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Money and Information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis Framework

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  • Philip Arestis
  • Georgios Chortareas
  • John D. Tsoukalas

Abstract

We consider an (otherwise standard) New Neoclassical Synthesis theoretical framework that allows a role for money. Money in our model has an informational role which consists in facilitating the estimation of the unobserved shocks that drive potential output and thus the state of the economy. For this purpose we estimate a small-scale sticky price model using Bayesian techniques. Our findings support the view that money has information value. This is reflected in higher precision in terms of unobserved model concepts such as the natural rate of output. Moreover, our results highlight how modelling money demand can provide insights about structural features of the economy that may be important for the design of interest rate rules. Focusing on money also allows for a step towards resolving the price puzzle. Money demand shocks can confound monetary policy shocks to generate a perverse price response in vector autoregressions (VAR).

Suggested Citation

  • Philip Arestis & Georgios Chortareas & John D. Tsoukalas, 2010. "Money and Information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis Framework," Discussion Papers 10/01, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:not:notecp:10/01
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    2. Traum, Nora & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2011. "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the post-war U.S," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 140-164, January.
    3. Araújo, Eurilton, 2015. "Monetary policy objectives and Money’s role in U.S. business cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 85-107.
    4. Franz Seitz & Markus A. Schmidt, 2014. "Money In Modern Macro Models: A Review of the Arguments," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 3, pages 156-174.
    5. Mr. Bernard J Laurens & Mr. Kelly Eckhold & Mr. Darryl King & Mr. Nils O Maehle & Abdul Naseer & Alain Durré, 2015. "The Journey to Inflation Targeting: Easier Said than Done The Case for Transitional Arrangements along the Road," IMF Working Papers 2015/136, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Boivin, Jean & Kiley, Michael T. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 8, pages 369-422, Elsevier.
    7. Mr. Helge Berger & Mr. Henning Weber, 2012. "Money As Indicator for the Natural Rate of Interest," IMF Working Papers 2012/006, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Arintoko & Insukindro, 2017. "Effect of Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment and Portfolio Investment on the Indonesian Economy: A Structural Cointegrating Vector Autoregression Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 682-691.
    9. Caraiani, Petre, 2016. "The role of money in DSGE models: a forecasting perspective," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 315-330.

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