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Ruediger Bachmann

Citations

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Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2011. "Public Consumption Over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 17230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Public consumption and the business cycle
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-08-18 19:49:00
  2. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Sims, Eric R., 2012. "Confidence and the transmission of government spending shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 235-249.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Monetary Alchemy, Fiscal Science
      by ? in Jeff Frankels Weblog on 2013-01-26 17:16:00
    2. FRBSF Economic Letter: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation
      by ? in Economist's View on 2012-09-18 14:47:00
    3. The Myth of Austerity and Growth
      by Mark Thoma in Economist's View on 2016-06-22 14:39:02
    4. Economic arguments as stalking horses
      by Noah Smith in Noahpinion on 2015-06-05 19:23:00
    5. Links for the Week of August 28, 2016
      by ? in Grasping Reality with the Invisible Hand on 2016-08-29 09:49:00
    6. Procrastinating on August 27, 2016
      by ? in Grasping Reality with the Invisible Hand on 2016-08-27 17:58:00
  3. RÜdiger Bachman & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: A Quantitative Evaluation," Working Papers 2020-2, School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: A Quantitative Evaluation
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2021-02-02 05:00:29

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Rüdiger Bachmann & Tim O. Berg & Eric R. Sims, 2015. "Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-35, February.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence (American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2015) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data (AEJ:MA 2013) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. R?diger Bachmann & Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo M. R. A. Engel, 2013. "Aggregate Implications of Lumpy Investment: New Evidence and a DSGE Model," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 29-67, October.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Aggregate Implications of Lumpy Investment: New Evidence and a DSGE Model (AEJ:MA 2013) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Rüdiger Bachmann & Christian Bayer & Heiko Stüber & Felix Wellschmied, 2024. "Monopsony Makes Firms not only Small but also Unproductive: Why East Germany has not Converged," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 328, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Kovalenko, Tim & Sauerbier, Timo & Schröpf, Benedikt, 2023. "The fall and rebound of average establishment size in West Germany," Discussion Papers 126, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    2. Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024. "Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap," Ruhr Economic Papers 1062, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    3. Gulyas, Andreas & Meier, Matthias & Ryzhenkov, Mykola, 2024. "Labor market effects of monetary policy across workers and firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    4. Isabella Maassen & Filip Mellgren & Jonas Overhage, 2025. "Monopsony Power and Creative Destruction: Static Loss, Faster Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 11820, CESifo.
    5. Ufuk Akcigit & Harun Alp & André Diegmann & Nicolas Serrano-Velarde, 2023. "Committing to Grow: Privatizations and Firm Dynamics in East Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 10640, CESifo.
    6. Daniel Fehrle & Vasilij Konysev, 2025. "To converge or not to converge: Accounting for the German reunification," Discussion Paper Series 348, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    7. Akcigit, Ufuk & Alp, Harun & Diegmann, André & Serrano-Velarde, Nicolas, 2025. "Committing to grow: Employment targets and firm dynamics," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2025.
    8. Rüdiger Bachmann & Christian Bayer & Heiko Stüber & Felix Wellschmied, 2022. "Monopsone machen Unternehmen nicht nur klein, sondern auch unproduktiv: Warum die Wirtschaft Ostdeutschlands nicht konvergiert ist," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 29(05), pages 09-12, October.
    9. Kovalenko, Tim & Sauerbier, Timo & Schröpf, Benedikt, 2024. "The fall and rebound of average establishment size in West Germany," Discussion Papers 11/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  2. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Baqaee, David Rezza & Bayer, Christian & Kuhn, Moritz & Löschel, Andreas & Moll, Ben & Peichl, Andreas & Pittel, Karen & Schularick, Moritz, 2024. "What if? The macroeconomic and distributional effects for Germany of a stop of energy imports from Russia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 124094, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Cited by:

    1. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    2. Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    3. Laura Alfaro & Harald Fadinger & Jan Schymik & Gede Virananda, 2025. "Trade and Industrial Policy in Supply Chains:Directed Technological Change in Rare Earths," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_720, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    4. Cecilia Bellora & Lionel Fontagné & Christophe Gouel & Youssef Salib, 2025. "Carbon Bias of Tariffs: Are Fossil fuels the Culprits?," Working Papers 2025-08, CEPII research center.
    5. Jochen Güntner & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2024. "Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1282-1300, November.
    6. Ipsen, Leonhard & Aminian, Armin & Schulz, Jan, 2025. "Stress-testing Inflation Exposure: Systemically significant prices and asymmetric shock propagation in the EU," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 713-724.
    7. Nikou, Vasilis, 2025. "From exit to exposure: Gas import shocks and macroeconomic asymmetries in the wake of Europe's coal phaseout," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    8. Imbs, Jean & Pauwels, Laurent, 2025. "Measuring foreign exposure," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    9. Natalia Fabra & Clément Leblanc & Mateus Souza, 2025. "Unpacking the Distributional Implications of the Energy Crisis Lessons from the Iberian Electricity Market," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_716, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    10. Casagrande, Sara & Dallago, Bruno, 2025. "The economic and geostrategic role of LNG in EU energy transition," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 387-404.
    11. Robert Lehmann & Christoph Schult, 2024. "Auswirkung eines potenziellen Gasdefizits auf die industrielle Wertschöpfung der Bundesländer," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(06), pages 15-16, December.
    12. Kagerer, B., 2024. "Geopolitics and corporate risk: Evidence from EU-Russia conflict shocks," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2471, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    13. Jonas Adolph & Wilhelm Kohler & Gernot Müller, 2025. "Geopolitical Conflict and Trade: Montesquieu Revisited," CESifo Working Paper Series 12311, CESifo.

  3. Christian Bayer & Rüdiger Bachmann, 2023. "Respekt vor unterschiedlichen Ausgangsbedingungen: Horizontale Fairness in die CO2-Bepreisung bringen," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 054, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Horn, Gustav A., 2024. "Wirtschaftspolitik in der Zeitenwende," Working Paper Forschungsförderung 332, Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Düsseldorf.
    2. Lukas Endres, 2023. "Verteilungswirkung der CO2-Bepreisung in den Sektoren Verkehr und Waerme mit Pro-Kopf Klimageld," IMK Policy Brief 161-2023, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

  4. Rüdiger Bachmann & Christian Bayer & Martin Kornejew, 2023. "Pandemic Consumption," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_423, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Emiliozzi, Simone & Rondinelli, Concetta & Villa, Stefania, 2025. "Unveiling consumption patterns during COVID-19: Insights from credit cards," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    2. De Schryder, Selien & Koutounidis, Nikolaos & Schoors, Koen & Weytjens, Johannes, 2025. "Assessing the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 on consumption using bank transactions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

  5. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "What if? The Economic Effects for Germany of a Stop of Energy Imports from Russia," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 028, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Ciola, Emanuele & Turco, Enrico & Gurgone, Andrea & Bazzana, Davide & Vergalli, Sergio & Menoncin, Francesco, 2023. "Enter the MATRIX model:a Multi-Agent model for Transition Risks with application to energy shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    2. Yasuyuki TODO, 2025. "Reconsidering Supply Chains and Industrial Policy from the Economic Security Perspective," Policy Discussion Papers 25005, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Peter K. Kruse-Andersen, 2022. "Climate Policy in the Shadow of National Security," Discussion Papers 22-01, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    4. Mavrigiannakis, Konstantinos & Sakkas, Stelios, 2024. "EU sanctions on Russia and implications for a small open economy: the case of Cyprus," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125336, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Nils M. Gornemann & Sebastian Hildebrand & Keith Kuester, 2024. "Limited (Energy) Supply, Monetary Policy, and Sunspots," International Finance Discussion Papers 1395, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Nils Gornemann & Sebastian Hildebrand & Keith Kuester, 2022. "Limited Energy Supply, Sunspots, and Monetary Policy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 215, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    7. Simone Emiliozzi & Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2023. "The European energy crisis and the consequences for the global natural gas market," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 824, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Dräger, Lena & Gründler, Klaus & Potrafke, Niklas, 2025. "Political shocks and inflation expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    9. Chan, Jenny & Diz, Sebastian & Kanngiesser, Derrick, 2022. "Energy Prices and Household Heterogeneity: Monetary Policy in a Gas-TANK," MPRA Paper 118543, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2022.
    10. Javier Bianchi & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2022. "On Wars, Sanctions and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 151, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    11. Fujiy,Brian C. & Ghose,Devaki & Khanna,Gaurav, 2024. "Production Networks and Firm-level Elasticities of Substitution," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10782, The World Bank.
    12. Thiemo Fetzer & Peter John Lambert & Bennet Feld & Prashant Garg, 2024. "AI-Generated Production Networks: Measurement and Applications to Global Trade," CESifo Working Paper Series 11497, CESifo.
    13. Lionel Fontagné & Philippe Martin & Gianluca Orefice, 2023. "The Many Channels of Firm’s Adjustment to Energy Shocks: Evidence from France," Working Papers DT/2023/05, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    14. Georg Zachmann & Guntram B. Wolff & Agata Łoskot-Strachota & Simone Tagliapietra & Axel Ockenfels & Ricardo Hausmann & Ulrich Schetter, 2022. "Cutting Putin’s energy rent- ‘smart sanctioning’ Russian oil and gas," Bruegel Working Papers 48117, Bruegel.
    15. Fetzer, Thiemo & Palmou, Christina & Schneebacher, Jakob, 2024. "How do firms cope with economic shocks in real time?," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 722, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    16. Jochen Güntner & Michael Irlacher & Peter Öhlinger, 2023. "Not all oil types are alike," Economics working papers 2023-11, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    17. Mats Kröger & Karsten Neuhoff & Sebastian Schwenen, 2025. "Contracts in Crisis: The War in Ukraine and Long-Term Contracts in Energy Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2118, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Peter Levell & Martin O'Connell & Kate Smith, 2025. "The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: evidence from an energy crisis," IFS Working Papers W25/55, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    19. Marco Flaccadoro, 2024. "The recent weakness in the German manufacturing sector," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 902, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Enrica Di Stefano & Vanessa Gunnella & Michele Mancini & Ludovic Panon, 2022. "Quantitative assessment of the economic impact of the trade disruptions following the Russian invasion of Ukraine," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 700, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    21. Christian Bayer & Felix Bierbrauer & Axel Ockenfels & Matthias Sutter, 2025. "ECONtribute: Markets & Public Policy: Agenda und ausgewählte Forschungsschwerpunkte," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 352, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    22. Clayton, Christopher & Maggiori, Matteo & Schreger, Jesse, 2025. "Putting Economics Back into Geoeconomics," SocArXiv cxrtz_v1, Center for Open Science.
    23. Anton Pichler & Jan Hurt & Tobias Reisch & Johannes Stangl & Stefan Thurner, 2024. "Economic impacts of a drastic gas supply shock and short-term mitigation strategies," Papers 2409.07981, arXiv.org.
    24. Bobasu, Alina & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Ambrocio, Gene & Auer, Simone & Bonfim, Diana & Bottero, Margherita & Brázdik, František & Buss, Ginters & Byrne, David & Casalis, André , 2025. "Monetary policy transmission: a reference guide through ESCB models and empirical benchmarks," Occasional Paper Series 377, European Central Bank.
    25. David Rezza Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2024. "Networks, Barriers, and Trade," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(2), pages 505-541, March.
    26. Jakub Sokolowski & Marek Antosiewicz & Piotr Lewandowski, 2022. "The economic effects of stopping Russian energy Import in Poland," IBS Research Reports 01/2022, Instytut Badan Strukturalnych.
    27. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani, 2023. "Natural gas and the macroeconomy: not all energy shocks are alike," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1428, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    28. Sophie M. Behr & Till Köveker & Merve Kücük, 2025. "Understanding Energy Savings in a Crisis: The Role of Prices and Non-monetary Factors," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2112, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    29. Erik Braun & Emese Braun & András Gyimesi & Zita Iloskics & Tamás Sebestyén, 2023. "Exposure to trade disruptions in case of the Russia–Ukraine conflict: A product network approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(10), pages 2950-2982, October.
    30. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben Mcwilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," Working Papers hal-03880930, HAL.
      • Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben McWilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 034, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
      • Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben Mcwilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03880930, HAL.
    31. Benjamin Moll & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2023. "The Power of Substitution: The Great German Gas Debate in Retrospect," Post-Print hal-05448958, HAL.
    32. Mohr, Cathrin & Trebesch, Christoph, 2025. "Geoeconomics," Kiel Working Papers 2279, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    33. Becko, John Sturm, 2024. "A theory of economic sanctions as terms-of-trade manipulation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    34. Baqaee, David & Hinz, Julian & Moll, Benjamin & Schularick, Moritz & Teti, Feodora A. & Wanner, Joschka & Yang, Sihwan, 2024. "Was wäre wenn? Die Auswirkungen einer harten Abkopplung von China auf die deutsche Wirtschaft [What if? The effects of a hard decoupling from China on the German economy]," Kiel Policy Briefs 170, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    35. Brunsch, Daniel & Radek, Julian & Ostmeier, Lars & Weber, Christoph, 2025. "Midterm perspectives on natural gas after the European gas crisis: Reviewing German energy transition studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    36. Panon, Ludovic & Lebastard, Laura & Mancini, Michele & Borin, Alessandro & Essers, Dennis & Linarello, Andrea & Caka, Peonare & Cariola, Gianmarco & Gentili, Elena & Padellini, Tullia & Requena, Franc, 2024. "Inputs in distress: geoeconomic fragmentation and firms’ sourcing," Working Paper Series 2992, European Central Bank.
    37. Karl-Martin Ehrhart & Ingmar Schlecht & Jan Schmitz & Runxi Wang, 2024. "A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Interaction Between Embargoes, Price Caps and Tariffs in EU-Russia Gas Trade," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1-24, December.
    38. Borin, Alessandro & Conteduca, Francesco Paolo & Di Stefano, Enrica & Gunnella, Vanessa & Mancini, Michele & Panon, Ludovic, 2023. "Trade decoupling from Russia," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 25-44.
    39. de Souza, Gustavo & Hu, Naiyuan & Li, Haishi & Mei, Yuan, 2024. "(Trade) War and peace: How to impose international trade sanctions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    40. Thomas R. Cook & Amaze Lusompa & Jun Nie, 2022. "Disruptions to Russian Energy Supply Likely to Weigh on European Output," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue November , pages 1-4, November.
    41. Jochen Güntner & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters & Maik H. Wolters, 2024. "Sudden Stop: Supply and Demand Shocks in the German Natural Gas Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 11191, CESifo.
    42. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2024. "What if? The macroeconomic and distributional effects for Germany of a stop of energy imports from Russia," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(364), pages 1157-1200, October.
    43. Peter Levell & Martin O'Connell & Kate Smith, 2025. "The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: evidence from an energy crisis," IFS Working Papers W25/03, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    44. Horn, Gustav A., 2024. "Wirtschaftspolitik in der Zeitenwende," Working Paper Forschungsförderung 332, Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Düsseldorf.
    45. Birkholz, Carlo & Kraus, Margit, 2022. "Die Energiekrise im Standortvergleich: Preiseffekte und Importrisiken. Sonderstudie zum Länderindex Familienunternehmen," Studien, Stiftung Familienunternehmen / Foundation for Family Businesses, number 262218.
    46. Markus Dertwinkel-Kalt & Christian Wey, 2022. "Why “Energy Price Brakes” Encourage Moral Hazard, Raise Energy Prices, and Reinforce Energy Savings," CESifo Working Paper Series 10163, CESifo.
    47. Bernstein, Martin & Meyer, Josefin & O'Rourke, Kevin Hjortshøj & Schularick, Moritz, 2025. "Economic insecurity: Trade dependencies and their weaponization in history," Kiel Working Papers 2295, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    48. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2023. "The impact of the war in Ukraine on energy prices: Consequences for firms’ financial performance," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 221-230.
    49. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2025. "Transfers or subsidies? Comparing mitigation strategies for energy price shocks in a production network model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    50. Braakmann, Nils & Dursun, Bahadir & Pickard, Harry, 2023. "Energy Price Shocks and the Demand for Energy-Efficient Housing: Evidence from Russia's Invasion of Ukraine," IZA Discussion Papers 15959, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    51. Salman, Muhammad, 2025. "Germany’s energy security strategy in times of turmoil: The role of AI-driven energy systems and environmental policy in the Russian gas exit," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    52. Di Bella, Gabriel & Flanagan, Mark & Foda, Karim & Maslova, Svitlana & Pienkowski, Alex & Stuermer, Martin & Toscani, Frederik, 2024. "Natural gas in Europe: The potential impact of disruptions to supply," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    53. Baqaee, David & Hinz, Julian & Moll, Benjamin & Schularick, Moritz & Teti, Feodora A. & Wanner, Joschka & Yang, Sihwan, 2024. "What if? The effects of a hard decoupling from China on the German economy," Kiel Policy Briefs 170, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    54. Bojan Obrenovic & Danijela Godinic & Mato Njavro, 2024. "Sustaining company performance during the war-induced crisis using sourcing capability and substitute input," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(12), pages 30001-30026, December.
    55. Alexander Sandkamp, 2022. "Reshoring by Decree? The Effects of Decoupling Europe from Global Value Chains," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 359-362, November.
    56. Clemens, Marius & Röger, Werner, 2024. "What is the difference between fossil fuel embargo and price shocks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    57. Bobasu, Alina & Dobrew, Michael & Repele, Amalia, 2025. "Energy price shocks, monetary policy and inequality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    58. Pieroni, Valerio, 2023. "Energy shortages and aggregate demand: Output loss and unequal burden from HANK," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    59. Sirgit Perdana & Marc Vielle & Maxime Schenkery, 2022. "European Economic Impacts of Cutting Energy imports from Russia : a Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers hal-03898833, HAL.
    60. Benjamin Moll & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2023. "Nicht einmal eine Rezession: Die große deutsche Gasdebatte im Rückblick," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 048, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    61. Dertwinkel-Kalt, Markus & Wey, Christian, 2023. "Why Germany's Gas Price Brake Encourages Moral Hazard and Raises Gas Prices," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277575, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    62. Attinasi, Maria Grazia & Boeckelmann, Lukas & Meunier, Baptiste, 2023. "The economic costs of supply chain decoupling," Working Paper Series 2839, European Central Bank.
    63. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatilities, and Macroeconomic Transmission," LEM Papers Series 2025/20, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    64. Jérémi Montornès & Alexandre Bourgeois, 2025. "Made in France and Reshoring in Multi-Regional Input-Output Tables," Working papers 992, Banque de France.
    65. Sandu Mihai, 2025. "Evolution of Gas Prices - From the Start of the War in Ukraine to Today," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 4766-4778.
    66. Javier Quintana, 2022. "Economic consequences of a hypothetical suspension of Russia-EU trade," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2/2022.
    67. Ricardo Hausmann & Ulrich Schetter & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2022. "On the Design of Effective Sanctions: The Case of Bans on Exports to Russia," CID Working Papers 417, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    68. Gutsch, Alexandra & Schult, Christoph, 2025. "The German Energy Crisis: A TENK-based Fiscal Policy Analysis," IWH Discussion Papers 1/2025, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2025.
    69. Maksym Chepeliev & Thomas Hertel & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2022. "Cutting Russia's fossil fuel exports: Short‐term economic pain for long‐term environmental gain," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(11), pages 3314-3343, November.
    70. Hornbach, Jens & Rammer, Christian, 2024. "Energy price shocks and short-time reactions of firms: The case of the german energy crisis in 2022," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-075, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    71. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2024. "On curbing the rise in energy prices: An examination of different mitigation approaches," Discussion Papers 09/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    72. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2024. "Could the Russia-Ukraine war stir up the persistent memory of interconnectivity among Islamic equity markets, energy commodities, and environmental factors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    73. Vasily Astrov & Mahdi Ghodsi & Richard Grieveson & Mario Holzner & Artem Kochnev & Michael Landesmann & Olga Pindyuk & Robert Stehrer & Maryna Tverdostup & Alexandra Bykova, 2022. "Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: assessment of the humanitarian, economic, and financial impact in the short and medium term," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 331-381, May.
    74. Veronika Grimm & Andreas Löschel & Karen Pittel, 2022. "Die Folgen eines russischen Erdgasembargos [The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(4), pages 251-255, April.
    75. Beata Javorcik & Lucas Kitzmüller & Helena Schweiger & Muhammed A. Yıldırım, 2024. "Economic costs of friendshoring," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(7), pages 2871-2908, July.
    76. Khalil, Makram & Rouillard, Pierre & Strobel, Felix, 2025. "Import tariff transmission in a production network," MPRA Paper 125698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    77. Daniele Colombo & Francesco Toni, 2025. "Understanding Gas Price Shocks: Elasticities, Volatility and Macroeconomic Transmission," GREDEG Working Papers 2025-20, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    78. Trebesch, Christoph & Antezza, Arianna & Bushnell, Katelyn & Frank, André & Frank, Pascal & Franz, Lukas & Kharitonov, Ivan & Kumar, Bharath & Rebinskaya, Ekaterina & Schramm, Stefan, 2023. "The Ukraine Support Tracker: Which countries help Ukraine and how?," Kiel Working Papers 2218, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, revised 2023.
    79. Sielker Franziska & Dannenberg Peter, 2025. "New economic geographies of war: risks and disruptions in Eurasian transport routes and supply chains through the military conflict in Ukraine," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 69(1), pages 41-54.
    80. Gnocato, Nicolò, 2025. "Energy price shocks, unemployment, and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    81. Gradzewicz, Michał & Jabłonowski, Janusz & Sasiela, Michał & Żółkiewski, Zbigniew, 2024. "The impact of energy price increases on the Polish economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    82. Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Mork, Jente Esther & Van Robays, Ine, 2024. "Gas price shocks and euro area inflation," Working Paper Series 2905, European Central Bank.
    83. Toda, Alexis Akira & Walsh, Kieran James, 2024. "Recent advances on uniqueness of competitive equilibrium," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    84. Berezka Kateryna M. & Kovalchuk Olha Ya., 2023. "Associative Rules for Modeling International Security Decisions in the Context of the Ukrainian-Russian War. Preliminary Evaluations," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 67-85, December.
    85. Egan, Paul & Bergin, Adele & O'Toole, Conor, 2023. "The potential impact of the war in Ukraine on the Irish economy," Papers WP759, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    86. Krebs, Tom, 2022. "Economic consequences of a sudden stop of energy imports: The case of natural gas in Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-021, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, revised 2022.
    87. Dalvit,Nicolo & Iootty De Paiva Dias,Mariana & Melecky,Martin & Srinivasan,Nithya, 2023. "Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Firm Performance in Central Asia : The Role of Export Links and Digital Gains," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10557, The World Bank.

  6. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "Was wäre, wenn...? Die wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen eines Importstopps russischer Energie auf Deutschland," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 029, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Frondel, Manuel & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2022. "Stopp des Bezugs von russischem Gas birgt erhebliche Risiken," RWI Positionen 81, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
    2. Berger, Eva M. & Bialek, Sylwia & Garnadt, Niklas & Grimm, Veronika & Other, Lars & Salzmann, Leonard & Schnitzer, Monika & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2022. "A potential sudden stop of energy imports from Russia: Effects on energy security and economic output in Germany and the EU," IMFS Working Paper Series 166, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    3. Kamin Katrin & Langhammer Rolf J., 2025. "Die geoökonomischen Herausforderungen der deutschen Wirtschaft meistern," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 105(1), pages 48-53.
    4. Koenen, Michelle & Kunath, Gero & Obst, Thomas, 2022. "Europa an der Schwelle zur Rezession? Wirtschaftliche Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie und des Ukraine-Kriegs," IW-Reports 40/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    5. Dirks, Maximilian W., 2025. "When two quarrel, the third rejoices: Windfall FDI and the early winners of the Russian-Ukrainian war," Ruhr Economic Papers 1161, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

  7. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben McWilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "Wie es zu schaffen ist," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 034, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Ockenfels, Axel & Wambach, Achim, 2022. "Was tun, wenn der Markt kollabiert?," ZEW policy briefs 5/2022, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Moll Benjamin, 2022. "Volle Speicher reichen nicht: Die Fixierung auf die Speicherfüllstände verstellt den Blick auf das Wesentliche: weniger Gas zu verbrauchen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 134-138, September.
    3. Fremerey, Melinda & Gerards Iglesias, Simon, 2022. "Steuerbegünstigungen für Gas in Zeiten von Gasmangel," IW-Kurzberichte 69/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.

  8. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben McWilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 034, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    • Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben Mcwilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," Working Papers hal-03880930, HAL.
    • Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Ben Mcwilliams & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick & Georg Zachmann, 2022. "How it can be done," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03880930, HAL.

    Cited by:

    1. McWilliams, Ben & Sgaravatti, Giovanni & Tagliapietra, Simone & Zachmann, Georg, 2023. "How would the European Union fare without Russian energy?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2025. "Transfers or subsidies? Comparing mitigation strategies for energy price shocks in a production network model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Braakmann, Nils & Dursun, Bahadir & Pickard, Harry, 2023. "Energy Price Shocks and the Demand for Energy-Efficient Housing: Evidence from Russia's Invasion of Ukraine," IZA Discussion Papers 15959, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2024. "On curbing the rise in energy prices: An examination of different mitigation approaches," Discussion Papers 09/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  9. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Manuel Menkhoff & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 29430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Lucia Foster & Scott Ohlmacher & Itay Saporta-Eksten, 2022. "Investment and Subjective Uncertainty," Working Papers 22-52, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    2. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2021. "Effects of Macro Uncertainty on Mean Expectation and Subjective Uncertainty: Evidence from Households and Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9486, CESifo.
    3. Chen, Cheng & Senga, Tatsuro & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2023. "Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 60-77.
    4. Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Lucia Foster & Brian Lucking & Scott Ohlmacher & Itay Saporta-Eksten, 2020. "Business-Level Expectations and Uncertainty," Working Papers 20-41, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    5. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2024. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302360, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper 103516, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Graham, John R. & Ikeda, Naoshi & Inoue, Kotaro & Yamasaki, Takashi, 2024. "Uncertainty, corporate investment, and hiring: The case of COVID-19," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    8. Owen Gabourys & Farrukh Suvankulov & Mathieu Utting, 2025. "Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse," Discussion Papers 2025-15, Bank of Canada.
    9. Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas B. Parker & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," Working Papers 2021-002, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, revised Nov 2021.
    10. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 556, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    11. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "The Economic Effects of Firm-Level Uncertainty: Evidence Using Subjective Expectations," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 630, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    12. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    13. Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 119, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    14. Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," IZA Discussion Papers 15449, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
    16. Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025. "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 12108, CESifo.
    17. Katrin Demmelhuber & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2022. "Beyond the Business Climate: Regular and Supplementary Questions in the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 9666, CESifo.
    18. Buchheim, Lukas & Link, Sebastian & Möhrle, Sascha, 2024. "Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees," IZA Discussion Papers 17269, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    19. Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.

  10. Ruediger Bachmann & Benjamin Born & Olga Goldfayn-Frank & Georgi Kocharkov & Ralph Luetticke & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2021. "A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 9399, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Güntner, Jochen & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2024. "Sudden stop: Supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market," IMFS Working Paper Series 206, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    2. Jo, Yoon Joo & Klopack, Ben, 2025. "Fueling expectations: The causal impact of gas prices on Inflation Expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    3. Liu, Xiufen & Fang, Hongsheng & Zhao, Lexin & Xu, Wenli, 2023. "Do VAT cuts help stabilize employment? Evidence from China’s VAT rate reform," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 190-207.
    4. Fedoseeva, Svetlana & Van Droogenbroeck, Ellen, 2024. "Temporary VAT rate cuts and food prices in e-commerce," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Lucas Rosso & Rodrigo Wagner, 2024. "How much does mobility matter for value-added tax revenue? Cross-country evidence around COVID-19," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(3), pages 841-855, June.
    6. Thiemo Fetzer & Callum Shaw & Jacob Edenhofer, 2024. "Informational Boundaries of the State," CESifo Working Paper Series 10901, CESifo.
    7. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 728, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    8. Christian Bayer & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Gernot J. Müller & Fabian Seyrich, 2023. "Hicks in HANK: Fiscal Responses to an Energy Shock," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2056, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Christian Bayer & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Gernot J. Müller & Fabian Seyrich, 2025. "Redistribution Within and Across Borders: The Fiscal Response to an Energy Shock," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 361, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    10. Lydia Cox & Jiacheng Feng & Gernot J. Müller & Ernesto Pastén & Raphael Schoenle & Michael Weber, 2024. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Disaggregated Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1024, Central Bank of Chile.
    11. Phil Dean & Maclean Gaulin & Nathan Seegert & Mu-Jeung Yang, 2023. "The COVID-19 state sales tax windfall," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(5), pages 1408-1434, October.
    12. Georg Schneider & Frank Stähler & Georg U. Thunecke, 2023. "The (Non-)Neutrality of Value-Added Taxation," Working Papers tax-mpg-rps-2023-20, Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance.
    13. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
    14. Marius Clemens & Werner Röger, 2022. "Durable Consumption, Limited VAT Pass-Through and Stabilization Effects of Temporary VAT Changes," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2004, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    15. Lemoine, Matthieu & Lindé, Jesper, 2023. "Fiscal stimulus in liquidity traps: Conventional or unconventional policies?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    16. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & dos Anjos, Daniel Pereira, 2024. "Are public debt and public debt expectations associated with debt management strategies?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    17. Elisa Guglielminetti & Concetta Rondinelli, 2024. "Macro and Micro Consumption Drivers in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 181-237, February.
    18. Michal Marencak, 2023. "State-dependent inflation expectations and consumption choices," Working and Discussion Papers WP 10/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    19. Victoria Baudisch & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2023. "Costly, but (Relatively) Ineffective? An Assessment of Germany’s Temporary VAT Rate Reduction During the Covid-19 Pandemic," Research Papers in Economics 2023-04, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    20. Leonard Gregor & Justus Haucap, 2025. "The Rise of Refinery Margins: The Case of the Energy Tax Cut in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 12214, CESifo.
    21. Bianchi-Vimercati, Riccardo & Eichenbaum, Martin & Guerreiro, Joao, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus with imperfect expectations: Spending vs. tax policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    22. Gallegos, José-Elías & García-Miralles, Esteban & Kataryniuk, Ivan & Parraga Rodriguez, Susana, 2025. "Fiscal announcements and households’ beliefs: evidence from the euro area," Working Paper Series 3139, European Central Bank.
    23. Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
    24. Baudisch Victoria & Neuenkirch Matthias, 2024. "A Comparative Evaluation of Fiscal Stabilization Strategies during the Covid-19 Pandemic with Germany as a Reference Point," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 29-63.
    25. Bernardino, Tiago & Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Quelhas, João & Silva-Pereira, Márcia, 2025. "The full, persistent, and symmetric pass-through of a temporary VAT cut," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    26. R. Anton Braun & Daisuke Ikeda, 2025. "Monetary Policy Over the Lifecycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 56, April.
    27. Koeniger, Winfried & Kress, Peter, 2024. "The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption – New Evidence Based on Transactional Data," IZA Discussion Papers 17412, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    28. Gregor, Leonard & Haucap, Justus, 2024. "The Rise of Refinery Margins," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302420, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    29. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Lewis, Vivien & Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2022. "Spending effects of child-related fiscal transfers," Discussion Papers 26/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  11. Ruediger Bachmann & Isabel Gödl-Hanisch & Eric R. Sims, 2021. "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks Using the Central Bank's Information Set," NBER Working Papers 29572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Arefeva, Alina & Arefyev, Nikolay, 2025. "Playing by the Taylor rules or sticking to Friedman’s policy: A new approach to monetary policy identification," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

  12. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "Online Appendix to "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation"," Online Appendices 18-207, Review of Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2017. "Level and Volatility Shocks to Fiscal Policy: Term Structure Implications," 2017 Meeting Papers 258, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Hikaru Saijo, 2018. "Redistribution and Fiscal Uncertainty Shocks," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    3. Laura E. Jackson & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang, 2019. "Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics," Working Papers 2019-034, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Jun 2022.
    4. Mukoyama, Toshihiko, 2023. "In defense of the Kaldor-Hicks criterion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    5. Kopiec, Paweł, 2024. "The aggregate and distributional effects of fiscal stimuli," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Ding, Sai & Jiang, Wei & Li, Shengyu & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2024. "Fiscal policy volatility and capital misallocation: Evidence from China," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    7. Gerald Carlino & Nicholas Zarra & Robert Inman & Thorsten Drautzburg, 2019. "Fiscal Policy in Monetary Unions: State Partisanship and its Macroeconomic Effects," 2019 Meeting Papers 434, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  13. Ruediger Bachmann & Gabriel Ehrlich & Ying Fan & Dimitrije Ruzic, 2017. "Firms and Collective Reputation: A Study of the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal," CESifo Working Paper Series 6805, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Yoseph, Nir Shlomo, 2018. "The Impact of Environmental Fraud on the Used Car Market: Evidence from Dieselgate," CEPR Discussion Papers 12899, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Zhu, Han & Li, Tong & Tang, Jiafu & Huang, Weixiang, 2023. "Corporate social responsibility strategies in competition and their implications," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    3. Oskar Kowalewski & Nicolas Eugster & Piotr Spiewanowski, 2022. "This study aims to provide new evidence linking internal corporate governance mechanisms and corporate misconduct, using a sample of 2,844 public US companies during the period 2007-2019. The results ," Working Papers 2022-ACF-05, IESEG School of Management.
    4. Tandel, Vaidehi & Gandhi, Sahil & Nanda, Anupam & Agnihotri, Nandini, 2025. "Do mandatory disclosures squeeze the lemons? The case of housing markets in India," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    5. Youngjin Hong & In Kyung Kim & Kyoo il Kim, 2025. "Branding through responsibility: the advertising impact of CSR activities in the Korean instant noodles market," Papers 2507.05782, arXiv.org.
    6. Bronnmann, Julia & Requate, Till & Steinbrunner, Philipp, 2025. "Driving desire: Exploring willingness to pay for a higher social status in automobiles," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    7. Hasan, Iftekhar & Noth, Felix & Tonzer, Lena, 2019. "Thou shalt not bear false witness against your customers: Cultural norms and the Volkswagen scandal," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    8. Brian W. Jacobs & Vinod R. Singhal, 2020. "Shareholder Value Effects of the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal on the Automotive Ecosystem," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(10), pages 2230-2251, October.
    9. Itai Ater & Nir S. Yoseph, 2022. "The Impact of Environmental Fraud on the Used Car Market: Evidence from Dieselgate," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(2), pages 463-491, June.
    10. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2018. "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp257, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    11. Ale-Chilet, Jorge & Chen, Cuicui & Li, Jing & Reynaert, Mathias, 2021. "Colluding Against Environmental Regulation," TSE Working Papers 21-1204, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    12. Jie Bai & Ludovica Gazze & Yukun Wang, 2019. "Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry," CID Working Papers 366, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    13. Alberini, Anna & Vance, Colin, 2023. "Competing forces in the German new car market: How do they affect diesel, PHEV, and BEV sales?," Ruhr Economic Papers 1047, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    14. Gaies, Brahim & Chaâbane, Najeh & Adeosun, Opeoluwa Adeniyi & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2025. "Climate transition risks, ESG sentiment and market value: Insights from the European stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    15. Ma, Teng, 2024. "Adoption of abatement technology in an uncertain world: An experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 51-87.
    16. Nicolas Eugster & Oskar Kowalewski & Piotr Śpiewanowski, 2024. "Internal governance mechanisms and corporate misconduct," Post-Print hal-04549564, HAL.
    17. Che, X. & Katayama, H. & Lee, P., 2020. "Willingness to Pay for Brand Reputation: Lessons from the Volkswagen Diesel Emissions Scandal," Working Papers 20/02, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London.
    18. Hasan, Iftekhar & Noth, Felix & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Cultural norms and corporate fraud: Evidence from the Volkswagen scandal," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    19. Yasemin Lheureux, 2024. "Predictive insights: leveraging Twitter sentiments and machine learning for environmental, social and governance controversy prediction," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 23-44, April.
    20. Jie Bai & Ludovica Gazze & Yukun Wang, 2019. "Collective Reputation in Trade: Evidence from the Chinese Dairy Industry," NBER Working Papers 26283, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Bruce Lyons & Robert Sugden, 2021. "Transactional fairness and pricing practices in consumer markets," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Competition Policy (CCP) 2021-03, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    22. Inge van den Bijgaart & Davide Cerruti, 2020. "The Effect of Information on Market Activity; Evidence from Vehicle Recalls," CESifo Working Paper Series 8636, CESifo.
    23. Jin, Yu & Zhou, Jiehong & Ye, Juntao, 2023. "Value of certification in collective reputation crises: Evidence from Chinese dairy firms," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    24. Timo Meynhardt & Pepe Strathoff & Andreas Fröhlich & Steven A. Brieger, 2019. "Same Same but Different: the Relationship Between Organizational Reputation and Organizational Public Value," Corporate Reputation Review, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(4), pages 144-158, November.
    25. Ascensión Andina‐Díaz & Javier Campos & Juan‐Luis Jiménez & Jordi Perdiguero, 2024. "Strategic advertising in the aftermath of a corporate scandal," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 92(6), pages 663-699, December.
    26. Kirchhain, Heiko & Mutl, Jan & Zietz, Joachim, 2021. "Spillover effects of company news across real estate markets and causal impact analysis," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    27. In Kyung Kim & Kyoo il Kim, 2022. "No Beer No Friends: Quantifying the Effect of the Beer Boycott," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(3), pages 711-751, September.
    28. Bruce Lyons & Robert Sugden, 2020. "Transactional fairness and unfair price discrimination in consumer markets," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Competition Policy (CCP) 2020-07, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    29. Rogers A Lumenyela & Provident Dimosso & Tafuteni Chusi, 2023. "Private- Cooperatives Synergy in the Face of Agricultural Policy Changes: Moral Hazard Behavior Ameliorated? An Experience from Coffee Cooperatives in Southern Highlands, Tanzania," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 14(4), pages 11-21.
    30. Marino, M. & Parrotta, P. & Sala, D. & Valletta, G., 2024. "The Volkswagen emissions scandal: Exploring the role of environmental concern and social norms," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).

  14. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bai, Jinhui & Lee, Minjoon & Zhang, Fudong, 2017. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12384, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Levy, Antoine & Ricci, Luca Antonio & Werner, Alejandro, 2020. "The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15450, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2017. "Level and Volatility Shocks to Fiscal Policy: Term Structure Implications," 2017 Meeting Papers 258, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Hikaru Saijo, 2018. "Redistribution and Fiscal Uncertainty Shocks," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    4. Röhrs, Sigrid & Winter, Christoph, 2017. "Reducing government debt in the presence of inequality," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-20.
    5. Laura E. Jackson & Christopher Otrok & Michael T. Owyang, 2019. "Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics," Working Papers 2019-034, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Jun 2022.
    6. Mukoyama, Toshihiko, 2023. "In defense of the Kaldor-Hicks criterion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    7. Kopiec, Paweł, 2024. "The aggregate and distributional effects of fiscal stimuli," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    8. Peralta, Alberto & Young, Susan L., 2025. "Decoding regulatory institutions: The stability-flexibility perceptions model for entrepreneurs and regulators," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    9. Ding, Sai & Jiang, Wei & Li, Shengyu & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2024. "Fiscal policy volatility and capital misallocation: Evidence from China," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    10. Gerald Carlino & Nicholas Zarra & Robert Inman & Thorsten Drautzburg, 2019. "Fiscal Policy in Monetary Unions: State Partisanship and its Macroeconomic Effects," 2019 Meeting Papers 434, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  15. Ruediger Bachmann & Christian Bayer & Christian Merkl & Stefan Seth & Heiko Stüber & Felix Wellschmied, 2017. "Worker Churn in the Cross Section and Over Time: New Evidence from Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 6702, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Kovalenko, Tim, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers 119, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    2. Antoine Bertheau & Rune Vejlin, 2025. "Job Ladders by Firm Wage and Productivity," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 58, October.
    3. Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko, 2023. "Wage and Employment Cyclicalities at the Establishment Level," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1344, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    4. Lochner, Ben & Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko & Gürtzgen, Nicole, 2019. "A note on recruiting intensity and hiring practices: Cross-sectional and time-series evidence," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 04/2019, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics, revised 2019.
    5. Liis Roosaar & Urmas Varblane & Jaan Masso, 2020. "Productivity Gains From Labour Churning In Economic Crisis: Do Foreign Firms Gain More?," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 125, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
    6. Tim Kovalenko, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: the role of establishment size," Working Papers 212, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    7. Ruediger Bachmann & Christian Bayer & Heiko Stüber & Felix Wellschmied, 2022. "Monopsony Makes Firms Not Only Small but Also Unproductive: Why East-Germany Has Not Converged," CESifo Working Paper Series 9751, CESifo.
    8. Manuel Sanchez & Felix Wellschmied, 2020. "Modeling Life-Cycle Earnings Risk with Positive and Negative Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 103-126, July.
    9. Snell, Andy & Stüber, Heiko & Thomas, Jonathan P., 2024. "Job security, asymmetric information, and wage rigidity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    10. Garnadt, Niklas & von Rueden, Christina & Thiel, Esther, 2021. "Labour reallocation dynamics in Germany during the COVID-19 pandemic and past recessions," Working Papers 08/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    11. Clark Gordon L., 2022. "Agency, sentiment, and risk and uncertainty: fears of job loss in 8 European countries," ZFW – Advances in Economic Geography, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 3-17, May.

  16. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Worker Churn and Employment Growth at the Establishment Level," IZA Discussion Papers 11063, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    Cited by:

    1. Lochner, Ben & Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko & Gürtzgen, Nicole, 2019. "A note on recruiting intensity and hiring practices: Cross-sectional and time-series evidence," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 04/2019, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics, revised 2019.
    2. Liis Roosaar & Urmas Varblane & Jaan Masso, 2020. "Productivity Gains From Labour Churning In Economic Crisis: Do Foreign Firms Gain More?," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 125, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
    3. Mario Bossler & Nicole Gürtzgen & Alexander Kubis & Benjamin Küfner & Benjamin Lochner, 2020. "The IAB Job Vacancy Survey: design and research potential," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 54(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Lochner, Benjamin & Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko & Gürtzgen, Nicole, 2020. "Recruiting Intensity and Hiring Practices: Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 13678, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

  17. Ruediger Bachmann & Sebastian Rüth, 2017. "Systematic Monetary Policy and the Macroeconomic Effects of Shifts in Loan-to-Value Ratios," CESifo Working Paper Series 6458, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Schularick, Moritz & Richter, Björn & Shim, Ilhyock, 2018. "The Costs of Macroprudential Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Cristian Badarinza, 2019. "Mortgage Debt and Social Externalities," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 43-60, October.
    3. Paul J.J. Welfens & Samir Kadiric, 2017. "Neuere Finanzmarktaspekte von Bankenkrise, QE-Politik und EU-Bankenaufsicht," EIIW Discussion paper disbei239, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    4. Fabian J. Baier & Paul J. J. Welfens, 2019. "The UK’s banking FDI flows and Total British FDI: a dynamic BREXIT analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 193-213, March.
    5. Björn Richter & Moritz Schularick & Ilhyock Shim, 2018. "The macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy," BIS Working Papers 740, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Eunseong Ma & Sarah Zubairy, 2021. "Homeownership And Housing Transitions: Explaining The Demographic Composition," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 599-638, May.
    7. Shuffield Seyram Asafo & Michal Moszynski, 2022. "The combined effects of monetary and macroprudential policies," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(9), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Simona Malovaná & Martin Hodula & Zuzana Gric & Josef Bajzík, 2025. "Borrower‐based macroprudential measures and credit growth: How biased is the existing literature?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 66-102, February.

  18. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Job and worker flows: New stylized facts for Germany," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 02/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gert Bijnens & Jozef Konings, 2018. "Declining Business Dynamism in Belgium," Working Papers 20181, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    2. Stüber Heiko & Seth Stefan, 2019. "The Public Release Data of the Administrative Wage and Labor Market Flow Panel," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 333-344, April.
    3. Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko, 2017. "Wage Cyclicalities and Labor Market Dynamics at the Establishment Level: Theory and Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 11051, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Konings, Jozef & Bijnens, Gert, 2018. "Declining Business Dynamism," CEPR Discussion Papers 12615, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  19. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Hristov, Atanas, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-level Investment Innovations," CEPR Discussion Papers 9894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    2. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    4. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    5. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2023. "Information frictions among firms and households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 99-115.
    6. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2020. "Information Acquisition and Price Setting under Uncertainty: New Survey Evidence," Discussion papers 20078, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Nicholas Bloom & Takafumi Kawakubo & Charlotte Chunming Meng & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen, 2021. "Do Well Managed Firms Make Better Forecasts?," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    8. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2017. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," CESifo Working Paper Series 6414, CESifo.
    9. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2017. "Firm Expectations and Investment: Evidence from the China-Japan Island Dispute," Working Papers 838, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    10. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    11. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Expectation Formation and Firm Activities: New evidence from a business outlook survey in Japan," Discussion papers 18059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    12. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88, July.
    13. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
    14. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 163-179.
    15. Fiori, Giuseppe & Scoccianti, Filippo, 2023. "The economic effects of firm-level uncertainty: Evidence using subjective expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 92-105.
    16. Gaganan Awano & Nicholas Bloom & Ted Dolby & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen & Jenny Vyas & Philip Wales, 2018. "A firm-level perspective on micro- and macro-level uncertainty; An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-10, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    17. SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr, 2016. "Creative Destruction and Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11296, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Zorn, Peter, 2020. "What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    19. Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link, 2017. "The Effect of Disaggregate Information on the Expectation Formation of Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 6768, CESifo.
    20. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 8468, CESifo.

  20. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Cooper, Daniel, 2014. "The Ins and Arounds in the U.S. Housing Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 10041, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 22354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2018. "Housing Market Dynamics with Search Frictions," Working Papers 201804, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    3. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2018. "Search and Credit Frictions in the Housing Market," Working Papers 201816, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    4. Hannah Leal & Stephanie Parsons & Graham White & Andrew Zurawski, 2017. "Housing Market Turnover," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 21-30, March.
    5. Allen Head & Huw Lloyd‐Ellis & Derek Stacey, 2023. "Heterogeneity, Frictional Assignment, And Home‐Ownership," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1265-1308, August.
    6. Yannis M. Ioannides & Jeffrey E. Zabel, 2018. "Housing and Labor Market Vacancies and Beveridge Curves: Theoretical Framework and Illustrative Statistics," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0828, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
    7. Daniel A. Dias & Joao B. Duarte, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Homeownership: Empirical Evidence,Theory, and Policy Implications," International Finance Discussion Papers 1344, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Gillitzer, Christian & Prasad, Nalini, 2025. "The effects of macroprudential policy restricting housing investor credit supply," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    9. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2025. "Home Construction Financing and Search Frictions in the Housing Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    10. Eunseong Ma & Sarah Zubairy, 2021. "Homeownership And Housing Transitions: Explaining The Demographic Composition," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 599-638, May.
    11. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2019. "The Total Risk Premium Puzzle?," Working Paper Series 2019-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    12. Alisdair McKay & Johannes F. Wieland, 2021. "Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(6), pages 2717-2749, November.
    13. Gabrovski, Miroslav & Ortego-Marti, Victor, 2019. "The cyclical behavior of the Beveridge Curve in the housing market," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 361-381.
    14. Miroslav Gabrovski & Victor Ortego-Marti, 2021. "Efficiency in the Housing Market with Search Frictions," Working Papers 202108, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.

  21. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," CESifo Working Paper Series 4176, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series 11013, CESifo.
    2. Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2019. "Firm expectations and economic activity," CESifo Working Paper Series 7623, CESifo.
    3. Ruediger Bachmann & Benjamin Born & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," NBER Working Papers 19180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2019. "Overconfidence, subjective perception and pricing behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 107-132.
    5. Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024. "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    6. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    7. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    8. Maiko Koga & Haruko Kato, 2017. "Behavioral Biases in Firms' Growth Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    9. Nicholas Bloom & Takafumi Kawakubo & Charlotte Chunming Meng & Paul Mizen & Rebecca Riley & Tatsuro Senga & John Van Reenen, 2021. "Do Well Managed Firms Make Better Forecasts?," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    10. Joel M. David & Venky Venkateswaran, 2017. "The Sources of Capital Misallocation," NBER Working Papers 23129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Barrero, Jose Maria, 2020. "The Micro and Macro of Managerial Beliefs," SocArXiv fctsb, Center for Open Science.
    12. David Altig & Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Brent H. Meyer & Nicholas Parker, 2019. "Surveying Business Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25956, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Link, Sebastian, 2022. "The Price and Employment Response of Firms to the Introduction of Minimum Wages," IZA Discussion Papers 15701, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Barrero, Jose Maria & Bloom, Nick & Davis, Steven J., 2020. "COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock," SocArXiv bw7vz, Center for Open Science.
    15. Kodama, Naomi & Murakami, Yoshiaki & Tanaka, Mari, 2021. "No Successor, No Success? Impact of a Little Son on Business Performance," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Yoshiyuki Nakazono & Maiko Koga & Tomohiro Sugo, 2018. "Private Information and Analyst Coverage: Evidence from Firm Survey Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-17, Bank of Japan.
    17. Tanaka, Mari & Bloom, Nicholas & David, Joel M. & Koga, Maiko, 2020. "Firm performance and macro forecast accuracy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 26-41.
    18. Serafin Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de Trabajo 564, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    19. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from german firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 45-63.
    20. Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    21. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    22. Buchheim, Lukas & Dovern, Jonas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2022. "Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 186-198.
    23. Charles F. Manski, 2017. "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, pages 411-471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Venky Venkateswaran & Joel David, 2017. "Capital Misallocation: Frictions or Distortions?," 2017 Meeting Papers 1636, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    26. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    27. W. Hölzl & S. Kaniovski & Y. Kaniovski, 2019. "Exploring the dynamics of business survey data using Markov models," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 621-649, October.
    28. Poutineau, Jean-Christophe & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2015. "Cross-border banking flows spillovers in the Eurozone: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 378-403.
    29. Adriana Grasso & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Firms’ inflation expectations and investment plans," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1203, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    30. Jose Maria Barrero, 2017. "Firm Dynamics with Subjective Beliefs," 2017 Meeting Papers 367, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    31. Anja Kukuvec & Harald Oberhofer, 2018. "The propagation of business sentiment within the European Union," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp257, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    32. Thomas P. Triebs & Justin Tumlinson, 2016. "Learning Capitalism the Hard Way - Evidence from German Reunification," CESifo Working Paper Series 6260, CESifo.
    33. Link Sebastian, 2020. "Harmonization of the ifo Business Survey’s Micro Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(4), pages 543-555, August.
    34. Joel M. David & Venky Venkateswaran, 2016. "Frictional Investment and the Sources of Misallocation," Working Papers 16-13, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    35. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 163-179.
    36. Kohei Kawaguchi & Naomi Kodama & Hiroshi Kumanomido & Mari Tanaka, 2023. "Using managers' expectations for ex‐ante policy evaluation: Evidence from the COVID‐19 crisis," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 714-732, October.
    37. Joel Suss & Adam Hughes, 2023. "Bank expectations and prudential outcomes," Bank of England working papers 1035, Bank of England.
    38. Lance Kent, 2015. "Relaxing Rational Expectations," Working Papers 159, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    39. Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena & Berner, Julian, 2016. "Asymmetric Investment Responses to Firm-Specific Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145563, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    40. Jarko Fidrmuc & Christa Hainz & Werner Hölzl, 2018. "Individual Credit Market Experience and Perception of Aggregate Bank Lending. Evidence from a Firm Survey," WIFO Working Papers 574, WIFO.
    41. Massenot, Baptiste & Pettinicchi, Yuri, 2018. "Can firms see into the future? Survey evidence from Germany," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 66-79.
    42. Lucia Modugno, 2024. "Evaluating Qualitative Expectational Data on Investments from Business Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(1), pages 59-88, August.
    43. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Gortz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2023. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," Discussion Papers 23-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    44. Antonecchia, Gianluca, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations, forecast accuracy and firms’ credit demand," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    45. Gatti, Roberta & Lederman, Daniel & Islam, Asif M. & Nguyen, Ha & Lotfi, Rana & Emam Mousa, Mennatallah, 2024. "Data transparency and GDP growth forecast errors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    46. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.
    47. Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Evaluating plant managers’ production plans over business cycles: asymmetric loss and rationality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-29, August.
    48. Michele Dell'Era & Luca David Opromolla & Luís Santos‐Pinto, 2023. "Can optimism solve the entrepreneurial earnings puzzle?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 139-169, January.
    49. Chen, Cheng & Sun, Chang & Zhang, Hongyong, 2022. "Learning and information transmission within multinational corporations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    50. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Zorn, Peter, 2020. "What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    51. Sebastian Link, 2018. "Harmonization and Interpretation of the ifo Business Survey's Micro Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7427, CESifo.
    52. Artūras Juodis & Simas Kučinskas, 2023. "Quantifying noise in survey expectations," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 609-650, May.
    53. Lukas Buchheim & Sebastian Link, 2017. "The Effect of Disaggregate Information on the Expectation Formation of Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 6768, CESifo.
    54. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Brancati, Emanuele & Brianti, Marco & Schiantarelli, Fabio, 2024. "Credit constraints and firms’ decisions: Lessons from the COVID-19 outbreak," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    55. Sowa, Konrad & Przegalinska, Aleksandra & Ciechanowski, Leon, 2021. "Cobots in knowledge work," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 135-142.
    56. Santiago Pinto & Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Robert Sharp, 2020. "The Information Content and Statistical Properties of Diffusion Indexes," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(4), pages 47-99, September.
    57. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Ropele, Tiziano, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 12037, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    58. Manuel Buchholz & Lena Tonzer & Julian Berner, 2022. "Firm‐specific forecast errors and asymmetric investment propensity," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 764-793, April.
    59. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2020. "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-scale Business Survey," Working Papers 15, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    60. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 8468, CESifo.
    61. Ritwik Banerjee & Priyama Majumdar, 2023. "Exponential growth bias in the prediction of COVID‐19 spread and economic expectation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 90(358), pages 653-689, April.
    62. Santiago Pinto & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Robert Sharp, 2015. "Learning About Consumer Uncertainty from Qualitative Surveys: As Uncertain As Ever," Working Paper 15-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    63. Phan Le, 2022. "Capital Misallocation and State Ownership Policy in Vietnam," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(S1), pages 52-64, September.

  22. Ruediger Bachmann & Peter Zorn, 2013. "What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 4218, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series 11013, CESifo.
    2. Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2019. "Firm expectations and economic activity," CESifo Working Paper Series 7623, CESifo.
    3. Sebastian Blesse & Florian Buhlmann & Philipp Heil & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2025. "Local Policy Misperceptions and Investment: Experimental Evidence from Firm Decision Makers," CESifo Working Paper Series 11855, CESifo.
    4. Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024. "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    5. Giordano, Claire & Marinucci, Marco & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2019. "The macro determinants of firms' and households' investment: Evidence from Italy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 118-133.
    6. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2023. "Information frictions among firms and households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 99-115.
    7. George-Marios Angeletos, 2018. "Frictional Coordination," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 563-603.
    8. Cevat Giray Aksoy & Mathias Dolls & Justyna Klejdysz & Andreas Peichl & Lisa Windsteiger, 2025. "Speaking of Debt: Framing, Guilt, and Economic Choices," CESifo Working Paper Series 12060, CESifo.
    9. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    10. Alessandro Mistretta, 2025. "Synchronization vs. Transmission: The Effect of the German Slowdown on the Italian Business Cycle," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 21(1), pages 331-386, January.
    11. Marek Ignaszak & Petr Sedlacek, 2021. "Profitability, Productivity and Growth," Discussion Papers 2115, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    12. Frache, Serafin & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Turen, Javier, 2024. "Belief-dependent pricing decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Xiaowen Wang, 2025. "Inattentive Capital Investment with Nonconvex Costs," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 26(1), pages 389-413, May.
    14. Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Andreas Peichl & Paul Schüle & Lukas Menkhoff, 2022. "Downward Revision of Investment Decisions after Corporate Tax Hikes," CESifo Working Paper Series 9786, CESifo.
    15. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Gortz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2023. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data: New Insights on the (Ir)Rationality of Firms' Forecasts," Discussion Papers 23-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    16. Michał Gradzewicz, 2022. "How do firms respond to demand and supply shocks?," KAE Working Papers 2022-075, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    17. Massenot, Baptiste & Pettinicchi, Yuri, 2017. "Can firms see into the future? Survey evidence from Germany," SAFE Working Paper Series 187, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    18. Christian Matthes & Felipe Schwartzman, 2019. "What Do Sectoral Dynamics Tell Us About the Origins of Business Cycles?," Working Paper 19-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    19. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8179, CESifo.

  23. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Wellschmied, Felix, 2013. "Cyclicality of Job and Worker Flows: New Data and a New Set of Stylized Facts," IZA Discussion Papers 7192, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    Cited by:

    1. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Worker Churn in the Cross Section and Over Time: New Evidence from Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 12343, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Lutz Bellmann & Hans-Dieter Gerner & Richard Upward, 2015. "Job and worker turnover in German establishments," Discussion Papers 2015-05, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    3. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Worker Churn and Employment Growth at the Establishment Level," IZA Discussion Papers 11063, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Richard Upward & Hans-Dieter Gerner & Lutz Bellmann, 2014. "Beschäftigungsanpassung in deutschen Betrieben: Flexibler als gedacht? [Employment adjustment in German firms: more flexible than we thought?]," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 47(1), pages 71-81, March.
    5. Satoshi Tanaka & Lawrence Warren & David Wiczer, 2020. "Earnings Growth, Job Flows and Churn," Department of Economics Working Papers 20-03, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    6. Lichter, Andreas, 2016. "Benefit Duration and Job Search Effort: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," IZA Discussion Papers 10264, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Job and worker flows: New stylized facts for Germany," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 02/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    8. Sanchez, Manuel & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Modeling Life-Cycle Earnings Risk with Positive and Negative Shocks," IZA Discussion Papers 10925, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

  24. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Grimme, Christian, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 9702, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    2. Zulquar Nain & Bandi Kamaiah, 2020. "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 237-265.
    3. Sandra Eickmeier & Norbert Metiu & Esteban Prieto, 2016. "Time-Varying Volatility, Financial Intermediation and Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2016-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    6. Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020. "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2035, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Almut Balleer & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Peter Zorn, 2020. "Demand or Supply? Price Adjustment during the Covid-19 Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series 8394, CESifo.
    8. Chevaughn van der Westhuizen & Renee van Eyden & Goodness C. Aye, 2023. "Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Face of Uncertainty: The Real Macroeconomic Impact of a Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa during High and Low Uncertainty States," Working Papers 202331, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2023. "Information frictions among firms and households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 99-115.
    10. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Atanas Hristov, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-Level Investment Innovations," 2014 Meeting Papers 515, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Christian Grimme & Marc Stöckli, 2017. "Makroökonomische Unsicherheit in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 41-50, March.
    12. Bayat, Saeid & Ebrahimi, Sajad & Ghaderi, Omid, 2017. "The Effects of Exchange Rate on Price-Setting in Manufacturing Sector: Applying Price Micro Data of Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, January.
    13. Owen Gabourys & Farrukh Suvankulov & Mathieu Utting, 2025. "Do Firms’ Sales Expectations Hit the Mark? Evidence from the Business Leaders’ Pulse," Discussion Papers 2025-15, Bank of Canada.
    14. Link, Sebastian, 2022. "The Price and Employment Response of Firms to the Introduction of Minimum Wages," IZA Discussion Papers 15701, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Serafin Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de Trabajo 564, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    16. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from german firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 45-63.
    17. Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    18. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.
    19. Luca Dedola & Erwan Gautier & Chiara Osbat & Sergio Santoro, 2024. "Price Stickiness in the Euro Area," Working papers 958, Banque de France.
    20. Balleer, Almut & Hristov, Nikolay & Menno, Dominik, 2020. "Menu costs, the price gap distribution and monetary non-neutrality: The role of financial constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 11790, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    21. Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 107489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    23. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    24. D'Acunto, Francesco & Weber, Michael & Yang, Shuyao, 2017. "Manpower Constraints and Corporate Policies," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168109, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    25. Javier Turén, 2019. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion with volatility shocks," Documentos de Trabajo 530, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    26. Lenin Arango-Castillo & María José Orraca & Regina Briseño, 2025. "Inflation volatility across advanced and emerging economies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Papers 2025-13, Banco de México.
    27. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0219, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    28. Felix Leiss & Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025. "Questions, Measures, and Meaning: Interpreting Indicators from the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 12094, CESifo.
    29. Gautier, Erwan & Karadi, Peter & Conflitti, Cristina & Fabo, Brian & Fadejeva, Ludmila & Fuss, Catherine & Kosma, Theodora & Jouvanceau, Valentin & Martins, Fernando & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Messner, Tere, 2023. "Price adjustment in the euro area in the low-inflation period: evidence from consumer and producer micro price data," Occasional Paper Series 319, European Central Bank.
    30. Christian Grimme, 2017. "Messung der Unternehmensunsicherheit in Deutschland – das ifo Streuungsmaß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 19-25, August.
    31. Matthew Klepacz, 2018. "Price Setting and Volatility: Evidence from Oil Price Volatility Shocks," 2018 Meeting Papers 145, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    32. Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," IZA Discussion Papers 15449, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    33. Berg Tim Oliver, 2015. "Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 13-46, April.
    34. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2019. "Deconstructing uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 22-41.
    35. Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena & Berner, Julian, 2016. "Asymmetric Investment Responses to Firm-Specific Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145563, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    36. Almut Balleer & Marvin Noeller, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 10261, CESifo.
    37. Berg, Tim Oliver, 2016. "Business Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Germany," MPRA Paper 69162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Lu, Jiajun & Lv, Linying & Wang, Yizhong & Zhu, Yueteng, 2025. "The real effect of monetary policy under uncertainty: Evidence from the change in corporate financing purposes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    39. Elena Mattevi & Tullia Padellini, 2025. "Firm-level uncertainty and output prices," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 966, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    40. Nöller, Marvin & Balleer, Almut, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-level Data," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277638, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    41. Almut Balleer & Nikolay Hristov & Dominik Menno, 2017. "Financial Constraints and Nominal Price Rigidities," CESifo Working Paper Series 6309, CESifo.
    42. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2023. "Price Setting of Firms under Cost Uncertainty," Discussion papers 23040, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    43. Mario Canales & Bernabe Lopez-Martin, 2021. "Uncertainty, Risk, and Price-Setting: Evidence from CPI Microdata," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 908, Central Bank of Chile.
    44. DongIk Kang & Andrew Usher, 2023. "Does Product Revenue Matter for Price Setting and Monetary Policy Transmission?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 297-345, January.
    45. Andrés Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2016. "Menu Costs, Uncertainty Cycles, and the Propagation of Nominal Shocks," Working Papers 918, Barcelona School of Economics.
    46. Rünstler, Gerhard & Bräuer, Leonie, 2020. "Monetary policy transmission over the leverage cycle: evidence for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2421, European Central Bank.
    47. Christian Grimme & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Die Auswirkungen des britischen Votums für einen Brexit auf die deutsche Konjunktur 2016/17," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(13), pages 38-43, July.
    48. Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen R., 2024. "Uncertainty and credit conditions: Non-linear evidence from firm-level data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1307-1323.
    49. Lea Best & Benjamin Born & Manuel Menkhoff, 2025. "The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 12167, CESifo.
    50. Joseph S. Vavra, 2014. "Time-Varying Phillips Curves," NBER Working Papers 19790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    51. Maiko Koga & Koichi Yoshino & Tomoya Sakata, 2019. "Strategic Complementarity and Asymmetric Price Setting among Firms," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    52. Born, Benjamin & Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 12083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    53. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
    54. Ambrocio, Gene, 2022. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022, Bank of Finland.
    55. Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.
    56. Samaniego, Roberto M. & Sun, Juliana Y., 2019. "Uncertainty, depreciation and industry growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    57. Kwangyong Park, 2019. "Uncertainty, Attention Allocation and Monetary Policy Asymmetry," Working Papers 2019-5, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    58. Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen, 2023. "Uncertainty Shocks in Times of Low and High Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277629, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    59. Khalil, Makram & Lewis, Vivien, 2024. "Product turnover and endogenous price flexibility in uncertain times," Discussion Papers 14/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    60. Christian Grimme & Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Der Konflikt in der Ukraine und die Ergebnisse der ifo Unternehmensbefragungen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(18), pages 46-48, September.
    61. Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel, 2020. "Increasing Business Uncertainty and Credit Conditions in Times of Low and High Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm-Level Survey Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8791, CESifo.
    62. Matthew Klepacz, 2021. "Price Setting and Volatility: Evidence from Oil Price Volatility Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1316, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    63. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

  25. Rüdiger Bachmann & Daniel H. Cooper, 2012. "Cyclical and sectoral transitions in the U.S. housing market," Working Papers 12-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

    Cited by:

    1. Raven Molloy & Christopher L. Smith & Abigail Wozniak, 2017. "Job Changing and the Decline in Long-Distance Migration in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(2), pages 631-653, April.
    2. Raven Molloy & Christopher L. Smith & Abigail K. Wozniak, 2014. "Declining Migration within the U.S.: The Role of the Labor Market," NBER Working Papers 20065, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  26. Rüdiger Bachmann & Tim O. Berg & Eric R. Sims, 2012. "Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt19b8p8g1, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    3. Andrea Civelli & Cary Deck & Antonella Tutino, 2019. "Rationally Inattentive Savers and Monetary Policy Changes: A Laboratory Experiment," Working Papers 1915, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    4. Malmendier, Ulrike M., 2020. "Exposure to Grocery Prices and Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 14930, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Christian Bauer & Sebastian Weber, 2016. "The Efficiency of Monetary Policy when Guiding Inflation Expectations," Research Papers in Economics 2016-14, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    6. Martin Geiger & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Assessing Expectations as a Monetary/Fiscal State-Dependent Phenomenon," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 01-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    7. Lena Boneva & James Cloyne & Martin Weale & Tomasz Wieladek, 2019. "Firms' Price, Cost and Activity Expectations: Evidence from Micro Data," Discussion Papers 1905, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    8. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Andrea Tambalotti & Giorgio Topa, 2015. "Subjective Intertemporal Substitution," Staff Reports 734, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    9. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," NBER Working Papers 30277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Luis Armona & Andreas Fuster & Basit Zafar, 2016. "Home price expectations and behavior: evidence from a randomized information experiment," Staff Reports 798, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    11. Takeshi Niizeki, 2025. "Money illusion of interest rates and household decision-making," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 111-117.
    12. Qian, Wei, 2023. "House price expectations and household consumption," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    13. Bairoliya, Neha & McKiernan, Kathleen, 2024. "The welfare costs of misinformation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    14. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    16. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2021. "Consumer inflation expectations, income changes and economic downturns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 784-807, September.
    17. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2016. "Unconventional Fiscal Policy, Inflation Expectations, and Consumption Expenditure," CESifo Working Paper Series 5793, CESifo.
    18. Lena Dräger, 2016. "Are Consumers Planning Consumption According to an Euler Equation?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201605, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    19. Giordano, Claire & Marinucci, Marco & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2019. "The macro determinants of firms' and households' investment: Evidence from Italy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 118-133.
    20. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    21. Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez & Ciril Bosch-Rosa & Thomas Meissner, 2024. "Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0048, Berlin School of Economics.
    22. Alberto Cavallo & Guillermo Cruces & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2014. "Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices," NBER Working Papers 20576, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Martin Geiger & Johann Scharler, 2018. "How do consumers interpret the macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations? Evidence from U.S. survey data," Working Papers 2018-13, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    24. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfahrt, 2022. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 177, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    25. Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 2019/166, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Chenyu Hou and Tao Wang, 2024. "Uncovering Subjective Models from Survey Expectations," Discussion Papers dp24-09, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    27. Sören Harrs & Lara Marie Müller & Bettina Rockenbach, 2021. "How Optimistic and Pessimistic Narratives about COVID-19 Impact Economic Behavior," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 091, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
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    168. Albuquerque, Rui & de Araujo, Bruno & Brandao-Marques, Luis & Mosse, Gerivasia & de Vletter, Pippy & Zavale, Helder, 2024. "Market timing, farmer expectations, and liquidity constraints," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    169. Lena Dräger & Giang Nghiem, 2016. "Are Consumers’ Spending Decisions in Line With an Euler Equation?," Working Papers 1802, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, revised 26 Jan 2018.
    170. Melnychenko Oleksandr & Osadcha Tetiana & Kovalyov Anatoliy & Matskul Valerii, 2022. "Dependence of Housing Real Estate Prices on Inflation as One of the Most Important Factors: Poland’s Case," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 30(4), pages 25-41, December.
    171. Sílvia Domit & Chris Jackson & Matt Roberts-Sklar, 2015. "Do inflation expectations currently pose a risk to inflation?," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 55(55), pages 165-180.
    172. Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2023. "Breaking Monetary Policy News: The Role of Mass Media Coverage of ECB Announcements for Public Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10285, CESifo.
    173. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    174. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    175. Hibiki Ichiue & Maiko Koga & Tatsushi Okuda & Tatsuya Ozaki, 2019. "Households' Liquidity Constraint, Optimal Attention Allocation, and Inflation Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-8, Bank of Japan.
    176. Dorine Boumans & Johanna Garnitz, 2019. "ifo World Economic Survey August 2019," ifo World Economic Survey, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(03), pages 01-26, August.
    177. Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Pomerantz, Rachel & Skandalis, Daphné & Smith, Kyle & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2021. "How economic crises affect inflation beliefs: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 443-469.
    178. Azra Khan & Sadia Safdar & Samina Bibi, 2021. "Fiscal Discretion And Aggregate Demand: A Case Study Of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 10(2), pages 204-220.
    179. Young Bin Ahn & Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Consumer’s perceived and expected inflation in Japan—irrationality or asymmetric loss?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1247-1292, September.
    180. Pavel Potužák, 2018. "Stimuluje spotřebu v situaci nulové nominální úrokové míry zvýšení inflačních očekávání? [Does an Increase in Inflation Expectations Stimulate Consumption at the Zero Lower Bound?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(6), pages 751-775.
    181. Ivan D. Trofimov & Nazaria Md. Aris, 2024. "Do exports enhance savings in the developing economies? An analysis of Maizels’ hypothesis," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 26(1), pages 156-185, April.
    182. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.
    183. Vellekoop, Nathanael & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2019. "Inflation expectations and choices of households," SAFE Working Paper Series 250, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    184. D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," LawFin Working Paper Series 21, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin).
    185. Dräger, Lena & Bui, Dzung & Nghiem, Giang & Hayo, Bernd, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242375, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    186. Ali Inayat, 2023. "Household Inflation Expectations Uncertainty: A Case for Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 1-39, Jan-June.
    187. Bernard, René & Tzamourani, Panagiota & Weber, Michael, 2020. "How are households’ consumption plans affected by the COVID-19 pandemic?," EconStor Research Reports 249772, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    188. Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and the Stabilization of Inflation : Alternative Hypotheses," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    189. Philippe Andrade & Marco Del Negro & Colin J. Hottman & Christian Hoynck & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Meier & Robert W. Rich & Elisa Rubbo & Raphael Schoenle & Daniel Villar Vallenas & Michael Weber, 2021. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(02), pages 1-7, February.
    190. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2017. "Imperfect Information and Consumer Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Microdata," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(6), pages 933-968, December.

  27. Rüdiger Bachmann & Lin Ma, 2012. "Lumpy Investment, Lumpy Inventories," NBER Working Papers 17924, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Bayer & Volker Tjaden, 2016. "Large Open Economies and Fixed Costs of Capital Adjustment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 125-146, July.
    2. Douglas, Ella & Lont, David & Scott, Tom, 2014. "Finance company failure in New Zealand during 2006–2009: Predictable failures?," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 277-295.
    3. Roys, Nicolas, 2014. "Optimal investment policy with fixed adjustment costs and complete irreversibility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 416-419.
    4. Andre Silva & Bernardino Adao, 2017. "The Effect of Firm Cash Holdings on Monetary Policy," 2017 Meeting Papers 528, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Andreas Bachmann, 2015. "Lumpy investment and variable capacity utilization: firm-level and macroeconomic implications," Diskussionsschriften dp1510, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    6. Adam Copeland & George Hall & Louis J. Maccini, 2019. "Interest Rates and the Market for New Light Vehicles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1137-1168, August.
    7. Stephen J. Terry, 2017. "Alternative Methods for Solving Heterogeneous Firm Models," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(6), pages 1081-1111, September.
    8. Assia Elgouacem, 2018. "Essays on investment and saving [Essais sur l’investissement et l’épargne]," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) tel-03419405, HAL.

  28. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2012. "Online Appendix to "Politico-Economic Inequality and the Comovement of Government Purchases"," Online Appendices 11-243, Review of Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    2. Rüdiger Bachmann & Jinhui H. Bai, 2013. "Public consumption over the business cycle," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 4(3), pages 417-451, November.
    3. Gustavo de Souza, 2022. "It's Good Weather for More Government: The Effect of Weather on Fiscal Policy," Working Paper Series WP 2022-48, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Daniel R. Carroll & Eric Young, 2014. "The Piketty Transition," Working Papers (Old Series) 1432, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    5. Juan Equiza Goni, 2014. "Sovereign Debt in the U.S. and Growth Expectations," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    6. Alvaro Aguirre, 2025. "Macro Implications of Inequality-driven Political Polarization," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1011, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Marina Azzimonti & Eva de Francisco & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2014. "Financial Globalization, Inequality, and the Rising Public Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(8), pages 2267-2302, August.
    8. Gustavo de Souza, 2022. "On Political and Economic Determinants of Redistribution: Economic Gains, Ideological Gains, or Institutions?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-47, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    9. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2019. "Wealth distribution with random discount factors," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 101-113.
    10. Coulombe, Raphaelle G., 2021. "The electoral origin of government spending shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    11. Daniel R. Carroll & Jim Dolmas & Eric Young, 2019. "The Politics of Flat Taxes," Working Papers 14-42R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    12. Daniel R. Carroll & Jim Dolmas & Eric Young, 2015. "Majority Voting: A Quantitative Investigation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1442, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Yuki Uchida, 2018. "Education, social mobility, and the mismatch of talents," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 65(3), pages 575-607, May.
    14. Marco Bassetto & Leslie McGranahan, 2021. "Mobility, Population Growth, and Public Capital Spending in the United States," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 255-277, July.
    15. Pavel Brendler, 2020. "Why hasn't Social Security changed since 1977?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 134-157, April.
    16. Daniel R. Carroll & Andre Luduvice & Eric Young, 2024. "A Note on Aggregating Preferences for Redistribution," Working Papers 24-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    17. Facundo Piguillem & Alessandro Riboni, 2012. "Dynamic Bargaining over Redistribution in Legislatures," EIEF Working Papers Series 1206, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2012.

  29. Rüdiger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2011. "Investment Dispersion and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 16861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Fatih Guvenen & Fatih Karahan & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2015. "What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?," Working Papers 719, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    2. Roberta Distante & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Asymmetry Reversals and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2013.54, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. Russell Cooper & Moritz Meyer & Immo Schott, 2017. "The Employment and Output Effects of Short-Time Work in Germany," NBER Working Papers 23688, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2022. "The long-run effects of corporate tax reforms," Economics Working Papers 1813, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    5. Kehrig, Matthias & Vincent, Nicolas, 2019. "Good Dispersion, Bad Dispersion," CEPR Discussion Papers 13772, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    7. Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos & Tsoukalas, John D., 2023. "Firms’ financing dynamics around lumpy capacity adjustments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    8. Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2014. "Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?," EconStor Preprints 100662, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Eppinger, Peter S., 2019. "Service offshoring and firm employment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 209-228.
    10. Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta†Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2018. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 1031-1065, May.
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2018. "The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2019. "Aggregate dynamics in lumpy economies," Economics Working Papers 1670, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    13. Matthias Kehrig & Nicolas Vincent, 2013. "Financial Frictions and Investment Dynamics in Multi-Plant Firms," Working Papers 13-56, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    14. Bayer, Christian & Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2018. "Misallocation: Markups and Technology," CEPR Discussion Papers 12727, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Nowzohour, Laura & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2100, European Central Bank.
    16. D'Elia, Enrico, 2011. "A simple model of discontinuous firm’s growth," MPRA Paper 35925, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Christian Bayer & Volker Tjaden, 2016. "Large Open Economies and Fixed Costs of Capital Adjustment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 125-146, July.
    18. Zhou, Jing, 2022. "Capital reallocation from the perspective of endogenous lemons markets and information cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    19. Izabela Jonek-Kowalska, 2018. "Exposure of Polish enterprises to risk within business cycle," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 19(2), pages 187-203.
    20. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2020. "Information Acquisition and Price Setting under Uncertainty: New Survey Evidence," Discussion papers 20078, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    21. Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2024. "Understanding uncertainty shocks and the role of black swans," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    22. Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper 103516, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Oguzhan Akgun & Ryo Okui, 2025. "Robust Inference Methods for Latent Group Panel Models under Possible Group Non-Separation," Papers 2511.18550, arXiv.org.
    24. Bredemeier, Christian, 2019. "Gender Gaps in Pay and Inter-Firm Mobility," IZA Discussion Papers 12785, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    25. Beck, Günter W. & Lein, Sarah M., 2015. "Microeconometric evidence on demand-side real rigidity and implications for monetary non-neutrality," Working papers 2015/13, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    26. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2017. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," CESifo Working Paper Series 6414, CESifo.
    27. Gnewuch, Matthias & Zhang, Donghai, 2025. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    28. Beck, Günter W. & Lein, Sarah M., 2020. "Price elasticities and demand-side real rigidities in micro data and in macro models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 200-212.
    29. Rui Castro & Gian Luca Clementi & Yoonsoo Lee, 2011. "Cross-Sectoral Variation in The Volatility of Plant-Level Idiosyncratic Shocks," NBER Working Papers 17659, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Yusuke Adachi & Hikaru Ogawa & Masafumi Tsubuku, 2022. "Measuring productivity dynamics in Japan: a quantile approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 201-242, July.
    31. Behn, Markus & Haselmann, Rainer & Vig, Vikrant, 2014. "The limits of model-based regulation," SAFE Working Paper Series 75, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    32. Johannes Huber & Christian Scharrer, 2024. "The fiscal and intergenerational burdens of brakes and subsidies for energy prices," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(5), pages 1249-1273, October.
    33. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Expectation Formation and Firm Activities: New evidence from a business outlook survey in Japan," Discussion papers 18059, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    34. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Worker Churn in the Cross Section and Over Time: New Evidence from Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 12343, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Giulio Bottazzi & Le Li & Angelo Secchi, 2017. "Aggregate fluctuations and the distribution of firm growth rates," LEM Papers Series 2017/24, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    36. Feng Dong & Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2018. "A Search-Based Neoclassical Model of Capital Reallocation," Working Papers 2018-17, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    37. Laura Liu & Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller, 2023. "Full‐information estimation of heterogeneous agent models using macro and micro data," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(1), pages 1-35, January.
    38. Yang, Zhenbing & Zhao, Ziyi & Shao, Shuai & Yang, Lili, 2023. "Carbon regulation and enterprise investment: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    39. Jisheng Yang & Nan Yang, 2023. "Macroeconomic shocks, investment volatility and centrality in global manufacturing network," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1433-1451, September.
    40. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
    41. Tian, Can, 2015. "Riskiness, endogenous productivity dispersion and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 227-249.
    42. Erik Öberg & Karl Harmenberg, 2016. "Durable Expenditure Dynamics under Time-Varying Income Risk," 2016 Meeting Papers 672, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    43. Baruník, Jozef & Bevilacqua, Mattia & Faff, Robert, 2024. "Dynamic industry uncertainty networks and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    44. Accetturo, Antonio & Barboni, Giorgia & Cascarano, Michele & Garcia-Appendini, Emilia & Tomasi, Marco, 2022. "Credit supply and green Investments," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 615, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    45. Wang, Bo & Hu, Tiantian & Zheng, Suli, 2023. "Earning inflation, real investment and self-fulfilling uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    46. David Vidal-Tomás & Alba Ruiz-Buforn & Omar Blanco-Arroyo & Simone Alfarano, 2022. "A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Growth and Profit Rate Distribution: The Spanish Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, March.
    47. Dudley Cooke & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2016. "Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Model of Firm Entry and Financial Frictions," Discussion Papers 1606, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
    48. Okan Akarsu & Fatih Karahan & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Communication as policy and firm uncertainty: evidence from randomised control trial," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy decision-making and communication under high uncertainty, volume 127, pages 121-140, Bank for International Settlements.
    49. Bai, John (Jianqiu) & Eldemire, Ashleigh & Serfling, Matthew, 2024. "The effect of labor mobility on corporate investment and performance over the business cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    50. Frank Kwabi & Andrews Owusu & Ernest Ezeani & Agyenim Boateng, 2024. "The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1397-1429, May.
    51. Hernan Moscoso Boedo, 2018. "New Facts About Firm Risk Across Countries And Over The Business Cycle," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 510-529, January.
    52. Fatih Guvenen & Fatih Karahan & Serdar Ozkan & Jae Song, 2015. "What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Dynamics?," Staff Reports 710, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    53. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Maliar, Serguei & Naubert, Christopher, 2020. "Household Savings and Monetary Policy under Individual and Aggregate Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15614, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    54. Xie, Yamin & Li, Yuanguang, 2024. "Technological progress, fiscal policy, and economic fluctuations in China: Evidence from the heterogeneous firm DSGE model during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 646-662.
    55. Stefano Fasani & Haroon Mumtaz & Lorenza Rossi, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Firm Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 278-296, January.
    56. Roys, Nicolas, 2014. "Optimal investment policy with fixed adjustment costs and complete irreversibility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 416-419.
    57. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "The Economic Effects of Firm-Level Uncertainty: Evidence Using Subjective Expectations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1320, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    58. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2017. "Worker Churn and Employment Growth at the Establishment Level," IZA Discussion Papers 11063, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    59. Sündal, Doğuhan, 2024. "Relative size distribution of business firms—A QRSE approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    60. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
    61. Souza, Thiago de Oliveira, 2020. "Dollar carry timing," Discussion Papers on Economics 10/2020, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    62. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
    63. Cheng CHEN & Tatsuro SENGA & Chang SUN & Hongyong ZHANG, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    64. Boragan Aruoba & Dun Jia & Felipe Saffie, 2018. "Measuring Uncertainty," 2018 Meeting Papers 490, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    65. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2019. "Endogenous second moments: A unified approach to fluctuations in risk, dispersion, and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 625-660.
    66. Bank for International Settlements, 2025. "Monetary policy decision-making and communication under high uncertainty," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 163, February.
    67. Nam, Changwoo, 2022. "Investment and Business Cycles: Focusing on Firms' Capital Adjustment Costs," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 44(1), pages 77-98.
    68. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    69. Lein, Sarah Marit & Bäurle, Gregor & Lein, Sarah M. & Steiner, Elizabeth, 2016. "How large is the Financial Accelerator? Some Evidence from Firm-level Data," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145600, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    70. Frederico Belo & Jun Li & Xiaoji Lin & Xiaofei Zhao, 2017. "Labor-Force Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: The Importance of Skilled Labor," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(10), pages 3669-3709.
    71. SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr, 2016. "Creative Destruction and Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11296, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    72. David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2017. "Shocks vs. Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?," NBER Working Papers 23143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    73. D'Elia, Enrico & Nascia, Leopoldo & Zeli, Alessandro, 2011. "Analisi dei modelli d’impresa: discontinuità e sviluppo [Analysing firm's evolution: discontinuity and growth]," MPRA Paper 35926, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    74. Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    75. Lars Kuehn & David Schreindorfer & Cedric Ehouarne, 2016. "Misallocation Cycles," 2016 Meeting Papers 1482, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    76. Zetlin-Jones, Ariel & Shourideh, Ali, 2017. "External financing and the role of financial frictions over the business cycle: Measurement and theory," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-15.
    77. Keijsers, Bart & van Dijk, Dick, 2025. "Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 748-762.
    78. Andrés Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2022. "The Macroeconomics of Irreversibility," Working Papers 1312, Barcelona School of Economics.
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    80. Stephen J. Terry, 2017. "Alternative Methods for Solving Heterogeneous Firm Models," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(6), pages 1081-1111, September.
    81. Fatih Guvenen, 2015. "The Research Agenda: Fatih Guvenen on Findings from Big Data on Income Inequality and Income Uncertainty," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), April.
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    84. Chang, Chong-Chuo & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Mon, Khin Thiri, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the firm's working capital requirements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
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    86. Russell W. Cooper & Immo Schott, 2023. "Capital reallocation and the cyclicality of aggregate productivity," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1337-1365, November.
    87. Matthias Gnewuch, 2024. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Working Papers 61, European Stability Mechanism.

  30. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2011. "Public Consumption Over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 17230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Si Guo & Yun Pei & Zoe Xie, 2019. "Decentralization and Overborrowing in a Fiscal Federation," 2019 Meeting Papers 1229, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    3. Axelle Ferriere & Anastasios Karantounias, 2019. "Fiscal Austerity in Ambiguous Times," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02084280, HAL.
    4. Facundo Piguillem & Anderson Schneider, 2013. "Heterogeneous Labor Skills, The Median Voter and Labor Taxes," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(2), pages 332-349, April.
    5. Andreas Müller & Kjetil Storesletten & Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2016. "The Political Color of Fiscal Responsibility," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 252-302.
    6. Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle & Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella & Oluwaseyi Adedayo Adelowokan, 2021. "Macroeconomic policy volatility and household consumption in Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Rüdiger Bachmann & Eric R. Sims, 2011. "Confidence and the Transmission of Government Spending Shocks," NBER Working Papers 17063, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Ștefan Virgil IACOB & Dana Luiza GRIGORESCU, 2020. "The analysis of the quarterly evolution of the gross domestic product in 2019," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(622), S), pages 171-182, Spring.
    9. Grechyna, Daryna, 2016. "The Structure of Government Spending and the Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 72029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Constantin Anghelache & Madalina Gabriela Anghel & Marius Popovici, 2015. "Multiple Regressions Used in Analysis of Private Consumption and Public Final Consumption Evolution," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 69-73, October.
    11. Juan Equiza Goni, 2014. "Sovereign Debt in the U.S. and Growth Expectations," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    12. Zhang, Zuomin & Dai, Ling, 2023. "The bank loan distribution effect of government spending expansion: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    13. Marina Azzimonti-Renzo, 2013. "The dynamics of public investment under persistent electoral advantage," Working Papers 13-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    14. Coulombe, Raphaelle G., 2021. "The electoral origin of government spending shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Xu, Kun & Xu, Wenli, 2015. "中国政府消费支出对经济波动的传导机理分析 [Study on Influential Mechanism Between Government Expenditure of Consumption and Economic Fluctuation]," MPRA Paper 70994, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2015.
    16. Atalay, Yasemin & Kalfagianni, Agni & Pattberg, Philipp, 2017. "Renewable energy support mechanisms in the Gulf Cooperation Council states: Analyzing the feasibility of feed-in tariffs and auction mechanisms," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 723-733.
    17. Si Guo & Yun Pei & Zoe Xie, 2018. "Fiscal Decentralization, Intergovernmental Transfer, and Overborrowing," 2018 Meeting Papers 975, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Azzimonti, Marina & Talbert, Matthew, 2014. "Polarized business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 47-61.
    19. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2013. "Politico-Economic Inequality and the Comovement of Government Purchases," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(4), pages 565-580, October.

  31. Rüdiger Bachmann & Eric R. Sims, 2011. "Confidence and the Transmission of Government Spending Shocks," NBER Working Papers 17063, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. T. Philipp Dybowski & J. Nikolaj Dybowski & Philipp Adämmer, 2016. "The Economic Effects of U.S. Presidential Tax Communication," CQE Working Papers 4916, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    2. Tervala, Juha & Watson, Timothy, 2022. "Hysteresis and fiscal stimulus in a recession," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    3. Daniela Fantozzi & Alessio Muscarnera, 2021. "A News-based Policy Index for Italy: Expectations and Fiscal Policy," CEIS Research Paper 509, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Mar 2021.
    4. Afonso, António & Tovar Jalles, João & Venâncio, Ana, 2024. "Fiscal decentralization and public sector efficiency: Do natural disasters matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Abdalla Alfaki, Ibrahim M. & El Anshasy, Amany A., 2022. "Oil rents, diversification and growth: Is there asymmetric dependence? A copula-based inquiry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Yongsung Chang & Sunoong Hwang, 2011. "Asymmetric Phase Shifts in the U.S. Industrial Production Cycles," RCER Working Papers 564, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
    7. Rüdiger Bachmann & Sebastian K. Rüth, 2020. "Systematic Monetary Policy And The Macroeconomic Effects Of Shifts In Residential Loan‐To‐Value Ratios," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 503-530, May.
    8. Sergio Sola, 2013. "Temporary and Persistent Fiscal Policy Shocks," IHEID Working Papers 06-2013, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    9. Salvatore Perdichizzi, 2017. "Estimating Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone. A Nonlinear Panel Data Approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def058, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    10. Rozina Shaheen, 2019. "Impact of Fiscal Policy on Consumption and Labor Supply under a Time-Varying Structural VAR Model," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, June.
    11. Stan Veuger & Daniel Shoag, 2013. "Uncertainty and the geography of the Great Recession," AEI Economics Working Papers 694, American Enterprise Institute.
    12. Borice Augustin Ngounou & Edmond Noubissi Domguia & Thierry Messie Pondie & Joseph Pasky Ngameni & Linda Tiague Zanfack, 2025. "Military spending: An obstacle to environmental sustainability in Africa," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 491-515, February.
    13. Bobeica, Elena & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Vansteenkiste, Isabel, 2021. "The changing link between labor cost and price inflation in the United States," Working Paper Series 2583, European Central Bank.
    14. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    15. Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2018. "Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1479-1505, October.
    16. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technology and demand drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 2533, European Central Bank.
    17. Tagkalakis, Athanasios O., 2014. "Credit and the transmission of fiscal policy shocks: Recent evidence from Greece," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 263-267.
    18. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Maddaloni, Angela & Peydró, José-Luis, 2013. "Heterogeneous transmission mechanism: monetary policy and financial fragility in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1527, European Central Bank.
    19. Michaelis, Henrike & Elstner, Steffen & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Keine Notwendigkeit einer Reform des Gesetzes zur Förderung der Stabilität und des Wachstums der Wirtschaft," Working Papers 02/2015, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    20. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2020. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Papers 2005.02535, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    21. Bonciani, Dario, 2015. "Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle," MPRA Paper 65921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Hafedh Bouakez & Michel Guillard & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2014. "Public Investment, Time to Build, and the Zero Lower Bound," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 14.06, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie, revised Oct 2014.
    23. Diegel, Max & Nautz, Dieter, 2020. "The role of long-term inflation expectations for the transmission of monetary policy shocks," Discussion Papers 2020/19, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    24. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Groshenny, Nicolas, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 78-92.
    25. Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot J. & Pfeifer, Johannes, 2015. "Does austerity pay off?," SAFE Working Paper Series 77, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2015.
    26. Christian Glocker & Giulia Sestieri & Pascal Towbin, 2017. "Time-varying fiscal spending multipliers in the UK," Working papers 643, Banque de France.
    27. Stylianos Asimakopoulos & Marco Lorusso & Luca Pieroni, 2021. "Can public spending boost private consumption?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(3), pages 1275-1313, November.
    28. Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 2613, European Central Bank.
    29. Jorge Pablo Puig & Martin Ardanaz & Eduardo Cavallo & Alejandro Izquierdo, 2021. "Output effects of fiscal consolidations: does spending composition matter?," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4507, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    30. Matteo Deleidi & Davide Romaniello & Francesca Tosi, 2021. "Quantifying fiscal multipliers in Italy: A Panel SVAR analysis using regional data," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(5), pages 1158-1177, October.
    31. Afonso, António & Huart, Florence & Tovar Jalles, João & Stanek, Piotr, 2022. "Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    32. Metiu, Norbert, 2020. "Anticipation effects of protectionist U.S. trade policies," Discussion Papers 52/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    33. Sebastian Gechert & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2014. "Are Fiscal Multipliers Regime-Dependent? A Meta Regression Analysis," IMK Working Paper 139-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    34. Bernardo Guimaraes & Caio Machado & Marcel Ribeiro, 2016. "A Model of the Confidence Channel of Fiscal Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(7), pages 1363-1395, October.
    35. Cyrille Lenoël & Corrado Macchiarelli & Garry Young, 2022. "Greece 2010-18: What could we have done differently?," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 172, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    36. Noubissi Domguia, Edmond & Poumie, Boker, 2019. "Economic growth, military spending and environmental degradation in Africa," MPRA Paper 97455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Fève, Patrick & Garcia, Pablo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2017. "State-dependent risk taking and the transmission of monetary policy shocks," TSE Working Papers 17-872, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    38. Taylor, Alan M. & Cloyne, James & Jordà , Òscar, 2020. "Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 14544, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    39. Beetsma, Roel & Furtuna, Oana & Giuliodori, Massimo & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2021. "Revenue- versus spending-based fiscal consolidation announcements: Multipliers and follow-up," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    40. Beckmann, Joscha & Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann, 2024. "Is the exchange rate a shock absorber? The shocks matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 114-130.
    41. Papaioannou, Sotiris K., 2019. "The effects of fiscal policy on output: Does the business cycle matter?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 27-36.
    42. Beetsma, Roel & Furtuna, Oana & Giuliodori, Massimo & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2017. "Revenue- versus spending-based fiscal consolidation announcements: follow-up, multipliers and confidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 12133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    43. Bernd Hayo & Matthias Uhl, 2014. "Taxation and Consumption: Evidence from a Representative Survey of the German Population," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201420, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    44. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2022. "How do income and the debt position of households propagate fiscal stimulus into consumption?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    45. Benjamin Wong, 2015. "Do Inflation Expectations Propagate the Inflationary Impact of Real Oil Price Shocks?: Evidence from the Michigan Survey," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1673-1689, December.
    46. Mayer, Eric & Rüth, Sebastian & Scharler, Johann, 2016. "Total factor productivity and the propagation of shocks: Empirical evidence and implications for the business cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 335-346.
    47. Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The effect of ECB monetary policies on interest rates and volumes," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2015-26, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    48. Bobeica, Elena & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Vansteenkiste, Isabel, 2019. "The link between labor cost and price inflation in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2235, European Central Bank.
    49. Michael Kleemann & Gernot Mueller & Zeno Enders, 2015. "Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations," 2015 Meeting Papers 406, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    50. Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Macroeconomic Regimes, Technological Shocks and Employment Dynamics," Working Papers hal-03469938, HAL.
    51. Honda, Jiro & Miyamoto, Hiroaki, 2021. "How does population aging affect the effectiveness of fiscal stimulus over the business cycle?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    52. Maciej Stefański, 2021. "Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing Using Mid-sized Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," KAE Working Papers 2021-068, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    53. Chunbing Cai & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2023. "Simple Analytics of the Government Investment Multiplier," Papers 2302.11212, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    54. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2016. "Signals from the government: Policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 107-118.
    55. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2023. "Can Passive Monetary Policy Decrease the Debt Burden?," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    56. David, Antonio C. & Guajardo, Jaime & Yepez, Juan F., 2022. "The rewards of fiscal consolidations: Sovereign spreads and confidence effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    57. Mauro Napoletano & Jean-Luc Gaffard & Andrea Roventini, 2014. "Outside the corridor: fiscal multipliers and business cycles into an agent-based model with liquidity constraints," Working Papers hal-03460253, HAL.
    58. Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Fiscal Multipliers in Recession and Expansion," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 63-98, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    59. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2016. "What drives the short-run costs of fiscal consolidation? Evidence from OECD countries," BIS Working Papers 553, Bank for International Settlements.
    60. António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles & Ana Venâncio, 2023. "Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters matter?," Working Papers REM 2023/0271, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    61. Rafiq, Sohrab & Zeufack, Albert, 2012. "Fiscal multipliers over the growth cycle : evidence from Malaysia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5982, The World Bank.
    62. Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea & Gaffard, Jean Luc, 2017. "Time-varying fiscal multipliers in an agent-based model with credit rationing," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-112, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    63. Hassan F. Gholipour & Reza Tajaddini & Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, 2023. "Governments’ economic support for households during the COVID-19 pandemic and consumer confidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1253-1272, September.
    64. Nodari, Gabriela, 2014. "Financial regulation policy uncertainty and credit spreads in the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-132.
    65. Michaillat, Pascal, 2012. "A Theory of Countercyclical Government-Consumption Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers 9052, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    66. Byrne, Joseph P & Lorusso, Marco & Xu, Bing, 2017. "Oil Prices and Informational Frictions: The Time-Varying Impact of Fundamentals and Expectations," MPRA Paper 80668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    67. Matthew Canzoneri & Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas & Behzad Diba, 2012. "Fiscal Multipliers in Recessions," Diskussionsschriften dp1204, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    68. Hafedh Bouakez & Denis Larocque & Michel Normandin, 2018. "Separating the wheat from the chaff: A disaggregate analysis of the effects of public spending in the US," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(2), pages 361-390, May.
    69. Dybowski, T.P. & Adämmer, P., 2018. "The economic effects of U.S. presidential tax communication: Evidence from a correlated topic model," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 511-525.
    70. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Giesen, Sebastian & Hennecke, Peter & Kiesel, Konstantin & Loose, Brigitte & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Ökonomische Wirksamkeit der Konjunktur stützenden finanzpolitischen Maßnahmen der Jahre 2008 und 2009. Forschungsvorhaben im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen," IWH Online 4/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    71. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey," Working Paper Series 2643, European Central Bank.
    72. Rendahl, Pontus, 2014. "Fiscal policy in an unemployment crisis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 58132, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    73. Borrallo Egea, Fructuoso & Hierro, Luis Ángel, 2019. "Transmission of monetary policy in the US and EU in times of expansion and crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 763-783.
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    75. Philipp Adämmer & T. Philipp Dybowski, 2016. "Committing to Fiscal Policy: The Influence of the U.S. President on Consumer Confidence and Output," CQE Working Papers 5216, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    76. He, Congxian & Zhou, Can & Wen, Huwei, 2024. "Improving the consumer welfare of rural residents through public support policies: A study on old revolutionary areas in China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
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    78. Karamysheva, Madina, 2022. "How do fiscal adjustments work? An empirical investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
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    80. Michael Lainé, 2018. "The Confidence Paradox: Can Confidence Account for Business Cycles?," Post-Print hal-04265052, HAL.
    81. Roman Horvath, 2012. "Do Confidence Indicators Help Predict Economic Activity? The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 398-412, November.
    82. Schmidt, Torsten & Zwick, Lina, 2015. "Uncertainty and episodes of extreme capital flows in the Euro Area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 343-356.
    83. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Michele Capriati, 2024. "Government spending, multipliers, and public debt sustainability: an empirical assessment for OECD countries," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(2), pages 521-542, July.
    84. Vassilis Monastiriotis, 2014. "(When) Does Austerity Work? On the Conditional Link between Fiscal Austerity and Debt Sustainability," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 8(1), pages 71-92, June.
    85. Caglayan, Mustafa & Xu, Bing, 2016. "Sentiment volatility and bank lending behavior," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 107-120.
    86. Candelon, Bertrand & Lieb, Lenard, 2013. "Fiscal policy in good and bad times," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2679-2694.
    87. Vogel, Stephen & Miller, Cristina & Ralston, Katherine, 2021. "Impact of USDA's Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) on Rural and Urban Economies in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Economic Research Report 327185, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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  32. Rüdiger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2011. "Uncertainty Business Cycles - Really?," NBER Working Papers 16862, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Angus Moore, 2016. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2016-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    4. Shujaat Khan & Edward S. Knotek, 2011. "How do households respond to uncertainty shocks?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 96(Q II).
    5. Can Tian, 2012. "Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. Anh Nguyen, 2015. "Financial frictions and the volatility of monetary policy in a DSGE model," Working Papers 75949436, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    7. David Berger & Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Volatility and Pass-through," NBER Working Papers 19651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Fendoğlu, Salih, 2014. "Optimal monetary policy rules, financial amplification, and uncertain business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 271-305.
    9. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    10. Steffen Elstner & Ruediger Bachmann, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," 2013 Meeting Papers 623, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Tian, Can, 2011. "Technology choice and endogenous productivity dispersion over the business cycles," MPRA Paper 34480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Nov 2011.
    14. Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2014. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Working Papers 14-18, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    15. Kang, Wensheng & Lee, Kiseok & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm-Level Investment," MPRA Paper 51277, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Volker Tjaden & Ralph Lütticke & Lien Pham & Christian Bayer, 2013. "Household Income Risk, Nominal Frictions, and Incomplete Markets," 2013 Meeting Papers 1270, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Panagiotis E. Petrakis & Dionysis G. Valsamis & Pantelis C. Kostis, 2014. "Uncertainty Shocks in Eurozone Periphery Countries and Germany," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 8(2), pages 87-106, December.
    18. Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers 2015-02, CEPII research center.
    19. Ekaterina Pirozhkova, 2017. "Banks' balance sheet, uncertainty and macroeconomy," EcoMod2017 10430, EcoMod.
    20. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    21. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
    22. Julio Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2013. "Learning to Price," 2013 Meeting Papers 663, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Born, Benjamin & Peifer, Johannes, 2011. "Policy Risk and the Business Cycle," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 06/2011, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    24. Knut Are Aastveit & Gisle James Natvik & Sergio Sola, 2013. "Economic uncertainty and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Working Paper 2013/17, Norges Bank.
    25. Šustek, Roman, 2011. "Plant-level nonconvex output adjustment and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 400-414.
    26. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    27. Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Miss Stephanie Denis & Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2013. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the UK Economy," IMF Working Papers 2013/066, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew T. Levin, 2011. "Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2011-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    30. Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez Fernández, Nerea, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in Spain: SVAR approach with sign restrictions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90402, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    32. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Santiago Acosta-Ormaechea & Atsuyoshi Morozumi, 2012. "Idiosyncratic Uncertainty, Asymmetric Information, and Private Credit," Discussion Papers 12/12, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    34. Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis," ifo Working Paper Series 167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    35. V. V. Chari, 2012. "A Macroeconomist's Wish List of Financial Data," NBER Chapters, in: Risk Topography: Systemic Risk and Macro Modeling, pages 215-232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  33. Ruediger Bachmann & Giuseppe Moscarini, 2011. "Business Cycles and Endogenous Uncertainty," 2011 Meeting Papers 36, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4736, CESifo.
    2. Nicholas Bloom, 2014. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 13-033, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Laura Veldkamp & Isaac Baley, 2021. "Bayesian Learning," Working Papers 1287, Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    5. Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta†Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2018. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 1031-1065, May.
    6. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2014. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," NBER Working Papers 20473, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    8. Can Tian, 2012. "Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    9. Nowzohour, Laura & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2100, European Central Bank.
    10. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev & Nicolas Vincent, 2016. "Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 940, Boston College Department of Economics.
    11. Daisoon Kim & Yoonsoo Lee, 2019. "Entry, Exit, and Productivity Dispersion," 2019 Meeting Papers 927, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December.
    13. Javier Turen, 2018. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion over the business cycle," 2018 Meeting Papers 796, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. David Berger & Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Volatility and Pass-through," NBER Working Papers 19651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Pablo D'Erasmo & Ryan A. Decker & Herman J. Moscoso Boedo, 2014. "Market exposure and endogenous firm volatility over the business cycle," Working Papers 14-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    17. Fabio Bertolotti & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 972-993, September.
    18. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Keith Kuester & Juan Rubio-Ramírez, 2015. "Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(11), pages 3352-3384, November.
    19. Tian, Can, 2011. "Technology choice and endogenous productivity dispersion over the business cycles," MPRA Paper 34480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Nov 2011.
    20. Philip N. Jefferson, 2023. "Elevated Economic Uncertainty: Causes and Consequences: A speech at Global Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility,” a research conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Swiss National," Speech 97302, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Marina Riem, 2016. "Corporate investment decisions under political uncertainty," ifo Working Paper Series 221, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    22. Jan Prüser & Alexander Schlösser, 2020. "On the Time‐Varying Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the US Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(5), pages 1217-1237, October.
    23. Javier Turén, 2019. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion with volatility shocks," Documentos de Trabajo 530, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    24. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    25. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
    26. Julio Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2013. "Learning to Price," 2013 Meeting Papers 663, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    28. Gabriel P. Mathy, 2020. "How much did uncertainty shocks matter in the Great Depression?," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 14(2), pages 283-323, May.
    29. Wang, Xinya & Xu, Xin & Rong, Xueyun & Xuan, Siyuan, 2024. "Identification of the contagion effect in China's financial market uncertainties: A multiscale and dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1340-1362.
    30. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2014. "Uncertainty Traps," NBER Working Papers 19973, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2021. "Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 47-73.
    32. Ravenna, Federico & Cacciatore, Matteo, 2020. "Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 14715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    33. Burkhard Raunig & Johann Scharler & Friedrich Sindermann, 2017. "Do Banks Lend Less in Uncertain Times?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 84(336), pages 682-711, October.
    34. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Ambrogio Cesa‐Bianchi & Emilio Fernandez‐Corugedo, 2018. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Nominal Rigidities: A Quantitative Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(4), pages 603-636, June.
    36. Kıvanç Karaman, K. & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2019. "How does financial development alter the impact of uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 33-42.
    37. Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Andrés Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2016. "Menu Costs, Uncertainty Cycles, and the Propagation of Nominal Shocks," Working Papers 918, Barcelona School of Economics.
    39. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. James Costain & Anton Nakov, 2019. "Logit Price Dynamics," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(1), pages 43-78, February.
    41. Meier, Matthias, 2017. "Time to Build and the Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168059, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    42. Abiad, Abdul & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    43. Leduc, Sylvain & Liu, Zheng, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks are aggregate demand shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 20-35.
    44. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo, 2014. "Uncertainty in a model with credit frictions," Bank of England working papers 496, Bank of England.
    45. Andrea Carriero & Alessio Volpicella, 2022. "Generalizing the Max Share Identification to multiple shocks identification: an Application to Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0322, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    46. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
    47. Yukti Bajaj & Smita Kashiramka & Shveta Singh, 2024. "Does economic state matter for leverage adjustments? An India–China comparison," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(2), pages 492-518, February.
    48. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 27167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  34. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2010. "Government Purchases Over the Business Cycle: the Role of Economic and Political Inequality," NBER Working Papers 16247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Marco Bassetto & Leslie McGranahan, 2011. "On the Relationship Between Mobility, Population Growth, and Capital Spending in the United States," NBER Working Papers 16970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    3. Marina Azzimonti, 2012. "The dynamics of public investment under persistent electoral advantag," 2012 Meeting Papers 91, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Rüdiger Bachmann & Jinhui H. Bai, 2013. "Public consumption over the business cycle," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 4(3), pages 417-451, November.
    5. Daniel R. Carroll, 2013. "The demand for income tax progressivity in the growth model," Working Papers (Old Series) 1106, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    6. Gustavo de Souza, 2022. "It's Good Weather for More Government: The Effect of Weather on Fiscal Policy," Working Paper Series WP 2022-48, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    7. Daniel R. Carroll & Eric Young, 2014. "The Piketty Transition," Working Papers (Old Series) 1432, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    8. Alvaro Aguirre, 2025. "Macro Implications of Inequality-driven Political Polarization," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1011, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. Marina Azzimonti-Renzo & Matthew Talbert, 2011. "Partisan cycles and the consumption volatility puzzle," Working Papers 11-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    10. Marina Azzimonti & Eva de Francisco & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2014. "Financial Globalization, Inequality, and the Rising Public Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(8), pages 2267-2302, August.
    11. Gustavo de Souza, 2022. "On Political and Economic Determinants of Redistribution: Economic Gains, Ideological Gains, or Institutions?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-47, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    12. Battaglini, Marco, 2011. "A Dynamic theory of electoral competition," CEPR Discussion Papers 8633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2019. "Wealth distribution with random discount factors," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 101-113.
    14. Coulombe, Raphaelle G., 2021. "The electoral origin of government spending shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Daniel R. Carroll & Jim Dolmas & Eric Young, 2019. "The Politics of Flat Taxes," Working Papers 14-42R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    16. Xu, Kun & Xu, Wenli, 2015. "中国政府消费支出对经济波动的传导机理分析 [Study on Influential Mechanism Between Government Expenditure of Consumption and Economic Fluctuation]," MPRA Paper 70994, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2015.
    17. Daniel R. Carroll & Jim Dolmas & Eric Young, 2015. "Majority Voting: A Quantitative Investigation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1442, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    18. Yuki Uchida, 2018. "Education, social mobility, and the mismatch of talents," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 65(3), pages 575-607, May.
    19. Marco Bassetto & Leslie McGranahan, 2021. "Mobility, Population Growth, and Public Capital Spending in the United States," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 255-277, July.
    20. Pavel Brendler, 2020. "Why hasn't Social Security changed since 1977?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 134-157, April.
    21. Daniel R. Carroll & Andre Luduvice & Eric Young, 2024. "A Note on Aggregating Preferences for Redistribution," Working Papers 24-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    22. Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2013. "Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default," NBER Working Papers 19477, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Facundo Piguillem & Alessandro Riboni, 2012. "Dynamic Bargaining over Redistribution in Legislatures," EIEF Working Papers Series 1206, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2012.

  35. Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 16143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2021. "Measuring macroeconomic disagreement – A mixed frequency approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 547-566.
    2. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4736, CESifo.
    3. Chatterjee Pratiti, 2019. "Asymmetric impact of uncertainty in recessions: are emerging countries more vulnerable?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(2), pages 1-27, April.
    4. Emilia Tomczyk & Barbara Kowalczyk, 2023. "Consensus in Business Tendency Surveys: Comparison of Alternative Measures," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 17-29.
    5. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
    6. Bruno Ćorić & Vladimir Šimić, 2021. "Economic disasters and aggregate investment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3087-3124, December.
    7. Gabriela Nodari, 2013. "Financial Regulation Policy Uncertainty and Credit Spreads in the U.S," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0170, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    8. Martina Hengge, 2019. "Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity," IHEID Working Papers 19-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    9. Kovalenko, Tim, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers 119, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    10. Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2019. "What is the Investment Loss due to Uncertainty?," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 138, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    11. Alexandros Botsis & Christoph Görtz & Plutarchos Sakellaris, 2024. "Quantifying Qualitative Survey Data with Panel Data Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series 11013, CESifo.
    12. Byomakesh Debata & Jitendra Mahakud, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market liquidity," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(1), pages 112-135, April.
    13. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2019. "Firm expectations and economic activity," CESifo Working Paper Series 7623, CESifo.
    15. Bandi, Federico M. & Bretscher, Lorenzo & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Return predictability with endogenous growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    16. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    17. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2021. "Synchronisation of policy related uncertainty, financial stress and economic activity in the United States," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 6406-6415, October.
    18. Christian Grimme, 2023. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank versus Bond Finance," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 143-169, February.
    19. Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Lucia Foster & Scott Ohlmacher & Itay Saporta-Eksten, 2022. "Investment and Subjective Uncertainty," Working Papers 22-52, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    20. Blanka Škrabić Perić & Petar Sorić, 2018. "A Note on the “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index”," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(2), pages 505-526, June.
    21. Angus Moore, 2016. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2016-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    22. de la Horra, Luis P. & Perote, Javier & de la Fuente, Gabriel, 2021. "Monetary policy and corporate investment: A panel-data analysis of transmission mechanisms in contexts of high uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 609-624.
    23. Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin, 2016. "What Are the Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks," Staff Working Papers 16-25, Bank of Canada.
    24. K. Skylar Powell & Eunah Lim & Hidenori Takahashi, 2023. "Chasing ‘Animal spirits’: business expectations, performance feedback, and advertising intensity in Japanese firms," Asian Business & Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 1035-1064, July.
    25. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    26. Pedro Costa Ferreira & Raíra Marotta B. Vieira & Felipi Bruno Silva & Ingrid C. L. Oliveira, 2019. "Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(1), pages 25-40, April.
    27. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    28. Cremers, Martijn & Fleckenstein, Matthias & Gandhi, Priyank, 2021. "Treasury yield implied volatility and real activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 412-435.
    29. Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2014. "Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?," EconStor Preprints 100662, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    30. Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2013. "Synchronization and Changes in International Inflation Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 4194, CESifo.
    31. Stan Veuger & Daniel Shoag, 2013. "Uncertainty and the geography of the Great Recession," AEI Economics Working Papers 694, American Enterprise Institute.
    32. Ruediger Bachmann & Benjamin Born & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," NBER Working Papers 19180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo & Huber, Florian & Onorante, Luca, 2019. "The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2302, European Central Bank.
    34. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    35. Valentina Aprigliano & Simone Emiliozzi & Gabriele Guaitoli & Andrea Luciani & Juri Marcucci & Libero Monteforte, 2021. "The power of text-based indicators in forecasting the Italian economic activity," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1321, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    36. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and systemic-risk indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    37. Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1166, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    38. Aleksejs Krecetovs & Pasquale Della Corte, 2016. "Macro uncertainty and currency premia," 2016 Meeting Papers 624, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    39. Shujaat Khan & Edward S. Knotek, 2011. "How do households respond to uncertainty shocks?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 96(Q II).
    40. Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges," CEPII Policy Brief 2017-20, CEPII research center.
    41. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Sala, Luca, 2021. "Downside and Upside Uncertainty Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 15881, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    42. Brancati, Emanuele, 2023. "R&D plans, expectations, and uncertainty: Evidence from the COVID-19 shock in Italy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 303-318.
    43. Botsis, Alexandros & Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2024. "Quantifying qualitative survey data with panel data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    44. Bos, Jaap & Li, Runliang & Sanders, Mark, 2018. "Hazardous Lending: The Impact of Natural Disasters on Banks'Asset Portfolio," Research Memorandum 021, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    45. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Juan Manuel Figueres, 2018. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Booms and Busts," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0220, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    46. Christian Grimme, 2019. "Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance," CESifo Working Paper Series 7456, CESifo.
    47. Bonciani, Dario, 2015. "Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle," MPRA Paper 65921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    48. Görtz, Christoph & Yeromonahos, Mallory, 2022. "Asymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    49. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2019. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 31-46.
    50. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers 2023_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    51. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 105-116.
    52. Ellis, Michael A. & Liu, Dandan, 2021. "FOMC policy preferences and economic policy uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    53. Siye Bae & Soojin Jo & Myungkyu Shim, 2025. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty differ from other uncertainty measures? Replication of Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016)," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(1), pages 40-74, February.
    54. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    55. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2020. "The macroeconomic impact of oil earnings uncertainty: New evidence from analyst forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    56. Johnson Worlanyo Ahiadorme, 2022. "On the aggregate effects of global uncertainty: Evidence from an emerging economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 390-407, September.
    57. Hjalmarsson, Erik & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "Heterogeneity in Households’ Expectations of Housing Prices – Evidence from Micro Data," Working Papers 2019:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
    58. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    59. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Groshenny, Nicolas, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 78-92.
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    61. Urtasun, Alberto & Martínez Matute, Marta, 2020. "Uncertainty and Firms' Labour Decisions. Evidence from European Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 13645, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    62. Tillmann, Peter & Walter, Andreas, 2019. "The effect of diverging communication: The case of the ECB and the Bundesbank," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 68-74.
    63. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    64. Isabel Casas & Xiuping Mao & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Reexamining financial and economic predictability with new estimators of realized variance and variance risk premium," CREATES Research Papers 2018-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    65. Grebe, Moritz & Kandemir, Sinem & Tillmann, Peter, 2024. "Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German economy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 493-506.
    66. Shi, Jinchuan & Zhang, Xiaoqian, 2018. "How to explain corporate investment heterogeneity in China's new normal: Structural models with state-owned property rights," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-16.
    67. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020. "Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
    68. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
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    71. Dudley Cooke & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2020. "Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Model of Firm Entry with Financial Frictions," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 74-96, January.
    72. Bhanu Pratap & Nalin Priyaranjan, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1599-1625, October.
    73. Nowzohour, Laura & Stracca, Livio, 2017. "More than a feeling: confidence, uncertainty and macroeconomic fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2100, European Central Bank.
    74. Nilotpal Sarma & Priyanshu Tiwari & Prabina Rajib, 2025. "From Fields to Futures: Connectedness Among Edible Oil and Oilseeds- Where Soybean Leads, Others Follow," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(2), pages 447-463, June.
    75. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin Vespignani, 2016. "Global Uncertainty and the Global Economy: Decomposing the Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2016-39, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    76. Marina Azzimonti, 2015. "Partisan Conflict and Private Investment," NBER Working Papers 21273, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    77. Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi & Yossi Saadon, 2020. "Do Expert Experience and Characteristics Affect Inflation Forecasts?," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2020.11, Bank of Israel.
    78. Wei‐Fong Pan & James Reade & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Measuring US regional economic uncertainty," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 1149-1178, September.
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    81. Matteo Iacoviello, 2018. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 79, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    84. Christian Seiler, 2014. "The determinants of unit non-response in the Ifo Business Survey," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 8(3), pages 161-177, September.
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    91. Jeffrey Ng & Walid Saffar & Janus Jian Zhang, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and loan loss provisions in the banking industry," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 726-777, June.
    92. Andrea Locatelli & Luciano Partacini & Nicola Riz, 2024. "Firm-level uncertainty and investments: evidence from South Tyrol," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 904, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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    110. Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2024. "Understanding uncertainty shocks and the role of black swans," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
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    656. Azqueta-Gavaldón, Andrés, 2017. "Developing news-based Economic Policy Uncertainty index with unsupervised machine learning," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 47-50.
    657. Lopez-Buenache, German, 2019. "The evolution of monetary policy effectiveness under macroeconomic instability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 221-233.
    658. Dandan Liu & Michael A Ellis, 2021. "FOMC forecasts and economic policy uncertainty," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(2), pages 213-221.
    659. Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego & Dées, Stéphane & Andersson, Malin & Bijsterbosch, Martin & Forster, Katrin & Zorell, Nico & Audoly, Richard & Buelens, Christian & Compeyron, Guillaume & Ferrando, Annali, 2016. "Savings and investment behaviour in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 167, European Central Bank.
    660. Carmen Orden‐Cruz & Jessica Paule‐Vianez & Júlio Lobão, 2023. "The effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the credit risk of US commercial banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3420-3436, July.
    661. Jan-Philipp Dueber, 2018. "Endogenous Time-Varying Volatility and Emerging Market Business Cycles," Studies in Economics 1811, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    662. Fatemeh Salimi, 2020. "Exchange Rates, Stock Prices, and Stock Market Uncertainty," Working Papers halshs-03007904, HAL.
    663. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 27167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    664. Vincent Sterk, 2016. "The Dark Corners of the Labor Market," Discussion Papers 1603, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    665. Paul Rudel & Peter Tillmann, 2018. "News Shock Spillovers: How the Euro Area Responds to Expected Fed Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201832, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    666. Sterk, Vincent, 2016. "The dark corners of the labor market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86244, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    667. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik & Hoffmann, Timo & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Schröder, Christian & Sonnenberg, Nils, 2024. "Deutsche Wirtschaft im Winter 2024: Kein Aufschwung in Sicht [German Forecast in Winter 2024: No Recovery in Sight]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 120, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    668. Daniel Dejuan-Bitria & Corinna Ghirelli, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and investment in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 351-388, September.
    669. Dräger, Lena & Bui, Dzung & Nghiem, Giang & Hayo, Bernd, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242375, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    670. Rivolta, Giulia & Trecroci, Carmine, 2020. "Measuring the effects of U.S. uncertainty and monetary conditions on EMEs' macroeconomic dynamics," MPRA Paper 99403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    671. Fatemeh Salimi Namin, 2020. "Exchange Rates, Stock Prices, and Stock Market Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2037, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    672. Glover, Brent & Levine, Oliver, 2015. "Uncertainty, investment, and managerial incentives," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 121-137.
    673. Elías Albagli I. & Jorge A. Fornero & Miguel A. Fuentes D. & Roberto Zúñiga V., 2019. "On the effects of confidence and uncertainty on aggregate demand: evidence from Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 008-033, December.
    674. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession," NBER Working Papers 18094, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    675. Jaromir Baxa & Tomas Sestorad, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty in Europe: Spillovers and Common Shocks," Working Papers 2024/9, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.

  36. Ruediger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2009. "The Cross-section of Firms over the Business Cycle: New Facts and a DSGE Exploration," CESifo Working Paper Series 2810, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Yongsung Chang & Sunoong Hwang, 2011. "Asymmetric Phase Shifts in the U.S. Industrial Production Cycles," RCER Working Papers 564, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
    2. Ruediger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2009. "Firm-Specific Productivity Risk over the Business Cycle: Facts and Aggregate Implications," 2009 Meeting Papers 869, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Dino Palazzo & Gian Luca Clementi, 2010. "Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations," 2010 Meeting Papers 1188, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Briana Chang, 2012. "Adverse Selection and Liquidity Distortion in Decentralized Markets," 2012 Meeting Papers 403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Briana Chang, 2011. "Adverse Selection and Liquidity Distortion in Decentralized Markets," 2011 Meeting Papers 157, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Matthias Kehrig, 2011. "The Cyclicality of Productivity Dispersion," 2011 Meeting Papers 484, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Sebastian Dyrda, 2015. "Fluctuations in uncertainty, efficient borrowing constraints and firm dynamics," 2015 Meeting Papers 1243, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Tom Holden, 2012. "Medium-frequency cycles and the remarkable near trend-stationarity of output," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1412, School of Economics, University of Surrey.

  37. Ruediger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2009. "Firm-Specific Productivity Risk over the Business Cycle: Facts and Aggregate Implications," CESifo Working Paper Series 2844, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Tao Zha, 2015. "Lending Efficiency Shocks," 2015 Meeting Papers 835, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Bredemeier, Christian, 2019. "Gender Gaps in Pay and Inter-Firm Mobility," IZA Discussion Papers 12785, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Bachmann, Ruediger & Bayer, Christian, 2009. "The cross-section of firms over the business cycle: new facts and a DSGE exploration," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Edouard Schaal, 2011. "Uncertainty, Productivity and Unemployment in the Great Depression," 2011 Meeting Papers 1450, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Robert Ulbricht & Ludwig Straub, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," 2015 Meeting Papers 199, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Eric T. Swanson, 2012. "Risk Aversion and the Labor Margin in Dynamic Equilibrium Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1663-1691, June.
    7. Alessio, Moro & Rodolfo, Stucchi, 2011. "Heterogeneous Productivity Shocks, Elasticity of Substitution and Aggregate Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 29032, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers 614, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Edouard Schaal & Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel, 2014. "Uncertainty Traps," NBER Working Papers 19973, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Keith Kuester & Juan Rubio-Ramírez, 2011. "Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 17317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2016. "Endogenous Second Moments: A Unified Approach to Fluctuations in Risk, Dispersion, and Uncertainty," TSE Working Papers 16-664, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Mar 2018.
    13. Basile Grassi & Vasco Carvalho, 2015. "Firm Dynamics and the Granular Hypothesis," 2015 Meeting Papers 617, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Matthias Kehrig, 2011. "The Cyclicality of Productivity Dispersion," 2011 Meeting Papers 484, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Joseph Vavra, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Uncertainty: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," 2011 Meeting Papers 126, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  38. Ruediger Bachmann & Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo Engel, 2008. "Aggregate Implications of Lumpy Investment: New Evidence and a DSGE Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1566R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2010.

    Cited by:

    1. Schulte, Reinhard, 2018. "New venture investing trajectories: A large scale longitudinal study," Lüneburger Beiträge zur Gründungsforschung 13, Leuphana University of Lüneburg, Department of Entrepreneurship & Start-up Management.
    2. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2020. "Confidence and the Propagation of Demand Shocks," NBER Working Papers 27702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Roberta Distante & Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, 2013. "Asymmetry Reversals and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2013.54, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    4. Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Karabarbounis, Loukas & Gopinath, Gita & Villegas-Sanchez, Carolina, 2015. "Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 10826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2022. "The long-run effects of corporate tax reforms," Economics Working Papers 1813, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    6. Jasmine Xiao, 2018. "Corporate Debt Structure, Precautionary Savings, and Investment Dynamics," 2018 Meeting Papers 887, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos & Tsoukalas, John D., 2023. "Firms’ financing dynamics around lumpy capacity adjustments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    8. Peter Zorn, 2020. "Investment under Rational Inattention: Evidence from US Sectoral Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8436, CESifo.
    9. Julien Prat & Benjamin Walter, 2021. "An Equilibrium Model of the Market for Bitcoin Mining," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(8), pages 2415-2452.
    10. Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2019. "Aggregate dynamics in lumpy economies," Economics Working Papers 1670, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    11. Asdrubali, Pierfederico & Kim, Soyoung, 2009. "Consumption smoothing channels in open economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 2293-2300, December.
    12. Leo Kaas, 2020. "Block-Recursive Equilibria in Heterogenous-Agent Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 8737, CESifo.
    13. Verona, Fabio, 2013. "Lumpy investment in sticky information general equilibrium," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2013, Bank of Finland.
    14. Can Tian, 2012. "Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    15. Fiori, Giuseppe, 2012. "Lumpiness, capital adjustment costs and investment dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(4), pages 381-392.
    16. Jinhee Woo, 2020. "Policy Implications of Investment Rate Distributions in the Korean Manufacturing Sector," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 36, pages 445-480.
    17. Sebastian Graves, 2020. "The State Dependent Effectiveness of Hiring Subsidies," International Finance Discussion Papers 1290, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. House, Christopher L., 2014. "Fixed costs and long-lived investments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 86-100.
    19. Mitman, Kurt & Krueger, Dirk & Perri, Fabrizio, 2016. "Macroeconomics and Household Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 11308, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Luigi Guiso & Chaoqun Lai & Makoto Nirei, 2017. "An Empirical Study of Interaction-Based Aggregate Investment Fluctuations," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 68(2), pages 137-157, June.
    21. Matteo Bizzarri, 2024. "Time to Build and Dynamic Diffusion in Production Networks," CSEF Working Papers 709, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 16 Oct 2025.
    22. Christian Bayer & Volker Tjaden, 2016. "Large Open Economies and Fixed Costs of Capital Adjustment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 125-146, July.
    23. Cerda, Rodrigo A. & Saravia, Diego, 2013. "Optimal taxation with heterogeneous firms and informal sector," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 39-61.
    24. Fabio Bacchini & Maria Elena Bontempi & Roberto Golinelli & Cecilia Jona-Lasinio, 2014. "ICT and Non-ICT investments: short and long run macro dynamics," Working Papers LuissLab 14113, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    25. Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo M.R.A. Engel, 2007. "Price Stickiness in Ss Models: New Interpretations of Old Results," Working Papers 952, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    26. David Berger & Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Volatility and Pass-through," NBER Working Papers 19651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Matteo Ghilardi & Roy Zilberman, 2025. "Fiscal Uncertainty in Habit-Forming and Lumpy Economies," Working Papers 431361324, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    28. Bredemeier, Christian, 2019. "Gender Gaps in Pay and Inter-Firm Mobility," IZA Discussion Papers 12785, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    29. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2017. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," CESifo Working Paper Series 6414, CESifo.
    30. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Gnewuch, Matthias & Zhang, Donghai, 2025. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    32. Martin Andreasen & Marcelo Ferman & Pawel Zabczyk, 2013. "The Business Cycle Implications of Banks' Maturity Transformation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(4), pages 581-600, October.
    33. Carlos Rondón-Moreno, 2022. "Debt and Taxes: Optimal Fiscal Consolidation in the Small Open Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 941, Central Bank of Chile.
    34. Elsby, Michael W.L. & Michaels, Ryan, 2019. "Fixed adjustment costs and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 128-147.
    35. Bachmann, Ruediger & Bayer, Christian, 2009. "The cross-section of firms over the business cycle: new facts and a DSGE exploration," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    36. Safronov, M., 2016. "Experimentation and Learning-by-Doing," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1667, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    37. Luigi Guiso & Chaoqun Lai & Makoto Mirei, 2011. "Detecting Propagation Effects by Observing Aggregate Distributions: The Case of Lumpy Investments," EIEF Working Papers Series 1112, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Jun 2011.
    38. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "Aggregate dynamics and microeconomic heterogeneity: the role of vintage technology," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 651, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    39. Christopher L. House, 2008. "Fixed Costs and Long-Lived Investments," NBER Working Papers 14402, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. Schulte, Reinhard, 2015. "On real investment by new ventures," Lüneburger Beiträge zur Gründungsforschung 12, Leuphana University of Lüneburg, Department of Entrepreneurship & Start-up Management.
    41. Volker Tjaden & Ralph Lütticke & Lien Pham & Christian Bayer, 2013. "Household Income Risk, Nominal Frictions, and Incomplete Markets," 2013 Meeting Papers 1270, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    42. Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang, "undated". "Does Lumpy Investment Matter for Business Cycles?," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2010-002, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    43. Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2012. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 18245, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Bachmann, Ruediger & Bayer, Christian, 2009. "Firm-specific productivity risk over the business cycle: facts and aggregate implications," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,15, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    45. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
    46. Sebastian Graves, 2023. "The State-Dependent Effectiveness of Hiring Subsidies," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 229-253, April.
    47. Alfaro, Iván & Park, Hoonsuk, 2025. "Firm uncertainty and households: Spending, savings, and risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    48. Simon Gilchrist & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek, 2014. "Uncertainty, Financial Frictions, and Investment Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Woo, Jinhee, 2020. "Do news shocks increase capital utilization?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 128-137.
    50. Ander Pérez Orive, 2010. "Credit constraints, firms' precautionary investment and the business cycle," Economics Working Papers 1237, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2012.
    51. Aubhik Khan & Julia K. Thomas, 2007. "Idiosyncratic shocks and the role of nonconvexities in plant and aggregate investment dynamics," Working Papers 07-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    52. Roys, Nicolas, 2014. "Optimal investment policy with fixed adjustment costs and complete irreversibility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 416-419.
    53. Eddie Dekel & John K. -H. Quah & Ludvig Sinander, 2022. "Comparative statics with adjustment costs and the Le Chatelier principle," Papers 2206.00347, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    54. Šustek, Roman, 2011. "Plant-level nonconvex output adjustment and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 400-414.
    55. Alfonso Rosolia, 2021. "Does information about current inflation affect expectations and decisions? Another look at Italian firms," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1353, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    56. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2012. "Hayashi Meets Kiyotaki and Moore: A Theory of Capital Adjustment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(2), pages 207-225, April.
    57. Nicholas Bloom, 2007. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    58. Gee Hee Hong & Ernesto Pasten & Matthew Klepacz & Raphael Schoenle, 2019. "From Micro to Macro: A New Methodology to Discriminate Among Models," 2019 Meeting Papers 906, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    59. Rüdiger Bachmann & Lin Ma, 2012. "Lumpy Investment, Lumpy Inventories," NBER Working Papers 17924, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Tang, Haozhou & Zhang, Donghai, 2022. "Bubbly firm dynamics and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 64-80.
    61. van Rens, Thijs & Vukotic, Marija, 2020. "Delayed Adjustment and Persistence in Macroeconomic Models," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1245, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    62. Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang, "undated". "Lumpy Investment and Corporate Tax Policy," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-016, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    63. Ken Miyahara, 2025. "On the cyclicality of durable consumption responses," Working Papers 210, Peruvian Economic Association.
    64. Francois Gourio, 2007. "Disasters and Recoveries: A Note on the Barro-Rietz Explanation of the Equity Premium Puzzle," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2007-007, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    65. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo, 2018. "Myopia and Anchoring," NBER Working Papers 24545, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    66. Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    67. Andreas Bachmann, 2015. "Lumpy investment and variable capacity utilization: firm-level and macroeconomic implications," Diskussionsschriften dp1510, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    68. Alisdair McKay & Johannes F. Wieland, 2021. "Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(6), pages 2717-2749, November.
    69. Domenico Ferraro, 2014. "The Asymmetric Cyclical Behavior of the U.S. Labor Market," 2014 Meeting Papers 1104, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    70. Vipin P. Veetil, 2016. "Out-of-Equilibrium Dynamics with Heterogeneous Capital Goods," New Mathematics and Natural Computation (NMNC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(02), pages 157-173, July.
    71. Michael Plante & Nora Traum, 2012. "Time-Varying Oil Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Aggregates," CAEPR Working Papers 2012-002, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    72. Lee, Hanbaek, 2022. "Striking While the Iron Is Cold: Fragility after a Surge of Lumpy Investments," MPRA Paper 115872, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    73. Fabio Verona, 2014. "Investment Dynamics with Information Costs," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(8), pages 1627-1656, December.
    74. Richard Disney & Helen Miller & Thomas Pope, 2018. "Firm-level investment spikes and aggregate investment over the Great Recession," IFS Working Papers W18/03, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    75. Martin Jacob & Kelly Wentland & Scott A. Wentland, 2022. "Real Effects of Tax Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm Capital Investments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4065-4089, June.
    76. Meier, Matthias, 2017. "Time to Build and the Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168059, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    77. Klaus Abberger & Alexander Rathke & Samad Sarferaz & Pascal Seiler, 2025. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Firms' Investment Decisions," CESifo Working Paper Series 12099, CESifo.
    78. Andrés Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2022. "The Macroeconomics of Irreversibility," Working Papers 1312, Barcelona School of Economics.
    79. Stephen J. Terry, 2017. "Alternative Methods for Solving Heterogeneous Firm Models," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(6), pages 1081-1111, September.
    80. Abiad, Abdul & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    81. Michael Siemer, 2014. "Firm Entry and Employment Dynamics in the Great Recession," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-56, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    82. Assia Elgouacem, 2018. "Essays on investment and saving [Essais sur l’investissement et l’épargne]," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) tel-03419405, HAL.
    83. Min Fang, 2021. "Lumpy Investment, Fluctuations in Volatility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 002001, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    84. Pavol Majher, 2015. "Firm entry and exit, investment irreversibility, and business cycle dynamics," Vienna Economics Papers vie1513, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
    85. Matthias Gnewuch, 2024. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Working Papers 61, European Stability Mechanism.
    86. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian, 2013. "‘Wait-and-See’ business cycles?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 704-719.
    87. David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2014. "Consumption Dynamics During Recessions," NBER Working Papers 20175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    88. Ander Pérez Orive, 2015. "Credit Constraints, Firms' Precautionary Investment, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 506, Barcelona School of Economics.

  39. Ruediger Bachmann & Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo Engel, 2006. "Lumpy Investment in Dynamic General Equilibrium," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1566, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

    Cited by:

    1. Shuyun Li, 2011. "Costly external finance, reallocation, and aggregate productivity," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 181-195, June.
    2. Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo M.R.A. Engel, 2007. "Price Stickiness in Ss Models: New Interpretations of Old Results," Working Papers 952, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    3. Palguta, Ján, 2019. "Political representation and public contracting: Evidence from municipal legislatures," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 411-431.
    4. Sveen, Tommy & Weinke, Lutz, 2007. "Lumpy investment, sticky prices, and the monetary transmission mechanism," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(Supplemen), pages 23-36, September.
    5. Daniele Girardi, 2017. "Old and new formulations of the neoclassical theory of aggregate investment : a critical review," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2017-03, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
    6. Francois Gourio & Anil K. Kashyap, 2007. "Investment Spikes: New Facts and a General Equilibrium Exploration," NBER Working Papers 13157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Aubhik Khan & Julia K. Thomas, 2007. "Idiosyncratic shocks and the role of nonconvexities in plant and aggregate investment dynamics," Working Papers 07-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    8. Nicholas Bloom, 2007. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Francois Gourio, 2007. "Disasters and Recoveries: A Note on the Barro-Rietz Explanation of the Equity Premium Puzzle," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2007-007, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    10. Pierfederico Asdrubali & Soyoung Kim, 2007. "Consumption Smoothing Channels in Open Economies," Discussion Paper Series 0723, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    11. Chirinko, Robert S. & Schaller, Huntley, 2009. "The irreversibility premium," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 390-408, April.
    12. Jianjun Miao, "undated". "Corporate Tax Policy and Long-Run Capital Formation: The Role of Irreversibility and Fixed Costs," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-023, Boston University - Department of Economics.

Articles

  1. Rüdiger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2024. "What if? The macroeconomic and distributional effects for Germany of a stop of energy imports from Russia," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(364), pages 1157-1200, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Rüdiger Bachmann & Gabriel Ehrlich & Ying Fan & Dimitrije Ruzic & Benjamin Leard, 2023. "Firms and Collective Reputation: a Study of the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(2), pages 484-525.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Rüdiger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Manuel Menkhoff & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Umsatzunsicherheit und Umsatzerwartungen deutscher Firmen zur Zeit des Ukraine-Kriegs: Gas und Gasausfall spielen eine eher geringe Rolle," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 75(06), pages 33-36, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Grebe, Moritz & Kandemir, Sinem & Tillmann, Peter, 2024. "Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German economy," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 493-506.
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    3. Moritz Grebe & Sinem Kandemir & Peter Tillmann, 2023. "Uncertainty about the War in Ukraine: Measurement and Effects on the German Business Cycle," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202314, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    4. Grebe, Moritz & Kandemir, Sinem & Tillmann, Peter, 2023. "Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German business cycle," IMFS Working Paper Series 184, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

  4. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Gödl-Hanisch, Isabel & Sims, Eric R., 2022. "Identifying monetary policy shocks using the central bank’s information set," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Ruediger Bachmann & David Baqaee & Christian Bayer & Moritz Kuhn & Andreas Löschel & Benjamin Moll & Andreas Peichl & Karen Pittel & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "Was wäre, wenn…? Die wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen eines Importstopps russischer Energie auf Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 75(Sonderaus), pages 06-14, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Berger, Eva M. & Bialek, Sylwia & Garnadt, Niklas & Grimm, Veronika & Other, Lars & Salzmann, Leonard & Schnitzer, Monika & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2022. "A potential sudden stop of energy imports from Russia: Effects on energy security and economic output in Germany and the EU," IMFS Working Paper Series 166, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    2. Kamin Katrin & Langhammer Rolf J., 2025. "Die geoökonomischen Herausforderungen der deutschen Wirtschaft meistern," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 105(1), pages 48-53.
    3. Koenen, Michelle & Kunath, Gero & Obst, Thomas, 2022. "Europa an der Schwelle zur Rezession? Wirtschaftliche Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie und des Ukraine-Kriegs," IW-Reports 40/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    4. Dirks, Maximilian W., 2025. "When two quarrel, the third rejoices: Windfall FDI and the early winners of the Russian-Ukrainian war," Ruhr Economic Papers 1161, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

  6. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian & Merkl, Christian & Seth, Stefan & Stüber, Heiko & Wellschmied, Felix, 2021. "Worker churn in the cross section and over time: New evidence from Germany," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 781-797.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Zorn, Peter, 2020. "What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2020. "Unsicherheit und Beschäftigungsabbau in der Coronakrise," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 1(09), pages 01-04, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Werner Hölzl & Michael Böheim & Klaus Friesenbichler & Agnes Kügler & Thomas Leoni, 2021. "Staatliche Hilfsmaßnahmen für Unternehmen in der COVID-19-Krise. Eine begleitende Analyse operativer Aspekte und Unternehmenseinschätzungen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66624, August.
    2. Werner Hölzl & Philipp Schmidt-Dengler, 2020. "Ein Mechanismus zur Unterstützung von Unternehmen in der COVID-19-Krise," WIFO Research Briefs 7, WIFO.

  9. Rüdiger Bachmann & Sebastian K. Rüth, 2020. "Systematic Monetary Policy And The Macroeconomic Effects Of Shifts In Residential Loan‐To‐Value Ratios," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 503-530, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Ferrero & Richard Harrison & Benjamin Nelson, 2022. "House price dynamics, optimal LTV limits and the liquidity trap," Bank of England working papers 969, Bank of England.
    2. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2022. "How do income and the debt position of households propagate fiscal stimulus into consumption?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    3. Paul Rudel, 2024. "Loan Supply Shocks, Prudential Regulation, and the Business Cycle," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202409, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    4. Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Benedikt Kolb, 2021. "Macroprudential Policy and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 9342, CESifo.
    5. Bachmann, Ruediger, 2025. "Quo vadis, USA?," Kiel Reports 4, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Simona Malovaná & Martin Hodula & Zuzana Gric & Josef Bajzík, 2025. "Borrower‐based macroprudential measures and credit growth: How biased is the existing literature?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 66-102, February.
    7. Horvath, Jaroslav & Rothman, Philip, 2021. "Mortgage spreads, asset prices, and business cycles in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Shiu‐Sheng Chen, 2023. "A direct approach to Kilian–Lewis style counterfactual analysis in vector autoregression models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1068-1076, November.
    9. Jbir, Hamdi, 2024. "Impact of monetary and macroprudential policy shocks on systemic risk: what role for the central bank governance ?," MPRA Paper 125437, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2025.

  10. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Born, Benjamin & Elstner, Steffen & Grimme, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 82-99.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Bachmann, Rüdiger, 2019. "Comments on “Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from German firms”," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 64-68.

    Cited by:

    1. Julien Pinter & Evzen Kocenda, 2021. "Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations," Working Papers IES 2021/30, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2021.
    2. Qian, Wei, 2025. "House price expectations and household spending— A survey-based experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    3. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.

  13. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017. "Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Rüdiger Bachmann & Lin Ma, 2016. "Lumpy Investment, Lumpy Inventories," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(5), pages 821-855, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen, 2015. "Firm optimism and pessimism," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 297-325.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Rüdiger Bachmann & Tim O. Berg & Eric R. Sims, 2015. "Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-35, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. R?diger Bachmann & Christian Bayer, 2014. "Investment Dispersion and the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(4), pages 1392-1416, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Rüdiger Bachmann & Jinhui H. Bai, 2013. "Public consumption over the business cycle," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 4(3), pages 417-451, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. R?diger Bachmann & Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo M. R. A. Engel, 2013. "Aggregate Implications of Lumpy Investment: New Evidence and a DSGE Model," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 29-67, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Bayer, Christian, 2013. "‘Wait-and-See’ business cycles?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 704-719.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Bloom, 2014. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 13-033, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    4. Jasmine Xiao, 2018. "Corporate Debt Structure, Precautionary Savings, and Investment Dynamics," 2018 Meeting Papers 887, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2014. "Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?," EconStor Preprints 100662, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2023. "Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    7. Sandra Eickmeier & Norbert Metiu & Esteban Prieto, 2016. "Time-Varying Volatility, Financial Intermediation and Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2016-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    8. Sangyup Choi & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," Working papers 2019rwp-142, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    9. Ruediger Bachmann & Benjamin Born & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme, 2013. "Time-Varying Business Volatility and the Price Setting of Firms," NBER Working Papers 19180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Laurent Ferrara & Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges," CEPII Policy Brief 2017-20, CEPII research center.
    11. Bonciani, Dario, 2015. "Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle," MPRA Paper 65921, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2024. "Spillover effects of US monetary policy on emerging markets amidst uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    13. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    14. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Groshenny, Nicolas, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 78-92.
    15. Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2015. "The consequences of an unknown debt target," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 76-96.
    16. Urtasun, Alberto & Martínez Matute, Marta, 2020. "Uncertainty and Firms' Labour Decisions. Evidence from European Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 13645, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    17. Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Working Paper Series 1825, European Central Bank.
    18. Bhanu Pratap & Nalin Priyaranjan, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1599-1625, October.
    19. Bayer, Christian & Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2018. "Misallocation: Markups and Technology," CEPR Discussion Papers 12727, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020. "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2035, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    21. Christian Bayer & Volker Tjaden, 2016. "Large Open Economies and Fixed Costs of Capital Adjustment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 125-146, July.
    22. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Huang, Yi & Loungani, Prakash, 2018. "Aggregate uncertainty and sectoral productivity growth: The role of credit constraints," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 314-330.
    23. Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M. Uribe, 2023. ""US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries"," IREA Working Papers 202302, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2023.
    24. Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat & Uribe, Jorge M., 2017. "Measuring uncertainty in the stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-33.
    25. Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    26. Daisoon Kim & Yoonsoo Lee, 2019. "Entry, Exit, and Productivity Dispersion," 2019 Meeting Papers 927, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Sergio Salgado & Fatih Guvenen & Nicholas Bloom, 2019. "Skewed Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 26565, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Ghassen El Montasser & Rangan Gupta & Nangamso C. Manjez, 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-32.
    29. Meinen, Philipp & Roehe, Oke, 2017. "On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 161-179.
    30. Hodula, Martin & Škrabić Perić, Blanka & Sorić, Petar, 2023. "Economic uncertainty and non-bank financial intermediation: Evidence from a European panel," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    31. C. L. Comolli & G. Neyer & G. Andersson & L. Dommermuth & P. Fallesen & M. Jalovaara & A. Klængur Jónsson & M. Kolk & T. Lappegård, 2021. "Beyond the Economic Gaze: Childbearing During and After Recessions in the Nordic Countries," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(2), pages 473-520, April.
    32. Dlugoszek, Grzegorz, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181596, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    33. Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    34. Söhnke M. Bartram & Gregory Brown & René M. Stulz, 2016. "Why Does Idiosyncratic Risk Increase with Market Risk?," NBER Working Papers 22492, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Backus, David & Ferriere, Axelle & Zin, Stanley, 2015. "Risk and ambiguity in models of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-63.
    36. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen, 2015. "Firm optimism and pessimism," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 297-325.
    37. Pablo Garcia, 2021. "Learning, expectations and monetary policy," BCL working papers 153, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    38. Gasparini, Tommaso & Lewis, Vivien & Moyen, Stéphane & Villa, Stefania, 2024. "Risky firms and fragile banks: Implications for macroprudential policy," Discussion Papers 10/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    39. Mehkari, M. Saif, 2016. "Uncertainty shocks in a model with mean-variance frontiers and endogenous technology choices," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 71-98.
    40. Berner, Julian & Buchholz, Manuel & Tonzer, Lena, 2020. "Asymmetric investment responses to firm-specific forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    41. Jose Maria Barrero & Nicholas Bloom & Ian Wright, 2017. "Short and Long Run Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 23676, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Disagreement on expectations: firms versus consumers," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-23, December.
    43. Masashige Hamano & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "Endogenous Turnover and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 263-279, October.
    44. Todd Potts & Jennifer Roy, 2025. "The heterogeneous impact of uncertainty shocks on labour market outcomes for men and women," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(50), pages 8327-8345, October.
    45. Safronov, M., 2016. "Experimentation and Learning-by-Doing," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1667, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    46. Chacko George & Florian Kuhn, 2019. "Business Cycle Implications of Capacity Constraints under Demand Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 94-121, April.
    47. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    48. Mustafa Caglayan & Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2016. "Regime Dependent Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Real Growth: A Markov Switching Approach," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(2), pages 135-155, May.
    49. Munechika Katayama & Kwang Hwan Kim, 2017. "Uncertainty Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment Goods," Discussion papers e-16-015, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    50. Ulrike Huemer & Rainer Eppel & Marion Kogler & Helmut Mahringer & Lukas Schmoigl & David Pichler, 2021. "Effektivität von Instrumenten der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67250, August.
    51. Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017. "Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
    52. Russell W. Cooper & Immo Schott, 2013. "Capital Reallocation and the Cyclicality of Aggregate Productivity," NBER Working Papers 19715, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    53. Sandra M. Leitner & Oliver Reiter, 2024. "The response of labour demand to different COVID-19 containment measures: evidence from online job postings in Austria," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 58(1), pages 1-23, December.
    54. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    55. Bonciani, Dario, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks: it's a matter of habit," MPRA Paper 59370, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    56. Tian, Can, 2015. "Riskiness, endogenous productivity dispersion and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 227-249.
    57. Dario Bonciani & Joonseok Jason Oh, 2019. "The long-run effects of uncertainty shocks," Bank of England working papers 802, Bank of England.
    58. Bao We Wal Bambe & Jean-Louis Combes & Kabinet Kaba & Alexandru Minea, 2024. "Inflation targeting and firm performance in developing countries," Post-Print hal-04734823, HAL.
    59. Petar Soric & Ivana Lolic, 2017. "Economic uncertainty and its impact on the Croatian economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 443-477.
    60. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    61. Bayer, Christian & Tjaden, Volker & Pham-Do, Lien & Lütticke, Ralph, 2015. "Precautionary Savings, Illiquid Assets, and the Aggregate Consequences of Shocks to Household Income Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 10849, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    62. Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
    63. Laura Veldkamp & Anna Orlik, 2016. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of the Black Swan," Working Papers 16-04, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    64. Taisuke Nakata, 2017. "Uncertainty at the Zero Lower Bound," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(3), pages 186-221, July.
    65. Martin Hodula & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2024. "Geopolitical Risks and Their Impact on Global Macro-Financial Stability: Literature and Measurements," Working Papers 2024/8, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    66. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Determining Pakistan's Financial Dependency: The Role of Financial Globalization and Corruption," MPRA Paper 116097, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    67. Bao-We-Wal Bambe, 2023. "Inflation Targeting and Private Domestic Investment in Developing Countries," Post-Print hal-04227639, HAL.
    68. Benjamin Born & Johannes Pfeifer, 2013. "Policy Risk and the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 4336, CESifo.
    69. Hashem Pesaran & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1407, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    70. Hernan Moscoso Boedo, 2018. "New Facts About Firm Risk Across Countries And Over The Business Cycle," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 510-529, January.
    71. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Maliar, Serguei & Naubert, Christopher, 2020. "Household Savings and Monetary Policy under Individual and Aggregate Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15614, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    72. Iván Alfaro & Nicholas Bloom & Xiaoji Lin, 2018. "The Finance Uncertainty Multiplier," NBER Working Papers 24571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    73. Marta Martínez-Matute & Alberto Urtasun, 2018. "Uncertainty, firm heterogeneity and labour adjustments. Evidence from European countries," Working Papers 1821, Banco de España.
    74. Hanno Dihle, 2015. "Real Options in a Ramsey style Growth Model," Discussion Paper Series 32, Department of International Economic Policy, University of Freiburg, revised Dec 2015.
    75. Uribe, Jorge M. & Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat, 2017. "Uncertainty, systemic shocks and the global banking sector: Has the crisis modified their relationship?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-68.
    76. Binding, Garret & Dibiasi, Andreas, 2017. "Exchange rate uncertainty and firm investment plans evidence from Swiss survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-27.
    77. Lyu, Yongjian & Tuo, Siwei & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty shocks on crude oil price volatility：New evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    78. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
    79. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    80. Bao-We-Wal BAMBE & Jean Louis COMBES & Kabinet KABA & Alexandru MINEA, 2022. "Inflation Targeting and Developing countries’ Performance: Evidence from Firm-Level Data," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2941, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    81. Souza, Thiago de Oliveira, 2020. "Dollar carry timing," Discussion Papers on Economics 10/2020, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    82. Kıvanç Karaman, K. & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2019. "How does financial development alter the impact of uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 33-42.
    83. Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans: Evidence from the Unexpected Acceptance of a Far-Reaching Referendum in Switzerland," CESifo Working Paper Series 5887, CESifo.
    84. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2019. "Endogenous second moments: A unified approach to fluctuations in risk, dispersion, and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 625-660.
    85. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, July.
    86. Qing Nie & Xin L. Brown & Baohui Liu & Maruf Morshed, 2024. "Uncertainties, Employment and the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 305-316, July.
    87. Salzmann, Leonard, 2019. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," EconStor Preprints 206691, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    88. Binh Nguyen Thanh & Johannes Strobel & Gabriel Lee, 2020. "A New Measure of Real Estate Uncertainty Shocks," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(3), pages 744-771, September.
    89. Sanjay Chugh, 2016. "Firm Risk and Leverage-Based Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 20, pages 111-131, April.
    90. Wen, Fenghua & Shui, Aojie & Cheng, Yuxiang & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Monetary policy uncertainty and stock returns in G7 and BRICS countries: A quantile-on-quantile approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 457-482.
    91. Anna Orlik & Laura Veldkamp, 2014. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans," NBER Working Papers 20445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    92. McKay, Alisdair, 2017. "Time-varying idiosyncratic risk and aggregate consumption dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-14.
    93. Hong, Yun & Zhang, Rushan & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Time-varying causality impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market returns: Global evidence from developed and emerging countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    94. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    95. Angus Moore, 2017. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 550-575, December.
    96. Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans," KOF Working papers 16-406, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    97. Choi, Sangyup, 2017. "Variability in the effects of uncertainty shocks: New stylized facts from OECD countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 127-144.
    98. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer, 2022. "U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(3), pages 473-492, July.
    99. Peter Claeys & Borek Vasicek, 2017. "Transmission of Uncertainty Shocks: Learning from Heterogeneous Responses on a Panel of EU Countries," Working Papers 2017/13, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    100. Bijapur, Mohan, 2014. "What Drives Business Cycle Fluctuations: Aggregate or Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Shocks?," MPRA Paper 60361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    101. Rui Castro & Gian Luca Clementi & Yoonsoo Lee, 2015. "Cross Sectoral Variation in the Volatility of Plant Level Idiosyncratic Shocks," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 1-29, March.
    102. Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2020. "Measuring Chinese consumers’ perceived uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 51-70.
    103. Le Thanh Ha & To Trung Thanh & Doan Ngoc Thang, 2021. "Welfare costs of monetary policy uncertainty in the economy with shifting trend inflation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(1), pages 126-154, February.
    104. Stefan Lautenbacher, 2021. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," ifo Working Paper Series 349, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    105. Meier, Matthias, 2017. "Time to Build and the Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168059, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    106. Shuhei Takahashi, 2020. "Time-Varying Wage Risk, Incomplete Markets, and Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 195-213, July.
    107. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Policy Uncertainty and FDI Flows: The Role of Institutional Quality and Financial Development," Working papers 2019rwp-144, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    108. Chan, Ying Tung & Dong, Yilin, 2022. "How does oil price volatility affect unemployment rates? A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    109. Spånberg, Erik & Shahnazarian, Hovick, 2019. "The importance of the financial system for the current account in Sweden: A sectoral approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 91-103.
    110. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017. "Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
    111. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    112. Oscar Claveria & Petar Sorić, 2023. "Labour market uncertainty after the irruption of COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1897-1945, April.
    113. Bao-We-Wal BAMBE, 2022. "Inflation Targeting and Private Domestic Investment in Developing Countries," Working Papers REM 2022/0237, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    114. Gian Luca Clementi & Dino Palazzo, 2010. "Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers 10-16, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    115. Timmermann, Allan & Burjack, Rafael & Qu, Ritong, 2019. "Fluctuations in Economic Uncertainty and Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence Using Daily Surveys from Brazil," CEPR Discussion Papers 14097, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    116. Martin Gurtler, 2018. "What Influences Private Investment? The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2018/14, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    117. Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Lee, Gabriel S., 2021. "Uncertainty, financial development, and FDI inflows: Global evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    118. Lee, Junghoon, 2016. "The impact of idiosyncratic uncertainty when investment opportunities are endogenous," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 105-124.
    119. Min Fang, 2021. "Lumpy Investment, Fluctuations in Volatility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 002001, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    120. Nancy Stokey, 2016. "Wait-and See: Investment Options under Policy Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 246-265, July.
    121. Rishabh Tyagi, 2024. "Employment uncertainty and reproductive decisions in Norway: a register-based study based on plant closures," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2024-026, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    122. Stelios Giannoulakis, 2021. "Uncertainty, firm entry, and investment dynamics," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(5), pages 623-642, November.
    123. Nancy L. Stokey, 2013. "Wait-and-See: Investment Options under Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19630, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    124. Váry, Miklós, 2021. "The long-run real effects of monetary shocks: Lessons from a hybrid post-Keynesian-DSGE-agent-based menu cost model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

  21. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2013. "Politico-Economic Inequality and the Comovement of Government Purchases," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(4), pages 565-580, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Sims, Eric R., 2012. "Confidence and the transmission of government spending shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 235-249.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Bachmann, Ruediger, 2006. "Testable implications of coalitional rationality," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 101-105, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Agatsuma, Yasushi, 2016. "Testable implications of the core in TU market games," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 23-29.
    2. Indrajit Ray & Susan Snyder, 2004. "Observable Implications of Nash and Subgame-Perfect Behavior in Extensive Games," Discussion Papers 04-14, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, revised Apr 2013.
    3. Robert R. Routledge, 2009. "Testable implications of the Bertrand model," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0918, Economics, The University of Manchester.

  25. Ruediger Bachmann, 2006. "Testable Implications of Pareto Efficiency and Individualrationality," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 29(3), pages 489-504, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Carvajal, Andrés, 2024. "Recent advances on testability in economic equilibrium models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    2. Agatsuma, Yasushi, 2016. "Testable implications of the core in TU market games," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 23-29.
    3. Cherchye, Laurens & Demuynck, Thomas & De Rock, Bram, 2011. "Testable implications of general equilibrium models: An integer programming approach," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(4-5), pages 564-575.
    4. Andrés Carvajal, 2010. "The testable implications of competitive equilibrium in economies with externalities," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 45(1), pages 349-378, October.
    5. Carvajal, Andrés & Song, Xinxi, 2018. "Testing Pareto efficiency and competitive equilibrium in economies with public goods," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 19-30.

  26. Bachmann, Ruediger, 2004. "Rationalizing allocation data--a nonparametric Walrasian theory when prices are absent or non-Walrasian," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-4), pages 271-295, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Christopher P Chambers & Federico Echenique, 2021. "Empirical Welfare Economics," Papers 2108.03277, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    2. Agatsuma, Yasushi, 2016. "Testable implications of the core in TU market games," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 23-29.
    3. Ruediger Bachmann, 2006. "Testable Implications of Pareto Efficiency and Individualrationality," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 29(3), pages 489-504, November.
    4. Andrés Carvajal, 2010. "The testable implications of competitive equilibrium in economies with externalities," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 45(1), pages 349-378, October.
    5. Bachmann, Ruediger, 2006. "Testable implications of coalitional rationality," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 101-105, October.

Software components

  1. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "Code and data files for "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation"," Computer Codes 18-207, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai, 2012. "Code and data files for "Politico-Economic Inequality and the Comovement of Government Purchases"," Computer Codes 11-243, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.
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