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Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Maximiliano Dvorkin

    (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

  • Emircan Yurdagul

    (uc3m)

  • Horacio Sapriza

    (Federal Reserve Board)

  • Juan Sanchez

    (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

Abstract

Sovereign debt crises generally involve debt restructurings characterized by debt maturity extensions, delayed payments, face-value haircuts, and temporary financial autarky. We develop a novel quantitative model of endogenous sovereign debt maturity choice and restructuring that rationalizes the debt dynamics observed around distressed debt restructurings. The use of dynamic discrete choice solution methods allows us to smooth the borrower's decision rules on default and debt portfolio choices, rendering the problem tractable.

Suggested Citation

  • Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2018. "Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Approach," 2018 Meeting Papers 1273, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed018:1273
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache, 2024. "Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(3), pages 1243-1290.
    2. Cristina Arellano & Gabriel Mihalache & Yan Bai, 2018. "Inflation Targeting with Sovereign Default Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 851, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Mihalache, Gabriel, 2020. "Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    4. Marina Azzimonti & Laura Karpuska & Gabriel Mihalache, 2020. "Bargaining over Mandatory Spending and Entitlements," Department of Economics Working Papers 20-02, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    5. Dvorkin, Maximiliano & Sánchez, Juan M. & Sapriza, Horacio & Yurdagul, Emircan, 2020. "News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    6. Marina Azzimonti & Gabriel P. Mihalache & Laura Karpuska, 2020. "Bargaining over Taxes and Entitlements," NBER Working Papers 27595, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2019. "A Quantitative Theory of Hard and Soft Sovereign Defaults," 2019 Meeting Papers 412, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Grey Gordon, 2019. "Efficient Computation with Taste Shocks," Working Paper 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

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