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The Impact of Heterogeneous Trading Rules on the Limit Order Book and Order Flows

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Author Info
Carl Chiarella () (School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney)
Giulia Iori

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Abstract

In this paper we develop a model of an order-driven market where traders set bids and asks and post market or limit orders according to exogenously fixed rules. The model seeks to capture a number of features suggested by recent empirical analysis of limit order data, such as; fat-tailed distribution of limit order placement from current bid/ask; fat-tailed distribution of order execution-time; fat-tailed distribution of orders stored in the order book; long memory in the signs (buy or sell) of trades. The model developed here extends the earlier one of Chiarella and Iori (2002) in several important aspects, in particular agents have heterogenous time horizons and can submit orders of sizes larger than one, determined either by utility maximisation or by a random selection procedure. We analyze the impact of chartist and fundamentalist strategies on the determination of both the placement level and the placement size, on the shape of the book, the distribution of orders at different prices, and the distribution of their execution time. We compare the results of model simulations with real market data.

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Paper provided by Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney in its series Research Paper Series with number 152.

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Length: 15
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2005
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Handle: RePEc:uts:rpaper:152

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  1. Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H., 1998. "Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(8-9), pages 1235-1274, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Cars H. Hommes, 2001. "Financial Markets as Nonlinear Adaptive Evolutionary Systems," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-014/1, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  3. repec:bep:sndecm:5:2002:4:1083-1083 is not listed on IDEAS
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  4. F. Lillo & Szabolcs Mike & J. Doyne Farmer, 2004. "A theory for long-memory in supply and demand," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0412708, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2005. [Downloadable!]
  5. Chiarella, Carl & Dieci, Roberto & Gardini, Laura, 2006. "Asset price and wealth dynamics in a financial market with heterogeneous agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1755-1786. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Fabrizio Lillo & J. Doyne Farmer, 2003. "The long memory of the efficient market," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0311053, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
  7. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Julien Kockelkoren & Marc Potters, 2006. "Random walks, liquidity molasses and critical response in financial markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 115-123, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Marco Raberto & Silvano Cincotti & Sergio M. Focardi & Michele Marchesi, 2001. "Agent-based simulation of a financial market," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0103600, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2001. [Downloadable!]
  9. repec:bep:sndecm:8:2004:3:1226-1226 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Mezard & Marc Potters, 2002. "Statistical properties of stock order books: empirical results and models," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0203511, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management. [Downloadable!]
  11. Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2005. "Trend followers lose more often than they gain," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500065, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management. [Downloadable!]
  12. J. Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Fabrizio Lillo & Szabolcs Mike & Anindya Sen, 2003. "What really causes large price changes?," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0312703, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2004. [Downloadable!]
  13. Vasiliki Plerou & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Xavier Gabaix & H. Eugene Stanley, 2004. "On the Origin of Power-Law Fluctuations in Stock Prices," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0403067, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  14. Lo, Andrew W, 1991. "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(5), pages 1279-313, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Giulia Iori & Carl Chiarella, 2002. "A simple microstructure model of double auction markets," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 44, Society for Computational Economics.
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  1. Anufriev, M. & Panchenko, V., 2007. "Asset Prices, Traders' Behavior, and Market Design," CeNDEF Working Papers 07-14, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
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