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ESBies: Safety in the tranches

Author

Listed:
  • Markus K. Brunnermeier
  • Sam Langfield
  • Marco Pagano
  • Ricardo Reis
  • Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
  • Dimitri Vayanos

Abstract

The euro crisis was fueled by the diabolic loop between sovereign risk and bank risk, coupled with cross-border flight-to-safety capital flows. European Safe Bonds (ESBies), a union-wide safe asset without joint liability, would help to resolve these problems. We make three contributions. First, numerical simulations show that ESBies would be at least as safe as German bunds and approximately double the supply of euro safe assets when protected by a 30%-thick junior tranche. Second, a model shows how, when and why the two features of ESBies—diversification and seniority—can weaken the diabolic loop and its diffusion across countries. Third, we propose a step-by-step guide on how to create ESBies, starting with limited issuance by public or private-sector entities. JEL Classification: E44, G01, G28

Suggested Citation

  • Markus K. Brunnermeier & Sam Langfield & Marco Pagano & Ricardo Reis & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Dimitri Vayanos, 2016. "ESBies: Safety in the tranches," ESRB Working Paper Series 21, European Systemic Risk Board.
  • Handle: RePEc:srk:srkwps:201621
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Athanasios Orphanides, 2017. "The Fiscal-Monetary Policy Mix in the Euro Area: Challenges at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economy - Discussion Papers 2015 - 060, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    2. Dunne, Peter G., 2018. "Positive Liquidity Spillovers from Sovereign Bond-Backed Securities," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. Dunne, Peter G., 2018. "Positive liquidity spillovers from sovereign bond-backed securities," ESRB Working Paper Series 67, European Systemic Risk Board.
    4. Andritzky, Jochen & Christofzik, Désirée I. & Feld, Lars P. & Scheuering, Uwe, 2016. "A mechanism to regulate sovereign debt restructuring in the euro area," Working Papers 04/2016, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    5. van Riet, Ad, 2017. "Monetary Policy Stretched to the Limit: How Could Governments Support the European Central Bank?," MPRA Paper 83451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2016. "A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment," NBER Working Papers 22751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. André Diniz & Bernardo Guimaraes, 2017. "How diabolic is the sovereign-bank loop? The effects of post-default fiscal policies," Discussion Papers 1705, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    8. Cronin, David & Dunne, Peter G., 2018. "How effective are sovereign bond-backed securities as a spillover prevention device?," ESRB Working Paper Series 66, European Systemic Risk Board.
    9. Perea, Maite De Sola & Dunne, Peter G. & Puhl, Martin & Reininger, Thomas, 2018. "Sovereign bond-backed securities: a VAR-for-VaR and Marginal Expected Shortfall assessment," ESRB Working Paper Series 65, European Systemic Risk Board.
    10. Koetter, Michael & Krause, Thomas & Tonzer, Lena, 2017. "Delay determinants of European Banking Union implementation," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    European Safe Bonds; safe assets; sovereign risk;

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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