Muren, Astri () (Dept. of Economics, Stockholm University)
Abstract
An experiment is designed to test if individuals show (unrealistic) optimism when determining their subjective probabilities about exogenous circumstances. Subjects in the control group make an informed guess about a number, under a payment scheme that rewards close guesses. In the treatment group, subjects' payments depend on the actual number as well as on the closeness of the guess, and they are thus given an incentive to guess optimistically. The data suggests that there is an optimistic bias.
Download Info
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
file. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Publisher Info
Paper provided by Stockholm University, Department of Economics in its series Research Papers in Economics with number
2004:1.
Length: 20 pages Date of creation: 22 Mar 2004 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:hhs:sunrpe:2004_0001
Contact details of provider: Postal: Department of Economics, Stockholm, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden Phone: +46 8 16 20 00 Fax: +46 8 16 14 25 Email: Web page: http://www.ne.su.se/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Sten Nyberg).
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Did you know? You can create a compilation of all publications of a group of people, say alumni of a program, your students or memers of an association.