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Logical Forecasting of the Eurozone Crisis through ANP

Author

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  • Moradi, Davood
  • Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan

Abstract

The Eurozone crisis is an ongoing financial problem that has made it difficult and impossible to some countries in the euro area to re-finance their government debt. This problem generates various inverse effects for many other nations in the world due to their capital markets’s connections with the Eurozone markets. Hence, overcoming this crisis can be crucial for a high number of countries. This paper is an attempt to logically explore the best solutions in order to pass this crisis. For this purpose, a flexible and dynamic framework with the Analytic Network Process (ANP) is designed to forecast this crisis’s solutions through some recognized clusters and factors. The results of this paper identified the best proactive solutions which can be considered as a tool to make the best way to overcome this crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Moradi, Davood & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2012. "Logical Forecasting of the Eurozone Crisis through ANP," MPRA Paper 71624, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:71624
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/71624/1/MPRA_paper_71624.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matheron, J. & Mojon, B. & Sahuc, J.G., 2012. "The sovereign debt crisis and monetary policy," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 16, pages 155-167, April.
    2. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2011. "The Twin Crisis: From the Transatlantic Banking Crisis to the Euro Crisis?," EIIW Discussion paper disbei187, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    3. Paul Welfens, 2011. "From the transatlantic banking crisis to the euro crisis?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 15-29, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Eurozone crisis; ANP; Forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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