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Hedge Funds and the Technology Bubble

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Author Info
MARKUS K. BRUNNERMEIER
STEFAN NAGEL

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Abstract

This paper documents that hedge funds did not exert a correcting force on stock prices during the technology bubble. Instead, they were heavily invested in technology stocks. This does not seem to be the result of unawareness of the bubble: Hedge funds captured the upturn, but, by reducing their positions in stocks that were about to decline, avoided much of the downturn. Our findings question the efficient markets notion that rational speculators always stabilize prices. They are consistent with models in which rational investors may prefer to ride bubbles because of predictable investor sentiment and limits to arbitrage. Copyright 2004 by The American Finance Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 59 (2004)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 2013-2040
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:5:p:2013-2040

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  3. Patrick M McGuire & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2008. "Estimating hedge fund leverage," BIS Working Papers 260, Bank for International Settlements. [Downloadable!]
  4. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  5. Tao Chen, 2009. "Informational Efficiency: Which Institutions Matter?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 141-168, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Robin Greenwood & Stefan Nagel, 2008. "Inexperienced Investors and Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 14111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Peter C.B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2009. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1699, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller, 2007. "Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage," Working Papers 2006-033, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Stulz, Rene M., 2007. "Hedge Funds: Past, Present, and Future," Working Paper Series 2007-3, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Malcolm Baker & C. Fritz Foley & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2004. "The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows," NBER Working Papers 10559, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Zingales, Luigi, 2009. "The Future of Securities Regulation," CEPR Discussion Papers 7110, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Han, Bin, 2004. "Limits of Arbitrage, Sentiment and Pricing Kernal: Evidences from Index Options," Working Paper Series 2004-2, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Veronica Guerrieri & Péter Kondor, 2009. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 14898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Tobias Adrian, 2004. "Inference, arbitrage, and asset price volatility," Staff Reports 187, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  16. repec:mcr:wpdief:wpaper00029 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. George O. Aragon & Philip E. Strahan, 2009. "Hedge Funds as Liquidity Providers: Evidence from the Lehman Bankruptcy," NBER Working Papers 15336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Jeremy C. Stein, 2004. "Why Are Most Funds Open-End? Competition and the Limits of Arbitrage," NBER Working Papers 10259, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Owen A. Lamont & Jeremy C. Stein, 2004. "Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(2), pages 29-32, May. [Downloadable!]
  20. Temin, Peter & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2004. "Riding the South Sea Bubble," CEPR Discussion Papers 4221, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. John R. Conlon, 2008. "Should Central Banks Burst Bubbles? Some Microeconomic Issues," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000002330, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
  22. Owen A. Lamont & Jeremy C. Stein, 2004. "Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations," NBER Working Papers 10218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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