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Fluctuations and response in financial markets: the subtle nature of `random' price changes

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Author Info
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud (Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management, CEA Saclay;)
Yuval Gefen (Weizmann Institute)
Marc Potters
Matthieu Wyart (CEA Saclay;)
Abstract

We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time of a limit order as a function of the distance from the best price. We also determine the `price impact' function using French and British stocks, and find a logarithmic, rather than a power-law, dependence of the price response on the volume. The weak time dependence of the response function shows that the impact is, surprisingly, quasi-permanent, and suggests that trading itself is interpreted by the market as new information.

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Paper provided by Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management in its series Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive with number 0307332.

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Date of creation: Jul 2003
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Publication status: published in Quantitative Finance 4 (April 2004) 176-190
Handle: RePEc:sfi:sfiwpa:0307332

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G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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  1. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Lux, Thomas, 1996. "The Stable Paretian Hypothesis and the Frequency of Large Returns: An Examination of Major German Stocks," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(6), pages 463-75, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. V. Plerou & P. Gopikrishnan & L. A. N. Amaral & M. Meyer & H. E. Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of price fluctuations of individual companies," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/9907161, arXiv.org. [Downloadable!]
  4. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Mezard & Marc Potters, 2002. "Statistical properties of stock order books: empirical results and models," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0203511, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management. [Downloadable!]
  5. Frantisek Slanina, 2001. "Mean-field approximation for a limit order driven market model," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0104547, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2001. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Rama Cont, 1998. "A Langevin approach to stock market fluctuations and crashes," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500027, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management. [Downloadable!]
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