. Harding [Downloadable!] 2003 Adaptive Learning with a Unit Root: An Application to the Current Account by Ronald B. Davies & Paul Shea [Downloadable!] 2003 Monetary Policy, Indeterminacy and Learning by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2003 Intrinsic Heterogeneity in Expectation Formation by Bill Branch & George W. Evans [Downloadable!] 2003 Are Hyperinflationary Paths Learnable? by Klaus Adam & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2003 After the Telecommunications Bubble by Patrick Lenain & Sam Paltridge [Downloadable!] 2003 Geometric Return and Portfolio Analysis by Brian McCulloch [Downloadable!] 2003 "Will Social Security Be There For You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits by Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski & Jordan Heinz [Downloadable!] 2003 Job Loss Expectations, Realizations, and Household Consumption Behavior by Melvin Stephens, Jr. [Downloadable!] 2003 Economic Integration and Political Accountability by Sand-Zantman, W. [Downloadable!] 2003 Discrimination and workers' expectations: experimental evidence by Antonio Filippin [Downloadable!] 2003 Discrimination and workers' expectations by Antonio Filippin [Downloadable!] 2003 Interest Rate Term Structure in Latvia in the Monetary Policy Context by Jelena Zubkova [Downloadable!] 2003 Debt and financial expectations: an individual and household level analysis by Sarah Brown & Karl Taylor & Gaia Garino & Stephen Wheatley Price [Downloadable!] 2003 The Role of Information Disparity in the Mexican Peso Crisis 1994/95: Empirical Evidence by Christina E. Bannier & Jochen Michaelis [Downloadable!] 2003 Discrimination and Workers' Expectations: Experimental Evidence by Filippin, Antonio [Downloadable!] 2003 Discrimination and Workers' Expectations by Filippin, Antonio [Downloadable!] 2003 A Nation-Wide Laboratory: Examining Trust and Trustworthiness by Integrating Behavioral Experiments into Representative Surveys by Fehr, Ernst & Fischbacher, Urs & von Rosenbladt, Bernhard & Schupp, Jürgen & Wagner, Gert G. [Downloadable!] 2003 Potential, Value And Probability by Federico Valenciano & Annick Laruelle [Downloadable!] 2003 Adaptive learning and multiple equilibria in a natural rate monetary model with unemployment persistence by Rantala, Anssi [Downloadable!] 2003 Do Futures Benefit Farmers Who Adopt Them? by Sergio H. Lence [Downloadable!] 2003 Discrimination and Workers' Expectations by Filippin, Antonio [Downloadable!] 2003 Heterogeneous Expectations, Dynamics, and Stability of Markets by Lasselle, Laurence & Serge Svizzero & Clem Tisdell [Downloadable!] 2003 Heterogeneity as a Natural Source of Randomness by Cees Diks & Roy van der Weide [Downloadable!] 2003 Coordination of Expectations in Asset Pricing Experiments by Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra & Henk van de Velden [Downloadable!] 2003 Continuous Beliefs Dynamics by Cees Diks & Roy van der Weide [Downloadable!] 2003 Late Informed Betting and the Favourite-Longshot Bias by Ottaviani, Marco & Sorensen, Peter Norman [Downloadable!] 2003 Financial Contracting with Optimistic Entrepreneurs: Theory and Evidence by Landier, Augustin & Thesmar, David [Downloadable!] 2003 Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2003 A Nationwide Laboratory Examining Trust and Trustworthiness by Integrating Behavioural Experiments into Representative Surveys by Fehr, Ernst & Fischbacher, Urs & Schupp, Jürgen & von Rosenbladt, Bernhard & Wagner, Gert Georg [Downloadable!] 2003 Order Flows, Delta Hedging and Exchange Rate Dynamics by Bronka Rzepkowski [Downloadable!] 2003 Escapist Policy Rules by James Bullard, & In-Koo Cho [Downloadable!] 2003 Monetary Policy, Indeterminacy and Learning by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2003 Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky Prices by Klaus Adam [Downloadable!] 2003 Are Stationary Hyperinflation Paths Learnable? by Adam, Klaus & Evans, George W. & Honkapoja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2003 A Nation-Wide Laboratory. Examining Trust and Trustworthiness by Integrating Behavioral Experiments into Representative Survey by Ernst Fehr & Urs Fischbacher & Bernhard von Rosenbladt & Juergen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner [Downloadable!] 2003 Public and private information in monetary policy models by Hyun Song Shin & Jeffery D. Amato [Downloadable!] 2003 Are Distorted Beliefs Too Good to be True? by Miroslav Misina [Downloadable!] 2003 Heterogeneous Agent Model With Memory And Asset Price Behaviour by Miloslav Vošvrda & Lukáš Vácha [Downloadable!] 2003 Does Investment Risk Affect the Housing Decisions of Families? by Tracy M. Turner [Downloadable!] 2003 On Habits and Addictions by Norman Brown & Paolo Vanini 2002 Genetic learning as an explanation of stylized facts of foreign exchange markets by Lux, Thomas & Schornstein, Sascha [Downloadable!] 2002 Knowing What Others Know: Common Knowledge, Accounting, and Capital Markets by Shyam NMI Sunder [Downloadable!] 2002 Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Economy with Sticky Prices by Klaus Adam [Downloadable!] 2002 Circular Variable Work In Process by Luis Vildosola [Downloadable!] 2002 Can Markets Learn to Avoid Bubbles? by Ross M. Miller [Downloadable!] 2002 Fundamentalists Clashing over the Book: A Study of Order-Driven Stock Markets by Marco LiCalzi & Paolo Pellizzari [Downloadable!] 2002 A Proposal for a Selection Criterion in a Class of Dynamic Rational Expectations Models with Multiple Equilibria by Robert A. Driskill [Downloadable!] 2002 Behavioural Finance and the Decision to Invest in High Tech Stocks by Sian Owen [Downloadable!] 2002 Price Dynamics And Diversification Under Heterogeneous Expectations by Chiarella, Carl & Dieci, Roberto & Gardini, Laura 2002 Endogenous Noise from Continuous Choice by Cees Diks & Roy van der Weid 2002 Complex Adaptive Equilibria in a Standard Overlapping Generations Model with Production by Laurent Cellarier 2002 A constraint programming agent for automated trading by E. Aurell & M. Boman & M. Carlsson & J. Eriksson & N. Finne & S. Janson & P. Kreuger & L. Rasmusson 2002 Genetic Learning and the Stylized Facts of Foreign Exchange Markets by Thomas Lux & Sascha Schornstein 2002 All that I have to say will already have crossed your mind by Roger Koppl & Barkley Rosser 2002 Learning and Non-Linear Misspecification by Christophre Georges 2002 Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria near an Indeterminate Steady State by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Policy Interaction, Learning and the Fiscal Theory of Prices by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies by George W. Evans & Bruce McGough [Downloadable!] 2002 Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Expectational Stability of Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Forward-looking Linear Model by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2002 Stable Sunspot Equilibira in a Cash-in-Advance Economy by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Ramon Marimon [Downloadable!] 2002 Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions by Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski & Jordan Heinz [Downloadable!] 2002 Bargaining Outcomes as the Result of Coordinated Expectations: An Experimental Study of Sequential Bargaining by Jeffrey Carpenter [Downloadable!] 2002 Superb Forecasting or Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? The Economist on Thailand before the Asian Crisis by David Hojman & Robert F. K. Wynn 2002 Core Equivalence in Economy under Generalized Information by Matsuhisa, Takashi & Ishikawa, Ryuichiro & Hosino, Yoshiaki [Downloadable!] 2002 No Speculation in Rational Expectations under Generalized Information by Ishikawa, Ryuichiro & Matsuhisa, Takashi & Hoshino, Yoshiaki [Downloadable!] 2002 Adaptive learning and monetary policy design by Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2002 Policy interaction, learning and the fiscal theory of prices by Evans , George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2002 Performance of monetary policy with internal central bank forecasting by Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik [Downloadable!] 2002 Introduction to Sunspots and Lotteries by Prescott, Edward & Shell, Karl [Downloadable!] 2002 A Nation-Wide Laboratory: Examining Trust and Trustworthiness by Integrating Behavioral Experiments into Representative Surveys by Ernst Fehr & Urs Fischbacher & Bernhard von Rosenbladt & Jürgen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner [Downloadable!] 2002 Vanity in Politics: A Problem? by Guido Suurmond & Otto H. Swank & Bauke Visser [Downloadable!] 2002 Policy Interaction, Learning and the Fiscal Theory of Prices by Evans, G W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2002 Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2002 Sovereign Default By Argentina: 'Slow Motion Train Crash' or Self-Fulfilling Crisis? by García-Fronti, Javier & Miller, Marcus & Zhang, Lei [Downloadable!] 2002 Some Evolutionary Foundations for Price Level Rigidity by Saint-Paul, Gilles [Downloadable!] 2002 Some Evolutionary Foundations for Price Level Rigidity by Gilles Saint-Paul [Downloadable!] 2002 Network Embeddedness and the Value of Complex Resources by Anastasios Karamanos 2002 The Impact of Technical Analysis on Asset Price Dynamics by J.-H. Steffi Yang & Satchell, S.E. [Downloadable!] 2002 Bilateral Control with Vertical Contracts by Patrick Rey & Thibaud Verge [Downloadable!] 2002 Currency crises and uncertainty about fundamentals by Alessandro Prati & Massimo Sbracia [Downloadable!] 2002 "Living in sin" and marriage: A matching model by Xinhua Gu & Padma Rao Sahib [Downloadable!] 2002 research articles : Global convergence of adaptive learning in models of pure exchange by Jan Wenzelburger [Downloadable!] 2002 The Vulnerability of Social Security When Fertility is Endogenous by Bas van Groezen & Theo Leers & Lex Meijdam 2001 An Indirect-Evolution Approach to Newcomb's Problem by Albert, Max & Heiner, Ronald Asher [Downloadable!] 2001 Knowing What Others Know: Common Knowledge, Accounting, and Capital Markets by Shyam NMI Sunder [Downloadable!] 2001 Social Recommendations Rather than Social Values by Hakan Aksoy and Erdem Basci 2001 Learning Dynamics in an Artificial Currency Market by Christophre Georges [Downloadable!] 2001 Asset pricing with a continuum of belief types by Cees Diks and Roy van der Weide 2001 Evolutionary dynamics in financial markets with many trader types by W.A. Brock, C.H. Hommes and F.O.O. Wagener 2001 Heterogeneous Beliefs and Instability by Laurence Lasselle & Serge Svizzero & Clem Tisdell [Downloadable!] 2001 Herd Behavior and Cascading in Capital Markets: A Review and Synthesis by Hirshleifer, David & Teoh, Siew Hong [Downloadable!] 2001 Is Trust Self-Fulfilling? An Experimental Study by Michael Bacharach & Gerardo A. Guerra & Daniel John Zizzo [Downloadable!] 2001 "Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique by George W. Evans & Garey Ramey [Downloadable!] 2001 Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2001 A Tale on Information and Wage Expectations by De Paola Maria & Lupi Claudio & Ordine Patrizia [Downloadable!] 2001 On the Limits to Speculation in Centralized versus Decentralized Market Regimes by Felipe Zurita [Downloadable!] 2001 Connecting adaptive behaviour and expectations in models of innovation: The Potential Role of Artificial Neural Networks by Murat Yildizoglu [Downloadable!] 2001 Are Non-Fundamental Equilibria Learnable in Models of Monetary Policy? by Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K. 2001 Three Exchange Rate Regimes and a Monetary Union: Determinacy, Currency Crises, and Welfare by Nielsen, C.K. 2001 Illusion of Expertise in Portfolio Decisions - An Experimental Approach - by Gerlinde Fellner & Werner Güth & Boris Maciejovsky [Downloadable!] 2001 Learning, Quantal Response Equilibrium and Equilibrium in Beliefs by Nyarko, Y. [Downloadable!] 2001 Moral Hazard and the US Stock Market: The Idea of a 'Greenspan Put' by Miller, Marcus & Weller, Paul & Zhang, Lei [Downloadable!] 2001 Robustness of Adaptive Expectations as an Equilibrium Selection Device by Lettau, Martin & Van Zandt, Timothy [Downloadable!] 2001 Are Non-Fundamental Equilibria Learnable in Models of Monetary Policy? by Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik [Downloadable!] 2001 Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies by Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo [Downloadable!] 2001 Promises, Promises… by Carrillo, Juan D & Dewatripont, Mathias [Downloadable!] 2001 Illusion of Expertise in Portfolio Decisions -- An Experimental Approach by Fellner, Gerlinde & Gueth, Werner & Maciejovsky, Boris [Downloadable!] 2001 Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy by Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo & Marimon, Ramon [Downloadable!] 2001 The Funds Concentration Effect and Discriminatory Bailout by Erlenmaier, Ulrich & Gersbach, Hans [Downloadable!] 2001 Expectational Stability of Resonant Frequency Sunspot Equilibria by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2001 Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria Near an Indeterminate Steady State by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2001 Three Exchange Rate Regimes and a Monetary Union: Determinacy, Currency Crises, and Welfare by Carsten K. Nielsen [Downloadable!] 2001 Near-Future Expectations, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles by Toshiya Ishikawa 2001 symposium articles : Money non-neutrality in a Rational Belief Equilibrium with financial assets by Maurizio Motolese [Downloadable!] 2001 research articles : Indeterminacy of intertemporal equilibria under imperfect competition by Leo Kaas [Downloadable!] 2001 Bachelier and his times: A conversation with Bernard Bru by Murad S. Taqqu [Downloadable!] 2000 Seeking information: the role of information providers in the policy decision process by Swank Otto H. [Downloadable!] 2000 Expectations in Export Price Formation Tests using Cointegrated VAR Models by Pål Boug, Ådne Cappelen and Anders R. Swensen [Downloadable!] 2000 Investor´s Distrust and the Marketing of New Financial Assets by Enrique Kawamura 2000 Sequential Parimutuel Games by Feeney, R. & King, S.P. [Downloadable!] 2000 Money and Growth in a Production Economy with Multiple Assets by Kaas, Leo & Weinrich, Gerd [Downloadable!] 2000 And a Vision Appeared unto them of a Great Profit: Evidence of Self-Deception among the Self-Employed by G. Reza Arabsheibani & David de Meza & John Maloney & Bernard Pearson [Downloadable!] 2000 Conceptualizing the Development of Strategic Ideas: A Grounded Theory Analysis by Schwarz, M. & Nandhakumar, J. 2000 Dynamique et marche intertemporel : deroulement reel et anticipations by Courrege, P. & Lacroix, J. & Matarasso, P. 2000 Managerial Risk Attitudes and Firm Performance in Ghanaian Manufacturing: An Empirical Analysis Based on Experimental Data by Pattillo, C. & Soderbom, M. 2000 Japanese GDP Forecasters Are Pressimistic in Boom, Optimistic in Recession, and Always Too Jumpy by Ashiya, M. 2000 Japanese GDP Forecasters Are Pressimistic in Boom, Optimistic in Recession, and Always Too Jumpy by Ashiya, M. 2000 Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies by Honkapohja, S. & Evans, G.W. 2000 Economic Integration and Political Accountability by Zantman, W. 2000 Does Hollywood make too many R-Rated Movies? Risk, Stochastic Dominance, and the Illusion of Expectation by De Vany, A. & Walls, W.D. 2000 The relevance of extrinsic uncertainty by POLEMARCHAKIS, Heracles M. & VENTURA, Luigi 2000 Appropriate Exchange Rate Regime in Developing Countries- The Case of Korea by Choe Shick Chung & Doo Yong Yang [Downloadable!] 2000 Measuring Income Risk by Simon Burgess & Karen Gardiner & Stephen P. Jenkins & Carol Propper [Downloadable!] 2000 Family size, looming demographic changes and the efficiency of social security reform by Groezen, B. van & Leers, T. & Meijdam, L. [Downloadable!] 2000 Expected versus realized income changes : a test of the rational expectations hypothesis by Das, M. & Soest, A. van [Downloadable!] 2000 The Theory of Money by Martin Shubik [Downloadable!] 2000 Measuring Income Risk by Burgess, Simon & Gardiner, Karin & Jenkins, Stephen P & Propper, Carol [Downloadable!] 2000 symposium articles : Dividend timing and behavior in laboratory asset markets by Mark van Boening & Vernon L. Smith & Charissa P. Wellford [Downloadable!] 2000 exposita notes : Convergence for difference equations with vanishing time-dependence, with applications to adaptive learning by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] 2000 La ubicuidad de los hábitos y las reglas by Geoffrey M. Hodgson [Downloadable!] 2000 Central Bank Liquidity Management and the Signal Extraction Problem on the Money Market by Ulrich Bindseil [Downloadable!] 1999 Zum Einfluss des Hedging auf das Kreditvergabeverhalten der Banken by Peter Seethaler 1999 Householders' Inflation Expectations by Andrea Brischetto & Gordon de Brouwer [Downloadable!] 1999 Imitation and Experimentation in a Changing Environment by Francesco Squintani & Juuso Valimaki [Downloadable!] 1999 On the Possibility of Stock Market Crashes in the Absence of Portfolio Insurance by Gadi Barlevy & Pietro Veronesi [Downloadable!] 1999 Valuing the Reload Features of Executive Stock Options by Steven Huddart & Ravi Jagannathan & Jane Saly [Downloadable!] 1999 Forecasting Sales of Slow and Fast Moving Inventories by Snyder, R. [Downloadable!] 1999 What can we learn from retirement expectations data? by Richard Disney & Sarah Tanner [Downloadable!] 1999 Options, Timing, and Regional Entry of Firms by Berglund, Elisabet [Downloadable!] 1999 Approximate Common Knowledge Revisited by Morris, S. 1999 Linear Credibility Predictors for the Pure Premium of an Insurance Contract by Pinquet, J. 1999 Models of Exchange Rate Expectations: Heterogeneous Evidence from Panel Data by Benassy-Quere, A. & Larribeau, S. & MacDonald, R. 1999 The High Volume Return Premium by Gervais, S. & Kaniel, R. & Mingelgrin, D. 1999 The Connection Between Correlated and Sunspot Equilibria Revisited by Davila, J. 1999 The Connection Between Correlated and Sunspot Equilibria Revisited by Davila, J. 1999 Schemas intertemporels de la mondialisation macroeconomique et theorie du controle: simulation, optimisation, anticipations et regulation by Courrege, P. & Gourdel, P. & Loridan, P. & Matarasso, P. 1999 Schemas intertemporels de la mondialisation macroeconomique et theorie du controle: simulation, optimisation, anticipations et regulation by Courrege, P. & Gourdel, P. & Loridan, P. & Matarasso, P. 1999 Forecasting Ability but No Profitability: an Empirical Evaluation of Genetic Algorithm-Optimized Technical Trading Rules by Pereira, R. 1999 Financial Market Development and Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises by Castren, O. & Takalo, T. 1999 Information, Incentives and Organizations; some Intertemporal Aspects by Olsen, T.E. & Torsvik, G. 1999 Information, Incentives and Organizations; some Intertemporal Aspects by Olsen, T.E. & Torsvik, G. 1999 Equilibrium Selection under Different Learning Modes in Supermodular Games by Kaarboe, O.M. & Tieman, A.F. 1999 Determinacy and Stability under Learning of Rational Expectations Equilibria by Gauthier, S. 1999 Determinacy and Stability under Learning of Rational Expectations Equilibria by Gauthier, S. 1999 Anchoring Economic Predictions in Common Knowledge by Guesnerie, R. [Downloadable!] 1999 Anchoring Economic Predictions in Common Knowledge by Guesnerie, R. 1999 Sunspot Equilibria in Systems with Memory: an Introductory Presentation by Davila, J. & Guesnerie, R. 1999 Sunspot Equilibria in Systems with Memory: an Introductory Presentation by Davila, J. & Guesnerie, R. 1999 Anticipations rationnelles by Guesnerie, R. 1999 Anticipations Rationnelles by Guesnerie, R. 1999 Models of Exchange Rate Expectations : Heterogeneous Evidence From Panel Data by Agnes Benassy-Quere & Sophie Larribeau & Ronald MacDonald [Downloadable!] 1999 On Rational Bubbles and Fat Tails by Thomas Lux & Didier Sornette [Downloadable!] 1999 Testing for Non-Linear Structure in an Artificial Financial Market by Shu-Heng Chen & Thomas Lux & Michele Marchesi 1999 Heterogeneous beliefs and learning in forward looking economic models by Emilio Barucci [Downloadable!] 1999 research articles : On the uniqueness of fully informative rational expectations equilibria by Peter DeMarzo & Costis Skiadas [Downloadable!] 1999 Modelos de mercado: una aplicación de la Teoría de Colas by PARRA FRUTOS, I. & ARANDA GALLEGO, J. [Downloadable!] 1998 Pre-Play Communication and Credibility: A Test of Aumann's Conjecture by Gary Charness [Downloadable!] 1998 Rational Expectations in Price Setting. Tests Based on Norwegian Export Prices by Ingvild Svendsen [Downloadable!] 1998 Superior Information, Income Shocks and the Permanent Income Hypothesis by Luigi Pistaferri [Downloadable!] 1998 Forward-looking Behaviour and Credibility: Some Evidence and Implications for Policy by Gordon de Brouwer & Luci Ellis [Downloadable!] 1998 An Approach to Robust Decision Making: The Rationality of Heuristic Behavior by Markus Pasche [Downloadable!] 1998 A Comparison of France and the United States. Rationality of Price and Unemployment Expectations: Tests on French Quality Micro-Data by Gardes, F. & Ghabri, S. & Pichery, M.-C. 1998 From Local Theory of Risk Aversion to an Intertemporal Theory of Risks Under Discrete Choices by Alverez, L.H.R. & Kanniainen, V. 1998 Markets and Sustainability by Heal, G. 1998 Inertie des anticipations de prix et politique economique by Artus, P. 1998 The Truth is in the Eye of the Beholder: or Equilibrium in Beliefs and Rational Learning in Games by Nyarko, Y. [Downloadable!] 1998 Non-Falsified Expectations and General Equilibrium Asset Pricing: The Power of the Peso by Danthine, Jean-Pierre & Donaldson, John B [Downloadable!] 1998 Unawareness and bankruptcy: A general equilibrium model by Salvatore Modica & J.-Marc Tallon & Aldo Rustichini [Downloadable!] 1998 exposita notes : by Yaw Nyarko [Downloadable!] 1998 Options and sunspots in a simple monetary economy by Gaetano Antinolfi & Todd Keister [Downloadable!] 1997 Asymmetric Information in a Competitive Market Game: Reexamining the Implications of Rational Expectations by Matthew O. Jackson & James Peck [Downloadable!] 1997 Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets by Rama CONT & Jean-Philippe BOUCHAUD [Downloadable!] 1997 Social States of Belief and the Determinants of the Equity Risk Premium in A Rational Belief Equilibrium by Mordecai Kurz [Downloadable!] 1997 Floating Exchange Rates Versus a Monetary Union Under Rational Beliefs: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty by Carsten Krabbe Nielsen 1997 Explaining Violations of Bayesian Inference by Markus Pasche 1997 An Outcome-Oriented Theory of Choice and Empirical Paradoxes in Expected Utility Theory by Kaneko, F. 1997 Expectations Formation and Stability of Large Socioeconomic Systems by Grandmont, J-M. 1997 Estimating Preferences under Risk: The Case of Racetrack Bettors by Jullien, B. & Salanie, B. 1997 Expectations Formation and Stability of Large Socioeconomic Systems by Grandmont, J.M. 1997 Strategic and tactical asset allocation and the effect of long-run equilibrium relations by Lucas, Andr‚ [Downloadable!] 1997 How certain are Dutch households about future income? : an empirical analysis by Das, M. & Donkers, B. [Downloadable!] 1997 Valuation of Irreversible Entry Options under Uncertainty and Taxation by Luis H. R. Alvarez & Vesa Kanniainen 1997 Sunspot fluctuations in dynamics with predetermined variables by Julio DÂvila [Downloadable!] 1996 Cognition in Seemingly Riskless Choices and Judgments by Levy-Garboua, L. & Montmarquette, C. 1996 Cognition in Seemingly Riskless Choices and Judgments by Levy-Garboua, L. & Montmarquette, C. [Downloadable!] 1996 Non-Falsified Expectations, General Equilibrium Asset Pricing and the Peso Problem by Jean-Pierre DANTHINE & John B. DONALDSON 1996 Testing the Rationality of Exchange and Interest Rate Expectations: An Empirical Study of Australian Survey Based Expectations by Kim, S.J. 1996 EU Membership for Central Europe : Commitments, Speed and Conditionality by de Crombrugghe, A & Minton-Beddoes, Z & Sachs, J-D 1996 On an Edgeworth Characterization of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Atomless Asset Market Economies by Koutsougeras, L.C. 1996 Informational Smallness In Rational Expectations Equilibria by Heifetz, A. & Minelli, E. 1996 Overconfident Spiculation with Imperfect Competition by Caballe, J. & Sakovics, J. 1996 On some topological properties of stable measures (*) by Carsten Krabbe Nielsen 1996 Ergodic properties of conditional forecast functions of stable systems (☆) by Chin-Shan Chuang 1996 Coordination and correlation in Markov rational belief equilibria (*) by Mordecai Kurz & Martin Schneider 1996 Endogenous uncertainty in a general equilibrium model with price contingent contracts (*) by Ho-Mou Wu & Mordecai Kurz 1996 Construction of a state space for interrelated securities with an application to temporary equilibrium theory (*) by Philippe Henrotte 1996 Rational belief structures and rational belief equilibria (*) by Carsten Krabbe Nielsen 1996 Scenario Simulation: Theory and methodology (*) by Farshid Jamshidian & Yu Zhu [Downloadable!] 1995 Forward- and Backward Looking Models for Norwegian Export Prices by Ingvild Svendsen 1995 Dynamic Modelling of Domestic Prices with Time-varying Elasticities and Rational Expectations by Ingvild Svendsen 1995 The Relevance of Extrinsic Uncertainty by Polemarchakis, H & Ventura, L 1995 Canadian Excess Returns and State-Dependent Risk Aversion by St-Amour, P. 1995 Can Bounded Expectations of Output Be Estimated by the Kalman Filter? by Thomas, D.G. 1995 Devaluations and Depreciation Expectations in the E.M.S by Ayuso, J. & Jurado, M.P. 1995 Devaluations and Depreciation Expectations in the E.M.S by Juan Ayuso & María Pérez Jurado 1994 Do Norwegian Firms Form Exptrapolative Expectations? by Ingvild Svendsen 1994 A "hipótese das expectativas racionais": teoria e realidade (uma visita guiada à literatura até 1992) by Silva Lopes, Artur [Downloadable!] 1994 On the Stability of Intertemporal Equilibria with Rational Expectations by Thorsten Hens [Downloadable!] 1994 Economic and Psychological Theories of Forecast Bias and Learning: Evidence from U.S. Business Managers' Forecasts by Michael A. Anderson & Arthur H. Goldsmith [Downloadable!] 1993 Stock Price Fluctuation as a Diffusion in a Random Environment by Föllmer, Hans 1992 The Advantage to Hiding One's Hand: Speculation and Central Bank Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market by Bhattacharya, Utpal & Weller, Paul [Downloadable!] 1990 The Pricing Mechanism of Primary Commodities since the 1970s by Kuchiki, Akifumi [Downloadable!] 1990 Formation of Expectations and Learning in the Market by Kuchiki, Akifumi & Ogawa, Kazuo [Downloadable!] 1989 The Impossibility of "Involuntary Unemployment" in an Overlapping Generations Model with Rational Expectations by Christian Schultz Economic Consequences of Mispredicting Utility by Bruno S. Frey & Alois Stutzer [Downloadable!] Are stock markets really like beauty contests? Empirical evidence of higher order belief's impact on asset prices by Pierre Monnin [Downloadable!] The ?-Beauty Contest: Choosing Numbers, Thinking Intervals by Enrico De Giorgi & Stefan Reimann [Downloadable!] A Nation-Wide Laboratory: Examining trust and trustworthiness by integrating behavioral experiments into representative surveys by Ernst Fehr & Urs Fischbacher & Bernhard von Rosenbladt & Jürgen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner [Downloadable!] Endogenous Uncertainty and Market Volatility by Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese [Downloadable!] Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility by Mordecai Kurz [Downloadable!] Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!] Le persone comuni fanno previsioni economiche seguendo logiche econometriche o meccanismi psicologici? by Maurizio Bovi [Downloadable!] Endogenous Uncertainty and Market Volatility by Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese [Downloadable!] Assigning Intentions when Actions are Unobservable: the Impact of Trembling in the Trust Game by James C. Cox & Cary A. Deck [Downloadable!] Interest Rate Rules and Macroeconomic Stability under Heterogeneous Expectations by Mikhail Anufriev & Tiziana Assenza & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro [Downloadable!] Manipulation in Money Markets by Christian Ewerhart & Nuno Cassola & Steen EJjerksov & Natacha Valla [Downloadable!] Scaling and Criticality in a Stochastic Multi-Agent Model of a Financial Market by Lux, T. & M. Marchesi Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets: A Micro-Simulation of Interacting Agents by Lux, T. & M. Marchesi Ataques Especulativos: Un Enfoque de Incertidumbre e Información by Leonidas E. de la Rosa [Downloadable!] Stability of Functional Rational Expectations Equilibria by David L. Kelly & Jamsheed Shorish [Downloadable!]
This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.
IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics . 
