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An Estimated Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Model of the Australian Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Heidari, Hassan

    (Department of Economics, Urmia University, P.O.Box 165, Urmia, Iran)

Abstract

This paper estimates a small open economy New-Keynesian model using data from Australia and the US economy with Full Information Maximum Likelihood method. Our estimated US structural parameters are in line with those of Giordani (2004) on Canadian data. For Australian parameters we find that the real exchange rate has little effect on output gap and inflation, whereas the foreign output gap has a significant effect on both of them. Moreover, our results show a prominent role for backwardlooking behaviour for Australian inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Heidari, Hassan, 2010. "An Estimated Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Model of the Australian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 7-15, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:4:p:7-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Open Economy; New Keynesian model; FIML; Australia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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