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Expectations And Adjustments In The Monetary Sector

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Author Info
Edgar L. Feige (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

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Abstract

This paper examines the problem of appropriately specifying and estimating the money demand function in the presence of adaptive expectations and partial adjustment mechanisms. The paper demonstrates the difficulty of interpreting distributed lag reduced form representations of the monetary sector when both expectation and adjustment mechanisms are present. It finally presents and empirically estimates an identified model of the monetary sector with partial adjustment mechanisms and multiple expectation formation mechanisms and finds that the elasticity of adjustment appears to be unity, and the adaptive expectation elasticity of income conforms to that proposed by Friedman’s permanent income hypothesis. Reference: American Economic Review, Vol. LVII, No. 2 May, 1967, pp. 462-473.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/mac/papers/0502/0502005.pdf
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0502005.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0502005

Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 12
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: money demand; expectations; adjustments; distributed lags; identification; adaptive expectations; pasrtial adjustments; permanent income.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General
C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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  1. Ronald S. Koot, 1973. "Price Expectations and Monetary Adjustments in Latin America," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 109(II), pages 223-232, June. [Downloadable!]
  2. Erwin W. Heri, 1988. "Money Demand Regressions and Monetary Targeting Theory and Stylized Evidence," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 124(II), pages 123-149, June. [Downloadable!]
  3. V. Vance Roley, 1986. "Money Demand Predictability," NBER Working Papers 1580, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Daniel Himarios, 1986. "Administered interest rates and the demand for money in Greece under rational expectations," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 122(1), pages 173-188, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Jack Carr & Michael R. Darby, 1981. "The Role of Money Supply Shocks in the Short-Run Demand for Money," NBER Working Papers 0524, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. G. S. Laumas, 1983. "The Demand for Money in the Recent Period," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-5, Jan-Mar. [Downloadable!]
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