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Interactions between stock, bond and housing markets

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  • Dieci, Roberto
  • Schmitt, Noemi
  • Westerhoff, Frank H.

Abstract

We develop a model in which investors can participate in stock, bond and housing markets. Investors' market entry decisions are subject to herding effects and depend on the markets' price trends and on their mispricings. The dynamics of our model is governed by a four-dimensional nonlinear map and its unique inner steady state is characterized by standard present-value relations between dividends, rents and the bond rate. Amongst other things, we show that endogenous stock and housing market dynamics emerge, countercyclical to each other, if investors react strongly to the markets' price trends. Such a cross feedback reflects investors' tendency to transfer their enthusiasm from one speculative market to another.

Suggested Citation

  • Dieci, Roberto & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2018. "Interactions between stock, bond and housing markets," BERG Working Paper Series 133, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bamber:133
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    8. Fausto Cavalli & Ahmad Naimzada & Nicol`o Pecora & Marina Pireddu, 2018. "Agents' beliefs and economic regimes polarization in interacting markets," Papers 1805.00387, arXiv.org.
    9. Martin Carolin & Westerhoff Frank, 2019. "Regulating Speculative Housing Markets via Public Housing Construction Programs: Insights from a Heterogeneous Agent Model," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(4), pages 627-660, August.
    10. Perras, Patrizia & Wagner, Niklas, 2020. "Pricing equity-bond covariance risk: Between flight-to-quality and fear-of-missing-out," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    11. Bekiros, Stelios & Laarem, Guessas & Mou, Jun & Al-Barakati, Abdullah A. & Jahanshahi, Hadi, 2023. "Heterogeneous agent-based modeling of endogenous boom-bust cycles in financial markets with adaptive expectations and dynamically switching fractions between contrarian and fundamental market entry st," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
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    13. Makarewicz, Tomasz, 2019. "Traders, forecasters and financial instability: A model of individual learning of anchor-and-adjustment heuristics," BERG Working Paper Series 141, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    14. Noemi Schmitt & Ivonne Schwartz & Frank Westerhoff, 2022. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: a simple agent-based computational model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1263-1282, October.
    15. Roberto Dieci & Noemi Schmitt & Frank Westerhoff, 2018. "Steady states, stability and bifurcations in multi-asset market models," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 357-378, November.
    16. Xia, Tongshui & Yao, Chen-Xi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Dynamic and frequency-domain spillover among economic policy uncertainty, stock and housing markets in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    17. Antoci, Angelo & Borghesi, Simone & Iannucci, Gianluca & Sodini, Mauro, 2021. "Should I stay or should I go? Carbon leakage and ETS in an evolutionary model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
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    19. Mundt, Philipp & Oh, Ilfan, 2019. "Asymmetric competition, risk, and return distribution," BERG Working Paper Series 145, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    20. Majewski, Adam A. & Ciliberti, Stefano & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2020. "Co-existence of trend and value in financial markets: Estimating an extended Chiarella model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    21. Dieci, Roberto & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2022. "Boom-bust cycles and asset market participation waves: Momentum, value, risk and herding," BERG Working Paper Series 177, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    22. Lou, Jun & Wong, Tat Wing & Fung, Ka Wai Terence & Shaende, Jonas J. Nazimoff, 2021. "Stock and bond joint pricing, consumption surplus, and inflation news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock markets; housing markets; bond markets; bounded rationality; market interactions; nonlinear dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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