IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bwu/eiiwdp/disbei187.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Twin Crisis: From the Transatlantic Banking Crisis to the Euro Crisis?

Author

Listed:
  • Paul J.J. Welfens

    (Europäisches Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW))

Abstract

The Transatlantic Banking Crisis has strongly raised debt-GDP ratios in many OECD countries and this is undermining the economic recovery. As regards the euro zone there are special problems which are partly related to lack of fiscal discipline in Greece and to the Irish economic crisis which - largely unknown - basically reflects total failure of prudential supervision to apply EU directives and legislation, respectively. In this context the issue is raised whether or not there are structural problems with the Euro and monetary integration. Moreover, the debt dynamics of governments are analyzed and specifically the issue whether there is a need for restructuring the debt of Greece. Taking a closer look at the figures for government assets in Greece it seems possible to strongly reduce the debt-GDP ratio mainly by privatization. As regards Ireland one may propose that the European Commission or the European Parliament take the country before the European Court of Justice. Finally, a new approach for determining the optimum debt-GDP ratio is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul J.J. Welfens, 2011. "The Twin Crisis: From the Transatlantic Banking Crisis to the Euro Crisis?," EIIW Discussion paper disbei187, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:bwu:eiiwdp:disbei187
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eiiw.wiwi.uni-wuppertal.de/fileadmin/eiiw/Daten/Publikationen/Gelbe_Reihe/disbei_187.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec..
    2. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2005. "Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 36(1), pages 67-146.
    3. Paul Welfens, 2009. "Transatlantische Bankenkrise: Dynamik und neue Reformoptionen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 89(10), pages 684-690, October.
    4. Thomas Laubach, 2009. "New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(4), pages 858-885, June.
    5. Oecd, 2005. "International Regulatory Activities," Nuclear Law Bulletin, OECD Publishing, vol. 2005(1), pages 131-136.
    6. Paul J. J. Welfens & Mathias Weske (ed.), 2007. "Digital Economic Dynamics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-36030-8, June.
    7. Edward Graham & Nina Oding & Paul J.J. Welfens (ed.), 2005. "Internationalization and Economic Policy Reforms in Transition Countries," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-29047-6, June.
    8. Paul J. J. Welfens & Cillian Ryan & Suthiphand Chirathivat & Franz Knipping (ed.), 2009. "EU - Asean," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-87389-1, June.
    9. Yoon, Chang-Ho & Song, Young-Woong & Jun, Byoung Heon, 2005. "Efficient capacity pricing of the internet services," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 46(2), pages 149-158, December.
    10. C.A.E. Goodhart, 2008. "The background to the 2007 financial crisis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 331-346, February.
    11. Paul J.J. Welfens & Anna Wziątek-Kubiak (ed.), 2005. "Structural Change and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-28526-7, June.
    12. In't Veld, Jan & Raciborski, Rafal & Ratto, Marco & Roeger, Werner, 2011. "The recent boom-bust cycle: The relative contribution of capital flows, credit supply and asset bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 386-406, April.
    13. Paul Welfens, 2010. "Transatlantic banking crisis: analysis, rating, policy issues," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 3-48, May.
    14. Klaus Regling & Max Watson, 2008. "Financial Markets in the Euro Area: Realising the Full Benefits of Integration," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 2(1), pages 11-24, June.
    15. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-578, May.
    16. Paul J.J. Welfens & John T. Addison (ed.), 2009. "Innovation, Employment and Growth Policy Issues in the EU and the US," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-00631-9, June.
    17. Paul J. J. Welfens, 2008. "Digital Integration, Growth and Rational Regulation," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-74595-2, June.
    18. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2011. "Innovations in Macroeconomics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-11909-5, June.
    19. anonymous, 2005. "The Federal Reserve in the international sphere," Monograph, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2005tfriti.
    20. Jaejoon Woo & Manmohan S. Kumar, 2015. "Public Debt and Growth," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82(328), pages 705-739, October.
    21. Ocde, 2006. "Travaux réglementaires internationaux," Bulletin de droit nucléaire, Éditions OCDE, vol. 2005(2), pages 99-102.
    22. Paul J.J. Welfens & Franz Knipping & Suthiphand Chirathivat & Cillian Ryan (ed.), 2006. "Integration in Asia and Europe," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-28730-8, June.
    23. ., 2005. "Internationalization of the Business Firm," Chapters, in: Managing the Embedded Multinational, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    24. Harry G. Broadman & Tiiu Paas & Paul J.J. Welfens (ed.), 2006. "Economic Liberalization and Integration Policy," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-31183-6, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chung-Fu Lai & Shan-Kai Tsa, 2015. "Diversified Currency Holdings and Exchange Rate Dynamics," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 678-689.
    2. Andreas Will, 2014. "Short Term Solutions For The Financial Crisis," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, vol. 10, pages 491-500.
    3. Gulbahar UCLER & Hale KIRMIZIOGLU, 2015. "The Reasons of Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis and an Empirical Analysis over Permanency of the Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 86-96.
    4. Ramon Pacheco Pardo, 2012. "Leadership, decision-making and governance in the EU and East Asia: crisis and post-crisis," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 77-90, March.
    5. Marek Loužek, 2015. "Eurozone Crisis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(1), pages 88-104.
    6. Moradi, Davood & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2012. "Logical Forecasting of the Eurozone Crisis through ANP," MPRA Paper 71624, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2012. "Towards a Euro Fiscal Union: Reinforced Fiscal and Macroeconomic Coordination and Surveillance is Not Enough," EIIW Discussion paper disbei191, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    2. Paul J.J. Welfens & Tony Irawan, 2014. "Trade and Foreign Direct Investment: New Theoretical Approach and Empirical Findings for US Exports and European Exports," EIIW Discussion paper disbei204, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    3. Paul J.J Welfens, 2010. "European and Global Reform Requirements for Overcoming the Banking Crisis," EIIW Discussion paper disbei180, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    4. Miklós Szanyi, 2010. "Industrial Clusters: Concepts and Empirical Evidence from East-Central Europe," EIIW Discussion paper disbei181, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    5. Jens K. Perret, 2010. "A Core-Periphery Pattern in Russia - Twin Peaks or a Rat's Tail," EIIW Discussion paper disbei178, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    6. Angie Tan, 2014. "Harnessing the Power of ICT and Innovation Case Study Singapore," EIIW Discussion paper disbei201, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    7. Grigori Feiguine & Julia Solovjova, 2014. "Significance of Foreign Direct Investment for the Development of Russian ICT sector," EIIW Discussion paper disbei198, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    8. Oliver Emons, 2010. "Innovation and Specialization Dynamics in the Automotive Sector: Comparative Analysis of Cooperation & Application Networks," EIIW Discussion paper disbei186, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    9. Grigori Feiguine & Julia Solovjova, 2013. "ICT Investment and Internationalization of the Russian Economy," EIIW Discussion paper disbei196, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    10. Stanislaw Kubielas & Magdalena Olender-Skorek, 2014. "ICT Modernization in Central and Eastern Europe," EIIW Discussion paper disbei197, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    11. Paul Welfens & Christian Lutz, 2012. "Green ICT dynamics: key issues and findings for Germany," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 24(2), pages 155-163, June.
    12. Grigori Feiguine & Julia Solovjova, 2014. "ICT Modernization and Globalization: Russian Perspectives," EIIW Discussion paper disbei199, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    13. Christian Schröder, 2014. "Dynamics in ICT cooperation networks in selected German ICT clusters," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 197-230, February.
    14. Paul Welfens & Jens Perret, 2014. "Information & communication technology and true real GDP: economic analysis and findings for selected countries," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 5-27, February.
    15. Tony Irawan, 2013. "ICT and Economic Development:Conclusion from IO Analysis for Selected ASEAN Member States," EIIW Discussion paper disbei192, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    16. Vladimir Udalov, 2014. "Political-Economic Aspects of Renewable Energy: Voting on the Level of Renewable Energy Support," EIIW Discussion paper disbei202, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    17. Andrea Szalavetz, 2010. "The Hungarian automotive sector - a comparative CEE perspective with special emphasis on structural change," EIIW Discussion paper disbei182, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    18. Paul J.J Welfens, 2010. "Toward a New Concept of Universal Services: The Role of Digital Mobile Services and Network Neutrality," EIIW Discussion paper disbei177, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    19. Balázs Lengyel, 2010. "Regional clustering tendencies of the Hungarian automotive and ICT industries in the first half of the 2000's," EIIW Discussion paper disbei184, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    20. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2014. "Competition in Telecommunications and Internet Services: Problems with Asymmetric Regulations," EIIW Discussion paper disbei205, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Integration; Debt Crisis; Fiscal Policy; Optimum Debt Ratio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bwu:eiiwdp:disbei187. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Frank Hoffmann (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://elpub.bib.uni-wuppertal.de .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.