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Modelling anti-inflationary monetary targeting: with an application to Romania

  • Sánchez, Marcelo
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    This paper attempts to characterise an anti-inflationary monetary targeting (MT) regime. In order to derive a formal representation of this regime, we formulate the central bank’s optimisation problem under the assumption that it is possible for the monetary targeted variable to have an impact on inflation. We apply a rather general framework to the Romanian experience with MT in the period 1999-2005. We find that during this period Romania's MT regime can be characterised by a concern for price stability and an additional role for smoothing of the central bank's instrument (base money growth). Our results suggest that exchange rate variability and output gap stability appear not to have entered the objective function significantly. JEL Classification: E52, E58, C32, C61

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    Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 1186.

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    Date of creation: May 2010
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    Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20101186
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    1. Marcelo Sanchez, 2008. "The link between interest rates and exchange rates: do contractionary depreciations make a difference?," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 43-61.
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    9. Oana GHERGHINESCU & Gheorghe GHERGHINESCU & Mirela CRISTEA, 2008. "Considerations regarding the structure, significance and trend of monetary indicators in Romania and in the Eurosystem," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 2(36), pages 781-787, may.
    10. Daniel Daianu & Laurian Lungu, 2007. "Inflation Targeting, Between Rhetoric and Reality. The Case of Transition Economies," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 4(1), pages 39-64, June.
    11. Svensson, L-E-O, 1996. "Inflation Forecast Targeting : Implementaing and Monitoring Inflation Targets," Papers 615, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
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    20. repec:bil:bilpap:0305 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Mehrotra, Aaron & Koivu, Tuuli & Nuutilainen, Riikka, 2008. "McCallum rule and Chinese monetary policy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2008, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
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