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Opinion Formation in Business Surveys: Empirical Evidence from German Micro Data

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Author Info
Klaus Wohlrabe () (Business Surveys Ifo Institute for Economic Research and University of Munich)

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Abstract

The article contributes to a broader understanding of how firms form its opinion in regular business surveys as we identify determinants of this process. In a large micro panel data set from the Ifo Business Cycle Test in Germany we employ the log-probability model to investigate relationships among categorical variables. Panel causality tests do not reveal strictly exogenous variables in the questionnaire. Ordered random effects probit panel estimations identify macroeconomic determinants of current situation and expectations. Furthermore we intendify some herding effects in the micro data

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 with number 261.

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Date of creation: 04 Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecfa:261

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Web page: http://comp-econ.org/
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Related research
Keywords: expectation formation; log-linear models; panel data; ifo micro data;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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