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Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises

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  • Collard, Fabrice
  • Boissay, Frédéric
  • Galì, Jordi
  • Manea, Cristina

Abstract

Should a central bank deviate from price stability to promote financial stability? We study this question through the lens of a textbook New Keynesian model augmented with capital accumulation and search–for–yield behaviors that give rise to endogenous financial crises. Our main findings are fourfold. First, monetary policy affects the probability of a crisis both in the short run (through aggregate demand) and in the medium run (through savings and capital accumulation). Second, the central bank can lower the probability of a crisis and increase welfare compared to strict inflation targeting by responding to output and an index of financial fragility (the “yield gap”) in addition to inflation. Third, “backstop” policy rules that prevent credit market collapses can further increase welfare. Fourth, financial crises may occur after a long period of unexpectedly loose monetary policy as the central bank abruptly reverses course.

Suggested Citation

  • Collard, Fabrice & Boissay, Frédéric & Galì, Jordi & Manea, Cristina, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises," TSE Working Papers 21-1277, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Apr 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:126275
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    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2022-02-06 04:40:28

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    Cited by:

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    2. Gabriel Jiménez & Dmitry Kuvshinov & José-Luis Peydró & Björn Richter, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Inflation, and Crises: New Evidence from History and Administrative Data," Working Papers 1378, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Thore Kockerols & Erling Motzfeldt Kravik & Yasin Mimir, 2021. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Working Paper 2021/11, Norges Bank.
    4. Mandeya Shelton M.T & Ho Sin-Yu, 2022. "Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty and the Economic Growth Nexus: A Review of the Literature," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 22(1), pages 172-190, June.
    5. Gadi Barlevy, 2022. "On Speculative Frenzies and Stabilization Policy," Working Paper Series WP 2022-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    6. Brini, Alessio & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Tantari, Daniele, 2023. "Reinforcement learning policy recommendation for interbank network stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    7. Lebedeva Larysa & Shkuropadska Diana, 2023. "Turnover in EU Monetary Policy in a Crisis," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 177-194, June.
    8. Alex Ilek & Nimrod Cohen, 2023. "Semi-Structural Model with Household Debt for Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2023.03, Bank of Israel.
    9. Iñaki Aldasoro & Stefan Avdjiev & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat, 2023. "Global and Domestic Financial Cycles: Variations on a Theme," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 49-98, December.
    10. Frederic Boissay & Fabrice Collard & Cristina Manea & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2023. "Monetary Tightening, Inflation Drivers and Financial Stress," Working Paper Series 2023-38, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    11. Adam Hale Shapiro, "undated". "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-03, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
    12. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Kremer, Manfred & Lund-Thomsen, Frederik, 2023. "Quantifying financial stability trade-offs for monetary policy: a quantile VAR approach," Working Paper Series 2833, European Central Bank.
    13. Ernst Baltensperger, 2023. "The return of inflation," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-18, December.
    14. Aurélien Espic & Lisa Kerdelhué & Julien Matheron, 2024. "Capital Requirements in Light of Monetary Tightening," Working papers 947, Banque de France.
    15. Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022. "Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation," Working Paper Series 2022-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis ; monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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