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Makroökonomische Erwartungen und ihre Rolle in wirtschaftlichen Entscheidungen von Haushalten

Author

Listed:
  • Roth Christopher

    (Institute on Behavior and Inequality (briq), Schaumburg-Lippe-Straße 5–9, 53113Bonn, Germany)

  • Wohlfart Johannes

    (Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe-Universität Frankfurt, House of Finance, Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 3, 60323Frankfurt am Main, Germany)

Abstract

Erwartungen über die Inflation, Immobilienpreise oder das Wirtschaftswachstum sind von zentraler Bedeutung in Modellen des Konsum- und Finanzverhaltens. Sie spielen zudem eine wichtige Rolle in den Transmissionsmechanismen der Geld- und Fiskalpolitik. Die empirische Evidenz zur Erwartungsbildung und zum kausalen Effekt von makroökonomischen Erwartungen im wirtschaftlichen Handeln von Haushalten ist jedoch noch immer begrenzt. Christopher Roth und Johannes Wohlfart legen den aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung zu diesen Themen dar, erörtern offene Forschungsfragen sowie die Implikationen der Forschungsergebnisse für die Geld- und Fiskalpolitik.

Suggested Citation

  • Roth Christopher & Wohlfart Johannes, 2019. "Makroökonomische Erwartungen und ihre Rolle in wirtschaftlichen Entscheidungen von Haushalten," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 159-166, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:pewipo:v:20:y:2019:i:2:p:159-166:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2018-0038
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    Keywords

    D12; D14; D83; D84; E32; G11; Erwartungsbildung; Information; Updating; Unsicherheit; Konsumverhalten; Finanzverhalten;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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