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Can a financial transaction tax prevent stock price booms?

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  • Adam, Klaus
  • Beutel, Johannes
  • Marcet, Albert
  • Merkel, Sebastian

Abstract

We present a stock market model that quantitatively replicates the joint behavior of stock prices, trading volume and investor expectations. Stock prices in the model occasionally display belief-driven boom and bust cycles that delink asset prices from fundamentals and redistribute considerable amounts of wealth from less to more experienced investors. Although gains from trade arise only from subjective belief differences, introducing financial transactions taxes (FTTs) remains undesirable. While FTTs reduce the size and length of boom–bust cycles, they increase the likelihood of such cycles, thereby overall return volatility and wealth redistribution. Contingent FTTs, which are levied only above a certain price threshold, give rise to problems of equilibrium multiplicity and non-existence.

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  • Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes & Marcet, Albert & Merkel, Sebastian, 2015. "Can a financial transaction tax prevent stock price booms?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 90-109.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:76:y:2015:i:s:p:s90-s109
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.09.009
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    Cited by:

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    2. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 53-69.
    4. Zeno Enders & Hendrik Hakenes, 2021. "Market Depth, Leverage, and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(5), pages 2577-2621.
    5. Yin, Zhichao & Peng, Hongfeng & Xiao, Weiguo & Xiao, Zumian, 2022. "Capital control and monetary policy coordination: Tobin tax revisited," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial transactions tax; Tobin tax; Asset price booms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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