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Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy

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  • Gondhi, Naveen

Abstract

I study the effect of firm managers’ information-processing constraints on production decisions, resource misallocation, and the aggregate economy. Managers have a finite information-processing capacity to reduce uncertainty about firm-specific and economy-wide shocks. The model implies that an increase in aggregate uncertainty leads to reallocation of capacity from learning about firm-specific shocks to learning about aggregate state, leading to higher misallocation of resources and lower output. In contrast, an increase in idiosyncratic uncertainty (through an opposite mechanism) has a non-monotonic effect on aggregate productivity. The model produces new implications regarding the co-movement of inputs and Labor-TFP sensitivity which I confirm empirically.

Suggested Citation

  • Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:136:y:2023:i:c:p:50-75
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.01.010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rational inattention; Learning; Misallocation; Aggregate uncertainty; Idiosyncratic uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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