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Monetary Policy Inertia or Persistent Shocks?

  • Carrillo, J.
  • Fève, P.
  • Matheron, J.

In this paper, we propose a simple econometric framework to disentangle the respective roles of monetary policy inertia and persistent shocks in interest rate rules. The procedure exploits the cross-equation restrictions provided by a DSGE model which is confronted to a monetary SVAR. We show that, provided enough informative variables are included in the formal test, the data favour a monetary policy representation with low inertia and highly serially correlated monetary shocks. To the contrary, when the procedure is based solely on the dynamic behavior of the nominal interest rate, no clear-cut conclusion can be reached as to the correct representation of monetary policy.

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Paper provided by Banque de France in its series Working papers with number 150.

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Length: 63 pages
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:150
Contact details of provider: Postal: Banque de France 31 Rue Croix des Petits Champs LABOLOG - 49-1404 75049 PARIS
Web page: http://www.banque-france.fr/

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