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Macroprudential policy and the sovereign-bank nexus in the euro area

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  • Hristov, Nikolay
  • Hülsewig, Oliver
  • Kolb, Benedikt

Abstract

We explore how changes in capital-based macroprudential regulation affect theexposure of national banking sectors to domestic government debt in the euro area,thus strengthening or weakening the sovereign-bank nexus. To do so, we construct ameasure of macroprudential policy based on theMacroprudential Policy EvaluationDatabaseand estimate responses to theunsystematiccomponent of macroprudentialpolicy in panel vector autoregressive models for euro area 'core" and 'periphery"countries. Our main finding suggests that an unsystematic capital-based macro-prudential policy tightening increases banks' exposure to domestic sovereign bondsin the periphery countries and so deepens the sovereign-bank nexus. By contrast,banks in the core countries expand their loan portfolios rather than adjusting theirdomestic sovereign bond holdings in response to the shock. We show that this re-sult can be tied to the theoretical literature and investigate several transmissionchannels. Our results are highly robust to changes in the econometric setup and themacroprudential indicator used.

Suggested Citation

  • Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2021. "Macroprudential policy and the sovereign-bank nexus in the euro area," Discussion Papers 32/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdps:322021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pietrovito, Filomena & Pozzolo, Alberto Franco, 2023. "Did small banks trade off lending with government bond purchases during the Sovereign debt crisis?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 666-683.
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2024. "Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroprudential policy; euro area; sovereign-bank nexus; panel vector autore-gressive model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents

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