Americans may be uncertain of their future Social Security benefits for several reasons, including uncertainty about their future labor earnings, the formula now determining Social Security benefits, and the future structure of the Social Security system. To learn how Americans perceive their benefits, we have elicited Social Security expectations from respondents to the Survey of Economic Expectations. We have also performed a more intensive face-to-face survey on a small sample of respondents. We find clear and striking evidence of substantial uncertainty and heterogeneity of beliefs about the long-term existence of the Social Security system and about the level of benefits provided should the system survive.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
9798.
Length: Date of creation: Jun 2003 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9798
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Find related papers by JEL classification: H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Feldstein, Martin & Liebman, Jeffrey B., 2002.
"Social security,"
Handbook of Public Economics,
in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 32, pages 2245-2324
Elsevier.
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Martin Feldstein & Jeffrey B. Liebman, 2001.
"Social Security,"
NBER Working Papers
8451, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
John Y. Campbell & João F. Cocco & Francisco J. Gomes & Pascal J. Maenhout, 2001.
"Investing Retirement Wealth: A Life-Cycle Model,"
NBER Chapters,
in: Risk Aspects of Investment-Based Social Security Reform, pages 439-482
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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