We instillate rational cognition and learning in "seemingly riskless" choices and judgments. Preferences and possibilities are given in a stochastic sense and based on revisable expectations. The theory predicts experimental preference reversals and passes a sharp econometric test of the status quo bias drawn from a field study.
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Length: 19 pages Date of creation: 1995 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:fth:parima:1995-04
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Statistical Decision Theory; Operations Research C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General C93 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Field Experiments D00 - Microeconomics - - General - - - General
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