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Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the euro area

Author

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  • Javier Andrés

    (Universidad de Valencia)

  • David López-Salido

    (Federal Reserve Board)

  • Edward Nelson

    (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

Abstract

We examine the role of money in three environments: the New Keynesian model with separable utility and static money demand; a nonseparable utility variant with habit formation; and a version with adjustment costs for holding real balances. The last two variants imply forward-looking behavior of real money balances, with forecasts of future interest rates entering current portfolio decisions. We conduct a structural econometric analysis of the U.S. and euro area economies. FIML estimates confirm the forward-looking character of money demand. A consequence is that real money balances are valuable in anticipating future variations in the natural interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Andrés & David López-Salido & Edward Nelson, 2008. "Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the euro area," Working Papers 0805, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0805
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money; natural rate; New Keynesian models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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