IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aea/aerins/v6y2024i4p558-74.html

Large Shocks Travel Fast

Author

Listed:
  • Alberto Cavallo
  • Francesco Lippi
  • Ken Miyahara

Abstract

We document a sizeable increase in the frequency of price adjustments following the large energy shocks of 2022. We use a tractable New Keynesian model, calibrated to the preshock data, to interpret such a pattern. The calibration highlights the state dependence of firms' decisions: prices are adjusted rapidly when markups are misaligned. In the model, a large cost shock triggers a swift increase in the frequency of price adjustments, causing a rapid pass-through from costs to prices. Time-dependent models, such as the Calvo model, miss this frequency response, failing to capture the sudden inflation surge after a large shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Cavallo & Francesco Lippi & Ken Miyahara, 2024. "Large Shocks Travel Fast," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 558-574, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aerins:v:6:y:2024:i:4:p:558-74
    DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20230454
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aeri.20230454
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3886/E198826V1
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aeri.20230454.appx
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aeri.20230454.ds
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to AEA members and institutional subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1257/aeri.20230454?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hall, Robert E. & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2025. "The active role of the natural rate of unemployment," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(4).
    2. Zhang, Tao & Tang, Ke & Liu, Taoxiong & Jiang, Tingfeng, 2025. "High frequency online inflation and term structure of interest rates: Evidence from China," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Jordà, Òscar & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2025. "Decomposing the monetary policy multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    5. Eduardo Gutiérrez & Alari Paulus & Alex Grimaud & Daniel Enderle & Erwan Gautier & Cristina Conflitti & Ludmila Fadejeva & Valentin Jouvanceau & Jean-Oliver Menz & Pavlo Petroulas, 2026. "Consumer Price Stickiness in the Euro Area During an Inflation Surge," Working Papers 1559, Barcelona School of Economics.
    6. Rebelo, Sergio & Santana, Miguel & Teles, Pedro, 2025. "Behavioral sticky prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    7. Elisa Guglielminetti & Alessandro Lin & Andrea Tiseno, 2025. "The many shades of uncertainty and monetary policy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 978, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. repec:ces:ceswps:_12212 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2024. "Price Discounts and Cheapflation during the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation in the COVID Era and Beyond, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Bušs, Ginters & Traficante, Guido, 2025. "The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information," Dynare Working Papers 85, CEPREMAP.
    11. Stefano Neri, 2025. "Energy prices, inflation and the ECB's monetary policy during the 2021-22 energy crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1481, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    12. Cameron Haas & Mateo Hoyos & Emiliano Libman & Guilherme K. Martins & Arslan Razmi, 2025. "Monetary Shocks and Inflation: Global Evidence from Trilemma-Based Identification," Working Papers DTE 650, CIDE, División de Economía.
    13. Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2025. "Density forecasts of inflation: A quantile regression forest approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    14. Gregory Phelan & Thomas Kohler & Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Maximilian Weiss, 2025. "Why Do Supply Disruptions Lead to Inflation?," Department of Economics Working Papers 2025_104, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    15. Ken Miyahara, 2025. "On the cyclicality of durable consumption responses," Working Papers 210, Peruvian Economic Association.
    16. Michael Reiter & Adrian Wende, 2024. "Generalized Rotemberg Price-Setting," CESifo Working Paper Series 11297, CESifo.
    17. Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2025. "Inflation expectations and price-setting decisions: insights from the housing market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1507, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    18. Stefano Neri & Cristina Conflitti & Alessandro Lin, 2026. "The awakening of inflation and the return of the Phillips curve in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1525, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    19. Pablo Cuba-Borda & Jean-Paul L'Huillier, 2025. "Inflation is a Supply Phenomenon," Working Papers 137, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    20. Frédéric Vinas, 2025. "Oil Shocks and their Impact on Corporate Profitability, Productivity, and Credit Risk: Firm-Level Evidence Over Two Decades," Working papers 989, Banque de France.
    21. Miescu, Mirela & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2024. "Non-linear Dynamics of Oil Supply News Shocks," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    22. Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Winkelmann, Yannik, 2025. "Inflation and price flexibility," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
      • Petrella Ivan & Santoro Emiliano & Winkelmann Yannik, 2025. "Inflation and Price Flexibility," Working papers 099, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino.
    23. Karadi, Peter & Nakov, Anton & Nuño, Galo & Pasten, Ernesto & Thaler, Dominik, 2025. "Why monetary policy should crack down harder during high inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 130.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L66 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Food; Beverages; Cosmetics; Tobacco
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aea:aerins:v:6:y:2024:i:4:p:558-74. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Michael P. Albert (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeaaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.