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Heterogeneity, Profitability and Autocorrelations

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  • Youwei Li
  • Xue-Zhong (Tony) He

Abstract

This paper contributes to the development of recent literature on the explanation power and calibration issue of heterogeneous asset pricing models by presenting a simple stochastic market fraction asset pricing model of two types of traders (fundamentalists and trend followers) under a market maker scenario. Statistical analysis based on Monte Carlo simulations shows that the long-run behaviour and convergence of the market prices, long (short)-run profitability of the fundamental (trend following) trading strategy, survivability of chartists, and various under and over-reaction autocorrelation patterns of returns can be characterized by the stability and bifurcations of the underlying deterministic system. Our analysis underpins mechanism on various market behaviour (such as under/over-reactions), market dominance and stylized facts in high frequency financial markets

Suggested Citation

  • Youwei Li & Xue-Zhong (Tony) He, 2005. "Heterogeneity, Profitability and Autocorrelations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 244, Society for Computational Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf5:244
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dieci, Roberto & Foroni, Ilaria & Gardini, Laura & He, Xue-Zhong, 2006. "Market mood, adaptive beliefs and asset price dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 520-534.
    2. Li, Y. & Donkers, A.C.D. & Melenberg, B., 2006. "The Non- and Semiparametric Analysis of MS Models : Some Applications," Discussion Paper 2006-95, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    3. Pawe{l} Fiedor, 2013. "Frequency Effects on Predictability of Stock Returns," Papers 1310.5540, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
    4. Ron Bird & Lorenzo Casavecchia & Paolo Pellizzari & Paul Woolley, 2011. "The impact on the pricing process of costly active management and performance chasing clients," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 6(1), pages 61-82, May.
    5. Youwei Li & Xue-Zhong He, 2005. "Long Memory, Heterogeneity, and Trend Chasing," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 113, Society for Computational Economics.
    6. He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Youwei, 2007. "Power-law behaviour, heterogeneity, and trend chasing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3396-3426, October.
    7. Chiarella, Carl & Iori, Giulia, 2009. "The impact of heterogeneous trading rules on the limit order book and order flows," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-537.
    8. Ke, Xiaoling & Shi, Ke, 2009. "Stability and bifurcation in a simple heterogeneous asset pricing model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 680-688, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; heterogeneous beliefs; market fraction; profitability; bifurcation; autocorrelations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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