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Long Memory, Heterogeneity and Trend Chasing Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Xue-Zhong He () (School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney )
Youwei Li (Department of Econometrics and Operations Research, Tilburg University)
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Long-range dependence in volatility is one of the most prominent examples of applications in financial market research involving universal power laws. Its characterization has recently spurred attempts at theoretical explanation of the underlying mechanism. This paper contributes to this recent development by analyzing a simple market fraction asset pricing model with two types of traders fundamentalists who trade on the price deviation from estimated fundamental value and trend followers who follow a trend which is updated through a geometric learning process. Our analysis shows that the heterogeneity, trend chasing through learning, and the interplay of noisy processes and a stable deterministic equilibrium can be the source of power-law distributed fluctuations. Statistical analysis based on Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to characterize the long memory. Realistic estimates of the power-law decay indices and the (FI)GARCH parameters are found.
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Paper provided by Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney in its series Research Paper Series with number
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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2005Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uts:rpaper:148Contact details of provider: Postal: PO Box 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia Phone: +61 2 9514 7777 Fax: +61 2 9514 7711 Web page: http://www.business.uts.edu.au/qfrc/index.html More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: asset pricing ; fundamentalists and trend followers ; market fraction ; stability ; learning ; long memory ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
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