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Fundamentalists Clashing over the Book: A Study of Order-Driven Stock Markets

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Author Info
Marco LiCalzi (Universita' di Venezia)
Paolo Pellizzari (Universita' di Venezia)

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Abstract

Agent-based models of market dynamics must strike a compromise between the structural assumptions that represent the trading mechanism and the behavioral assumptions that describe the rules by which traders take their decisions. We present a structurally detailed model of an order- driven stock market and show that a minimal set of behavioral assumptions suffices to generate a leptokurtic distribution of short- term log-returns. This result backs up the conjecture that the emergence of some statistical properties of financial time series is due to the microstructure of stock markets.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/comp/papers/0207/0207001.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Computational Economics with number 0207001.

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Length: 19 pages
Date of creation: 12 Jul 2002
Date of revision: 04 Mar 2003
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpco:0207001

Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on Macintosh; to print on Postcript; pages: 19; figures: included
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: price dynamics statistical properties of returns behavioral and structural assumptions agent-based simulations

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computational Techniques

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. P. Bak & M. Paczuski & M. Shubik, 1996. "Price Variations in a Stock Market with Many Agents," Working Papers 96-09-075, Santa Fe Institute.
    Other versions:
  2. Day, Richard H. & Huang, Weihong, 1990. "Bulls, bears and market sheep," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 299-329, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Lux, T. and M. Marchesi, . "Volatility Clustering in Financial Markets: A Micro-Simulation of Interacting Agents," Discussion Paper Serie B 437, University of Bonn, Germany, revised Jul 1998.
  4. Cohen, Kalman J, et al, 1978. "Limit Orders, Market Structure, and the Returns Generation Process," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 33(3), pages 723-36, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Milgrom, Paul & Stokey, Nancy, 1982. "Information, trade and common knowledge," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 17-27, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Welch, Ivo, 2000. "Herding among security analysts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 369-396, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. W. Brian Arthur & John H. Holland & Blake LeBaron & Richard Palmer & Paul Taylor, 1996. "Asset Pricing Under Endogenous Expectation in an Artificial Stock Market," Working Papers 96-12-093, Santa Fe Institute.
  8. Steiglitz, Ken & Shapiro, Daniel, 1998. "Simulating the Madness of Crowds: Price Bubbles in an Auction-Mediated Robot Market," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 35-59, August. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Marco LiCalzi & Paolo Pellizzari, 2006. "Simple Market Protocols for Efficient Risk Sharing," Working Papers 136, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Venice. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Marco LiCalzi & Paolo Pellizzari, 2005. "Breeds of risk-adjusted fundamentalist strategies in an order- driven market," Computational Economics 0506001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Paolo Pellizzari & Arianna Forno, 2007. "A comparison of different trading protocols in an agent-based market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 27-43, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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