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Aggregate Dynamics in Lumpy Economies

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  • Isaac Baley
  • Andrés Blanco

Abstract

In economies with lumpy microeconomic adjustment, we establish structural relationships between the dynamics of the cross-sectional distribution of agents and its steady-state counterpart and discipline these relationships using micro data. Applying our methodology to firm lumpy investment, we discover that the dynamics of aggregate capital are structurally linked to two cross-sectional moments of the capital-to-productivity ratio: its dispersion and its covariance with the time elapsed since the last adjustment. We compute these sufficient statistics using plant–level data on the size and frequency of investments. We find that, in order to explain investment dynamics, the benchmark model with fixed adjustment costs must also feature a precise combination of irreversibility and random opportunities of free adjustment.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaac Baley & Andrés Blanco, 2019. "Aggregate Dynamics in Lumpy Economies," Working Papers 1116, Barcelona School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:bge:wpaper:1116
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    Cited by:

    1. Leonard Bocquet, 2022. "The Network Origin of Slow Labor Reallocation," Working Papers halshs-03703862, HAL.
    2. Görtz, Christoph & Sakellaris, Plutarchos & Tsoukalas, John D., 2023. "Firms’ financing dynamics around lumpy capacity adjustments," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi & Aleksei Oskolkov, 2022. "The Macroeconomics of Sticky Prices with Generalized Hazard Functions [“Optimal Inattention to the Stock Market With Information Costs and Transactions Costs,”]," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 137(2), pages 989-1038.
    4. Bocquet, L., 2024. "The Network Origin of Slow Labour Reallocation," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2427, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Leonard Bocquet, 2022. "The Network Origin of Slow Labor Reallocation," PSE Working Papers halshs-03703862, HAL.
    6. Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2023. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1-1.
    7. Gnewuch, Matthias & Zhang, Donghai, 2025. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    8. Bocquet, L., 2024. "The Network Origin of Slow Labour Reallocation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2465, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    9. Luo, Shaowen & Villar, Daniel, 2023. "Propagation of shocks in an input-output economy: Evidence from disaggregated prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 26-46.
    10. Luo, Shaowen & Villar, Daniel, 2021. "The price adjustment hazard function: Evidence from high inflation periods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Zhao Chen & Xian Jiang & Zhikuo Liu & Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato & Daniel Yi Xu, 2023. "Tax Policy and Lumpy Investment Behaviour: Evidence from China’s VAT Reform," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(2), pages 634-674.
    12. Siavash Mohades & Giulia Piccillo & Maria Savona & Tania Treibich, 2025. "Firms’ Investment and Capacity Utilisation: The Role of Financial Constraints and Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 12108, CESifo.
    13. Hassan Afrouzi & Saroj Bhattarai, 2023. "Inflation and GDP Dynamics in Production Networks: A Sufficient Statistics Approach," NBER Working Papers 31218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Hong, Gee Hee & Klepacz, Matthew & Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael, 2023. "The real effects of monetary shocks: Evidence from micro pricing moments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-20.
    15. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi, 2022. "The Analytic Theory of a Monetary Shock," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1655-1680, July.
    16. Fernando Alvarez & Andrea Ferrara & Erwan Gautier & Hervé Le Bihan & Francesco Lippi, 2025. "Empirical Investigation of a Sufficient Statistic for Monetary Shocks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 92(4), pages 2165-2196.
    17. Andrés Blanco & Bernardo Diaz de Astarloa & Andres Drenik & Christian Moser & Danilo R. Trupkin, 2022. "The evolution of the earnings distribution in a volatile economy: Evidence from Argentina," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(4), pages 1361-1403, November.
    18. Lee, Hanbaek, 2022. "Striking While the Iron Is Cold: Fragility after a Surge of Lumpy Investments," MPRA Paper 115872, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Alberto Cavallo & Francesco Lippi & Ken Miyahara, 2024. "Large Shocks Travel Fast," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 558-574, December.
    20. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi & Panagiotis Souganidis, 2024. "Caballero–Engel meet Lasry–Lions: A uniqueness result," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 18, number 13, December.
    21. Klaus Adam & Andrey Alexandrov & Henning Weber, 2023. "Inflation Distorts Relative Prices: Theory and Evidence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_406v2, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, revised May 2024.
    22. Matthias Gnewuch, 2024. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Working Papers 61, European Stability Mechanism.

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    • D30 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - General
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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