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Regulating the doom loop

Author

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  • Alogoskoufis, Spyros
  • Langfield, Sam

Abstract

Euro area governments have committed to break the doom loop between bank risk and sovereign risk. But policymakers have not reached consensus on whether and how to reform the regulatory treatment of banks’ sovereign exposures. To inform policy discussions, this paper simulates portfolio reallocations by euro area banks under scenarios for regulatory reform. Simulations highlight a tension in regulatory design between concentration and credit risk. An area-wide low-risk asset—created by pooling and tranching cross-border portfolios of government debt securities— would resolve this tension by expanding the portfolio opportunity set. Banks could therefore reinvest into an asset that has both low concentration and low credit risk. JEL Classification: G01, G11, G21, G28

Suggested Citation

  • Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Langfield, Sam, 2018. "Regulating the doom loop," ESRB Working Paper Series 74, European Systemic Risk Board.
  • Handle: RePEc:srk:srkwps:201874
    Note: 1905193
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    Cited by:

    1. Cronin, David & Dunne, Peter G., 2019. "How effective are sovereign bond-backed securities as a spillover prevention device?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 49-66.
    2. Lorenzo Codogno & Paul van den Noord, 2021. "Assessing Next Generation EU," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 166, European Institute, LSE.
    3. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2021. "Macroprudential policy and the sovereign-bank nexus in the euro area," Discussion Papers 32/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Helge Berger & Giovanni Dell’Ariccia & Maurice Obstfeld, 2019. "Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 657-683, September.
    5. Soenen, Nicolas & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2022. "Determinants of European banks’ default risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    6. Antonija Buljan & Milan Deskar-Skrbic & Mirna Dumicic, 2020. "What drives banks’ appetite for sovereign debt in CEE countries?," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 44(2), pages 179-201.
    7. Vojtěch Siuda & Milan Szabo, 2021. "Measuring Sovereign Credit Risk of the EU countries," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(3), pages 169-192.
    8. Nicolas Soenen & Rudi Vander Vennet, 2020. "ECB Monetary Policy and Bank Default Risk," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/997, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    9. Sam Langfield, 2020. "Bridge over Troubled Monetary Union: A Reply to De Grauwe & Ji," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(S1), pages 1-10, September.
    10. Soenen, Nicolas & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2022. "ECB monetary policy and bank default risk☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    11. Thierry Warin & Aleksandar Stojkov, 2021. "Banks’ Foreign Claims in the Aftermath of the 2008 Crisis: Institutional Response, Financial Efficiency, and Integration of Cross-Border Banking in the Euro Area," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-17, February.
    12. Philip R. Lane, 2021. "The Resilience of the Euro," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 3-22, Spring.
    13. De Sola Perea, Maite & Dunne, Peter G. & Puhl, Martin & Reininger, Thomas, 2019. "Sovereign bond-backed securities: A VAR-for-VaR and marginal expected shortfall assessment," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 33-52.
    14. Jay Cullen, 2022. "“Economically inefficient and legally untenable”: constitutional limitations on the introduction of central bank digital currencies in the EU," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(1), pages 31-41, March.
    15. Nadal De Simone, Francisco, 2021. "Measuring the deadly embrace: Systemic and sovereign risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank regulation; sovereign risk; systemic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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