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Pató Pál úr modellezése. Irracionalitás az intertemporális döntéshozatalban
[Pál Pató-style modelling. Irrationality in inter-temporal decision-making]

Author

Listed:
  • Habis, Helga
  • Perge, Laura

Abstract

Sokan hajlamosak vagyunk a halogatásra. A homo oeconomicus viszont racionális. Ebben a cikkben azt tanulmányozzuk, hogyan modellezhető az a - klasszikus közgazdasági értelmezés szerint irracionális - magatartás, amely a vizsgált egyének nem standard időpreferenciáival jellemezhető. Szemléltetjük, hogy milyen módszerekkel lehet modellezni azt az önérdekkövető, haszonmaximalizáló döntéshozót, aki néha - bizonyos idő elteltével - meggondol(hat)ja magát, azaz intertemporálisan inkonzisztens döntéseket hoz. Bemutatjuk a naiv döntéshozót, aki minden időszakban újraoptimalizál, ami halogatáshoz vezethet, valamint a szofisztikált döntéshozót, aki tudatában van a halogatás lehetőségének, ezért, ha lehet, igyekszik azt megelőzni, például úgy, hogy jóval a határidő előtt végzi el a feladatát. Megmutatjuk, hogy mindkét viselkedési forma ugyanolyan hiperbolikus diszkontálási formula beépítésének a segítségével modellezhető, de míg a naiv fogyasztó előre tekint, a szofisztikált már egyfajta visszagöngyölítést is alkalmaz. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: D11, D84, D91.

Suggested Citation

  • Habis, Helga & Perge, Laura, 2018. "Pató Pál úr modellezése. Irracionalitás az intertemporális döntéshozatalban [Pál Pató-style modelling. Irrationality in inter-temporal decision-making]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 619-631.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1776
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2018.6.619
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Balogh, Gábor & Sipos, Norbert, 2019. "Pályakezdő közgazdászok bére a szakdiverzifikáció függvényében [Programme diversification effects on the salaries of freshly graduated economists]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 551-577.
    2. Kovács, Kármen, 2020. "A jelen felé torzított preferenciák. A türelmetlenségből eredő fogyasztási döntések okai, megnyilvánulásai és következményei [The causes, manifestations and consequences of consumption decisions re," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 31-53.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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