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State-dependent risk taking and the transmission of monetary policy shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Fève, Patrick
  • Garcia, Pablo
  • Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume

Abstract

Is risk taking an important channel by which monetary policy shocks affect economic activity? On the basis of a nonlinear structural VAR including a new measure of risk sensitivity by economic agents, we show that the role of the risk-taking channel depends on the state of the economy. While it is irrelevant during recession or normal times, it acts as an amplifier by boosting output during expansion. It means that, as long as monetary policy does not actively "lean against the wind", it may exacerbate boom-bust patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Fève, Patrick & Garcia, Pablo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2017. "State-dependent risk taking and the transmission of monetary policy shocks," TSE Working Papers 17-872, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:32282
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Christian Pfister & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policies: A stock-taking exercise," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 130(2), pages 137-169.
    3. Christian Myohl, 2018. "The Effect of a Financial Block on the Identification of Confidence Shocks in a Structural VAR Model," Diskussionsschriften dp1821, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    4. Irina Semina, 2020. "Modelling the Risk-taking Channel of Monetary Policy in the Russian Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(3), pages 30-57, September.
    5. Dimitrios Bakas & Karen Jackson & Georgios Magkonis, 2020. "Trade (Dis)integration: The Sudden Death of NAFTA," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 931-943, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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