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The effectiveness of Keynes-Tobin transaction taxes when heterogeneous agents can trade in different markets: A behavioral finance approach

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Frank Westerhoff

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Abstract

We develop a model in which boundedly rational agents apply technical and fundamental analysis to identify trading signals in two different speculative markets. Whether an agent trades and, if so, in which market with which strategy depends on profit considerations. As it turns out, an ongoing evolutionary competition between the trading strategies causes complex price dynamics which closely resembles the behavior of actual speculative prices. Moreover, we find that if the agents have to pay a transaction tax in one market, price variability decreases in this market but increases in the other market. However, the imposition of a uniform tax on all transactions stabilizes both markets. Our results suggest that if regulators of a market introduce a transaction tax, other markets are likely to follow

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 with number 14.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf4:14

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Keywords: speculative markets transaction tax heterogeneous agents technical and fundamental analysis

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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  1. Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H., 1998. "Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(8-9), pages 1235-1274, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Eichengreen, Barry & Tobin, James & Wyplosz, Charles, 1995. "Two Cases for Sand in the Wheels of International Finance," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(428), pages 162-72, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Lux, T. and M. Marchesi, . "Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets: A Micro-Simulation of Interacting Agents," Discussion Paper Serie B 437, University of Bonn, Germany, revised Jul 1998.
  7. Frank Westerhoff, 2003. "Heterogeneous traders and the Tobin tax," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 53-70, 02. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Carl Chiarella, 1992. "The Dynamics of Speculative Behaviour," Working Paper Series 13, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  9. Cars H. Hommes, 2001. "Financial Markets as Nonlinear Adaptive Evolutionary Systems," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-014/1, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. repec:cup:macdyn:v:4:y:2000:i:2:p:170-96 is not listed on IDEAS
  11. Kirman, Alan, 1993. "Ants, Rationality, and Recruitment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(1), pages 137-56, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Lux, Thomas, 2001. "The Limiting Extremal Behavior of Speculative Returns: An Analysis of Intra-daily Data from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 299-315, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Frank Westerhoff, 2003. "Multi-Asset Market Dynamics," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 88, Society for Computational Economics.
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  15. Rama Cont & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 1997. "Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500028, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management. [Downloadable!]
  16. Gaunersdorfer, Andrea, 2000. "Endogenous fluctuations in a simple asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 799-831, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. James Tobin, 1978. "A Proposal for International Monetary Reform," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 506, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  21. Westerhoff, Frank, 2003. "Speculative markets and the effectiveness of price limits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 493-508, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Sonnemans, Joep & Hommes, Cars & Tuinstra, Jan & van de Velden, Henk, 2004. "The instability of a heterogeneous cobweb economy: a strategy experiment on expectation formation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 453-481, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  23. Farmer, J. Doyne & Joshi, Shareen, 2002. "The price dynamics of common trading strategies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 149-171, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Michael Hanke & Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler & Matthias Sutter, 2007. "The economic consequences of a Tobin tax - An experimental analysis," Working Papers 2007-18, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck. [Downloadable!]
  2. Li, Youwei & Donkers, Bas & Melenberg, Bertrand, 2006. "The econometric analysis of microscopic simulation models," Discussion Paper 99, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Frank H. Westerhoff, 2007. "On central bank interventions and transaction taxes," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 11-14, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Paolo Pelizzari & Frank Westerhoff, 2007. "Some Effects of Transaction Taxes Under Different Microstructures," Research Paper Series 212, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
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