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Sovereign Risk, European Crisis-Resolution Policies, and Bond Spreads

Author

Listed:
  • Juha Kilponen

    (Bank of Finland)

  • Helinä Laakkonen

    (Bank of Finland)

  • Jouko Vilmunen

    (Bank of Finland)

Abstract

We study the effects of a wide range of European crisisresolution policies, including large-scale asset purchase programs of the ECB, on ten-year sovereign bond spreads of seven European countries. Our results based on daily data on bond spreads suggest that policies that are directly geared towards easing the funding strains of the sovereigns and improving market liquidity have been most effective in calming the European sovereign markets. Quantitatively the largest effects on bond spreads are due to announcements of ECB’s SMP program and OMTs. At the same time, announcements of financial assistance programs have typically increased somewhat the perceived riskiness of long-term bonds in the guarantor countries but reduced the bond spreads in the countries receiving funding.

Suggested Citation

  • Juha Kilponen & Helinä Laakkonen & Jouko Vilmunen, 2015. "Sovereign Risk, European Crisis-Resolution Policies, and Bond Spreads," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(2), pages 285-323, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2015:q:2:a:8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(43), pages 4617-4631, September.
    2. Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz, . "Sovereign Bond Spreads in the EMU Peripheral Countries. The Role of the Outright Monetary Transactions," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0, pages 1-14.
    3. Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015. "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series 165, European Central Bank.
    4. Ehrmann, Michael & Osbat, Chiara & Stráský, Jan & Uusküla, Lenno, 2014. "The euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis – Dancing to its own tune?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PB), pages 319-339.
    5. repec:aic:revebs:y:2017:j:19:melnicf is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jäger, Jannik & Grigoriadis, Theocharis, 2016. "Soft budget constraints, European Central Banking and the financial crisis," Discussion Papers 2016/7, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    7. Conrad, Christian & Zumbach, Klaus Ulrich, 2016. "The effect of political communication on European financial markets during the sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 209-214.
    8. Debarsy, Nicolas & Dossougoin, Cyrille & Ertur, Cem & Gnabo, Jean-Yves, 2018. "Measuring sovereign risk spillovers and assessing the role of transmission channels: A spatial econometrics approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 21-45.
    9. Kaoru Hosono & Shogo Isobe, "undated". "The Financial Market Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policies in the U.S., the U.K., the Eurozone, and Japan," Discussion papers ron259, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    10. António Afonso, & Manuel Reis, 2016. "Revisiting Sovereign Bond Spreads’Determinants in the EMU," Working Papers Department of Economics 2016/08, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    11. Garcí­a, Juan Angel & Werner, Sebastian E. V., 2016. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic factors and financial crisis in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1938, European Central Bank.
    12. Franck Martin, 2016. "La structure des taux revisitée pour période de crise: entre contagion, ?ight to quality et Quantitative Easing," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen) 2016-06, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS.
    13. Andreas Haupenthal & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "Grexit news and stock returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(39), pages 3891-3898, August.
    14. António Afonso & Ana Catarina Ramos Félix, 2014. "Contagion in EU Sovereign Yield Spreads," Working Papers Department of Economics 2014/04, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    15. Jakob de Haan & Willem van den End & Jon Frost & Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Mostafa Tabbae, 2013. "Unconventional Monetary Policy of the ECB during the Financial Crisis: An Assessment and New Evidence," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 4, pages 117-156, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    16. repec:iaf:journl:y:2018:i:1:p:124-131 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Peter Claeys & Borek Vašícek, 2012. "“Measuring Sovereign Bond Spillover in Europe and the Impact of Rating News”," IREA Working Papers 201219, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Nov 2012.
    18. repec:eee:finlet:v:21:y:2017:i:c:p:107-114 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Gibran Watfe, 2015. "The Impact of the ECB's Asset Purchase Programmes on Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Euro Area," Bruges European Economic Research Papers 35, European Economic Studies Department, College of Europe.
    20. repec:eee:jimfin:v:78:y:2017:i:c:p:21-43 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. repec:eee:jimfin:v:86:y:2018:i:c:p:70-92 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. repec:eee:quaeco:v:66:y:2017:i:c:p:314-327 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Bernal, Oscar & Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Guilmin, Grégory, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and risk spillovers in the Eurozone," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 24-45.
    24. Gimeno, Ricardo & Ibáñez, Alfredo, 2018. "The eurozone (expected) inflation: An option's eyes view," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 70-92.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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