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Macroprudential policy and bank systemic risk: Does inflation targeting matter?

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  • Mugrabi, Farah
  • Belkhir, Mohamed
  • Naceur, Sami Ben
  • Candelon, Bertrand
  • Choi, Woon Gyu

Abstract

This paper examines whether inflation targeting (IT) enhances the effectiveness of macroprudential policies in reducing banks’ contribution to systemic risk measured by SRISK. Using bank-level data for 47 countries, our regime-dependent panel regressions suggest that tools such as DSTI limits, the CCyB, conservation buffers, and leverage limits are relatively more effective under IT. Loan restrictions appear less effective, while loan-to-value (LTV) caps show impact only in post-GFC samples. Liquidity and reserve requirements reduce SRISK under IT in higher-frequency estimations. Our findings lend credence to the view that IT strengthens the role of macroprudential policy in mitigating financial stability risks.

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  • Mugrabi, Farah & Belkhir, Mohamed & Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Choi, Woon Gyu, 2026. "Macroprudential policy and bank systemic risk: Does inflation targeting matter?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:71:y:2026:i:c:s1566014125001463
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101397
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    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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