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Résultats empiriques multi-pays relatifs à l'impact des cibles d'inflation sur la crédibilité de la politique monétaire

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  • Pierre St-Amant
  • David Tessier

Abstract

Over the last few years, many countries have adopted inflation targets. The objective of this paper is to report some empirical results that bear on the link between the adoption of inflation targets and the behaviour of the main macroeconomic variables. After a discussion of some recent articles analyzing international experience, some simple statistical tests are presented for determining the link between the adoption of inflation targets, the credibility of monetary policy, and the behaviour of the major macroeconomic variables. The literature survey and empirical results lead the authors to conclude that certain statistical properties of inflation may have changed in recent years, and that monetary policy seems to have become more credible in a number of countries, including Canada. Yet the available data do not allow the authors to conclude with any certainty that explicit inflation targets have played a significant role in these changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre St-Amant & David Tessier, 1998. "Résultats empiriques multi-pays relatifs à l'impact des cibles d'inflation sur la crédibilité de la politique monétaire," Staff Working Papers 98-23, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocawp:98-23
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    Cited by:

    1. NGUENA, Christian L., 2012. "Objectif de Stabilité des Prix et Croissance Economique en Zone CEMAC: Une Approche en Données de Panel [Price Stability Objectives and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Econometrics Empirical Investig," MPRA Paper 49412, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Feb 2013.
    2. Stephen Murchison & Andrew Rennison, 2005. "Monetary neglect and the Canadian Phillips Curve," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Pierre Fortin, 2003. "Can Monetary Policy Make a Difference for Economic Growth and Inequality?," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 29(s1), pages 223-232, January.
    4. Matteo Luciani, 2004. "A VAR Model for the Analysis of the Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 94(6), pages 175-214, November-.
    5. René Lalonde & Jennifer Page & Pierre St-Amant, 1998. "Une nouvelle méthode d'estimation de l'écart de production et son application aux États-Unis, au Canada et à l'Allemagne," Staff Working Papers 98-21, Bank of Canada.
    6. Jamie Armour, 2006. "An Evaluation of Core Inflation Measures," Staff Working Papers 06-10, Bank of Canada.
    7. Seamus Hogan & Marianne Johnson & Thérèse Laflèche, 2001. "Core Inflation," Technical Reports 89, Bank of Canada.
    8. Virginie Traclet, 2004. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Canada: Some Interesting Principles for EMU?," Staff Working Papers 04-28, Bank of Canada.
    9. NGUENA, Christian L., 2012. "Objectif de Lutte contre l’Inflation et Croissance Economique en Afrique: la Nécessité d’une Alternative [Fighting against Inflation and economic growth in Africa: A necessity of alternative]," MPRA Paper 49416, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Apr 2013.
    10. St-Amant, Pierre & Tessier, David, 2008. "Déflation et politique monétaire," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 84(3), pages 307-323, septembre.

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