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How do skilled traders change the structure of the market

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  • Vacha, Lukas
  • Barunik, Jozef
  • Vosvrda, Miloslav

Abstract

We extend the original heterogeneous agent model of Brock and Hommes (1998) by introducing the concept of skilled traders. The idea of skilled traders is based on the endeavor of market agents to estimate future price movements. We distinguish between the three groups of skilled traders according to their trading strategies. The first group consists of skilled traders who estimate the trend parameter and have randomly generated bias. The second group has fixed bias to zero, and the third group, most advanced one, is able to estimate the bias parameter. The most interesting result from simulations is that for all model settings the stock market changes its structure at some point with growing number of skilled traders.

Suggested Citation

  • Vacha, Lukas & Barunik, Jozef & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2012. "How do skilled traders change the structure of the market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 66-71.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:23:y:2012:i:c:p:66-71
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2011.06.011
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    15. Jozef Barunik & Lukas Vacha & Miloslav Vosvrda, 2009. "Smart predictors in the heterogeneous agent model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 4(2), pages 163-172, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kukacka, Jiri & Barunik, Jozef, 2013. "Behavioural breaks in the heterogeneous agent model: The impact of herding, overconfidence, and market sentiment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5920-5938.
    2. Jan Polach & Jiri Kukacka, 2019. "Prospect Theory in the Heterogeneous Agent Model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(1), pages 147-174, March.
    3. Kukacka, Jiri & Barunik, Jozef, 2017. "Estimation of financial agent-based models with simulated maximum likelihood," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 21-45.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Heterogeneous agent model; Market structure; Skilled traders; Hurst exponent;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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