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‘I'll do it by myself as I knew it all along’: On the failure of hindsight-biased principals to delegate optimally

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  • David Danz
  • Frank Hüber
  • Dorothea Kübler
  • Lydia Mechtenberg
  • Julia Schmid

Abstract

With the help of a simple model, we show that the hindsight bias can lead to ineffcient delegation decisions. This prediction is tested experimentally. In an online experiment that was conducted during the FIFA World Cup 2010 participants were asked to predict a number of outcomes of the ongoing World Cup and had to recall their assessments after the outcomes had been realized. This served as a measure of the hindsight bias for each participant. The participants also had to make choices in a delegation game. Our data confirm that hindsight-biased subjects more frequently fail to delegate optimally than subjects whom we have classified as not hindsight biased.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany in its series SFB 649 Discussion Papers with number SFB649DP2013-009.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-009

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Keywords: hindsight bias; delegation; experiments;

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Cited by:
  1. Poeschel, Friedrich, 2012. "Assortative matching through signals," IAB Discussion Paper 201215, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

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