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The exit from non-conventional monetary policy: what challenges?

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  • Philip Turner

Abstract

Monetary policies pursued in response to the financial crisis have shown that changes in central bank balance sheets have major macroeconomic consequences. The New Classical Macroeconomics, which gained increasing sway from the late-1980s, had led to an exclusive focus on the policy rate and a neglect of balance sheet effects. Key financial market imperfections that had been demonstrated by earlier (or contemporaneous) advances in microeconomic theory were assumed away under the guise of Ricardian equivalence. Getting their balance sheets back to normal levels is important in order to preserve policy flexibility for the future, but will present central banks with formidable challenges. This task will require cooperation with Treasuries without surrendering monetary policy independence.As central banks pragmatically monitor market resilience, the financial dominance trap is to be avoided.

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  • Philip Turner, 2014. "The exit from non-conventional monetary policy: what challenges?," BIS Working Papers 448, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:448
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Domenico Lombardi & Pierre Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2018. "A Survey Of The International Evidence And Lessons Learned About Unconventional Monetary Policies: Is A ‘New Normal’ In Our Future?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(5), pages 1229-1256, December.
    3. Shin, H.S. & Turner, P., 2015. "What does the new face of international financial intermediation mean for emerging market economies?," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 19, pages 25-36, April.
    4. Christiaan Pattipeilohy, 2016. "A comparative analysis of developments in central bank balance sheet composition," DNB Working Papers 510, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    5. Antonio Torrero Mañas, 2014. "España, una recesión de balance," Working Papers 10/14, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social.
    6. Donnery, Sharon & Doran, David & Gleeson, Ruth & Carroll, Konstantina, 2017. "Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures and the Balance Sheets of Eurosystem Central Banks," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 79-94, July.
    7. Smeets Heinz-Dieter & Schmid Anita, 2014. "Europäische Staatsschuldenkrise, Lender of last resort und Bankenunion / European sovereign debt crisis, lender of last resort and banking union," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 65(1), pages 47-74, January.
    8. Taeyoon Sung & Jong-Hee Kim, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Global Liquidity Circulation, and Inflation Divergence around the World," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(1), pages 6-26, March.
    9. Daly, Pierce & Moloney, Kitty, 2017. "Liquidity & Risk Management: Results of a Survey of Large Irish-Domiciled Funds," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 48-62, July.
    10. Ad Van Riet, 2017. "A New Era For Monetary Policy: Challenges For The European Central Bank," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 57-86, March.
    11. Devine, Kenneth & Dooley, Jennifer & Meehan, Ciaran & Menton, Aisling, 2017. "Consolidated Banking Data: Introducing Enhanced Statistics for Ireland," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 63-78, July.
    12. Jong-Hee Kim, 2017. "Monetary policy spillovers and currency crisis in comparative perspective: East Asia before the 1997 crisis and Eastern Europe after tapering," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(12), pages 2752-2770, December.
    13. Michal Franta & Tomas Holub & Petr Kral & Ivana Kubicova & Katerina Smidkova & Borek Vasicek, 2014. "The Exchange Rate as an Instrument at Zero Interest Rates: The Case of the Czech Republic," Research and Policy Notes 2014/03, Czech National Bank.

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    Keywords

    Central bank balance sheet; fiscal dominance; financial dominance; exit strategy;
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