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Thomas Laubach

(deceased)

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2015. "Measuring the natural rate of interest redux," Working Paper Series 2015-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The FOMC's Prudent Caution
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2016-08-15 17:40:46
    2. Dot-ology: What can we learn from the dot plot?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2019-04-01 12:24:01
    3. Persistently low interest rates, redux
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-03-19 20:37:04
  2. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," Working Paper Series 2016-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The case for a higher inflation target gets stronger
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2017-04-03 17:48:01
    2. Navigating in Cloudy Skies
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2018-12-10 12:14:25
  3. Andrea Ajello & Thomas Laubach & J. David López-Salido & Taisuke Nakata, 2016. "Financial Stability and Optimal Interest-Rate Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Monetary Policy and Financial Stability
      by Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2016-11-14 19:24:34
    2. Summer’s End — and a reading list to catch up on what you may have missed
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-09-03 18:41:38
  4. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2003. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1063-1070, November.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Did the Natural Rate Fall***?
      by noreply@blogger.com (Carola) in Quantitative Ease on 2015-10-31 01:56:00
    2. [経済]米国の自然利子率は下がったのか？
      by himaginary in himaginaryの日記 on 2015-11-01 05:00:00
    3. What’s the natural rate of interest?
      by Tyler Cowen in Marginal Revolution on 2015-11-01 11:17:55
    4. Yellen: The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2015-12-07 16:00:34
    5. Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Zero Lower Bound
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2016-01-04 16:00:31
    6. What Is the "Right" Policy Rate?
      by macroblog in Macroblog on 2017-09-07 22:59:02
    7. Introducing the Atlanta Fed's Taylor Rule Utility
      by macroblog in Macroblog on 2016-09-08 21:10:27
    8. Is the Fed Behind the Curve?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2014-07-10 17:23:34
    9. NGDP Targeting y la Tasa Natural de Interés
      by Nicolas Cachanosky in Punto de Vista Economico on 2015-04-15 08:01:36
    10. What's in store for r*?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2020-11-24 13:15:29
  5. Holston, Kathryn & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2017. "Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 59-75.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The case for a higher inflation target gets stronger
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2017-04-03 17:48:01
    2. Navigating in Cloudy Skies
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2018-12-10 12:14:25
  6. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest Redux," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. The FOMC's Prudent Caution
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2016-08-15 17:40:46
    2. Dot-ology: What can we learn from the dot plot?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2019-04-01 12:24:01
    3. Persistently low interest rates, redux
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-03-19 20:37:04
  7. Eric M. Engen & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Unconventional Monetary Policies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-5, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Unconventional monetary policy through the Fed’s rear-view mirror
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2015-12-14 16:00:35
    2. Quels sont les effets macroéconomiques des mesures non conventionnelles de la Fed ?
      by Martin Anota in D'un champ l'autre on 2015-03-01 02:26:17
    3. The Fed: From forward guidance to data dependence
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2015-12-14 19:45:45
    4. Unconventional monetary policy through the Fed's rear-view mirror
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2015-12-07 19:27:17
  8. Author Profile
    1. Macroeconomics: A reading list
      by Ajay Shah in Ajay Shah's blog on 2012-02-09 10:41:00

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2003. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1063-1070, November.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest (REStat 2003) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2010. "Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 129-143.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2010) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2023. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest after COVID-19," Staff Reports 1063, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Naima Lassoued & Imen Khanchel & Imen Fakhfakh, 2026. "Does every cloud have a silver lining?The effect of digitalization and government measures on bank efficiency during the pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-40, December.
    2. Carlos Segura-Rodriguez, 2024. "Natural Real Interest Rate in an Open Small Economy: the Costa Rica´s Case," Notas Técnicas 2403, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    3. Chaimae Lazzarou, 2026. "Measuring Natural Interest Rate in Morocco," IHEID Working Papers 01-2026, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    4. Segura-Rodriguez, Carlos, 2026. "Neutral real interest rate in an open and small economy: The case of Costa Rica," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 7(2).
    5. Júlio, Paulo & Maria, José R., 2024. "Trends and cycles during the COVID-19 pandemic period," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Bielecki, Marcin & Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Błażejowska, Aneta & Kuziemska-Pawlak, Kamila & Szafrański, Grzegorz, . "Szacunki i projekcje naturalnej stopy procentowej dla Polski i strefy euro," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2024(3).
    7. Kempa, Bernd & Zou, Feina, 2026. "Estimation of the natural interest rate under monetary policy smoothing," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Arden, Lucas & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2025. "Inflation-stabilizing monetary and fiscal policy rules at and away from the lower bound," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    9. Chadha, J. S., 2023. "Mr Putin and the Chronicle of a Normalisation Foretold," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2354, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    10. Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Rodrigo Peña & Gabriel Pérez Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2026. "Unobservable no more: estimating the natural rate of interest under flat IS and Phillips curves," Working Papers wp2026_2603, CEMFI.
    11. Robbins, Jacob A., 2026. "Expectation traps and Neo-Fisherian policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    12. Osoro, Jared & Talam, Camilla, 2025. "Monetary policy at the turn of financial markets: A forerunner or follower?," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 89, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).
    13. Kamber, Güneş & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2025. "Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    14. Bofinger, Peter & Haas, Thomas, 2023. "R-star: A new approach to estimate the polar star of monetary policy," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 106, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    15. Pál, Tibor & Storti, Giuseppe, 2025. "Estimating the R-Star in the US: A Score-Driven State-Space Model with Time-Varying Volatility Persistence," MPRA Paper 125338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Atanas Pekanov, 2025. "Europäische Wirtschaftspolitik 2024. Zwischen externen Schocks, strukturellen Problemen und der Notwendigkeit eines Produktivitätsschubs," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 98(3), pages 123-135, March.
    17. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    18. Votinov, A. & Polshchikova, Yu., 2025. "Relationship between the neutral interest rate and the parameters of the fiscal rule: DSGE-model of the Russian economy," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 160-187.
    19. Buncic, Daniel, 2024. "Econometric issues in the estimation of the natural rate of interest," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    20. Bajaro, Donna Faye E. & Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2025. "Monetary policy under fiscal stress: A forward-looking analysis of fiscal dominance," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    21. Carlos Segura-Rodriguez & David Ching-Vindas, 2025. "Growt-at-risk in Costa Rica: an Open and Small Economy Perspective," Documentos de Trabajo 2501, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    22. Tayler, William J. & Zilberman, Roy, 2024. "Unconventional policies in state-dependent liquidity traps," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    23. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Aneta Błażejowska & Kamila Kuziemska-Pawlak & Grzegorz Szafrański, 2024. "Estimates and Projections of the Natural Rate of Interest for Poland and the Euro Area," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 1-32.
    24. Hasui, Kohei & Sugo, Tomohiro & Teranishi, Yuki, 2026. "Liquidity trap and optimal monetary policy: Evaluations for U.S. monetary policy from 2020 to 2023," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    25. Carlos Segura-Rodriguez, 2026. "An open economy model for estimating non-observable variables for Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo 2604, Banco Central de Costa Rica.

  2. Kyungmin Kim & Thomas Laubach & Min Wei, 2020. "Macroeconomic Effects of Large-Scale Asset Purchases: New Evidence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-047, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Weale, Martin & Wieladek, Tomasz, 2022. "Financial effects of QE and conventional monetary policy compared," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Kawamoto, Takuji & Nakazawa, Takashi & Kishaba, Yui & Matsumura, Kohei & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2023. "Estimating the macroeconomic effects of Japan’s expansionary monetary policy under Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing during 2013–2020," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 208-224.
    3. Lloyd, Simon & Ostry, Daniel, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of quantitative tightening and easing on financial markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    4. Jursa, Lukáš & Janků, Jan, 2025. "From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Stefański, Maciej, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects and transmission channels of quantitative easing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    6. Sergio Clavijo, 2021. "Transmisi√≥n Crediticia, Liquidez y Capital Bancario en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 19156, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    7. Sergio Clavijo, 2020. "Pol√≠tica Monetaria Expansiva: Efectos sobre m√°rgenes, tasas de inter√©s y subsidios crediticios," Documentos CEDE 18504, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    8. Motto, Roberto & Özen, Kadir, 2022. "Market-stabilization QE," Working Paper Series 2640, European Central Bank.
    9. Goodhead, Robert, 2024. "The economic impact of yield curve compression: Evidence from euro area forward guidance and unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    10. Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint Guilhem, Arthur, 2021. "Combining negative rates, forward guidance and asset purchases: identification and impacts of the ECB’s unconventional policies," Working Paper Series 2564, European Central Bank.
    11. Stéphane Lhuissier & Benoit Nguyen, 2021. "The Dynamic Effects of the ECB s Asset Purchases: a Survey-Based Identification," Working papers 806, Banque de France.

  3. David E. Altig & Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & Marc Giannoni & Thomas Laubach, 2020. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Framework: A Roadmap," FEDS Notes 2020-08-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Jaromir Tonner, 2022. "Current trends in macroeconomic modelling in central banks in light of the turbulent nature of recent events," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Global Economic Outlook - July 2022, pages 14-20, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy, Employment Shortfalls, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.

  4. Andrea Ajello & Thomas Laubach & J. David López-Salido & Taisuke Nakata, 2016. "Financial Stability and Optimal Interest-Rate Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Denis Gorea & Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Tamon Takamura, 2016. "Leaning Within a Flexible Inflation-Targeting Framework: Review of Costs and Benefits," Discussion Papers 16-17, Bank of Canada.
    3. Elena Deryugina & Maria Guseva & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2022. "The Credit Cycle and Measurement of the Natural Rate of Interest," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 11(1), pages 87-104.
    4. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "Monetary Policy in the Grip of a Pincer Movement," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Álvaro Aguirre & Markus Brunnermeier & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Transmission Mechanisms and Policy Implications, edition 1, volume 26, chapter 10, pages 311-356, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Stefan Laseen, 2016. "Financial Stability and Interest-Rate Policy: A Quantitative Assessment of Costs and Benefits," IMF Working Papers 2016/073, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey & Tatarintsev, Stas, 2020. "A case for leaning against the wind in a commodity-exporting economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 86-114.
    7. Maria Demertzis & Itai Agur, 2018. "Will macroprudential policy counteract monetary policy’s effects on financial stability?," Bruegel Working Papers 23907, Bruegel.
    8. Mundra, Sruti & Bicchal, Motilal, 2024. "Financial cycle comovement with monetary and macroprudential policy and global factors: Evidence from India," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Melchisedek Joslem Ngambou Djatche, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Prudential Policy, and Bank's Risk-Taking: A Literature Review," GREDEG Working Papers 2020-40, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    10. Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2023. "Doubts about the model and optimal policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    11. Peterson K. Ozili, 2020. "Does competence of central bank governors influence financial stability?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, December.
    12. Stanley Fischer, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Zero Lower Bound : a speech at the Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, San Francisco, California, January 3, 2016," Speech 886, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Trent Saunders & Peter Tulip, 2019. "Cost-benefit Analysis of Leaning against the Wind," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2019-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    14. Ragna Alstadheim & Ørjan Robstad & Nikka Husom Vonen, 2017. "Financial imbalances, crisis probability and monetary policy in Norway," Working Paper 2017/21, Norges Bank.
    15. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy & Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Macroprudential policy coordination in a currency union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    16. Uwe Vollmer, 2022. "Monetary policy or macroprudential policies: What can tame the cycles?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1510-1538, December.
    17. Isabel Cairó & Jae W. Sim, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2017. "Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind," CEPR Discussion Papers 11739, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    19. Peiris, M.U. & Shirobokov, A. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2024. "Does “Lean Against the Wind” monetary policy improve welfare in a commodity exporter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    20. Lorenzo Menna & Martin Tobal, 2018. "Financial and price stability in emerging markets: the role of the interest rate," BIS Working Papers 717, Bank for International Settlements.
    21. Malibongwe Cyprian Nyati, 2024. "Should Monetary Policy in South Africa Lean against the Wind by Targeting the Financial Cycle?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-20, June.
    22. Ben-Haim, Yakov & Demertzis, Maria & Van den End, Jan Willem, 2018. "Evaluating monetary policy rules under fundamental uncertainty: An info-gap approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 55-70.
    23. Cecchetti, Stephen & Tucker, Paul, 2016. "Is there macroprudential policy without international cooperation?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11042, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    24. David Aikman & Andreas Lehnert & J. Nellie Liang & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    25. Tambakis, D., 2020. "A Markov-Chain Measure of Systemic Banking Crisis Frequency," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2083, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    26. Taisuke Nakata, 2018. "Reputation and Liquidity Traps," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 252-268, April.
    27. Grégory Levieuge, 2018. "La politique monétaire doit-elle être utilisée à des fins de stabilité financière ?," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 63-104.
    28. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Alessandro Flamini, 2016. "Institutional Mandates for Macroeconomic and Financial Stability," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 231, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    29. Stefan Laseen & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Mr. Jarkko Turunen, 2015. "Systemic Risk: A New Trade-off for Monetary Policy?," IMF Working Papers 2015/142, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy P., 2022. "Monetary and macroprudential policy coordination with biased preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    31. Yasin Mimir & Lorenzo Ricci, 2024. "Financial imbalances and macroeconomic tail risks: A structural regime-switching investigation," Working Papers 64, European Stability Mechanism, revised 15 Nov 2024.
    32. Aikman, David & Giese, Julia & Kapadia, Sujit & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Targeting financial stability: macroprudential or monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 2278, European Central Bank.
    33. Benati, Luca, 2023. "Exploring the trade-off between leaning against credit and stabilizing economic activity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    34. David López-Salido & Jeremy C. Stein & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 21879, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. F. Boissay & F. Collard & Jordi Galí & C. Manea, 2021. "Monetary policy and endogenous financial crises," Economics Working Papers 1810, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Aug 2025.
    36. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2015. "Interest rates and house prices: pill or poison?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    37. Stanley Fischer, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Zero Lower Bound," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 39-42, May.
    38. Donato Masciandaro, 2014. "Macroeconomic Ideas, Business Cycles and Economic Policies: One Size Doesn’t Fit All - A Primer," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 14161, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    39. Thore Kockerols & Erling Motzfeldt Kravik & Yasin Mimir, 2021. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Working Paper 2021/11, Norges Bank.
    40. Ivan Khotulev & Konstantin Styrin, 2020. "Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for Financial Stability in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(2), pages 3-42, June.
    41. Sami Alpanda & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2016. "Should Monetary Policy Lean Against Housing Market Booms?," Staff Working Papers 16-19, Bank of Canada.
    42. Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Mr. Juan Sole, 2016. "Credit, Securitization and Monetary Policy: Watch Out for Unintended Consequences," IMF Working Papers 2016/076, International Monetary Fund.
    43. Altermatt, Lukas, 2018. "Savings, asset scarcity, and monetary policy," Working papers 2018/13, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    44. Katsurako Sonoda & Nao Sudo, 2015. "Is macroprudential policy instrument blunt?," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 15-E-11, Bank of Japan.
    45. Grégory LEVIEUGE & Jose David GARCIA REVELO, 2020. "When could macroprudential and monetary policies be in conflict?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2749, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    46. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    47. Malik Shukayev & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2016. "Monetary Policy Tradeoffs Between Financial Stability and Price Stability," Staff Working Papers 16-49, Bank of Canada.
    48. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2017. "How Robust Is the Result That the Cost of "Leaning Against the Wind" Exceeds the Benefit? Response to Adrian and Liang," CEPR Discussion Papers 11744, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    49. Anders Vredin, 2015. "Inflation targeting and financial stability: providing policymakers with relevant information," BIS Working Papers 503, Bank for International Settlements.
    50. Andrew Filardo & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2016. "A quantitative case for leaning against the wind," BIS Working Papers 594, Bank for International Settlements.
    51. Eduardo C. Castro, 2020. "RegGae: a toolkit for macroprudential policy with DSGEs," Working Papers Series 526, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    52. Svensson, Lars E. O., 2017. "How robust is the result that the cost of "leaning against the wind" exceeds the benefit?," Working Paper Series 2031, European Central Bank.
    53. Francesco Simone Lucidi & Willi Semmler, 2022. "Long-run scarring effects of meltdowns in a small-scale nonlinear quadratic model," Working Papers in Public Economics 217, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    54. Tobias Bucher, 2024. "Effects of Negative Interest Rates on Stability and Profitability of Commercial Banks," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 13(3), pages 1-9, August.
    55. Christian Friedrich & Kristina Hess & Rose Cunningham, 2015. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Cross-Country Evidence," Staff Working Papers 15-41, Bank of Canada.
    56. Gregory Bauer & Eleonora Granziera, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Private Debt and Financial Stability Risks," Staff Working Papers 16-59, Bank of Canada.
    57. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2018. "Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Policy: Different and Separate?," CEPR Discussion Papers 13043, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    58. Lars E.O. Svensson, 2017. "Leaning Against the Wind: The Role of Different Assumptions About the Costs," NBER Working Papers 23745, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    59. Moritz Schularick & Lucas ter Steege & Felix Ward, 2020. "Leaning against the Wind and Crisis Risk," CESifo Working Paper Series 8484, CESifo.
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  7. Eric M. Engen & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Unconventional Monetary Policies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-5, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Banegas, Ayelen & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Siga, Lucas, 2022. "The effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks on mutual fund investing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    2. Michele Cavallo & Marco Del Negro & W. Scott Frame & Jamie Grasing & Benjamin A. Malin & Carlo Rosa, 2018. "Fiscal Implications of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet Normalization," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-002, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Kawamoto, Takuji & Nakazawa, Takashi & Kishaba, Yui & Matsumura, Kohei & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2023. "Estimating the macroeconomic effects of Japan’s expansionary monetary policy under Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing during 2013–2020," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 208-224.
    4. Grace Taylor & Rod Tyers, 2017. "Secular Stagnation: Determinants and Consequences for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 615-650, December.
    5. Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series 2352, European Central Bank.
    6. Eksi, Ozan & Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the stock market’s reaction to Federal Reserve policy actions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 136-147.
    7. Brian Fabo & Martina Jancokova & Elisabeth Kempf & Lubos Pastor, 2023. "Fifty Shades of QE: Robust Evidence," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    8. Matteo Deleidi & Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2021. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. economy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 121-147, February.
    9. Kyungmin Kim & Thomas Laubach & Min Wei, 2020. "Macroeconomic Effects of Large-Scale Asset Purchases: New Evidence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-047, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Benavides-Franco, Julian & Carabali, Jaime & Meneses, Luis Angel & Perez, Alex, 2024. "Understanding the heterogeneity of interest rate adjustments to monetary policy: Evidence for Colombia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    11. Zhou, Tao & Li, Zhongfei & Bai, Hengrui & Du, Zhidi & Huang, Jinbo & Ding, Zengcai, 2024. "Does unconventional monetary policy improve credit support for the industry chain? The mechanism of trade credit," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 180-192.
    12. Ayelen Banegas & Gabriel Montes-Rojas & Lucas Siga, 2016. "Mutual Fund Flows, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2016. "Unconventional US Monetary Policy: New Tools, Same Channels?," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp222, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    14. Jančoková, Martina & Pástor, Ľuboš & Fabo, Brian & Kempf, Elisabeth, 2021. "Fifty shades of QE: comparing findings of central bankers and academics," Working Paper Series 2584, European Central Bank.
    15. Adjemian, Stéphane & Bokan, Nikola & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Müller, Georg & Zimic, Srečko, 2024. "ECB-(RE)BASE: Heterogeneity in expectation formation and macroeconomic dynamics," Working Paper Series 2965, European Central Bank.
    16. Adil MSADY & Mohsine AIT CHEIKH & Adam CHATI & Zakaria EZ-ZARZARI, 2022. "The Relation Between Innovative Policy Instruments And Smes Resilience: Conceptual Analysis," Eastern European Journal for Regional Studies (EEJRS), Center for Studies in European Integration (CSEI), Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova (ASEM), vol. 8(2), pages 50-67, December.
    17. Maria Sole Pagliari, 2021. "Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies," Working papers 829, Banque de France.
    18. Rodriguez-Rodriguez, F.J. & Hierro, L.A. & Garzon, A.J., 2024. "Fed and ECB reaction functions during quantitative easing: Three phases of monetary policy, both conventional and unconventional," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 928-945.
    19. Kenourgios, Dimitris & Papadamou, Stephanos & Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2020. "Modelling the dynamics of unconventional monetary policies’ impact on professionals’ forecasts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    20. Alex Haberis & Richard Harrison & Matthew Waldron, 2017. "Uncertain forward guidance," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 654, Bank of England.
    21. Arisa Chantaraboontha, 2025. "Measuring the Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises on Exchange Rates across Monetary Conditions," ISER Discussion Paper 1276r, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, revised Sep 2026.
    22. Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2019. "Evaluating the macroeconomic effects of the ECB s unconventional monetary policies," Working papers 708, Banque de France.
    23. Crowley, Patrick M. & Hallett, Andrew Hughes, 2018. "What causes business cycles to elongate, or recessions to intensify?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 338-349.
    24. Stephanie E. Curcuru & Michiel De Pooter & George Eckerd, 2018. "Measuring Monetary Policy Spillovers between U.S. and German Bond Yields," International Finance Discussion Papers 1226, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    25. Bua, Giovanna & Dunne, Peter G., 2017. "The Portfolio Rebalancing Effects of the ECB's Asset Purchase Programme," Research Technical Papers 07/RT/17, Central Bank of Ireland.
    26. Christian Pfister & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policies: A Stock-Taking Exercise," Working papers 761, Banque de France.
    27. Arisa Chantaraboontha, 2025. "Measuring the Spillovers of US Unconventional Surprises across Monetary Conditions with Local Projections," ISER Discussion Paper 1276, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    28. Hohberger, Stefan & Ratto, Marco & Vogel, Lukas, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of unconventional monetary policy: Comparing euro area and US models with shadow rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    29. Buch, Claudia M. & Bussierè, Matthieu & Goldberg, Linda & Hills, Robert, 2019. "The international transmission of monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 29-48.
    30. Jane Ihrig & Elizabeth Klee & Canlin Li & Min Wei & Joe Kachovec, 2018. "Expectations about the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(2), pages 341-391, March.
    31. Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint Guilhem, Arthur, 2021. "Combining negative rates, forward guidance and asset purchases: identification and impacts of the ECB’s unconventional policies," Working Paper Series 2564, European Central Bank.
    32. Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2015. "The effectiveness of nonstandard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Staff Reports 752, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    33. Breitenlechner, Max & Gründler, Daniel & Scharler, Johann, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policy announcements and information shocks in the U.S," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    34. Carlos Garriga & Aaron Hedlund, 2019. "Crises in the Housing Market: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Lessons," Working Papers 2019-33, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

  8. Flint Brayton & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2014. "The FRB/US Model: A Tool for Macroeconomic Policy Analysis," FEDS Notes 2014-04-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Trade-Offs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, pages 191-277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Oliver de Groot & Alexander Haas, 2022. "The Signalling Channel of Negative Interest Rates," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1990, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Ichiro Fukunaga & Yui Kishaba & Nao Shibata & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025. "Uncertainty in the Formation of Inflation Expectations in Japan: An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    4. Andrew Burns, 2016. "Potential Output in Asia: Some Forward-Looking Scenarios," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 33(2), pages 28-55, September.
    5. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Jaromir Tonner, 2022. "Current trends in macroeconomic modelling in central banks in light of the turbulent nature of recent events," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Global Economic Outlook - July 2022, pages 14-20, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    8. Pål Boug & Thomas von Brasch & Ådne Cappelen & Roger Hammersland & Håvard Hungnes & Dag Kolsrud & Julia Skretting & Birger Strøm & Trond C. Vigtel, 2022. "Fiscal policy, macroeconomic performance and industry structure in a small open economy," Discussion Papers 984, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    9. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "Central bank forecasting: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
    10. Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, 2025. "Open-sourced central bank macroeconomic models," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data science in central banking: enhancing the access to and sharing of data, volume 64, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Anthony M. Diercks & William Waller, 2017. "Taxes and the Fed : Theory and Evidence from Equities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Adam Golinski & Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025. "The Shadow Rate Model: Let’s Make it Real!," Working papers 1014, Banque de France.
    13. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2022. "A Note on Temporary Supply Shocks with Aggregate Demand Inertia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9603, CESifo.
    14. González-Astudillo, Manuel & Tanvir, Rakeen, 2026. "Hawkish or Dovish? Inferring intended monetary policy from the Fed’s dot plot," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    15. Tobias Adrian & Domenico Giannone & Matteo Luciani & Mike West, 2026. "Risks and Uncertainty in Monetary Policy," Papers 2606.16708, arXiv.org.
    16. Reifschneider, David & Tulip, Peter, 2019. "Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors: The Federal Reserve’s approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1564-1582.
    17. Eric M. Leeper, 2016. "Should Central Banks Care About Fiscal Rules?," NBER Working Papers 22800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. David B. Cashin & Jamie Lenney & Byron F. Lutz & William B. Peterman, 2017. "Fiscal Policy and Aggregate Demand in the U.S. Before, During and Following the Great Recession," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-061, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Alexander Ballantyne & Tom Cusbert & Richard Evans & Rochelle Guttmann & Jonathan Hambur & Adam Hamilton & Elizabeth Kendall & Rachael McCririck & Gabriela Nodari & Daniel M. Rees, 2020. "MARTIN Has Its Place: A Macroeconometric Model of the Australian Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 225-251, September.
    20. Eleni Argiri & Stephen G. Hall & Angeliki Momtsia & Daphne Marina Papadopoulou & Ifigeneia Skotida & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2024. "An evaluation of the inflation forecasting performance of the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 932-947, July.
    21. Georgiadis, Georgios & Jančoková, Martina, 2017. "Financial globalisation, monetary policy spillovers and macro-modelling: tales from 1001 shocks," Working Paper Series 2082, European Central Bank.
    22. Alex Haberis & Richard Harrison & Matthew Waldron, 2017. "Uncertain forward guidance," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 654, Bank of England.
    23. James Dean & Scott Schuh, 2026. "From Conventional to Unconventional Monetary Policy: Is the Taylor Rule an Adequate Representation in Macro Models?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(2), pages 1-48, February.
    24. Anthony Brassil & Mike Major & Peter Rickards, 2022. "MARTIN Gets a Bank Account: Adding a Banking Sector to the RBA's Macroeconometric Model," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2022-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    25. Ugo Dubois & Bruno Ducoudré & Raphaël Martin & Anna Petronevich & Caterina Seghini & Camille Thubin & Harri Turunen, 2026. "Re-estimated FR-BDF: New Features and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Tightening in France," Working papers 1044, Banque de France.
    26. Alice Albonico & Guido Ascari & Qazi Haque, 2020. "The (Ir)Relevance of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-26, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    27. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    28. Lepetit, Antoine & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina, 2022. "The limited power of monetary policy in a pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    29. Ion Pohoata & Delia-Elena Diaconasu & Ioana Negru, 2023. "The independence of Central Banks, a reductio ad impossibile," Papers 2311.10716, arXiv.org.
    30. Adams, Patrick A. & Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomic risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1173-1191.
    31. Aikman, David & Barwell, Richard, 2026. "Reactions to the Bernanke Review from Bank of England watchers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 3-12.
    32. Lukmanova, Elizaveta & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2023. "Evidence on monetary transmission and the role of imperfect information: Interest rate versus inflation target shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    33. Naohisa Hirakata & Kazutoshi Kan & Akihiro Kanafuji & Yosuke Kido & Yui Kishaba & Tomonori Murakoshi & Takeshi Shinohara, 2019. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2019 version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-7, Bank of Japan.

  9. Flint Brayton & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2014. "Optimal-Control Monetary Policy in the FRB/US Model," FEDS Notes 2014-11-21-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Lars E.O. Svensson, 2017. "What Rule for the Federal Reserve? Forecast Targeting," NBER Working Papers 23993, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Thistle, John G. & Miller, Daniel E., 2016. "No free lunch: Fundamental tradeoffs in macroeconomic policy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 104-121.
    3. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2019. "Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve," CEPR Discussion Papers 14247, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Nakata, Taisuke & Ogaki, Ryota & Schmidt, Sebastian & Yoo, Paul, 2019. "Attenuating the forward guidance puzzle: Implications for optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 90-106.
    5. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2025. "Estimating the natural rate of interest in a macro-finance yield curve model," Working Paper Series 3160, European Central Bank.

  10. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2013. "The expectations-driven US current account," Discussion Papers 10/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.

    Cited by:

    1. Kollmann, Robert, 2014. "Exchange Rates Dynamics with Long-Run Risk and Recursive Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 10232, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Ifrim, Adrian & Kollmann, Robert & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner, 2025. "Persistent global growth differences and Euro Area adjustment: real activity, trade and the real exchange rate," MPRA Paper 125401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Harrison, Andre & Reed, Robert R., 2023. "Gross capital inflows, the U.S. economy, and the response of the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Inagaki, Kazuyuki, 2021. "How are the international capital flows of rapidly aging countries affected by the elderly working longer?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 285-297.
    5. Ivan Jaccard, 2019. "Structural Asymmetries and Financial Imbalances," 2019 Meeting Papers 988, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Juan Equiza Goni, 2014. "Sovereign Debt in the U.S. and Growth Expectations," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    7. Dibooglu, Sel & Kapounek, Svatopluk, 2021. "The US current account, sustainability, and the international monetary system," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(4).
    8. Arezki, Rabah & Ramey, Valerie A & Sheng, Liugang, 2015. "News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt9pz945h6, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    9. Ivan Jaccard & Frank Smets, 2020. "Structural Asymmetries and Financial Imbalances in the Eurozone," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 73-102, April.
    10. Daniele Siena, 2021. "The Euro Area Periphery and Imbalances: Is it an Anticipation Story?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 40, pages 278-308, April.

  11. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2012. "Trend growth expectations and US house prices before and after the crisis," Discussion Papers 12/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.

    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Mesly & Hareesh Mavoori & Nicolas Huck, 2023. "The Role of Financial Spinning, Learning, and Predation in Market Failure," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(1), pages 517-543, March.
    2. Pei Kuang, 2014. "A Model of Housing and Credit Cycles with Imperfect Market Knowledge," Discussion Papers 14-07, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    3. Alexander N. Bogin & Stephen D. Bruestle & William M. Doerner, 2015. "How Low Can House Prices Go? Estimating a Conservative Lower Bound," FHFA Staff Working Papers 15-01, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    4. Olivier Mesly & David W. Shanafelt & Nicolas Huck & François‐Éric Racicot, 2020. "From wheel of fortune to wheel of misfortune: Financial crises, cycles, and consumer predation," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(4), pages 1195-1212, December.
    5. Kajuth, Florian, 2021. "Land leverage and the housing market: Evidence from Germany1," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Tianhao Zhi & Zhongfei Li & Zhiqiang Jiang & Lijian Wei & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Is there a housing bubble in China," Papers 1801.03678, arXiv.org.
    7. Bielskis, Karolis & Lastauskas, Povilas, 2024. "The role of housing market and credit on household consumption dynamics: Evidence from the OECD countries," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    8. Juan Equiza Goni, 2014. "Sovereign Debt in the U.S. and Growth Expectations," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Herrmann, Sabine & Kleinert, Jörn, 2014. "Lucas paradox and allocation puzzle: Is the euro area different?," Discussion Papers 06/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. John Fry & Andrew Brint, 2017. "Bubbles, Blind-Spots and Brexit," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-15, July.
    11. Kajuth, Florian, 2020. "The German housing market cycle: Answers to FAQs," Discussion Papers 20/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Michal Jurek & Pawel Marszalek, 2014. "Subprime mortgages and the MBSs in generating and transmitting the global financial crisis," Working papers wpaper40, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    13. Huck, Nicolas & Mavoori, Hareesh & Mesly, Olivier, 2020. "The rationality of irrationality in times of financial crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 337-350.

  12. Vladimir Borgy & Thomas Laubach & Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier & Jean-Paul Renne, 2011. "Fiscal Sustainability, Default Risk and Euro Area Sovereign Bond Spreads Markets," Working papers 350, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Portes, Richard & Delatte, Anne-Laure, 2014. "Nonlinearities in Sovereign Risk Pricing: The Role of CDS Index Contracts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9898, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015. "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series 165, European Central Bank.
    3. Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Giovanni Piersanti, 2014. "Theory and practice of contagion in monetary unions: Domino effects in EMU Mediterranean countries," CIMEO Working Paper Series 109, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    4. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Sovereign risk dynamics in the EU: the time varying relevance of fiscal and external (im)balances," Working Papers REM 2024/0311, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    5. Linas Jurksas & Vitalijus Klincevicius, 2020. "Relevance of Sovereign Bond Valuations Topic in the Speeches of ECB Officials," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 20, Bank of Lithuania.
    6. Giancarlo Corsetti & Keith Kuester & Andre Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2011. "Soverign risk and the effects of fiscal retrenchment in deep recessions," Working Papers 11-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    7. Linas Jurksas & Hector Carcel, 2019. "Euro Area Government Bond Yield and Liquidity Dependence during different Monetary Policy Accommodation Phases," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 60, Bank of Lithuania.
    8. Schmidt, Torsten & Zwick, Lina, 2015. "Uncertainty and episodes of extreme capital flows in the Euro Area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 343-356.
    9. Timo Henckel & Gordon Menzies & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2013. "The Great Recession and the Two Dimensions of European Central Bank Credibility," Working Paper Series 13, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    10. Guillaume Horny & M. Manganelli & Benoit Mojon, 2016. "Measuring Financial Fragmentation in the Euro Area Corporate Bond Market," Working papers 582, Banque de France.
    11. Agnieszka Szczypińska, 2012. "Does the halo effect still hold? Implications for the euro-candidates from the analysis of the EA bond market - the crisis perspective," MF Working Papers 15, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    12. de Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2013. "Self-fulfilling crises in the Eurozone: an empirical test," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 49648, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. De Santis, Roberto A., 2020. "Impact of the Asset Purchase Programme on euro area government bond yields using market news," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 192-209.
    14. Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońca & Rafał Trzeciakowski, 2015. "Windfall of Low Interest Payments and Fiscal Sustainability in the Euro Area: Analysis through Panel Fiscal Reaction Functions," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 475-510, November.
    15. Paolo Canofari & Giancarlo Marini & Giovanni Piersanti, 2014. "Expectations and Systemic Risk in EMU Government Bond Spreads," LEAP Working Papers 2014/1, Luiss Institute for European Analysis and Policy.
    16. CRISTE Adina & LUPU Iulia, 2013. "The Conflict Relation Between the Sovereign Debt of the Euro Area Countries and the Common Monetary Policy As a Potential Source For Geopolitical Changes," Anale. Seria Stiinte Economice. Timisoara, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Tibiscus University of Timisoara, vol. 0, pages 167-173, May.
    17. B. De Backer, 2015. "Decomposition of the dynamics of sovereign yield spreads in the euro area," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 54-75, June.
    18. Nicolas Huchet & Bénédicte Serbini, 2013. "Public finance, banking sector and sovereign bond risk premiums in the Eurozone," Post-Print hal-03124168, HAL.
    19. De Santis, Roberto A., 2012. "The Euro area sovereign debt crisis: safe haven, credit rating agencies and the spread of the fever from Greece, Ireland and Portugal," Working Paper Series 1419, European Central Bank.
    20. Carlo A. Favero, 2012. "Modelling and Forecasting Yield Differentials in the euro area. A non-linear Global VAR model," Working Papers 431, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    21. Bruneau, Catherine & Delatte, Anne-Laure & Fouquau, Julien, 2014. "Was the European sovereign crisis self-fulfilling? Empirical evidence about the drivers of market sentiments," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 38-51.
    22. Agnieszka Szczypińska, 2014. "Does the halo effect still hold? The (post-) crisis perspective for the euro candidates," MF Working Papers 18, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
    23. Britta Niehof, 2014. "Spillover Effects in Government Bond Spreads: Evidence from a GVAR Model," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201458, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    24. Guo, Yanling, 2015. "A reconsideration of multiple equilibria in the analysis of one-period government bonds with default risk," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 9, pages 1-52.
    25. Antonio Di Cesare & Giuseppe Grande & Michele Manna & Marco Taboga, 2012. "Recent estimates of sovereign risk premia for euro-area countries," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 128, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    26. Motto, Roberto & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo, 2015. "Asset purchase programmes and financial markets: lessons from the euro area," Working Paper Series 1864, European Central Bank.
    27. Grosse Steffen, Christoph & Podstawski, Maximilian, 2017. "Ambiguity and Time-Varying Risk Aversion in Sovereign Debt Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168101, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    28. Juha Kilponen & Helinä Laakkonen & Jouko Vilmunen, 2015. "Sovereign Risk, European Crisis-Resolution Policies, and Bond Spreads," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(2), pages 285-323, March.
    29. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Müller, Gernot & Kuester, Keith & Meier, André, 2012. "Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 8779, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    30. Pablo Aguilar Perez, 2025. "Gatekeepers of the Market? IMF Surveillance and Sovereign Access to Global Finance," EconomiX Working Papers 2025-32, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    31. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Papadopoulou, Niki & Müller, Georg, 2020. "Fiscal multipliers with financial fragmentation risk and interactions with monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2418, European Central Bank.
    32. Nicholas Apergis & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2015. "Systemic Sovereign Risk and Asset Prices: Evidence from the CDS Market, Stressed European Economies and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(2), pages 106-126, April.
    33. Lalik, Magdalena, 2017. "Interactions between fiscal multipliers and sovereign risk premium during fiscal consolidation: model based assessment for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2016, European Central Bank.
    34. Matheron, J. & Mojon, B. & Sahuc, J.G., 2012. "The sovereign debt crisis and monetary policy," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 16, pages 155-167, April.
    35. Anne-Laure Delatte & Julien Fouquau & Richard Portes, 2017. "Regime-Dependent Sovereign Risk Pricing During the Euro Crisis," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(1), pages 363-385.
    36. Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Giovanni Piersanti, 2013. "Theory and practice of contagion in monetary unions. Domino effects in EU Mediterranean countries: The case of Greece, Italy and Spain," CIMEO Working Paper Series 98, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    37. Große Steffen, Christoph, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks and non-fundamental debt crises: An ambiguity approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    38. Alberto Locarno & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2013. "Sovereign risk, monetary policy and fiscal multipliers: a structural model-based assessment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 943, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    39. A. Bruggeman & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2013. "Size and dynamics of debt positions in Belgium and in the euro area," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 57-77, June.
    40. Jean-Paul Renne, 2012. "A model of the euro-area yield curve with discrete policy rates," Working papers 395, Banque de France.
    41. Iuliana Matei & Angela Cheptea, 2013. "Sovereign bond spread drivers in the EU market in the aftermath of the global financial crisis," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00845660, HAL.
    42. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Jacquinot, Pascal & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2016. "Parsing financial fragmentation in the euro area: a multi-country DSGE perspective," Working Paper Series 1891, European Central Bank.
    43. Adina Criste, 2013. "Issues Regarding the Conducting of the Euro Area Monetary Policy during the European Debt Crisis," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 9(2), pages 96-106, April.
    44. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 175-202.
    45. Favero, Carlo A., 2013. "Modelling and forecasting government bond spreads in the euro area: A GVAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 343-356.
    46. Samir Kadiric, 2020. "The determinants of sovereign risk premiums in the UK and the European government bond market: The impact of Brexit," EIIW Discussion paper disbei271, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    47. Harold Cole & Daniel Neuhann & Guillermo Ordoñez, 2016. "Information Spillovers in Sovereign Debt Markets," NBER Working Papers 22330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Jagjit S. Chadha & Alex Waters, 2014. "Applying a Macro-Finance Yield Curve to UK Quantitative Easing," Studies in Economics 1418, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    49. Gábor Kutasi, 2017. "Unsustainable Public Debt in a European Fiscal Union?," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 9(1), pages 25-39.
    50. Henckel, Timo & Menzies, Gordon D. & Moffatt, Peter & Zizzo, Daniel J., 2019. "Three dimensions of central bank credibility and inferential expectations: The Euro zone," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 294-308.
    51. Hilberg, Björn & Hollmayr, Josef, 2011. "Asset prices, collateral and unconventional monetary policy in a DSGE model," Working Paper Series 1373, European Central Bank.
    52. D’Agostino, Antonello & Ehrmann, Michael, 2014. "The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads – The times, they are a-changin," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 155-176.
    53. Guo, Yanling, 2015. "The role of lenders' trust in determining borrowing conditions for sovereign debt: An analysis of one-period government bonds with default risk," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-30, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    54. Loewald, Christopher & Wörgötter, Andreas, 2019. "Do monetary unions dream of structural reforms?," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 01/2019, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    55. Hilberg, Björn & Hollmayr, Josef, 2013. "Asset prices, collateral, and unconventional monetary policy in a DSGE model," Discussion Papers 36/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    56. Paolo Canofari & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Giovanni Piersanti, 2014. "Strategic interactions and contagion effects under monetary unions," CIMEO Working Paper Series 110, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).

  13. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael & Laubach, Thomas, 2011. "Long-run growth expectations and 'global imbalances'," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,01, Deutsche Bundesbank.

    Cited by:

    1. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2012. "Trend growth expectations and U.S. house prices before and after the crisis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 394-409.
    2. Liu, Kai & Zhou, Xuan, 2015. "The U.S. Dollar and Global Imbalances," MPRA Paper 64786, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Timo Bettendorf, 2012. "Investigating Global Imbalances: Empirical Evidence from a GVAR Approach," Studies in Economics 1217, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    4. Daniele Siena, 2014. "The European Monetary Union and Imbalances: Is it an Anticipation Story ?," Working papers 501, Banque de France.
    5. Dan Cao & Jean-Paul L'Huillier, 2012. "Technological Revolutions and Debt Hangovers - Is There a Link?," EIEF Working Papers Series 1216, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Feb 2013.
    6. Amdur, David & Ersal Kiziler, Eylem, 2012. "Trend shocks and the countercyclical U.S. current account," MPRA Paper 40147, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  14. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2008. "Welfare-Maximizing Monetary Policy Under Parameter Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2008-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Sala, Luca & Söderström, Ulf & Trigari, Antonella, 2008. "Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in an Estimated Model with Labour Market Frictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 6826, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Anthony Diercks, 2016. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, and Optimal Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 207, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. John B. Taylor & John C. Williams, 2010. "Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 15908, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Wieland, Volker & Cwik, Tobias & Wolters, Maik & Müller, Gernot & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2012. "A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 8814, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    5. Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2009. "Comportement du banquier central en environnement incertain," Working papers 241, Banque de France.
    6. Özer Karagedikli & Troy Matheson & Christie Smith & Shaun P. Vahey, 2007. "RBCs and DSGEs:The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    7. Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2021. "Monetary Policy and House Price Volatility," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 359-379, December.
    8. El-Shagi, Makram, 2025. "Does the Fed adhere to its mandate? Estimating the Federal Reserve’s objective function," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1782-1796.
    9. Williams, John C., 2013. "A defense of moderation in monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 137-150.
    10. Metin Tetik, 2026. "Disentangling the welfare costs of monetary policy inertia: parameter uncertainty and policy delay in Poland’s 2021–2023 inflation episode," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 53(3), pages 753-775, August.
    11. Avouyi-Dovi, Sanvi & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2011. "On the welfare costs of misspecified monetary policy objectives," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 151-161, June.
    12. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2010. "Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 129-143.
    13. Anthony M. Diercks, 2015. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-87, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Paolo Gelain & Simone Manganelli, 2020. "Monetary Policy with Judgment," Working Papers 20-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    15. André P. Calmon & Thomas Vallée & João B. R. Do Val, 2009. "Monetary policy as a source of uncertainty," Working Papers hal-00422454, HAL.
    16. Tillmann Peter, 2021. "Robust Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty About the Lower Bound," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 309-321, January.
    17. Pei-Tha Gan, 2014. "The Optimal Economic Uncertainty Index: A Grid Search Application," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 159-182, February.
    18. Carl Walsh, 2007. "Inflation Targeting and the Role of Real Objectives," Research and Policy Notes 2007/02, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    19. Yibai Yang, 2018. "On the Optimality of IPR Protection with Blocking Patents," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pages 205-230, January.
    20. Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2014. "Resuscitating the ad hoc loss function for monetary policy analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 313-317.
    21. Górajski, Mariusz & Kuchta, Zbigniew, 2023. "Coordination and non-coordination risks of monetary and macroprudential authorities: A robust welfare analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    22. Naoto Soma, 2021. "Parameter Uncertainty and Effective Lower Bound Risk," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.

  15. Thomas Laubach & Robert J. Tetlow & John C. Williams, 2007. "Learning and the Role of Macroeconomic Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2007 Meeting Papers 476, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Eric Gaus & Arunima Sinha, 2015. "Characterizing Investor Expectations for Assets with Varying Risk," Working Papers 15-01, Ursinus College, Department of Economics.
    3. Chan R. Mang, 2014. "Uncertain Risk and Return in Bond Markets, I," 2014 Papers pma1706, Job Market Papers.
    4. Marco Giacoletti & Kristoffer T. Laursen & Kenneth J. Singleton, 2021. "Learning From Disagreement in the U.S. Treasury Bond Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(1), pages 395-441, February.
    5. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Why Have Long-term Treasury Yields Fallen Since the 1980s? Expected Short Rates and Term Premiums in (Quasi-) Real Time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Arunima Sinha, 2016. "Learning and the Yield Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(2-3), pages 513-547, March.
    7. Orphanides, Athanasios & Wei, Min, 2012. "Evolving macroeconomic perceptions and the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 239-254.
    8. Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
    9. Wright, Jonathan & Gürkaynak, Refet, 2010. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," CEPR Discussion Papers 8018, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Rajnish Mehra & Arunima Sinha, 2016. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in India," NBER Working Papers 22020, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Jonathan H. Wright, 2011. "Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(4), pages 1514-1534, June.
    12. Gaus, Eric & Sinha, Arunima, 2018. "What does the yield curve imply about investor expectations?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 248-265.
    13. Shuo Cao, 2018. "Learning about Term Structure Predictability under Uncertainty," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_006, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    14. Halberstadt, Arne, 2015. "The term structure of interest rates and the macroeconomy: Learning about economic dynamics from a FAVAR," Discussion Papers 02/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    15. Doshi, Hitesh & Jacobs, Kris & Liu, Rui, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of the term structure: Long-run and short-run dynamics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 99-122.
    16. J. Benson Durham, 2013. "More on U.S. Treasury term premiums: spot and expected measures," Staff Reports 658, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  16. Thomas Laubach & Robert J. Tetlow & John C. Williams, 2006. "Macroeconomic factors in the term structure of interest rates when agents learn," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 83, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wright, Jonathan & Gürkaynak, Refet, 2010. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," CEPR Discussion Papers 8018, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

  17. Thomas Laubach & Michael Wise, 2005. "Product Market Competition and Economic Performance in Iceland," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 426, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. Tianyu Lu & Hongyu Li, 2024. "Can China’s Regional Industrial Chain Innovation and Reform Policy Make the Impossible Triangle of Energy Attainable? A Causal Inference Study on the Effect of Improving Industrial Chain Resilience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-33, May.
    2. Hüschelrath, Kai, 2008. "Is it Worth all the Trouble? The Costs and Benefits of Antitrust Enforcement," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-107, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

  18. Thomas Laubach, 2005. "Fiscal Relations Across Levels of Government in the United States," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 462, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. Vladimir Gligorov & Adalbert Knöbl & Maciej Krzak, 2006. "Monthly Report No. 4/2006," wiiw Monthly Reports 2006-04, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    2. Beata Guziejewska, 2014. "Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations. Theoretical Aspects And Poland’S Experience," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 9(3), pages 24-32, January.
    3. Hansjörg Blöchliger & Claire Charbit, 2008. "Fiscal equalisation," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2008(1), pages 1-22.
    4. P. Butzen & S. Cheliout & H. Geeroms, 2014. "Lessons from the US for the institutional design of EMU," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 82-101, September.
    5. Hansjörg Blöchliger & José Maria Pinero Campos, 2011. "Tax Competition Between Sub-Central Governments," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 872, OECD Publishing.

  19. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2004. "Learning and Shifts in Long-Run Productivity Growth," Working Paper Series 2004-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Hamid Baghestani, 2011. "A directional analysis of Federal Reserve predictions of growth in unit labor costs and productivity," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 303-311.
    2. Naoko Hara & Hibiki Ichiue, 2010. "Real-time Analysis on Japan's Labor Productivity," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    3. Ichiro Fukunaga & Masashi Saito, 2009. "Asset Prices and Monetary Policy," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 27(1), pages 143-170, November.
    4. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    5. Boz, Emine & Mendoza, Enrique G., 2014. "Financial innovation, the discovery of risk, and the U.S. credit crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-22.
    6. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," Working Paper Series 2016-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Patrick A. Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2016. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," Working Papers halshs-00830480, HAL.
    8. Eichenbaum, Martin & Christiano, Lawrence J. & Lindé, Jesper & Altig, David E, 2005. "Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 4858, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Kiichi Tokuoka & Matthew N. White, 2018. "Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 24377, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2016. "The term structure of expectations and bond yields," Staff Reports 775, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    11. Iscan, Talan B., 2011. "Productivity growth and the U.S. saving rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 501-514, January.
    12. Curatola, Giuliano & Donadelli, Michael & Grüning, Patrick & Meinerding, Christoph, 2016. "Investment-specific shocks, business cycles, and asset prices," SAFE Working Paper Series 129, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    13. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    14. Pakoš, Michal, 2013. "Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1911-1928.
    15. DiCecio, Riccardo, 2009. "Sticky wages and sectoral labor comovement," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 538-553, March.
    16. Peter N. Ireland & Scott Schuh, 2006. "Productivity and U.S. macroeconomic performance: interpreting the past and predicting the future with a two-sector real business cycle model," Working Papers 06-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    17. Kozicki, Sharon & Tinsley, P.A., 2009. "Perhaps the 1970s FOMC did what it said it did," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 842-855, September.
    18. Poloz, Stephen S., 2021. "Technological progress and monetary policy: Managing the fourth industrial revolution," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    19. Daniele Siena, 2020. "Online Appendix to "The Euro Area Periphery and Imbalances: Is it an Anticipation Story?"," Online Appendices 18-141, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    20. Kuang, Pei & Shi, Liang, 2026. "Sovereign debt pricing with shifting long-run growth expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    21. Amisano, Gianni & Fagan, Gabriel, 2013. "Money growth and inflation: A regime switching approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 118-145.
    22. Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Simon van Norden, 2010. "Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity," CAMA Working Papers 2010-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    23. Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
    24. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2025. "How Do We Learn About the Long Run?," Staff Reports 1150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    25. Guido Lorenzoni, 2009. "A Theory of Demand Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(5), pages 2050-2084, December.
    26. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2012. "Trend growth expectations and U.S. house prices before and after the crisis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 394-409.
    27. Rots, Eyno, 2017. "Imperfect information and the house price in a general-equilibrium model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 215-231.
    28. Benati, Luca, 2007. "Drift and breaks in labor productivity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2847-2877, August.
    29. Meredith J. Beechey & Jonathan H. Wright, 2008. "The high-frequency impact of news on long-term yields and forward rates: Is it real?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-39, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    30. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    31. Daniele Siena, 2014. "The European Monetary Union and Imbalances: Is it an Anticipation Story ?," Working papers 501, Banque de France.
    32. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams & Rochelle M. Edge, 2007. "Welfare-Maximizing Monetary Policy under Parameter Uncertainty," 2007 Meeting Papers 311, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik, 2016. "Long-run growth uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 67-80.
    34. Eylem Ersal Kiziler, 2011. "Growth Shocks and Portfolio Flows," Working Papers 11-02, UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics.
    35. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    36. Ms. Silvia Sgherri, 2005. "Long-Run Productivity Shifts and Cyclical Fluctuations: Evidence for Italy," IMF Working Papers 2005/228, International Monetary Fund.
    37. van Norden, Simon, 2011. "Current trends in the analysis of Canadian productivity growth," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 5-25, January.
    38. Emine Boz & Christian Daude & C. Bora Durdu, 2011. "Emerging Market Business Cycles Revisited: Learning about the Trend," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1110, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    39. Edge, Rochelle M. & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2007. "Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2421-2438, November.
    40. Spencer D. Krane, 2011. "Professional Forecasters' View of Permanent and Transitory Shocks to GDP," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 184-211, January.
    41. Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2010. "Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 808-835, October.
    42. Matti Viren, 2006. "Inflation Expectations and Regime Shifts," Discussion Papers 5, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    43. Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios & Alasdair Scott & Jana Eklund, 2008. "Breaks in DSGE models," 2008 Meeting Papers 657, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Muto, Ichiro, 2013. "Productivity growth, transparency, and monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 329-344.
    45. Peter N. Ireland, 2007. "On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 662, Boston College Department of Economics.
    46. Pintus, P. A. & Jacek Suda, 2013. "Learning Leverage Shocks and the Great Recession," Working papers 440, Banque de France.
    47. Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo & Eurilton Araújo & Marcos Valli Jorge & Alexandre Kornelius & Leonardo Sousa Gomes Marinho, 2023. "Brazilian Macroeconomic Dynamics Redux: Shocks, Frictions, and Unemployment in SAMBA Model," Working Papers Series 578, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    48. Richard G. Anderson & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2011. "How does the FOMC learn about economic revolutions? evidence from the New Economy Era, 1994-2001," Working Papers 2011-041, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    49. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2012. "Taylor-type rules and total factor productivity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(Jan), pages 41-64.
    50. Luca Guerrieri & Dale W. Henderson & Jinill Kim, 2005. "Investment-specific and multifactor productivity in multi-sector open economies: data and analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 828, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Fout, Hamilton B. & Francis, Neville R., 2011. "Information-consistent learning and shifts in long-run productivity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 91-94, April.
    52. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2011. "Long-run growth expectations and "global imbalances"," CFS Working Paper Series 2011/01, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    53. Dan Tortorice, 2016. "The Business Cycles Implications of Fluctuating Long Run Expectations," Working Papers 100, Brandeis School of Business and Economics.
    54. Mun S. Ho & Dale W. Jorgenson & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2007. "A retrospective look at the U.S. productivity growth resurgence," Staff Reports 277, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    55. Sharon Kozicki & P. A. Tinsley, 2007. "Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation," Staff Working Papers 07-19, Bank of Canada.
    56. Spencer D. Krane, 2006. "How professional forecasters view shocks to GDP," Working Paper Series WP-06-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    57. Luigi Bocola & Nils M. Gornemann, 2013. "Risk, economic growth and the value of U.S. corporations," Working Papers 13-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    58. Riccardo DiCecio, 2008. "Comovement: it's not a puzzle," 2008 Meeting Papers 884, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    59. Pei Kuang & Kaushik Mitra & Li Tang, 2022. "Output Gap Estimation and Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge," Discussion Papers 22-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    60. Simon Gilchrist & Masashi Saito, 2008. "Expectations, Asset Prices, and Monetary Policy: The Role of Learning," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 45-102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    61. Dean Croushore, 2011. "Frontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 72-100, March.
    62. Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Forecasting in macroeconomics," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 17, pages 381-408, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    63. Boz, Emine & Daude, Christian & Bora Durdu, C., 2011. "Emerging market business cycles: Learning about the trend," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 616-631.
    64. Juan Equiza Goni, 2014. "Sovereign Debt in the U.S. and Growth Expectations," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    65. Stefano Eusepi & Richard Crump & Emanuel Moench & Philippe Andrade, 2014. "Noisy Information and Fundamental Disagreement," 2014 Meeting Papers 797, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    66. Stephen S. Poloz, 2019. "Technological Progress and Monetary Policy: Managing the Fourth Industrial Revolution," Discussion Papers 2019-11, Bank of Canada.
    67. Selgin, George & Lastrapes, William D. & White, Lawrence H., 2012. "Has the Fed been a failure?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 569-596.
    68. Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolín-Díaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    69. Fernald, John G., 2007. "Trend breaks, long-run restrictions, and contractionary technology improvements," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2467-2485, November.
    70. Ippei Fujiwara, 2008. "Growth Expectation," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-21, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    71. Coenen, Günter & Karadi, Peter & Schmidt, Sebastian & Warne, Anders, 2018. "The New Area-Wide Model II: an extended version of the ECB’s micro-founded model for forecasting and policy analysis with a financial sector," Working Paper Series 2200, European Central Bank.
    72. van den End, Jan Willem & Hoeberichts, Marco, 2018. "Low real rates as driver of secular stagnation: Empirical assessment," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 29-40.
    73. John C. Williams, 2004. "Robust Estimation and Monetary Policy with Unobserved Structural Change," Working Paper Series 2004-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    74. Virén, Matti, 2005. "Inflation expectations and regime shifts in the euro area," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 25/2005, Bank of Finland.
    75. James A. Kahn, 2008. "What drives housing prices?," Staff Reports 345, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    76. Richard Dion & Robert Fay, 2008. "Understanding Productivity: A Review of Recent Technical Research," Discussion Papers 08-3, Bank of Canada.
    77. Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2008. "Expectations, Learning and Business Cycle Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 14181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    78. Chien-Chiang Lee & Chin-Yu Wang & Jhih-Hong Zeng, 2017. "Housing price–volume correlations and boom–bust cycles," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1423-1450, June.
    79. Kuusi Tero, 2018. "Output Gap Uncertainty and the Optimal Fiscal Policy in the EU," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 69(2), pages 111-146, August.
    80. Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013. "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports 655, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    81. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2022. "Business cycle dynamics when neutral and investment-specific technology shocks are imperfectly observable," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    82. Krause, Michael & Hoffmann, Mathias & Laubach, Thomas, 2013. "The Expectations-Driven U.S. Current Account," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79854, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    83. Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc P. & Preston, Bruce, 2018. "Some implications of learning for price stability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-20.
    84. Tanaka, Hiroatsu, 2025. "Equilibrium yield curves with imperfect information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    85. Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & van Norden, Simon, 2016. "Why are initial estimates of productivity growth so unreliable?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 200-213.
    86. John G. Fernald, 2007. "Trend Breaks, Long-Run Restrictions, and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Improvements," Working Paper Series 2005-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    87. Andrew Levin, 2007. "Comment on "Monetary Policy in Europe versus the United States: What Explains the Difference?"," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 533-545, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    88. Den Haan, Wouter & Kaltenbrunner, Georg, 2007. "Anticipated Growth and Business Cycles in Matching Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6063, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    89. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
    90. Gregory Thwaites, 2006. "Optimal emerging market fiscal policy when trend output growth is unobserved," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 308, Bank of England.
    91. Igor G. Pospelov & Stanislav A. Radionov, 2014. "On The Social Efficiency In Monopolistic Competitioin Models," HSE Working papers WP BRP 80/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    92. Olmos, Lorena & Sanso Frago, Marcos, 2014. "Non-linear effects of the U.S. Monetary Policy in the Long Run," MPRA Paper 57770, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    93. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
    94. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2009. "Taylor-type rules and permanent shifts in productivity growth," Working Papers 2009-049, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    95. Talan B. Işcan, 2008. "Productivity Growth and the Future of the U.S. Saving Rate," Working Papers daleconwp2009-02, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.

  20. Rochelle Edge & Thomas Laubach, 2004. "Learning and Shifts in Long-Run Growth," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 123, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Eichenbaum, Martin & Christiano, Lawrence J. & Lindé, Jesper & Altig, David E, 2005. "Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 4858, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Benati, Luca, 2007. "Drift and breaks in labor productivity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2847-2877, August.
    3. Ms. Silvia Sgherri, 2005. "Long-Run Productivity Shifts and Cyclical Fluctuations: Evidence for Italy," IMF Working Papers 2005/228, International Monetary Fund.
    4. van Norden, Simon, 2011. "Current trends in the analysis of Canadian productivity growth," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 5-25, January.
    5. Matti Viren, 2006. "Inflation Expectations and Regime Shifts," Discussion Papers 5, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    6. Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios & Alasdair Scott & Jana Eklund, 2008. "Breaks in DSGE models," 2008 Meeting Papers 657, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Peter N. Ireland, 2007. "On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 662, Boston College Department of Economics.
    8. Richard G. Anderson & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2011. "How does the FOMC learn about economic revolutions? evidence from the New Economy Era, 1994-2001," Working Papers 2011-041, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    9. Mun S. Ho & Dale W. Jorgenson & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2007. "A retrospective look at the U.S. productivity growth resurgence," Staff Reports 277, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    10. Sharon Kozicki & P. A. Tinsley, 2007. "Perhaps the FOMC Did What It Said It Did: An Alternative Interpretation of the Great Inflation," Staff Working Papers 07-19, Bank of Canada.
    11. Spencer D. Krane, 2006. "How professional forecasters view shocks to GDP," Working Paper Series WP-06-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    12. Riccardo DiCecio, 2008. "Comovement: it's not a puzzle," 2008 Meeting Papers 884, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Simon Gilchrist & Masashi Saito, 2008. "Expectations, Asset Prices, and Monetary Policy: The Role of Learning," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 45-102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Peter N. Ireland & Scott Schuh, 2006. "Productivity and U.S. Macroeconomic Performance: Interpreting the Past and Predicting the Future with a Two-Sector Real Business Cycle Model," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 642, Boston College Department of Economics.
    15. Virén, Matti, 2005. "Inflation expectations and regime shifts in the euro area," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 25/2005, Bank of Finland.
    16. Richard Dion & Robert Fay, 2008. "Understanding Productivity: A Review of Recent Technical Research," Discussion Papers 08-3, Bank of Canada.
    17. John G. Fernald, 2007. "Trend Breaks, Long-Run Restrictions, and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Improvements," Working Paper Series 2005-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    18. Andrew Levin, 2007. "Comment on "Monetary Policy in Europe versus the United States: What Explains the Difference?"," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 533-545, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Den Haan, Wouter & Kaltenbrunner, Georg, 2007. "Anticipated Growth and Business Cycles in Matching Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6063, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    20. Dean Croushore, 2008. "Frontiers of real-time data analysis," Working Papers 08-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    21. Gregory Thwaites, 2006. "Optimal emerging market fiscal policy when trend output growth is unobserved," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 308, Bank of England.

  21. Rochelle Edge & Thomas Laubach, 2003. "The Optimal Monetary Policy Response to Shifts in Trend MFP Growth: A DGE Analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 93, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Nuno Alves, 2004. "The Monetary Transmission in the US and the Euro Area: Common Features and Common Frictions," Working Papers w200414, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.

  22. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2003. "The Responses of Wages and Prices to Technology Shocks," Working Paper Series 2003-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Julien Matheron & Céline Poilly, 2006. "How Well Does a Small Structural Model with Sticky Prices and Wages Fit Postwar U.S. Data?," Working papers 148, Banque de France.
    2. Eichenbaum, Martin & Christiano, Lawrence J. & Lindé, Jesper & Altig, David E, 2005. "Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 4858, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
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    6. Danthine, Jean-Pierre & Kurmann, André, 2010. "The business cycle implications of reciprocity in labor relations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(7), pages 837-850, October.
    7. Bianca De Paoli, Alasdair Scott, Olaf Weeken, 2007. "Asset pricing implications for a New Keynesian model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 156, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    8. Momo Komatsu, 2023. "The effect of wage rigidity on the transmission of monetary policy to inequality," Economics Series Working Papers 1004, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    9. Dupor, Bill & Han, Jing & Tsai, Yi-Chan, 2009. "What do technology shocks tell us about the New Keynesian paradigm?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 560-569, May.
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    11. Edge, Rochelle M. & Kiley, Michael T. & Laforte, Jean-Philippe, 2008. "Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2512-2535, August.
    12. Nuno Alves, 2004. "A Flexible View on Prices," Working Papers w200406, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    13. Bhattarai, Keshab & Trzeciakiewicz, Dawid, 2017. "Macroeconomic impacts of fiscal policy shocks in the UK: A DSGE analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 321-338.
    14. Luca Guerrieri & Dale W. Henderson & Jinill Kim, 2005. "Investment-specific and multifactor productivity in multi-sector open economies: data and analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 828, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Richard Dennis, 2005. "Specifying and Estimating New Keynesian Models with Instrument Rules and Optimal Monetary Policies," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    16. Timothy Cogley & Argia M. Sbordone, 2006. "Trend inflation and inflation persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Staff Reports 270, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    17. Andrew T. Levin & Alexei Onatski & John C. Williams & Noah Williams, 2005. "Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models," NBER Working Papers 11523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Richard Harrison & Özlem Oomen, 2010. "Evaluating and estimating a DSGE model for the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 380, Bank of England.
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    20. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Grajales Olarte, Anderson & Uras, Burak, 2020. "Heterogeneity in wage setting behavior in a New-Keynesian Model," Other publications TiSEM 24069cb1-ed64-4367-9a37-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    21. Luigi Paciello, 2009. "Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?," EIEF Working Papers Series 0917, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Apr 2011.
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    Cited by:

    1. Francisco Gomes & Alexander Michaelides & Valery Polkovnichenko, 2009. "Quantifying the Distortionary Fiscal Cost of ‘The Bailout’," Working Papers 2009-6, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    2. Ian Hurst & Iana Liadze & Jack Meaning, 2016. "The monetary and fiscal framework of the EMU in times of high debt and constrained interest rates," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 467, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    3. Alexandr Hobza & Gilles Mourre, 2010. "Quantifying the potential macroeconomic effects of the Europe 2020 strategy: stylised scenarios," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 424, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    4. Clinton, Kevin & Kumhof, Michael & Laxton, Douglas & Mursula, Susanna, 2011. "Deficit reduction: Short-term pain for long-term gain," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 118-139, January.
    5. Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Rother, Philipp, 2010. "The impact of high and growing government debt on economic growth: an empirical investigation for the euro area," Working Paper Series 1237, European Central Bank.
    6. Wisniewski, Tomasz P. & Pathan, Saima K., 2014. "Political environment and foreign direct investment: Evidence from OECD countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 13-23.
    7. Xavier Timbeau & Ofce Observatoire Français Des Conjonctures Économiques, 2014. "From austerity to stagnation how to avoid the deflation trap," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03603164, HAL.
    8. Michal Brzoza-Brzezina & Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma, 2007. "Mr. Wicksell and the global economy: What drives real interest rates?," Working Papers 2007-06, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    9. Marco Battaglini & Levon Barseghyan, 2015. "Political Economy of Debt and Growth," NBER Working Papers 21660, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti, 2014. "Government Spending Shocks in Open Economy VARs," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 105, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    11. Salvatore Dell’Erba & Emanuele Baldacci & Tigran Poghosyan, 2013. "Spatial spillovers in emerging market spreads," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 735-756, October.
    12. Martins, Manuel M.F. & Afonso, António, 2010. "Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour," Working Paper Series 1276, European Central Bank.
    13. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Balázs Égert & Oliver Röhn, 2010. "Counter-cyclical Economic Policy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 760, OECD Publishing.
    14. Wang, Shu-Ling, 2021. "Fiscal stimulus in a high-debt economy? A DSGE analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 118-135.
    15. Kameda, Keigo, 2014. "Budget deficits, government debt, and long-term interest rates in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 105-124.
    16. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2019. "Inequality, the risk of secular stagnation and the increase in household deb," Working Paper Research 375, National Bank of Belgium.
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    18. Joerg Bibow, 2004. "Fiscal Consolidation Contrasting Strategies & Lessons from International Experience," Macroeconomics 0402014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2015. "Public debt and growth: Heterogeneity and non-linearity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 45-58.
    20. Angeliki Papana & Catherine Kyrtsou & Dimitris Kugiumtzis & Cees Diks, 2016. "Detecting Causality in Non-stationary Time Series Using Partial Symbolic Transfer Entropy: Evidence in Financial Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(3), pages 341-365, March.
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    22. Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015. "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series 165, European Central Bank.
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    45. Arghyrou, Michael G. & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2010. "The EMU sovereign-debt crisis: Fundamentals, expectations and contagion," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-81, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
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    47. Ms. Senay Agca & Ms. Deniz O Igan, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation and the Cost of Credit: Evidence from Syndicated Loans," IMF Working Papers 2013/036, International Monetary Fund.
    48. Guillaume Belly & Lukas Boeckelmann & Carlos Mateo Caicedo Graciano & Alberto Di Iorio & Klodiana Istrefi & Vasileios Siakoulis & Arthur Stalla‐Bourdillon, 2023. "Forecasting sovereign risk in the Euro area via machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 657-684, April.
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    53. Gerhard Reitschuler & Rupert Sendlhofer, 2011. "Fiscal policy, trigger points and interest rates: Additional evidence from the U.S," Working Papers 2011-23, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
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    Cited by:

    1. Leith, Campbell & Moldovan, Ioana & Rossi, Raffaele, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Habits in Consumption," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-55, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    2. Chan, Ying Tung, 2020. "Optimal emissions tax rates under habit formation and social comparisons," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Eric Jondeau & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2004. "Optimal Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area with Cross-country Heterogeneity," Documents de recherche 04-13, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    4. Anthony Diercks, 2016. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, and Optimal Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 207, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Sedjro Aaron Alovokpinhou & Christopher Malikane & Tshepo Mokoka, 2022. "Inventory dynamics and endogenous persistence in a new Keynesian model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(17), pages 1957-1973, April.
    6. Holger Kraft & Claus Munk & Frank Thomas Seifried & Sebastian Wagner, 2017. "Consumption habits and humps," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(2), pages 305-330, August.
    7. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2012. "Habits, Saving Propensity, And Economic Growth," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 11(2), pages 3-15.
    8. Nimark, Kristoffer, 2008. "Monetary policy with signal extraction from the bond market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1389-1400, November.
    9. Javier Andres & J. David López-Salido & Edward Nelson, 2007. "Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the Euro area," Working Papers 2007-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    10. Richard Dennis, 2009. "Consumption Habits in a New Keynesian Business Cycle Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(5), pages 1015-1030, August.
    11. Budria, Santiago & Díaz, Antonia, 2006. "Term premium and equity premium in economies with habit formation," UC3M Working papers. Economics we065522, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    12. Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15163, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    13. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 2002. "Rule-of-thumb behaviour and monetary policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-5, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Ramdane Djoudad & Céline Gauthier, 2003. "A Small Dynamic Hybrid Model for the Euro Area," Staff Working Papers 03-19, Bank of Canada.
    15. Andres, Javier & Lopez-Salido, J. David & Nelson, Edward, 2005. "Sticky-price models and the natural rate hypothesis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(5), pages 1025-1053, July.
    16. Alexei Onatski & Noah Williams, 2004. "Empirical and policy performance of a forward-looking monetary model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    17. Shu-Hua Chen, 2012. "On the Growth and Stability Effects of Habit Formation and Durability in Consumption," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 13(2), pages 283-298, November.
    18. Olivier Loisel, 2004. "Monetary policy rules to preclude booms and busts," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 56, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    19. Vladimir Kühl Teles & Joaquim P. Andrade, 2005. "Crime And Punishment With Habit Formation," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 090, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    20. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Habit formation and its implications for small open economies," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 11, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    21. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "Exchange Rates, Inflation and Monetary Policy Objectives in Open Economies: The Experience of Chile," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 298, Econometric Society.
    22. Hsieh Hsih-chia & Hsieh Pei-gin, 2004. "A Generalized Theory of Monetary and Macroeconomics," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 50, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    23. Tae-Seok Jang, 2012. "Structural Estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: A Formal Test of Backward- and Forward-Looking Behavior," Advances in Econometrics, in: DSGE Models in Macroeconomics: Estimation, Evaluation, and New Developments, pages 421-467, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    24. Roberts John M., 2005. "How Well Does the New Keynesian Sticky-Price Model Fit the Data?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-39, September.
    25. Livio Stracca, 2007. "A Speed Limit Monetary Policy Rule for the Euro Area," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 21-41, March.
    26. Fabio Milani, 2005. "Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence," Working Papers 050608, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    27. Xiaoshan Che & Eric M. Leepe & Campbell Leith, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - conflict or cooperation?," Working Papers 2015_14, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    28. Chang, Ming-Jen & Chang, Juin-Jen & Shieh, Jhy-Yuan, 2014. "Keeping up with the Joneses and exchange rate volatility in a Redux model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 569-584.
    29. Givens, Gregory, 2015. "On the Gains from Monetary Policy Commitment under Deep Habits," MPRA Paper 67996, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Andrew Levin & Volker Wieland & John C. Williams, 2003. "The Performance of Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(3), pages 622-645, June.
    31. John M. Roberts, 2006. "Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(3), September.
    32. Lees, Kirdan, 2007. "How large are the gains to commitment policy and optimal delegation for New Zealand?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 959-975, December.
    33. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2013. "Dynamic Interactions among Growth, Environmental Change, Habit Formation, and Preference Change," The International Journal of Economic Behavior - IJEB, Faculty of Business and Administration, University of Bucharest, vol. 3(1), pages 3-25, December.
    34. Irina Khvostova & Alexander Larin & Anna Novak, 2014. "Euler equation with habits and measurement errors: estimates on Russian micro data," HSE Working papers WP BRP 52/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    35. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2022. "A Note on Temporary Supply Shocks with Aggregate Demand Inertia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9603, CESifo.
    36. Gregory Erin Givens & Michael K. Salemi, 2006. "Generalized Method of Moments and Inverse Control," Working Papers 200603, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    37. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000303, UCLA Department of Economics.
    38. Müller, Gernot J. & Meier, André, 2005. "Fleshing out the monetary transmission mechanism: output composition and the role of financial frictions," Working Paper Series 500, European Central Bank.
    39. Plasmans, J.E.J. & Fornero, J. & Michalak, T., 2007. "A Microfounded Sectoral Model for Open Economies," Discussion Paper 2007-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    40. Richard Dennis & Federico Ravenna, 2007. "Learning and Optimal Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2007-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    41. Kristoffer Nimark, 2006. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Real-time Signal Extraction from the Bond Market," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2006-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    42. Richard Dennis, 2003. "New Keynesian Optimal Policy Models: An Empirical Assessment," Working Paper Series 2003-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    43. Xiaoshan Chen & Eric M. Leeper & Campbell B. Leith, 2020. "Strategic Interactions in U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policies," NBER Working Papers 27540, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Casares, Miguel, 2009. "Wage setting actors and sticky wages: Implications for the business cycle and optimal monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 571-585, May.
    45. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 40278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    46. Santoro, Emiliano & Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014. "Loss aversion and the asymmetric transmission of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 19-36.
    47. James M. Nason & Takashi Kano, 2004. "Business Cycle Implications of Habit Formation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 175, Society for Computational Economics.
    48. Fair, Ray C., 2007. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 1, pages 1-52.
    49. Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni, 2003. "Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?," NBER Working Papers 9459, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Yongseung Jung, 2026. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy With Habit Persistence," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 2-28, April.
    51. John M. Roberts, 2005. "Using structural shocks to identify models of investment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-69, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    52. Yulei Luo, 2005. "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," Macroeconomics 0505011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Jun 2005.
    53. Luis Pacheco, 2008. "Asset Prices in Monetary Policy Rules: Should they stay or should they go?," Working Papers 4/2008, Universidade Portucalense, Centro de Investigação em Gestão e Economia (CIGE).
    54. Rodrigo Caputo, 2004. "External Shocks and Monetary Policy: Does it Pay to Respond to Exchange Rate Deviations?," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 300, Econometric Society.
    55. Kapinos, Pavel, 2011. "Forward-looking monetary policy and anticipated shocks to inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 620-633.
    56. Ray Fair, 2006. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2483, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Aug 2007.
    57. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian model: A formal test of backward- and forward-looking behavior," Economics Working Papers 2012-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    58. Anthony M. Diercks, 2015. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-87, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    59. Richard Dennis, 2005. "Specifying and Estimating New Keynesian Models with Instrument Rules and Optimal Monetary Policies," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    60. Jung, Yongseung, 2007. "Can the new open economy macroeconomic model explain exchange rate fluctuations?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 381-408, July.
    61. Huu Tuyen Tran, 2024. "Heterogeneous consumption behaviors and monetary policy in three ASEAN economies," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 817-844, October.
    62. Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2009. "Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus in the Short and Long Runs," NBER Working Papers 15153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    63. Bianca De Paoli & Pawel Zabczyk, 2012. "Cyclical Risk Aversion, Precautionary Saving and Monetary Policy," CEP Discussion Papers dp1132, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    64. ZHANG, Wei-Bin, 2013. "Habit Formation And Preference Change In A Twosector Growth Model With Elastic Labor Supply," Academica Science Journal, Economica Series, Dimitrie Cantemir University, Faculty of Economical Science, vol. 1(2), pages 3-20, May.
    65. Bennett T. McCallum, 2005. "A Monetary Policy Rule for Automatic Prevention of a Liquidity Trap," NBER Working Papers 11056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    66. Fusaro, Marc Anthony & Dutkowsky, Donald H., 2011. "What explains consumption in the very short-run? Evidence from checking account data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 542-552.
    67. Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell & Chen, Xiaoshan, 2013. "How Optimal is US Monetary Policy?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-53, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    68. Miguel Casares, 2007. "Wage Setting Actors, StickyWages, and Optimal Monetary Policy," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 0701, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra.
    69. Corrado, Luisa & Holly, Sean, 2011. "Multiplicative habit formation and consumption: A note," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 116-119.
    70. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    71. Alejandro SALAZAR-ADAMS & Nicolás PINEDA-PABLOS, 2010. "Policies for Meeting Future Water Needs in Mexican Cities," EcoMod2010 259600147, EcoMod.
    72. Dennis, Richard, 2022. "Computing time-consistent equilibria: A perturbation approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    73. Richard Dennis, 2004. "Inferring Policy Objectives from Economic Outcomes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(s1), pages 735-764, September.
    74. Katharine Neiss & Edward Nelson, 2002. "Inflation dynamics, marginal cost, and the output gap: evidence from three countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    75. Guangling (Dave) Liu, 2011. "Will the SARB always succeed in fighting inflation with contractionary policy?," Working Papers 15/2011, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    76. Federico Ravenna, 2014. "How Central Banks Learn the True Model of the Economy," Cahiers de recherche 1409, CIRPEE.
    77. Amato, Jeffery D. & Laubach, Thomas, 2004. "Implications of habit formation for optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 305-325, March.
    78. Shin-Ichi Nishiyama, 2009. "Monetary Policy Lag, Zero Lower Bound, and Inflation Targeting," Staff Working Papers 09-2, Bank of Canada.
    79. Santiago Budría & Antonia Díaz, 2006. "Term and Equity Premium in Economies with Habit Formation," Working Papers 2006-23, FEDEA.
    80. Dennis, Richard & Soderstrom, Ulf, 2006. "How Important Is Precommitment for Monetary Policy?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(4), pages 847-872, June.
    81. Corrado, L. & Holly, S. & Raissi, M., 2012. "Persistent Habits, optimal Monetary Policy Inertia and Interest Rate Smoothing," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1247, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    82. Tervala, Juha, 2012. "Keeping up with the Joneses and the welfare effects of monetary policy," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 104-111.
    83. Feldkord, Eva-Ulrike, 2005. "On the relevance of monetary aggregates in monetary policy models," HWWA Discussion Papers 317, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    84. Yulei Luo, 2005. "Consumption Dynamics, Asset Pricing, and Welfare Effects under Information Processing Constraints," 2005 Meeting Papers 345, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    85. Javier Andrés & J. David López-Salido & Javier Vallés, 2006. "Money in an Estimated Business Cycle Model of the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 457-477, April.
    86. Miguel Casares, 2007. "Monetary Policy Rules in a New Keynesian Euro Area Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(4), pages 875-900, June.
    87. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 39669, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    88. Kam, Timothy, 2007. "Interest-rate smoothing in a two-sector small open economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 283-304, June.
    89. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2016. "Population Growth And Preference Change In A Generalized Solow Growth Model With Gender Time Distributions," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 7-30, September.
    90. Kirdan Lees, 2003. "The stabilisation problem: the case of New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2003/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    91. Kirdan Lees, 2004. "Uncertainty and the open economy: a view through two different lenses," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 235, Econometric Society.
    92. Feldkord, Eva-Ulrike, 2005. "On the Relevance of Monetary Aggregates in Monetary Policy Models," Discussion Paper Series 26343, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
    93. Ascari, Guido & Magnusson, Leandro M. & Mavroeidis, Sophocles, 2021. "Empirical evidence on the Euler equation for consumption in the US," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 129-152.
    94. Rhee, Hyuk-jae & Turdaliev, Nurlan, 2012. "Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy with inflation and output persistence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2533-2542.
    95. Timothy Kam, 2003. "The Value of Interest-rate Smoothing in a Forward-looking Small Open Economy," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 03-12, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    96. Górajski, Mariusz & Kuchta, Zbigniew & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2023. "Price-setting heterogeneity and robust monetary policy in a two-sector DSGE model of a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    97. Yongseung Jung, 2015. "Price Stability in Economies with Habit Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(4), pages 517-549, June.
    98. Zhang Wei-Bin, 2013. "Habit Formation and Preference Change with Capital and Renewable Resources," Business Systems Research, Paradigm, vol. 4(2), pages 108-125, December.
    99. Richard Dennis, 2001. "Precommitment, the Timeless Perspective, and Policymaking from Behind a Veil of Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2001-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    100. Marc P. Giannoni & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal Inflation Targeting Rules," NBER Working Papers 9939, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  25. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 2001. "Rule-of-Thumb Behaviour and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-05, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Philip Arestis & Georgios Chortareas & John D. Tsoukalas, 2010. "Money and Information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis Framework," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
    2. Annabelle Mourougane & Lukas Vogel, 2008. "Speed of Adjustment to Selected Labour Market and Tax Reforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 647, OECD Publishing.
    3. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Hoogduin, Lex & van der Cruijsen, Carin, 2008. "Optimal Central Bank Transparency," CEPR Discussion Papers 6889, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Rahul Anand & Eswar S. Prasad, 2010. "Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets," NBER Working Papers 16290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Carlos Garcia & Jorge Restrepo & Mr. Scott Roger, 2009. "Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes," IMF Working Papers 2009/234, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Pierpaolo Benigno & J. David López-Salido, 2002. "Inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy in the Euro Area," Working Papers 0215, Banco de España.
    7. Çebi, Cem, 2012. "The interaction between monetary and fiscal policies in Turkey: An estimated New Keynesian DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1258-1267.
    8. Guse, E., 2005. "Learning in a Misspecified Multivariate Self-referential Linear Stochastic Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0548, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Trigari, Antonella, 2004. "Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics," Working Paper Series 304, European Central Bank.
    10. Welz, Peter, 2006. "Assessing predetermined expectations in the standard sticky-price model: a Bayesian approach," Working Paper Series 621, European Central Bank.
    11. Richard Mash, 2004. "Optimising microfoundations for observed inflation persistence," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 60, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    12. Cem Cebi, 2011. "The Interaction between Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Turkey: An Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model (Yeni Keynesyen Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli er evesinde T rkiye de Para ve Maliye Politikalarinin Etkilesimi )," Working Papers 1104, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    13. Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco, 2019. "Beliefs formation and the puzzle of forward guidance power," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 20-32.
    14. Malik, Hamza & Scarth, William, 2005. "Is Price Flexibility De-Stabilizing? A Reconsideration," MPRA Paper 457, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2006.
    15. Oliver Hülsewig & Eric Mayer & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2006. "Bank Behavior and the Cost Channel of Monetary Transmission," CESifo Working Paper Series 1813, CESifo.
    16. Mavromatis, Konstantinos, 2012. "Markov Switching Monetary Policy in a two-country DSGE Model," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 982, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    17. Kimura, Takeshi & Kurozumi, Takushi, 2004. "Effectiveness of history-dependent monetary policy," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 330-361, September.
    18. Brad E. Strum, 2010. "Inflation persistence, backward-looking firms, and monetary policy in an input-output economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-55, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Richard Mash, 2003. "New Keynesian Microfoundations Revisited: A Calvo-Taylor-Rule-of-Thumb Model and Optimal Monetary Policy Delegation," Economics Series Working Papers 174, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    20. Takeshi Kimura & Takushi Kurozumi, 2003. "Optimal monetary policy in a micro-founded model with parameter uncertainty," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-67, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marco Manzo, 2010. "Fiscal Policy Under Balanced Budget And Indeterminacy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(4), pages 455-472, September.
    22. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi, 2005. "Heterogeneous Consumers, Demand Regimes, Monetary Policy Efficacy and Determinacy," Macroeconomics 0508028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Camelia Ioana Ucenic & Laura Bacali, 2008. "The Impact of the Advance of SME's for the Romanian Economy," Working Papers 0804, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    24. Jordi Galí & J. David López Salido & Javier Vallés, 2003. "Rule-of-thumb consumers and the design of interest rate rules," Working Papers 0320, Banco de España.
    25. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2006. "Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: An International Empirical Comparison," Working Papers in Public Economics 97, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    26. Jagjit Chadha & Sean Holly, 2006. "Macroeconomic Models and the Yield Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 105, Society for Computational Economics.
    27. Ida, Daisuke & Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy delegation in a small-open new Keynesian model with robust control," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    28. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2007. "Monetary Policy, Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: An International Comparison," Working Papers 0727, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    29. Jean-Paul Lam, 2010. "The Importance of Commitment in the New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 1008, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2010.
    30. Leith, Campbell & Malley, Jim, 2005. "Estimated general equilibrium models for the evaluation of monetary policy in the US and Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(8), pages 2137-2159, November.
    31. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2009. "Monetary Policy, Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: A G7 Comparison," Quaderni di Dipartimento 101, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    32. Andrea Colciago, 2006. "Sticky wages and rule of thumb consumers," Working Papers 98, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2006.
    33. Eric Jondeau & Hervé Le Bihan, 2003. "ML vs GMM Estimates of Hybrid Macroeconomic Models (With an Application to the New Phillips Curve)," Working papers 103, Banque de France.
    34. Leitemo, Kai & Söderström, Ulf, 2001. "Simple Monetary Policy Rules and Exchange Rate Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 122, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    35. Tae-Seok Jang, 2012. "Structural Estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: A Formal Test of Backward- and Forward-Looking Behavior," Advances in Econometrics, in: DSGE Models in Macroeconomics: Estimation, Evaluation, and New Developments, pages 421-467, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    36. Marco Di Pietro & Luigi Marattin & Raoul Minetti, 2020. "Fiscal Policies Amid a Pandemic: The Response of Italy to the COVID-19 Crisis," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 73(3), pages 927-950, September.
    37. Lengnick, Matthias & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2014. "Optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with animal spirits and financial markets," Economics Working Papers 2014-12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    38. Cavalcanti, Marco A, 2010. "Desinflação Ótima na Presença de Inércia Inflacionária, Formação de Hábito e Fricções Monetárias," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(4), December.
    39. Guy Segal, 2021. "Using Conventional Monetary Policy Unconventionally: Overturning Inflation and Output Gap Dynamics Using a Super-Inertial Interest Rate Rule," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2021.05, Bank of Israel.
    40. Garcia, Carlos J. & Restrepo, Jorge E. & Roger, Scott, 2011. "How much should inflation targeters care about the exchange rate?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1590-1617.
    41. Fabio Milani, 2004. "Monetary Policy with a Wider Information Set: a Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Macroeconomics 0401004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Fabio Milani, 2005. "Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence," Working Papers 050608, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    43. Ignazio Angeloni & Günter Coenen & Frank Smets, 2003. "Persistence, The Transmission Mechanism And Robust Monetary Policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 50(5), pages 527-549, November.
    44. Charalampidis, Nikolaos, 2022. "Top income shares, inequality, and business cycles: United States, 1957–2016," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    45. Nobuyuki Oda & Takashi Nagahata, 2005. "On the Function of the Zero Interest Rate Commitment: Monetary Policy Rules in the Presence of the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 05-E-1, Bank of Japan.
    46. Egil Matsen & Tommy Sveen & Ragnar Torvik, 2005. "Savers, Spenders and Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 1618, CESifo.
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    629. Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019. "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 477, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    630. Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2021. "Model-based indicators for the identification of cyclical systemic risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3179-3211, December.
    631. Maurice Obstfeld, 2025. "Natural and Neutral Real Interest Rates: Past and Future," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 339-392, June.
    632. Tohru Morita, 2024. "Multicountry Time-Varying Taylor Rule: Modeling Unconventional Monetary Policies and Bond Premiums," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 30(2), pages 135-158, May.
    633. Tweneboah Senzu, Emmanuel, 2021. "Eco-currency: Proposition of a monetary policy design for a unitary currency program of a frailty economic zone," MPRA Paper 108527, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    634. Selgin, George & Beckworth, David & Bahadir, Berrak, 2015. "The productivity gap: Monetary policy, the subprime boom, and the post-2001 productivity surge," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 189-207.
    635. Dimitris Malliaropulos & Petros Migiakis, 2018. "Quantitative easing and sovereign bond yields: a global perspective," Working Papers 253, Bank of Greece.
    636. Jean-Marie Le Page, 2011. "Real Interest Rate and Growth Rate: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Post-Print hal-04009851, HAL.
    637. Yunlu He & Bin Wang, 2024. "The natural rate of interest of Hong Kong," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 44-54, February.
    638. Gilles Le Garrec & Vincent Touzé, 2016. "Capital accumulation and the dynamic of secular stagnation," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-17, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    639. Ronald R. Kumar & Peter J. Stauvermann, 2022. "Imperfect Competition, Real Estate Prices and New Stylized Facts," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-17, February.
    640. Glick, Reuven, 2020. "r* and the global economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    641. Warapong Wongwachara & Bovonvich Jindarak & Nuwat Nookhwun & Sophon Tunyavetchakit & Chutipha Klungjaturavet, 2018. "Integrating Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: A New Framework," PIER Discussion Papers 100, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    642. W A Razzak, 2002. "Monetary policy and forecasting inflation with and without the output gap," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2002/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    643. Naohisa Hirakata & Kazutoshi Kan & Akihiro Kanafuji & Yosuke Kido & Yui Kishaba & Tomonori Murakoshi & Takeshi Shinohara, 2019. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2019 version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    644. Zhengyang Jiang & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Hanno Lustig, 2021. "Foreign Safe Asset Demand and the Dollar Exchange Rate," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 1049-1089, June.
    645. Carlos Segura-Rodriguez, 2026. "An open economy model for estimating non-observable variables for Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo 2604, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    646. Dmitriy Stolyarov, 2016. "Productivity Growth and Interest Rate Trends: A Long-Run Analysis," Working Papers wp357, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
    647. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "On the international co-movement of natural interest rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    648. Alex Aronovich & Andrew C. Meldrum, 2021. "High-Frequency Estimates of the Natural Real Rate and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    649. Alexius, Annika & Welz, Peter, 2006. "Can a time-varying equilibrium real interest rate explain the excess sensitivity puzzle?," Working Paper Series 2006:20, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    650. Wang, Bin & Kwan, Yum K., 2021. "Measuring the natural rates of interest of OECD and BRICS economies: A time varying perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    651. Umino, Shingo, 2014. "Real-time estimation of the equilibrium real interest rate: Evidence from Japan," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 17-32.
    652. Beechey, Meredith & Österholm, Pär & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Estimating the US trend short-term interest rate," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    653. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2014. "Mehr Vertrauen in Marktprozesse. Jahresgutachten 2014/15 [More confidence in market processes. Annual Report 2014/15]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201415.
    654. Hernán D. Seoane, 2020. "The Real Interest Rates Across Monetary Policy Regimes," EconPol Policy Reports 22, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    655. Vilmi, Lauri, 2017. "Two tales of the natural rate of interest," BoF Economics Review 1/2017, Bank of Finland.
    656. Alex Ilek & Guy Segal, 2022. "A Simple Theory-Based Estimate of the Real Natural Rate of Interest in Open Economies," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2022.06, Bank of Israel.
    657. Lee, Dong Jin & Hahm, Joon-Ho & Park, Hail & Park, Ki Young, 2020. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest with Financial Gaps: The Cases of Japan and South Korea," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    658. Adrian, Tobias & Estrella, Arturo, 2008. "Monetary tightening cycles and the predictability of economic activity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 260-264, May.
    659. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah & Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "Enhancing the Quarterly Projection Model," Working Papers 11048, South African Reserve Bank.
    660. Claude Bismut & Ismaël Ramajo, 2021. "Nominal and real interest rates in OECD countries, changes in sight after covid-19?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 493-516, July.
    661. Olmos, Lorena & Sanso Frago, Marcos, 2014. "Non-linear effects of the U.S. Monetary Policy in the Long Run," MPRA Paper 57770, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    662. Jens H. E. Christensen & Daan Steenkamp, 2026. "A Market-Based Assessment of the Outlook for Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in South Africa," Working Paper Series 2026-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    663. Jesus Crespo-Cuaremsa & Ernest Gnan & Doris Ritzberger-Gruenwald, 2003. "Searching for the natural rate of interest: a euro area perspective," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in a changing environment, volume 19, pages 60-80, Bank for International Settlements.
    664. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
    665. Tommaso Aquilante & Shiv Chowla & Nikola Dacic & Andrew Haldane & Riccardo Masolo & Patrick Schneider & Martin Seneca & Srdan Tatomir, 2019. "Market power and monetary policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 798, Bank of England.
    666. Mark Mink & Jan Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2016. "Euro Area Imbalances," CESifo Working Paper Series 6291, CESifo.

  27. Thomas Laubach & Jeffery D. Amato, 2000. "Monetary policy in an estimated optimisation-based model with sticky prices and wages," BIS Working Papers 87, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. A. Lago Alves & Mirta N. S. Bugarin, 2006. "The Role of Consumer's Risk Aversion on Price Rigidity," Working Papers Series 121, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Katharine S. Neiss & Edward Nelson, 2001. "The real interest rate gap as an inflation indicator," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 130, Bank of England.
    3. Eric Jondeau & Hervé Le Bihan, 2001. "Testing for a Forward-Looking Phillips Curve. Additional Evidence from European and US data," Macroeconomics 0111005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Argia M. Sbordone, 2002. "An optimizing model of U.S. wage and price dynamics," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    5. Gunter Coenen & Volker Wieland, 2000. "A Small Estimated Euro-Area Model with Rational Expectations and Nominal Rigidities," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1284, Econometric Society.
    6. Coenen, Günter, 2003. "Inflation persistence and robust monetary policy design," Working Paper Series 290, European Central Bank.
    7. Frank Smets & Raf Wouters, 2002. "Monetary policy in an estimated stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model of the Euro area," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    8. Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2003. "A Structural Estimation and Interpretation of the New Keynesian Macro Model," Faculty Working Papers 14/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    9. Erceg, Christopher J. & Levin, Andrew T., 2003. "Imperfect credibility and inflation persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 915-944, May.
    10. Gunter Coenen & Volker Wieland, 2000. "A Simple Estimated Euro Area Model With Rational Expectations And Nominal Rigidities," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 187, Society for Computational Economics.
    11. Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2001. "Has monetary policy become less powerful?," Staff Reports 144, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    12. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 1999. "Forecast-based monetary policy," Research Working Paper 99-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    13. Giannoni, Marc P., 2002. "Does Model Uncertainty Justify Caution? Robust Optimal Monetary Policy In A Forward-Looking Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 111-144, February.
    14. Okano, Eiji, 2007. "Inflation-output trade-offs in an optimization-based econometric framework applied to an open economy: The case of Japan," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 98-124, February.

  28. Thomas Laubach & Jeffery D. Amato, 2000. "Forecast-based monetary policy," BIS Working Papers 89, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Per Jansson & Anders Vredin, 2001. "Forecast-based monetary policy in Sweden 1992-98: a view from within," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Empirical studies of structural changes and inflation, volume 3, pages 204-226, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Orphanides, Athanasios, 2002. "Monetary policy rules, macroeconomic stability and inflation: a view from the trenches," Working Paper Series 115, European Central Bank.
    3. Lance J. Bachmeier & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Predicting Inflation: Does The Quantity Theory Help?," Departmental Working Papers 200317, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    4. Ahmad, Saad, 2016. "A multiple threshold analysis of the Fed's balancing act during the Great Moderation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 343-358.
    5. Anton Muscatelli & Carmine Trecroci, 2000. "Monetary Policy Rules, Policy Preferences, and Uncertainty: Recent Empirical Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(5), pages 597-627, December.
    6. Jansson, Per & Vredin, Anders, 2001. "Forecast-based Monetary Policy in Sweden 1992-1998: A View from Within," Working Paper Series 120, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).

  29. Thomas Laubach & Adam S. Posen, 1997. "Disciplined discretion: the German and Swiss monetary targeting frameworks in operation," Research Paper 9707, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Meixing DAI, 2010. "Financial market imperfections and monetary policy strategy," Working Papers of BETA 2010-19, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    2. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1999. "Monetary policy issues for the Eurosystem," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 79-136, December.
    3. Malcolm Edey, 1997. "The Debate on Alternatives for Monetary Policy in Australia," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Philip Lowe (ed.),Monetary Policy and Inflation Targeting, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    4. Pierre St-Amant & David Tessier, 2000. "Résultats empiriques multi-pays relatifs à l'impact des cibles d'inflation sur la crédibilité de la politique monétaire," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 26(3), pages 295-310, September.
    5. Romer, David, 2001. "Makroekonomia keynesistowska bez krzywej LM," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2001(5-6), May.
    6. Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2009. "Inflation Target Shocks and Monetary Policy Inertia in the Euro Area," TSE Working Papers 09-060, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    7. Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2022. "Global Stagflation," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2204, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    8. Meixing DAI, 2007. "A two-pillar strategy to keep inflation expectations at bay: A basic theoretical framework," Working Papers of BETA 2007-20, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    9. Dai, Meixing, 2009. "The Design of a 'Two-Pillar' Monetary Policy Strategy," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-29, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    10. Dai, Meixing, 2009. "On the role of money growth targeting under inflation targeting regime," MPRA Paper 13780, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Meixing DAI & Moïse SIDIROPOULOS, 2009. "Money growth rule and macro-financial stability under inflation-targeting regime," Working Papers of BETA 2009-05, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.

  30. Thomas Laubach & Adam S. Posen, 1997. "Some comparative evidence on the effectiveness of inflation targeting," Research Paper 9714, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Cited by:

    1. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2000. "International Experiences with Different Monetary Policy Regimes," NBER Working Papers 7044, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Ben S. Bernanke & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1997. "Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 97-116, Spring.
    3. Kuttner, Kenneth N. & Posen, Adam S., 1999. "Does talk matter after all? Inflation targeting and central bank behavior," CFS Working Paper Series 1999/04, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    4. David R. Johnson & Sebastian Gerlich, 2002. "How Has Inflation Changed in Canada? A Comparison of 1989­2001 to 1964­1988," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 28(4), pages 563-579, December.
    5. Moretti, Laura, 2014. "Inflation targeting and product market deregulation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 372-386.
    6. Pierre St-Amant & David Tessier, 2000. "Résultats empiriques multi-pays relatifs à l'impact des cibles d'inflation sur la crédibilité de la politique monétaire," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 26(3), pages 295-310, September.
    7. Martin Stojanovikj & Goran Petrevski, 2024. "Inflation targeting and disinflation costs in Emerging Market economies," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 283-312, February.
    8. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. V. Anton Muscatelli & Patrizio Tirelli & Carmine Trecroci, 1998. "Institutional Change, Inflation Targeting and the Stability of Interest Rate Reaction Functions," Working Papers 9815, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Aug 1998.
    10. Peter Kugler & George Sheldon, 2010. "Unemployment and Monetary Policy in Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 146(1), pages 185-208, March.
    11. Ivrendi, Mehmet & Guloglu, Bulent, 2010. "Monetary shocks, exchange rates and trade balances: Evidence from inflation targeting countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1144-1155, September.
    12. Anton Muscatelli & Carmine Trecroci, 2000. "Monetary Policy Rules, Policy Preferences, and Uncertainty: Recent Empirical Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(5), pages 597-627, December.
    13. Petra Gerlach, 2006. "A Two-Pillar Phillips Curve for Switzerland," Working Papers 2006-09, Swiss National Bank.
    14. Eichengreen, Barry, 2001. "The EMS Crisis in Retrospect," CEPR Discussion Papers 2704, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    15. Kevin Carey, 2001. "Inflation pressure and European unemployment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 9-13.
    16. Anton Muscatelli & Patrizio Tirelli & Carmine Trecroci, 2000. "Does Institutional Change Really Matter? Inflation Targets, Central Bank Reform and Interest Rate Policy in the OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 278, CESifo.
    17. CUHAL, Radu & STARIȚÎNA, Ludmila & BASISTÎI, Nicolae, 2014. "Monetary Policy Regimes: Functional Framework And Implications," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 1(1), pages 92-100.
    18. Peter J. Boettke & Alexander W. Salter & Daniel J. Smith, 2018. "Money as meta-rule: Buchanan’s constitutional economics as a foundation for monetary stability," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 529-555, September.
    19. Rilina Basu & Nandini Das & Ranjanendra Narayan Nag, 2019. "Openness, Inflation and Output Under Alternative Monetary Policies: A Structuralist Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(2), pages 75-90, May.

  31. Laubach, T. & Posen, A.S., 1997. "Disciplined Discretion: Monetary Targeting in Germany and Switzerland," Princeton Essays in International Economics 206, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.

    Cited by:

    1. Rich, Georg, 2003. "Swiss monetary policy targeting 1974-1996: the role of internal policy analysis," Working Paper Series 236, European Central Bank.
    2. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2002. "The Role of Output Stabilization in the Conduct of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 9291, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Svensson, Lars, 1999. "How Should Monetary Policy Be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability," Seminar Papers 680, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
    4. Georg Rich, 2007. "Swiss Monetary Targeting 1974-1996: The Role of Internal Policy Analysis," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 143(3), pages 283-329, September.
    5. Svensson, Lars E.O., 1999. "Does the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2198, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 2000. "Inflation, Monetary Transparency, and G3 Exchange Rate Volatility," Working Paper Series WP00-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    7. Koutsobinas, Theodore, 2011. "Animal spirits, liquidity-preference and Keynesian behavioural macroeconomics: An intertemporal framework," MPRA Paper 43027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Svensson, Lars E.O. & Gerlach, Stefan, 2002. "Money and Inflation in the Euro-Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3392, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. David Romer, 2000. "Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve," NBER Working Papers 7461, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1999. "Monetary policy issues for the Eurosystem," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 79-136, December.
    11. Aksoy, Yunus & De Grauwe, Paul & Dewachter, Hans, 2002. "Do asymmetries matter for European monetary policy?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 443-469, March.
    12. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1999. "Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability," NBER Working Papers 7276, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Sánchez, Marcelo, 2010. "Modelling anti-inflationary monetary targeting: with an application to Romania," Working Paper Series 1186, European Central Bank.
    14. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 1999. "Does Talk Matter After All? Inflation Targeting and Central Bank Behavior," Working Paper Series WP99-10, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    15. Michele Fratianni & Andreas Hauskrecht, 1998. "From the Gold Standard to a Bipolar Monetary System," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 609-636, January.
    16. Javier Valles & Jose Vinals, 1999. "On the real effects of the monetary policy: A central banker's view," Working Papers 38, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    17. Driffill, John & Rotondi, Zeno, 2004. "Monetary Policy and Lexicographic Preference Ordering," CEPR Discussion Papers 4247, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    18. Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2001. "Beyond Bipolar: A Three-Dimensional Assessment of Monetary Frameworks," Working Papers 52, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    19. Laubach, Thomas, 2003. "Signalling commitment with monetary and inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 985-1009, December.
    20. John E. Floyd, 1998. "Stochastic Monetary Interdependence, Currency Regime Choice and the Operation of Monetary Policy," Working Papers floyd-98-01, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    21. Adam S. Posen, 2006. "Why Central Banks Should Not Burst Bubbles," Working Paper Series WP06-1, Peterson Institute for International Economics.

  32. Thomas Laubach, 1997. "Measuring the NAIRU : evidence from seven economies," Research Working Paper 97-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

    Cited by:

    1. Ana Aguilar & Carlo Alcaraz & Claudia Ramírez & Cid Alonso Rodríguez-Pérez, 2022. "The NAIRU and informality in the Mexican labor market," BIS Working Papers 1005, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Eric Heyer & Frédéric Reynès & Henri Sterdyniak, 2004. "Observable and unobservable variables in the theory of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States," Working Papers hal-01027420, HAL.
    3. Andreas Brenck & Arnold Berndt & Karl-Peter Naumann, 2003. "Neues Tarifsystem der Deutschen Bahn: Sinnvolle Preisgestaltung im öffentlichen Verkehr?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(16), pages 3-13, August.
    4. Kromphardt, Jürgen & Logeay, Camille, 2007. "Changes in the Balance of Power Between the Wage and Price Setters and the Central Bank: Consequences for the Phillips Curve and the NAIRU," Kiel Working Papers 1354, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Basistha, Arabinda & Kurov, Alexander, 2010. "Estimating earnings trend using unobserved components framework," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 55-57, April.
    6. Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2008. "Imperfect Knowledge and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2008-09, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Hideyuki Kamiryo, 2014. "Earth Endogenous System: To Answer the Current Unsolved Economic Problems (Second Edition)," Earth Endogenous System: To Answer the Current Unsolved Economic Problems (Second Edition), Better Advances Press, Canada, edition 2, volume 2, number 01 edited by Dr. Yisheng Huang.
    8. Jorge E. Restrepo L., 2008. "Estimating the NAIRU for Chile," Journal Econom a Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 11(2), pages 31-46, August.
    9. Engelbert Stockhammer & Rob Calvert Jump, 2022. "An Estimation of Unemployment Hysteresis," Working Papers PKWP2221, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    10. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2001. "Measuring the natural rate of interest," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-56, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Ángel Guillén & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014. "Trend-cycle decomposition for Peruvian GDP: application of an alternative method," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 23(1), pages 1-44, December.
    12. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Marc Giannoni & Ayşegül Şahin, 2019. "A unified approach to measuring u," Staff Reports 889, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    13. Clemente, Jesus & Lanaspa, Luis & Montañés, Antonio, 2002. "The unemployment structure of the US States," ERSA conference papers ersa02p081, European Regional Science Association.
    14. Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2002. "Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2), pages 63-146.
    15. Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde, 2002. "Une approche éclectique d'estimation du PIB potentiel américain," Staff Working Papers 02-36, Bank of Canada.
    16. Victor Bystrov, 2020. "Identification and Estimation of Initial Conditions in Non-Minimal State-Space Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(4), pages 413-429, December.
    17. Binh Thai Pham & Hector Sala, 2022. "Cross-country connectedness in inflation and unemployment: measurement and macroeconomic consequences," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1123-1146, March.
    18. Jürgen Kromphardt & Camille Logeay, 2011. "Flattening of the Phillips Curve: Estimations and consequences for economic policy," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 8(1), pages 43-67.
    19. Sven Schreiber, 2012. "Estimating the natural rate of unemployment in euro-area countries with co-integrated systems," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(10), pages 1315-1335, April.
    20. Amit Friedman & Tanya Suchoy, 2004. "The NAIRU in Israel: An Unobserved Components Approach," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 2(2), pages 125-154.
    21. Lombardi, Marco J. & Sgherri, Silvia, 2007. "(Un)naturally low? Sequential Monte Carlo tracking of the US natural interest rate," Working Paper Series 794, European Central Bank.
    22. T. Berger, 2008. "Estimating Europe s Natural Rates from a forward-looking Phillips curve," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 08/498, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    23. Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2016. "The performativity of potential output: Pro-cyclicality and path dependency in coordinating European fiscal policies," Working Papers Series 50, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    24. Fitzenberger Bernd & Franz Wolfgang & Bode Oliver, 2008. "The Phillips Curve and NAIRU Revisited: New Estimates for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 228(5-6), pages 465-496, October.
    25. Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2005. "Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 46, Society for Computational Economics.
    26. Daniel Leigh, 2005. "Estimating the Revealed Inflation Target: An Application to U.S. Monetary Policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 177, Society for Computational Economics.
    27. Buncic, Daniel, 2020. "Econometric issues with Laubach and Williams’ estimates of the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 397, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    28. Eric Heyer, 2010. "Efficacité de la politique économique et position dans le cycle : le cas de la défiscalisation des heures supplémentaires en France," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-01069450, HAL.
    29. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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Articles

  1. Mathias Hoffmann & Michael U Krause & Thomas Laubach, 2019. "The Expectations-driven US Current Account," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(618), pages 897-924.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Andrea Ajello & Thomas Laubach & David López-Salido & Taisuke Nakata, 2019. "Financial Stability and Optimal Interest Rate Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 279-326, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Holston, Kathryn & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2017. "Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 59-75.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2012. "Trend growth expectations and U.S. house prices before and after the crisis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 394-409.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Thomas Laubach, 2011. "Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates: The Role of Sovereign Default Risk," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(1), pages 7-30.

    Cited by:

    1. Lemoine, Matthieu & Lindé, Jesper, 2016. "Fiscal consolidation under imperfect credibility," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 108-141.
    2. Christopher J. Erceg & Jesper Lindé, 2010. "Asymmetric shocks in a currency union with monetary and fiscal handcuffs?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1012, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Peppel-Srebrny, Jemima, 2021. "Not all government budget deficits are created equal: Evidence from advanced economies' sovereign bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    4. Guillaume Belly & Lukas Boeckelmann & Carlos Mateo Caicedo Graciano & Alberto Di Iorio & Klodiana Istrefi & Vasileios Siakoulis & Arthur Stalla‐Bourdillon, 2023. "Forecasting sovereign risk in the Euro area via machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 657-684, April.
    5. Gerhard Reitschuler & Rupert Sendlhofer, 2011. "Fiscal policy, trigger points and interest rates: Additional evidence from the U.S," Working Papers 2011-23, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    6. Fernández-Gallardo, Álvaro & Payá, Iván, 2025. "Public debt burden and crisis severity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    7. Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońca & Rafał Trzeciakowski, 2015. "Windfall of Low Interest Payments and Fiscal Sustainability in the Euro Area: Analysis through Panel Fiscal Reaction Functions," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 475-510, November.
    8. Ansgar Rannenberg & Christian Schoder & Jan Strásky, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of the Euro Area?s fiscal consolidation 2011-2013," IMK Working Paper 156-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    9. Elva Bova & Violeta Klyviene, 2019. "Macroeconomic Responses to Fiscal Shocks in Portugal," European Economy - Discussion Papers 096, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    10. Carlo A. Favero, 2012. "Modelling and Forecasting Yield Differentials in the euro area. A non-linear Global VAR model," Working Papers 431, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    11. Mengus, Eric, 2023. "Asset purchase bailouts and endogenous implicit guarantees," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    12. Andras Lengyel, 2022. "Treasury Supply Shocks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the UK," MNB Working Papers 2022/6, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    13. Thien Nguyen & Lukas Schmid & Howard Kung & Mariano Croce, 2012. "Fiscal Policies and Asset Prices," 2012 Meeting Papers 565, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Zornitsa Todorova, 2020. "Network Risk in the European Sovereign CDS Market," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(2), pages 137-154, December.
    15. Rannenberg, Ansgar & Schoder, Christian & Strasky, Jan, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of the Euro Area's fiscal consolidation 2011-2013: A Simulation-based approach," Research Technical Papers 03/RT/15, Central Bank of Ireland.
    16. Fujii, Takao & Hiraga, Kazuki & Kozuka, Masafumi, 2013. "Effects of public investment on sectoral private investment: A factor augmented VAR approach," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 35-47.
    17. Lengyel, Andras, 2026. "Government bond issuance surprises and the term structure of interest rates in the UK," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    18. Andrea Gerali & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2014. "Macroeconomic effects of simultaneous implementation of reforms after the crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 997, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    19. Anna Bartocci & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2020. "The COVID-19 shock and a fiscal-monetary policy mix in a monetary union," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1313, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Gábor Kutasi, 2017. "Unsustainable Public Debt in a European Fiscal Union?," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 9(1), pages 25-39.

  6. Thomas Laubach, 2009. "New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(4), pages 858-885, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2007. "Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Edge, Rochelle M. & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2007. "Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2421-2438, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Amato, Jeffery D. & Laubach, Thomas, 2004. "Implications of habit formation for optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 305-325, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Laubach, Thomas, 2003. "Signalling commitment with monetary and inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 985-1009, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker, 2014. "Inflation forecast contracts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 26-40.
    2. Berndt, Antje & Yeltekin, Şevin, 2015. "Monetary policy, bond returns and debt dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 119-136.
    3. Ben S. Bernanke & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1997. "Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 97-116, Spring.
    4. Meixing DAI, 2007. "A two-pillar strategy to keep inflation expectations at bay: A basic theoretical framework," Working Papers of BETA 2007-20, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    5. Dai, Meixing, 2009. "The Design of a 'Two-Pillar' Monetary Policy Strategy," Economics Discussion Papers 2009-29, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Dai, Meixing, 2009. "On the role of money growth targeting under inflation targeting regime," MPRA Paper 13780, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker, 2003. "Signalling and Commitment: Monetary versus Inflation Targeting," CEPR Discussion Papers 4151, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    8. Andrea Beccarini, 2017. "Verifying time inconsistency of the ECB monetary policy by means of a regime-switching approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(2), pages 203-227, May.

  11. Amato, Jeffery D. & Laubach, Thomas, 2003. "Estimation and control of an optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(7), pages 1181-1215, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Levin, Andrew T. & Williams, John C., 2003. "Robust monetary policy with competing reference models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 945-975, July.
    2. Givens, Gregory E., 2009. "Which price level to target? Strategic delegation in a sticky price and wage economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 685-698, December.
    3. M. Alper Çenesiz & Luís Guimarães, 2019. "Sticky Price Models, Durable Goods, and Real Wage Rigidities," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 721-737, March.
    4. Lorenza Rossi & Fabrizio Mattesini, 2008. "We analyze, in this paper, a DSGE New Keynesian model with indi- visible labor where firms may belong to two different final goods producing sectors one where wages and employment are determined in competitive labor markets and the orther where wages," DISCE - Quaderni dell'Istituto di Economia e Finanza ief0077, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    5. Bilbiie, Florin O. & Meier, André & Müller, Gernot J., 2006. "What accounts for the changes in U.S. fiscal policy transmission?," Working Paper Series 582, European Central Bank.
    6. Julien Matheron & Céline Poilly, 2006. "How Well Does a Small Structural Model with Sticky Prices and Wages Fit Postwar U.S. Data?," Working papers 148, Banque de France.
    7. Patrick Fève & Julien Matheron & Jean‐Guillaume Sahuc, 2009. "Minimum Distance Estimation and Testing of DSGE Models from Structural VARs," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(6), pages 883-894, December.
    8. Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy Fuerst, 2007. "Asset Prices, Nominal Rigidities, and Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 10(2), pages 256-275, April.
    9. Patrick F»Ve & Julien Matheron & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2010. "Disinflation Shocks in the Eurozone: A DSGE Perspective," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(2-3), pages 289-323, March.
    10. Marc P. Giannoni, 2007. "Robust optimal monetary policy in a forward-looking model with parameter and shock uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 179-213.
    11. Argia M. Sbordone, 2006. "U.S. wage and price dynamics: a limited information approach," Staff Reports 256, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    12. Gersbach, Hans & Liu, Yulin & Tischhauser, Martin, 2018. "Versatile Forward Guidance: Escaping or Switching?," CEPR Discussion Papers 12559, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    13. Patrick F ve & Julien Matheron & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2008. "Chocs d Offre et Optimalit de la Politique Mon taire dans la Zone Euro," Working papers 200, Banque de France.
    14. Huang, Kevin X.D. & Liu, Zheng, 2005. "Inflation targeting: What inflation rate to target?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 1435-1462, November.
    15. Richard Mash, 2003. "New Keynesian Microfoundations Revisited: A Calvo-Taylor-Rule-of-Thumb Model and Optimal Monetary Policy Delegation," Economics Series Working Papers 174, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    16. Ramón María-Dolores & Jesús Vázquez, 2008. "Term structure and the estimated monetary policy rule in the Eurozone," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 251-277, December.
    17. Magda Kandil, 2010. "Demand shocks and the cyclical behavior of the real wage: Some international evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 135-158, May.
    18. Frédéric Dufourt & Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti, 2023. "Expectations, self-fulfilling prophecies and the business cycle," AMSE Working Papers 2234, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    19. Giannitsarou, Chryssi & Challe, Edouard, 2011. "Stock Prices and Monetary Policy Shocks: A General Equilibrium Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 8387, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    20. Hafedh Bouakez & Nooman Rebei, 2003. "Why Does Private Consumption Rise After a Government Spending Shock?," Staff Working Papers 03-43, Bank of Canada.
    21. Richard Dennis, 2006. "The Frequency of Price Adjustment Viewed Through the Lens of Aggregate Data," Working Paper Series 2006-22, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    22. Marc Giannoni & Michael Woodford, 2003. "How forward-looking is optimal monetary policy?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 1425-1483.
    23. Escudé, Guillermo J., 2012. "A DSGE model for a SOE with Systematic Interest and Foreign Exchange policies in which policymakers exploit the risk premium for stabilization purposes," Dynare Working Papers 15, CEPREMAP.
    24. Andrew Levin & David López-Salido & Edward Nelson & Yack Yun, 2010. "Limitations on the Effectiveness of Forward Guidance at the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 6(1), pages 143-189, March.
    25. Leith, Campbell & Malley, Jim, 2005. "Estimated general equilibrium models for the evaluation of monetary policy in the US and Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(8), pages 2137-2159, November.
    26. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
    27. Mattesini, Fabrizio & Rossi, Lorenza, 2006. "Productivity shocks and Optimal Monetary Policy in a Unionized Labor Market Economy," MPRA Paper 1139, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2006.
    28. Carmine Trecroci & Matilde Vassalli, 2006. "Monetary policy regime shifts: new evidence from time-varying interest rate rules," Working Papers 0602, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
    29. Cwik, Tobias & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 545-564, April.
    30. Ulf Söderström & Paul Söderlind & Anders Vredin, 2005. "New‐Keynesian Models and Monetary Policy: A Re‐examination of the Stylized Facts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 107(3), pages 521-546, September.
    31. Christopher J. Erceg & Luca Guerrieri & Christopher Gust, 2005. "Expansionary Fiscal Shocks and the US Trade Deficit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), pages 363-397, December.
    32. Ramón Maria-Dolores & Jesus Vazquez, 2006. "The relative importance of Term Spread, Policy Inertia and Persistent Monetary Policy Shocks in Monetary Policy Rules," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 6, Society for Computational Economics.
    33. Arief Ramayandi, 2008. "Simple Model for a Small Open Economy: An Application to the ASEAN-5 Countries," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200801, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised May 2008.
    34. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2008. "Welfare-Maximizing Monetary Policy Under Parameter Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2008-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    35. Müller, Gernot J. & Meier, André, 2005. "Fleshing out the monetary transmission mechanism: output composition and the role of financial frictions," Working Paper Series 500, European Central Bank.
    36. Michael Woodford, 2004. "Inflation targeting and optimal monetary policy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(Jul), pages 15-42.
    37. Julio Carrillo & Patrick Fève & Julien Matheron, 2006. "Monetary Policy Inertia or Persistent Shocks?," Working papers 150, Banque de France.
    38. Tim W. Cogley & Argia M. Sbordone, 2005. "A Search for a Structural Phillips Curve," Working Papers 292, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    39. Francesco Zanetti, 2006. "Labor Market Institutions and Aggregate Fluctuations in a Search and Matching Model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 445, Society for Computational Economics.
    40. Coenen, Gunter, 2007. "Inflation persistence and robust monetary policy design," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 111-140, January.
    41. Sanvi Avouyi‐Dovi & Julien Matheron, 2007. "Technology Shocks and Monetary Policy: Revisiting the Fed's Performance," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2‐3), pages 471-507, March.
    42. Edward Nelson & Kalin Nikolov, 2002. "Monetary policy and stagflation in the UK," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 155, Bank of England.
    43. Christopher Erceg & Luca Guerrieri & Christopher Gust, 2006. "Trade Adjustment and the Composition of Trade," 2006 Meeting Papers 788, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    44. Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
    45. Straub, Roland & Bilbiie, Florin O., 2012. "Asset market participation, monetary policy rules and the great inflation," Working Paper Series 1438, European Central Bank.
    46. Jean Boivin & Marc P. Giannoni, 2003. "Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?," NBER Working Papers 9459, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    47. Kuester, Keith, 2007. "Real price and wage rigidities in a model with matching frictions," Working Paper Series 720, European Central Bank.
    48. Boris Hofmann & Matthias Paustian, 2005. "The Persistence and Rigidity of wages and prices," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 71, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    49. Rochelle M. Edge & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2003. "The Responses of Wages and Prices to Technology Shocks," Working Paper Series 2003-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    50. J. Scott Davis & Kevin X. D. Huang, 2011. "Optimal monetary policy under financial sector risk," Globalization Institute Working Papers 85, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    51. Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2009. "Inflation Target Shocks and Monetary Policy Inertia in the Euro Area," TSE Working Papers 09-060, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    52. Fabrizio Mattesini & Lorenza Rossi, 2007. "Optimal monetary policy in economies with dual labor markets," CIMEO Working Paper Series 9, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    53. Poilly, Céline, 2010. "Does money matter for the identification of monetary policy shocks: A DSGE perspective," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2159-2178, October.
    54. Malikane, Christopher, 2012. "The Microfoundations of the Keynesian Wage-Price Spiral," MPRA Paper 42923, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
    55. Tomohiro Sugo & Yuki Teranishi, 2008. "The Zero Interest Rate Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-20, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    56. Gregory Erin Givens, 2006. "Revisiting the Delegation Problem in a Sticky Price and Wage Economy," Working Papers 200601, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    57. Marc Giannoni, 2006. "Robust Optimal Policy in a Forward-Looking Model with Parameter and Shock Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 11942, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    58. Stuart J. Fowler, 2005. "Income Inequality, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 200507, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    59. Stuart J. Fowler & Bichaka Fayissa, 2007. "Public Capital Spending Shocks and the Price of Investment: Evidence from a Panel of Countries," Working Papers 200702, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    60. Giancarlo Corsetti & Gernot J. Müller, 2011. "Multilateral Economic Cooperation and the International Transmission of Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 17708, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    61. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu, 2003. "Inflation to target : what inflation to target?," Research Working Paper RWP 03-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    62. Timothy Cogley & Argia M. Sbordone, 2006. "Trend inflation and inflation persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Staff Reports 270, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    63. Escudé, Guillermo J., 2012. "A DSGE model for a SOE with systematic interest and foreign exchange policy in which policymakers exploit the risk premium for stabilization purposes," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-40, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    64. Erceg, Christopher & Guerriei, Luca & Gust, Christopher, 2006. "SIGMA: A New Open Economy Model for Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 813, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    65. Marian Vavra, 2013. "Testing for linear and Markov switching DSGE models," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2013, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    66. María-Dolores, Ramon & Vázquez, Jesús & Londoño, Juan M., 2009. "On the informational role of term structure in the US monetary policy rule," UMUFAE Economics Working Papers 4699, DIGITUM. Universidad de Murcia.
    67. Collard, Fabrice & Fève, Patrick, 2012. "Sur les Causes et les Effets en Macro-Economie : les Contributions de Sargent et Sims,Prix Nobel d'Economie 2011," IDEI Working Papers 726, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    68. Andrea Tambalotti, 2004. "Optimal monetary policy and productivity growth," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 99, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    69. Nuno Alves, 2004. "The Monetary Transmission in the US and the Euro Area: Common Features and Common Frictions," Working Papers w200414, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    70. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Grajales Olarte, Anderson & Uras, Burak, 2020. "Heterogeneity in wage setting behavior in a New-Keynesian Model," Other publications TiSEM 24069cb1-ed64-4367-9a37-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    71. Casares, Miguel, 2010. "Unemployment as excess supply of labor: Implications for wage and price inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 233-243, March.
    72. Malikane, Christopher, 2013. "A New Keynesian Triangle Phillips Curve," MPRA Paper 43548, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    73. Best, Gabriela, 2015. "A New Keynesian model with staggered price and wage setting under learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 96-111.
    74. Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Julien Matheron, 2005. "Technology Shocks and Monetary Policy in an Estimated Sticky Price Model of the US Economy," Working papers 123, Banque de France.
    75. Katharine Neiss & Edward Nelson, 2002. "Inflation dynamics, marginal cost, and the output gap: evidence from three countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    76. Miguel Casares, 2007. "Firm-Specific or Household-Specific Sticky Wages in the New Keynesian Model?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 181-240, December.
    77. Joan Alegre & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2023. "Robust Minimum Distance Inference in Structural Models," Papers 2310.05761, arXiv.org.
    78. Christopher Malikane & Willi Semmler, 2008. "Asset Prices, Output And Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(4), pages 666-686, November.
    79. Gregory Erin Givens, 2008. "Unemployment Insurance in a Sticky-Price Model with Worker Moral Hazard," Working Papers 200807, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    80. Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2007. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Technological Shocks in the Post-War US Business Cycle," IDEI Working Papers 484, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    81. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.
    82. Nucci, Francesco & Riggi, Marianna, 2013. "Performance pay and changes in U.S. labor market dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2796-2813.
    83. Rossi, Lorenza & Mattesini, Fabrizio, 2007. "Productivity Shock and Optimal Monetary Policy in a Unionized Labor Market. Forthcoming: The Manchester School," MPRA Paper 8414, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2008.
    84. Müller, Gernot J., 2008. "Understanding the dynamic effects of government spending on foreign trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 345-371, April.
    85. Stuart J. Fowler, 2005. "Fiscal Spending Shocks and the Price of Investment: Evidence from a Panel of Countries," Working Papers 200502, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    86. Goyal, Ashima & Arora, Sanchit, 2016. "Estimating the Indian natural interest rate: A semi-structural approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 141-153.
    87. Carrillo, Julio A. & Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien, 2007. "Monetary Policy Inertia or Persistent Shocks: A DSGE Analysis," IDEI Working Papers 431, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    88. Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 431, Society for Computational Economics.
    89. Rossi, Lorenza & Mattesini, Fabrizio, 2007. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Dual Labor Market Economy," MPRA Paper 2468, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Mar 2007.
    90. Richard Dennis, 2008. "The Frequency of Price Adjustment and New Keynesian Business Cycle Dynamics," CAMA Working Papers 2008-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

  12. Amato, Jeffery D. & Laubach, Thomas, 2003. "Rule-of-thumb behaviour and monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 791-831, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2003. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1063-1070, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Thomas Laubach, 2001. "Measuring The NAIRU: Evidence From Seven Economies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 83(2), pages 218-231, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 2000. "The role of forecasts in monetary policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 85(Q II), pages 21-32.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Dotsey & Carl D. Lantz & Lawrence Santucci, 2000. "Is money useful in the conduct of monetary policy?," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 23-48.

  16. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 1999. "The value of interest rate smoothing : how the private sector helps the Federal Reserve," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 84(Q III), pages 47-64.

    Cited by:

    1. Karel Brůna, 2009. "Měnová politika a predikce variability úrokových sazeb na peněžním trhu [Monetary policy and prediction of variability]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(3), pages 361-382.
    2. William B. English & William R. Nelson & Brian P. Sack, 2002. "Interpreting the significance of lagged interest rate in estimated monetary policy rules," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2007. "How the ECB and the US Fed set interest rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(17), pages 2197-2209.
    4. Michael Woodford, 1999. "Commentary : how should monetary policy be conducted in an era of price stability?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 277-316.
    5. Luboš Komárek & Filip Rozsypal, 2009. "Vymezení a vyhodnocení agresivity centrálních bank [Definition and Evaluation of the Central Bank agresivity]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(3), pages 383-404.
    6. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2003. "Taylor Rules and Interest Rate Smoothing in the US and EMU," Macroeconomics 0303002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lin, Kun-Li & Guo, Na, 2016. "Hawk or dove: Switching regression model for the monetary policy reaction function in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 94-111.
    8. Qin, Ting & Enders, Walter, 2008. "In-sample and out-of-sample properties of linear and nonlinear Taylor rules," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 428-443, March.
    9. P.A. Tinsley & Sharon Kozicki, 2004. "Permanent and Transitory Policy Shocks in an Empirical Macro Model with Asymmetric Information," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 146, Society for Computational Economics.
    10. Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2002. "Term structure evidence on interest rate smoothing and monetary policy inertia," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1161-1187, September.
    11. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra, 2003. "Interest rate reaction functions and the Taylor rule in the euro area," Working Paper Series 258, European Central Bank.
    12. Kobayashi, Teruyoshi, 2010. "Policy irreversibility and interest rate smoothing," MPRA Paper 19931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Jeffery D. Amato & Thomas Laubach, 1999. "Monetary policy in an estimated optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages," Research Working Paper RWP 99-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    14. John Duffy & Wei Xiao, 2011. "Investment and Monetary Policy: Learning and Determinacy of Equilibrium," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 959-992, August.
    15. Majuca, Ruperto P., 2011. "An Estimated (Closed Economy) Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for the Philippines: Are There Credibility Gains from Committing to an Inflation Targeting Rule?," Discussion Papers DP 2011-04, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    16. Belke, Ansgar & Potrafke, Niklas, 2009. "Does Government Ideology Matter in Monetary Policy? – A Panel Data Analysis for OECD Countries," Ruhr Economic Papers 94, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    17. Bunzel, Helle & Enders, Walter, 2005. "The Taylor Rule and 'Opportunistic' Monetary Policy," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12301, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    18. Jacek Krawczyk & Rishab Sethi, 2007. "Satisficing Solutions for New Zealand Monetary Policy," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    19. Maarten Dossche & Gerdie Everaert, 2005. "Measuring Inflation Persistence: A Structural Time Series Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 459, Society for Computational Economics.
    20. Heidari, Hassan, 2010. "An Estimated Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Model of the Australian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 7-15, December.
    21. Christian Aubin & Ibrahima Diouf & Dominique Pepin, 2010. "Inertie De La Politique Monétaire Dans La Zone Euro : Le Rôle De L'Hétérogénéité," Post-Print hal-00960030, HAL.
    22. Leon, Costas, 2006. "The Taylor rule: can it be supported by the data?," MPRA Paper 1650, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Edouard Challe & Giannitsarou, C., 2011. "Stock Prices and Monetary Policy Shocks: A General Equilibrium Approach," Working papers 330, Banque de France.
    24. Luis Mario Hernández Acevedo, 2004. "Señales de política monetaria y tasas de interés en México," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 343-367, octubre-d.
    25. Ida, Daisuke, 2013. "Optimal monetary policy rules in a two-country economy with a zero bound on nominal interest rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 223-242.
    26. Benigno, Gianluca, 2004. "Real exchange rate persistence and monetary policy rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 473-502, April.
    27. Papadamou, Stephanos & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2008. "Does the ECB Care about Shifts in Investors’ Risk Appetite?," MPRA Paper 25973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Ida, Daisuke, 2014. "Role of financial systems in a sticky price model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 44-57.
    29. Jarkko Jääskelä & Tony Yates, 2005. "Monetary policy and data uncertainty," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 281, Bank of England.
    30. Zhu, Yanli & Chen, Haiqiang, 2017. "The asymmetry of U.S. monetary policy: Evidence from a threshold Taylor rule with time-varying threshold values," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 522-535.
    31. Stephan Sauer & Jan‐Egbert Sturm, 2007. "Using Taylor Rules to Understand European Central Bank Monetary Policy," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 8(3), pages 375-398, August.
    32. Sharon Kozicki, 2004. "¿De qué forma afectan las revisiones de datos a la evaluación y conducción de la política monetaria?," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 369-405, octubre-d.
    33. Ansgar Belke & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke & Thorsten Polleit, 2005. "Back to the rules," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 268/2005, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    34. Frederick H. Wallace & Gary L. Shelley & Luis F. Cabrera Castellanos, 2004. "Pruebas de la neutralidad monetaria a largo plazo: el caso de Nicaragua," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 407-418, octubre-d.
    35. Sharon Kozicki, 2004. "How do data revisions affect the evaluation and conduct of monetary policy?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 89(Q I), pages 5-38.
    36. Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2021. "Optimal monetary policy in a two-country new Keynesian model with deep consumption habits," MPRA Paper 110259, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Deming Luo & Stephen Ferris, 2008. "Optimal Simple Monetary Policy Rules in a Small Open Economy with Exchange Rate Imperfections," Carleton Economic Papers 08-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    38. John Duffy & Wei Xiao, 2007. "Investment and Monetary Policy: Learning and Determinacy of Equilibrium," Working Paper 324, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh, revised Aug 2008.
    39. Amato, Jeffery D. & Laubach, Thomas, 2003. "Estimation and control of an optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(7), pages 1181-1215, May.
    40. Ida, Daisuke, 2026. "Loan rate heterogeneity and monetary policy in a currency union," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    41. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2002. "Squeezing the Interest Rate Smoothing Weight with a Hybrid Expectations Model," Macroeconomics 0211006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Óscar Reinaldo Becerra & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia., 2009. "Transmisión de Tasas de Interés bajo el Esquema de Metas de Inflación: Evidencia para Colombia," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 46(133), pages 107-134.
    43. Luisa Corrado & Sean Holly, 2004. "Habit Formation and Interest Rate Smoothing," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0404, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
    44. Claudia Arguedas Gonzales, 2004. "Las tasas de interés en moneda nacional y la inflación: una revisión de la Hipótesis de Fisher para Bolivia," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 325-341, octubre-d.
    45. Zhu Yanli & Chen Haiqiang & Lin Ming, 2019. "Threshold models with time-varying threshold values and their application in estimating regime-sensitive Taylor rules," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(5), pages 1-17, December.

Chapters

  1. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2016, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Thomas Laubach, 2010. "Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates: The Role of Sovereign Default Risk," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 7-29, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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