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Time to Defect: Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma Experiments with Uncertain Horizon

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Author Info
Lisa Bruttel () (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Department of Business and Economics)
Werner Güth () (Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group, Jena, Germany)
Ulrich Kamecke () (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Department of Business and Economics)

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Abstract

Using a symmetric 2-person prisoners' dilemma as the base game, each player receives a signal for the number of rounds to be played with the same partner. The actual number of rounds (the length of the supergame) is determined by the maximal signal where each player expects the other's signal to be smaller, respectively larger, by a fixed number of rounds with 50% probability. In the tradition of Folk Theorems we show that both, mutual defection and mutual cooperation until the individually perceived last round, are subgame perfect equilibrium outcomes. We find experimental evidence that many players do in fact cooperate beyond their individual signal period.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Max-Planck-Institute of Economics in its series Jena Economic Research Papers in Economics with number 2007-098.

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Date of creation: 04 Dec 2007
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Handle: RePEc:jrp:jrpwrp:2007-098

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Related research
Keywords: Prisoners' dilemma; Continuation probability; Uncertainty; Experiment;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information
D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-15.


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