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Bond markets and monetary policy dilemmas for the emerging markets

Author

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  • Jhuvesh Sobrun
  • Philip Turner

Abstract

Financial conditions in the emerging markets (EMs) have become more dependent on the 'world' long-term interest rate, which has been driven down by monetary policies in the advanced economies - notably Quantitative Easing (QE) - and by several non-monetary factors. This paper analyses some new mechanisms that link global long-term rates to monetary policy and to domestic bank lending in the EMs. Understanding these mechanisms could help EM central banks prepare for the exit from QE and higher (and perhaps divergent) policy rates in advanced economies. Although monetary policy in the EMs has continued to be guided by domestic objectives, it has nevertheless lost some traction. Difficult trade-offs now confront central banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Jhuvesh Sobrun & Philip Turner, 2015. "Bond markets and monetary policy dilemmas for the emerging markets," BIS Working Papers 508, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:508
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Julian di Giovanni & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Jose-Luis Peydro & Mehmet Fatih Ulu, 2016. "Capital flows, credit cycles and macroprudential policy," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential policy, volume 86, pages 63-68, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Juan J. Cortina & Tatiana Didier & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2018. "Corporate debt maturity in developing countries: Sources of long and short‐termism," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 3288-3316, December.
    3. Boris Hofmann & Elod Takáts, 2015. "International monetary spillovers," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    4. Boris Hofmann & Ilhyock Shim & Hyun Song Shin, 2016. "Sovereign yields and the risk-taking channel of currency appreciation," BIS Working Papers 538, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Már Gudmundsson, 2017. "Global Financial Integration And Central Bank Policies In Small, Open Economies," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 135-146, March.
    6. Madhusudan Mohanty, 2015. "What do new forms of finance mean for EM central banks? - An Overview," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), What do new forms of finance mean for EM central banks?, volume 83, pages 1-8, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Agur, Itai & Chan, Melissa & Goswami, Mangal & Sharma, Sunil, 2019. "On international integration of emerging sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 347-363.
    8. Malliaropulos, Dimitris & Migiakis, Petros, 2018. "The re-pricing of sovereign risks following the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 39-56.
    9. Jimmy Shek & Ilhyock Shim & Hyun Song Shin, 2015. "Investor redemptions and fund manager sales of emerging market bonds: how are they related?," BIS Working Papers 509, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Peter Hördahl & Jhuvesh Sobrun & Philip Turner, 2016. "Low long-term interest rates as a global phenomenon," BIS Working Papers 574, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. José María Serena & Ramon Moreno, 2016. "Domestic financial markets and offshore bond financing," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.

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    Keywords

    Exit from QE; long-term interest rate; emerging market economies; bond markets;

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