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Non-defaultable debt and sovereign risk

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  • Hatchondo, Juan Carlos
  • Martinez, Leonardo
  • Onder, Yasin Kursat

Abstract

We quantify gains from introducing limited financing through non-defaultable debt into a model of equilibrium sovereign risk. For an initial sovereign spread of 4.2%, introducing the possibility of issuing non-defaultable debt for up to 10% of aggregate income reduces immediately the spread to 1.5%, and implies a welfare gain equivalent to a permanent consumption increase of 0.8%. Nevertheless, the spread reduction achieved by the introduction of non-defaultable debt is short lived. Our findings shed light on different aspects of proposals to introduce common euro-area sovereign bonds that could be virtually non-defaultable.

Suggested Citation

  • Hatchondo, Juan Carlos & Martinez, Leonardo & Onder, Yasin Kursat, 2017. "Non-defaultable debt and sovereign risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 217-229.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:105:y:2017:i:c:p:217-229
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2017.01.008
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    Cited by:

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    3. Carré, Sylvain & Cohen, Daniel & Villemot, Sébastien, 2019. "The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Lévy stochastic processes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 31-43.
    4. Yasin Kursat Onder & Enes Sunel, 2021. "Inflation-default trade-off without a nominal anchor: The case of Greece," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 55-78, January.
    5. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel P. Mihalache, 2020. "Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Cordella, Tito & Powell, Andrew, 2021. "Preferred and non-preferred creditors," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Foley-Fisher, Nathan & McLaughlin, Eoin, 2016. "Sovereign debt guarantees and default: Lessons from the UK and Ireland, 1920–1938," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 272-286.
    8. Holtemöller, Oliver & Scherer, Jan-Christopher, 2018. "Sovereign Stress, Banking Stress, and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area," ADBI Working Papers 811, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    9. Pancrazi, Roberto & Seoane, Hernán D. & Vukotić, Marija, 2020. "Welfare gains of bailouts in a sovereign default model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    10. Yan Liu & Ramon Marimon & Adrien Wicht, 2022. "Making sovereign debt safe with a financial stability fund," Economics Working Papers 1829, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    11. Prein, Timm M. & Scholl, Almuth, 2021. "The impact of bailouts on political turnover and sovereign default risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    12. Engwerda, Jacob & van Aarle, Bas & Anevlavis, Tzanis, 2019. "Debt stabilization games in a monetary union: What are the effects of introducing eurobonds?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 78-102.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign default; Sovereign debt; Eurobonds; Red bonds; Blue bonds; Buyback; Voluntary debt exchange; Common euro-area sovereign bonds;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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