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Input-output linkages in Pigouvian industrial fluctuations

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  • Tian, Can

Abstract

Input-output linkages facilitate expectations-driven fluctuations. Signals about yet-to-be-realized aggregate (macro) and idiosyncratic (micro) fundamentals in the future affect current equilibrium outcome through chains of input needs when inputs require time to build. Depending on their importance on these chains, firms respond differently to common signals. The network structure, together with input time to build, determines the magnitude of signal-induced aggregate fluctuations. Macro signals need large input shares on average to produce sizable aggregate volatility, whereas micro signals require cross-sectional variations of input importance. Changing input time to build and altering the network structure have similar effects on equilibrium outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Tian, Can, 2021. "Input-output linkages in Pigouvian industrial fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1078-1095.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:1078-1095
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.09.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Production network; Input-output linkages; Macro and micro shocks; Expectations; Aggregate volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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