Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Economic Synopses
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Postal: P.O. Box 442, St. Louis, MO 63166
Fax: (314)444-8753
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Series handle: repec:fip:fedles
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2013
- The great Chinese housing boom
by Brett W. Fawley & Yi Wen - Winners and losers in the Great Recession
by Fernando M. Martin - The macroeconomy of the U.S. states: on the road to recovery?
by Carlos Garriga - Lessons from the recent recession: the faster they grow, the harder they fall
by Fernando M. Martin - Life cycle patterns and boom-bust dynamics in U.S. housing prices
by Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Juan M. Sánchez - Would it help to eliminate interest on reserves?
by Christopher J. Neely - Political pressure on the bank of Japan: interference or accountability?
by Christopher J. Neely - Measuring the contribution of construction to the slow recovery
by Carlos Garriga - Is the Fed monetizing government debt?
by David Andolfatto & Li Li - Why is output growth so slow?
by Daniel L. Thornton - From "man-cession" to "he-covery": same old, same old
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - Rent or buy?
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - Is the FOMC’s unemployment rate threshold a good idea?
by Daniel L. Thornton
2012
- Can repatriation taxes explain the recent increase in cash holdings?
by Juan M. Sánchez & Emircan Yurdagal - The fiscal cliff in context
by Fernando M. Martin - Quantitative easing the Swedish way
by Richard G. Anderson - Bouncing back from the great recession: the United States versus Europe
by Thomas F. Cooley & B. Ravikumar & Peter Rupert - How can QE3 affect the housing market?
by Carlos Garriga - Monetary policy and the expected adjustment path of key variables
by James Bullard - Prime and subprime hybrid mortgages
by Rajdeep Sengupta & Yang Liu - Unemployment insurance fraud
by David L. Fuller & B. Ravikumar & Yuzhe Zhang - A proposal for improving forward guidance
by Leo Krippner & Daniel L. Thornton - Verbal guidance and the efficacy of forward guidance
by Daniel L. Thornton - How positive are recent employment and labor market trends?
by Richard G. Anderson - Can trade links transmit a European crisis?
by Jan Auerbach & Adrian Peralta-Alva - The efficacy of the FOMC’s zero interest rate policy
by Daniel L. Thornton - Driving to recession and recovery
by Richard G. Anderson - Commodity futures index trading and spot oil prices
by William T. Gavin - Coming to America: covered bonds?
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - The effects of wealth bubbles on consumption
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades
by Daniel L. Thornton - Reducing the U.S. deficit by recycling capital inflows
by Yi Wen - Firm size and employment dynamics in recessions and recoveries
by Yu-Chien Kong & Juan M. Sánchez - Okun’s law: a meaningful guide for monetary policy?
by Yi Wen & Mingyu Chen - Foreign direct investment in the United States during the financial crisis
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - The relationships among changes in GDP, employment, and unemployment: this time, it’s different
by Juan M. Sánchez & Constanza S. Liborio - Get by with a little help from my…other exports
by Silvio Contessi & Li Li - What is potential GDP and why does it matter?
by William T. Gavin - Home equity and household income
by Bryan J. Noeth & Rajdeep Sengupta - The FOMC: transparency achieved?
by Richard G. Anderson - Speculation in the oil market
by Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella - How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?
by Kevin L. Kliesen & David C. Wheelock - The mysterious Greek yield curve
by Christopher J. Neely - Identifying structural and cyclical shocks across U.S. regions
by David Andolfatto & Constanza S. Liborio - Quantitative easing and money growth: potential for higher inflation?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Following the Fed with a news tracker
by Michael W. McCracken - Employment dynamics during economic recoveries
by Juan M. Sánchez & Constanza S. Liborio - Fiscal policy in the Great Recession and lessons from the past
by Fernando M. Martin
2011
- Initial claims and employment growth: are we at the threshold?
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael W. McCracken & Linpeng Zheng - Jobless recoveries or jobless growth?
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - Real estate bubbles and weak recoveries
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - Inflation objective and policy credibility: a potential problem for the FOMC
by Daniel L. Thornton - Why is employment growth so low?
by Juan M. Sánchez & Daniel L. Thornton - Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang - Construction and the Great Recession
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - Liquidity crises in the small and large
by Richard G. Anderson & Barry Jones - State balanced-budget and debt rules
by Thomas A. Garrett - Households during the Great Recession: the financial accelerator in action?
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - Immigration at the extremes of the skill distribution
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Christopher J. Martinek - Searching for the financial accelerator: how credit affects the business cycle
by Adrian Peralta-Alva - The FOMC’s interest rate policy: how long is the long run?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Should food be excluded from core CPI?
by Michael W. McCracken - Capital controls by any other name
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - Changes in the mortgage market since the crisis
by Rajdeep Sengupta & Bryan J. Noeth - The gender wage gap
by Natalia Kolesnikova & Yang Liu - Tax rates and revenue since the 1970s
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Daniel L. Thornton - The great foreign exchange intervention of 2011
by Christopher J. Neely - Some closure on foreclosures?
by Rajdeep Sengupta & Bryan J. Noeth - The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending?
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Daniel L. Thornton - The federal debt: too little revenue or too much spending
by Daniel L. Thornton & Kevin L. Kliesen - Oil price shocks and inflation risk
by Mingyu Chen & Yi Wen - Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices?
by Daniel L. Thornton - RMB appreciation and U.S. inflation risk
by Mingyu Chen & Yi Wen - Core versus headline inflation again
by Daniel L. Thornton - Income mobility
by Thomas A. Garrett - Food prices and inflation in emerging markets
by Luciana Juvenal & Brett W. Fawley - CPI inflation: running on motor fuel
by William T. Gavin - Core versus headline inflation: an opportunity for greater transparency
by Daniel L. Thornton - The effects of education on health
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Christopher J. Martinek - Monetary policy's effects on unemployment
by Yi Wen - U.S. trade springs back
by Silvio Contessi & Hoda El-Ghazaly - Fiscal policy and expected inflation
by Christopher J. Neely - Monetary policy at the zero bound
by Daniel L. Thornton - Housing's role in a recovery
by Michael W. McCracken - The difference between currency manipulation and monetary policy
by Christopher J. Neely - Are bank reserves and bank lending connected?
by Silvio Contessi - Location and the return to education
by Natalia Kolesnikova - Monetary policy, bubbles, and goldilocks
by Richard G. Anderson - What does the change in the FOMC's statement of objectives mean?
by Daniel L. Thornton
2010
- When do recessions begin and end?
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang - Unemployment and the role of monetary policy
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - Monetary policy and longer-term rates: an opportunity for greater transparency
by Daniel L. Thornton - Mortality rates and the business cycle
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Christopher J. Martinek - The downside of quantitative easing
by Daniel L. Thornton - Is the Fed’s definition of price stability evolving?
by Kevin L. Kliesen - Japan reenters the foreign exchange market
by Brett Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - Is more QE in sight?
by Richard G. Anderson - U.S. historical experience with deflation
by Christopher J. Neely - Would QE2 have a significant effect on economic growth, employment, or inflation?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Can the FOMC increase the funds rate without reducing reserves?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Deflation and the Fisher equation
by William T. Gavin - The effects of large-scale asset purchases on TIPS inflation expectations
by Massimo Guidolin & Christopher J. Neely - Which comes first: inflation or the FOMC's funds rate target?
by Daniel L. Thornton - The monetary base and bank lending: you can lead a horse to water..
by David C. Wheelock - The European debt crisis and U.S. economic growth
by Chanont Banternghansa & Adrian Peralta-Alva - Sovereign debt shadows
by Silvio Contessi - Business cycle measures
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang - Using stock market liquidity to forecast recessions
by Michael W. McCracken - Why aren't the Chinese buying more American goods?
by Yi Wen - A jump in consumer loans?
by Hoda El-Ghazaly & Yadav Gopalan - The first U.S. quantitative easing: the 1930s
by Richard G. Anderson - Recent changes in labor force participation: trend or cycle?
by Riccardo DiCecio & Charles S. Gascon - Why do people dislike inflation?
by Yi Wen - Monetizing the debt
by Daniel L. Thornton - City growth and industry employment reallocation
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo & Christopher J. Martinek - Economic growth and the global savings glut
by Yi Wen - Monetary policy and asset prices
by Brett W. Fawley & Luciana Juvenal - "How central should the central bank be?" a comment
by Christopher J. Neely - Not your father's oil shock
by Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang - When will business lending pick up?
by David C. Wheelock - Why income per worker differs worldwide
by Riccardo DiCecio - Money supply, credit expansion, and housing price inflation
by Yi Wen - Using FOMC forecasts to forecast the economy
by Michael W. McCracken - Okun's law: output and unemployment
by Christopher J. Neely - Are low interest rates good for consumers?
by William T. Gavin - Measuring financial market stress
by Kevin L. Kliesen & Douglas C. Smith - The evolving size distribution of banks
by Silvio Contessi
2009
- Has the recent real estate bubble biased the output gap?
by Chanont Banternghansa & Adrian Peralta-Alva - Personal saving and economic growth
by Daniel L. Thornton - The case for "inflation first" monetary policy
by Daniel L. Thornton - Vacancies and unemployment
by Riccardo DiCecio & Charles S. Gascon - International trade integration and business cycle synchronization
by Luciana Juvenal - Home prices: a case for cautious optimism
by Rajdeep Sengupta & Yu Man Tam - Monetary policy stance: the view from consumption spending
by William T. Gavin - The financial services sector: boom and recession
by Richard G. Anderson - Is the financial crisis over? a yield spread perspective
by Massimo Guidolin & Yu Man Tam - How not to reduce excess reserves
by David C. Wheelock - Would quantitative easing sooner have tempered the financial crisis and economic recession?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Commercial bank lending data during the crisis: handle with care
by Silvio Contessi & Hoda El-Ghazaly - World trade: pirated by the downturn
by Cletus C. Coughlin - Examining the housing crisis by home price tier
by Michelle T. Armesto & Carlos Garriga - U.S. migration over the life cycle
by Rubén Hernández-Murillo - Negating the inflation potential of the Fed's lending programs
by Daniel L. Thornton - What caused long-term rates to rise?
by Daniel L. Thornton - Asset prices and their effect on the U.S. trade balance
by Luciana Juvenal - Uncertainty about when the Fed will raise interest rates
by Michael W. McCracken - Dating the end of the recession: evaluating the economic indicators
by Kevin L. Kliesen - The U.S. financial sector's value added: trends now and then
by Chanont Banternghansa & Adrian Peralta-Alva - Taming the long-term spreads
by Massimo Guidolin & Yu Man Tam - The effect of the Fed’s purchase of long-term treasuries on the yield curve
by Daniel L. Thornton - What the Libor-OIS spread says
by Daniel L. Thornton - Lending standards in mortgage markets
by Carlos Garriga - The global recession
by Craig P. Aubuchon & David C. Wheelock - Can monetary policy affect GDP growth?
by Yi Wen - What's under the TARP?
by Craig P. Aubuchon - Recession or depression? part II
by Kevin L. Kliesen - The root of the problems of the British banks is the same as that of American banks: shaky mortgage-backed securities
by Richard G. Anderson & Andrew W. Mullineux - The CPFF is regarded as a hallmark of success among credit-easing policies
by Richard G. Anderson - Economic misfortunes have caused many to reassess their finances, triggering sharp reversals in borrowing and spending habits
by Riccardo DiCecio & Charles S. Gascon - Recession or depression?
by Kevin L. Kliesen - Bankers acceptances and unconventional monetary policy: FAQs
by Richard G. Anderson - Bankers' acceptances: yesterday's instrument to restart today's credit markets?
by Richard G. Anderson - Federal Reserve assets: understanding the pieces of the pie
by Charles S. Gascon - Resolving a banking crisis, the Nordic way
by Richard G. Anderson - The Fed's response to the credit crunch
by Craig P. Aubuchon - The current recession: how bad is it?
by Charles S. Gascon - A perspective on the current recession: it's not the "worst case" yet
by Daniel L. Thornton
2008
- Paying interest on deposits at Federal Reserve banks
by Richard G. Anderson - Walter Bagehot, the discount window, and TAF
by Daniel L. Thornton